Have you stocked up on disposable N-95 masks, canned goods and lotion yet? Oh, you don’t think you’ll need a stockpile of lotion for what’s coming? Once I’m in self-quarantine, here’s how I picture my daily routine:
12:00 AM – 6:00 AM: Dream About Kerryon Johnson MVP season(s)
6:00 AM – 9:00 AM: Eat Pancakes
9:00 AM – 12:00 AM: Rosterbate to my Dynasty Teams
Needless to say, my lotion supply is locked and loaded. Speaking of locked and loaded, check out all of our 2020 Fantasy Football Dynasty and Rookie Rankings! I went over my top 20 dynasty running backs (full list at bottom of this post) earlier this week between visits to the lotion dealer; yes, I’m still irrationally high on Kerryon Johnson and crystal meth. Anyway, here’s my top 40 running backs for 2020 PPR dynasty football:
21. James Conner – This tier started in my top 20 dynasty running backs for 2020 fantasy football and ends here with Conner. I call this tier, “We Aren’t in Kansas City, Missouri Anymore.” On one hand Conner only has 363 career carries. On the other hand Benny Snell looked better than Conner at times last year. On a third hand, which is actually an arcade robot claw with french fries on the prongs, he’s a free-agent in 2021 and I never like that kind of uncertainty with RBs. Still, J.C. will be just 25 years young and should be given every opportunity to rise again in 2020, especially if Big Ben is near 100%.
22. Melvin Gordon – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Bell. I call this tier, “Jennifer Aniston.” These players might be slightly past their prime but they still look pretty darn good, at least for now. I said a couple months back that I wouldn’t be surprised if Melvin turns out to be the type of back who ages quickly. That’s just a feeling I get. More objectively, Gordon now has over 1,000 career carries and he’s in search of a new home this off season. If he lands in a sunny destination then expect him to move up the list a bit.
23. Todd Gurley – I said this about the Toddfather when I ranked him #49 overall in my dynasty rankings back in December, “Todd Gurley has shown he’s still got it when McVay gives him the rock, but there’s a reason the Ram’s limited him for much of the season. It’s called old man knees. The Rams can get out of Gurley’s contract after 2021 and, considering those knees, there’s a decent chance they take the out.”
24. Le’Veon Bell – The Jets also have an opt out clause with Bell after the 2020 season. Hard to imagine the Jets won’t opt out if they aren’t able to trade him before then. Le’Veon’s the type of quickly depreciating asset I’d look to sell high after a couple good games.
25. Kenyan Drake – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Lindsay. I call this tier, “Pizza Left Out Overnight.” Pizza is delicious, but if you forget to put the leftovers in the fridge it makes for a risky breakfast. I like all of these guys quite a bit but there’s varying degrees of concern and uncertainty with each. I moved Drake up a few spots since December because it was sounding like he’d be back in Arizona. Now I’m reading he’s asking for 10 million dollars a year. Ummmm okayyyyyy. Good luck with that, Kenyan. But if he does end up back in Arizona then there’s a good argument for him up at the backend of the top 20.
26. Chris Carson – A fresh Chris Carson is a tasty piece of pizza (when he isn’t fumbling). Unfortunately, he fractured his hip late last year. Word is he’s progressing well and should be ready for the season. And Rashaad Penny likely won’t be ready off ACL surgery. So I bumped Carson up a couple spots since December. I’m monitoring his recovery closely since he isn’t able to train much while the hip heals. Also, note he’s a free agent next off season.
27. Phillip Lindsay – I find myself wondering if this is too low for Lindsay. All he’s done since coming into the league as an undrafted free-agent is post 17 touchdowns and two 1,000 yard rushing seasons. That said, Lindsay’s a free-agent next off season and Royce Freeman garnered a lot more work in the 2019 pass game. I won’t be surprised if Freeman’s even more of a factor in 2020.
28. Mark Ingram – This is a new tier. It goes from here to Michel. I call this tier, “Location, Location, Location.” Situation is the most important piece of the puzzle for running backs, sometimes even more important than actual talent. How many running backs have found themselves in two better landing spots than Ingram? First in a high-powered offense lead by Drew Brees, then working along side phenom Lamar Jackson. The career carries are piling up but he has two more years in the Ravens offense which should be golden. If you’re in you’re contention window then he’s worth a premium.
