A sleeper is not a handcuff. Handcuffs are players who, in the event of an injury, can be projected to inherit significant playing time. Sleepers are players that have an assumed role and stand-alone value but an increase in efficiency or volume will cause them to significantly out-perform their ADP. Handcuffs are largely not worth drafting because they require injury “luck” to be useful. However, sleepers are worth a late round selection because they can build momentum as roles are defined throughout the preseason. The goal of smart drafters should be to have this type of player rostered before the buzz escalates.

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Much noise has been made in fantasy circles about the Arizona Cardinals and the potential for a new-look, explosive offense in 2019. Some of the reasons to be excited for what Kliff Kingsbury will bring to the NFL were discussed in part 1 . Despite a lackluster 2018, David Johnson has seen his ADP remain at RB5/6 and Kyler Murray is being taken as a low end QB1 in the 8th round of redraft. A rookie QB has not been drafted that high since Robert Griffin III in 2011. But what about the pass catchers? Despite enthusiasm surrounding the offense in general, the beneficiaries of a supposed top 12 QB are not reaping rewards as it pertains to ADP. This is a gross mistake on the part of preseason drafters. To see this, it is helpful to refer to a chart of WR production in a Kingsbury offense:

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Fantasy drafts are happening all over the place and yours may be this weekend.  Or maybe  you’re planning on doing your 12th fantasy draft this weekend because you have a fantasy football addiction like me.  It’s a common affliction this time of year.  Whether it’s your first draft or your 12th draft, the late rounds […]

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The free agent insanity going on around the NFL has opened a big door for Chargers rookie wide receiver Vincent Brown.  Former San Diego wide receiver Legedu Naanee has signed with the Carolina Panthers, and by the time you read this article free agent Malcom Floyd might be on a different team.  As I write […]

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