|Shadow Coverage Tracker|
Team: Arizona Cardinals
Opponent: New England
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins
WR2: Christian Kirk
Shadow Coverage Matchup: Stephon Gilmore
|DeAndre Hopkins vs. Shadow Coverage|
|All Other Opponents||27||7.4||96.3||0.4||16|
|Vs. Shadow Coverage||17||6.5||76.2||0.6||14.4|
|vs. Stephon Gilmore||3||6.7||72.7||0||10.6|
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
According to PFF this season DeAndre Hopkins has yet to face any shadow coverage in 2020. This comes after back to back seasons where he saw shadow coverage in 50% of his games. This “softer” cornerback schedule has led to a solid season so far in 2020 as Hopkins is the WR7 in PPG. Overall, throughout his career Hopkins has been solid vs. shadow coverage as his 14.4 PPG is still borderline WR1 numbers.
As for Christian Kirk he has never seen shadow coverage in his career, but that doesn’t stop the Patriots from using shadow coverage on multiple players. In weeks 9 and 11 of 2020 the Patriots used multiple CBs to shadow the opposing teams WRs and in 2019 used Stephon Gilmore and J.C. Jackson in similar roles down the stretch.
Week 12 Recommendation DeAndre Hopkins – WR3/Flex
Christian Kirk – SIT
Hopkins’ 10.6 vs. Stephon Gilmore doesn’t make him a sit, but tempering expectations on the road vs. the Patriots isn’t a bad idea. Hopkins has yet to score a TD or top 80 yards receiving in any of the games vs. Gilmore since he joined the Patriots back in 2017. These numbers leave Hopkins as solid WR2/flex in week 12.
As for Christian Kirk J.C. Jackson has been playing at a very high level slowing down a white-hot Will Fuller (6-80) while leading the NFL in interceptions so far in 2020. This season the Patriots have yet to allow a team to have multiple WRs hit double digit fantasy points in .5 PPR at home in 2020.
DFS Recommendation – DeAndre Hopkins Price FD $8,500 / DK $8,100
Christian Kirk Price FD $6,100 / DK $5,800
Hopkins vs. Gilmore doesn’t equal DFS success as his 10 PPG will not justify his cost on both sites. At this price point you can pay up for Tyreek Hill in a game which should be a shootout in TB. As for Christian Kirk his price point on both sites is between WR 24-30, and with not a lot of WR success overall when the Patriots play at home its best to pivot. Players I would use over Kirk include DeVante Parker vs. NYJ and Curtis Samuel vs. MIN.Please, blog, may I have some more?