29. Devin Singletary – This will be unpopular; everyone loves Singletary right now. I gave you my Devin Singletary Dynasty Outlook a few weeks back. Cliff Notes: I like his situation quite a bit if the Bills don’t add another legitimate threat to his workload, but I’m concerned they will.
30. Sony Michel – I’m a big fan of Sony Michel the player, not a big fan of the Sony Michel situation. Patriots running backs just aren’t for me. Michel is lost in the Belichick Bermuda Triangle for at least two more seasons. I’d be open to selling if there’s a believer in your league.
31. Clyde Edwards-Helaire – This is a new tier. It goes from here to Hunt. I call this tier, “Persona Non Grata?” Watching the NFL Combine right now and Mark Ingram is all about CEH (he just ran a 4.61 40-yard dash but also showed off his great lateral agility if you didn’t see). Ingram says he’s reminded of himself and I definitely see the resemblance. Like all of the rookies, landing spot will be key for both short-term and long-term value. I am curious whether NFL teams will dock Edwards-Helaire for potential character concerns after his involvement in a self-defense killing during his freshman year at LSU. I’m not one to judge, but the whole story paints an iffy picture. Still, his value would sky-rocket in the right offense.
32. Kareem Hunt – You can’t deny Hunt’s talent, but he sure seems like a ticking time bomb. I’m tempted to drop him down even further after watching the video of his traffic stop in January where the officer found weed and an open container of vodka in his car, and Hunt admits he’d fail a drug test if he was tested that day. Maybe next time he won’t be pulled over by a Browns fan.
33. Derrius Guice – This is a new tier. It goes from here to Jones. I called this tier, “2018 Called and They Want Their Top Rookie RBs Back.” With each injury it becomes less and less likely that Guice ever delivers on his massive upside. But if you’re looking for a buy-low upside gamble, here’s your man.
34. Royce Freeman – Still only just heading into his 24 year old season, Freeman shouldn’t be written off yet by any means. Look for his role to continue to expand in 2020 and if Lindsay gets banged up, be ready for a breakout.
35. Ronald Jones – I was anti-RoJo when he came into the league due to his weak hands and poor blocking, but he looked much improved in 2019. Unfortunately he only topped 12 carries once in the final eight weeks, which gives me the feeling Tampa will recruit backfield help in 2020.
36. Tarik Cohen – This is a new tier. It goes from here to Mattison. I call this tier, “Second Fiddlers.” Currently just a PPR specialist behind David Montgomery, I think Cohen could be more in the right system. He’s an athletic freak who I’ve always thought is underutilized. 2021 free-agency could be just what the doctor ordered.
37. David Johnson – The music came to a halt for D.J. owners in 2019. I still think there’s some upside, and with only 781 carries, he’s fairly low mileage. But there’s no telling if and when the music will return.
38. Alexander Mattison – When given the opportunity, Mattison flashed during his rookie season. Dalvin Cook is a free agent after 2020. There’s no guarantees here, but if Mattison is given a crack at the Vikings lead-back role then RB1 numbers are well within the realm of possibilities.
39. Damien Williams – This is a new tier. It goes from here into the top 60 dynasty running backs. I call this tier, “More Questions, Less Answers.” 111 carries and 30 receptions in 11 games with 7 touchdowns was Williams regular season. 46 carries and 10 receptions in 3 games with 6 touchdowns was Williams playoffs. Soooooo who’s ready to spend an early round draft pick on him in 2020? Not Donkey.
40. Devonta Freeman – All signs point to the Falcons cutting Freeman due to cap issues. Which team wants to take a shot on declining back with a history of concussions? Seems like his days as a lead back might be numbered.
|Rank||Name||Team||Age on 9/1/2020||Year of Free Agency|
|13||J.K. Dobbins||Ohio St.||21||N/A|
|18||Cam Akers||Florida St.||21||N/A|