I am filling in for the legendary The Lineup Builder for Week 2 Start/Sit utilizing our Home vs Away Splits. This tool will help you in conjunction with other tools on Razzball and other statistical nuggets to give you a leg up on your opponent. Check out my four players to start and three to sit entering Week 2 action.
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STARTS
- Player: Baker Mayfield
- Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
- Home/Road (+/-): 0
Mayfield is an under-the-radar QB who is not getting the respect he deserves after tossing 4 TDs in Week 1. Looking at his Home vs Away splits, he’s neutral at home or on the road, which can be beneficial in the right matchup. He ranks as the fifth-highest scoring QB on the road dating back to last season. Fortunately, he’s got a great matchup on paper as the Bucs travel to Detroit in Week 2. The Lions gave up the third most points to QBs in ’23 and allowed Matthew Stafford, who was one of two QBs, to throw over 300 yards in Week 1. I envision Mayfield will seek revenge against the Lions after falling short to the Lions in Week 6 last season.
- Player: Derrick Henry
- Game: Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens
- Home/Road (+/-): +10
This has the makings of a bounce-back game for Henry after a frustrating Week 1 performance due to the game script in Kansas City. On the road with Tennessee last season, King Henry averaged 19.1 PPR points at home compared to 9.5 as a visitor. Henry should see at least 20 carries finishing as an RB1 due to a positive game script. Don’t forget the Raiders allowed J.K. Dobbins to rush for 135 yards on 10 carries in Week 1.
- Player: Michael Pittman Jr.
- Game: Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers
- Home/Road (+/-): -5
The stage is set for Pittman Jr to rebound after a tough Week 1, like many other WRs. However, history tells us he has better success on the road averaging 18 PPR points than 12.7 PPR points at home. Remarkably, Anthony Richardson completed three passes of 50+ yards and Pittman wasn’t the beneficiary of any of them. Green Bay allowed A.J. Brown to reel in a 67-yard TD and finish with 5 catches for 119 yards in Brazil. Pittman is being viewed as a high-end WR3 this week but has a legitimate chance to finish in WR1 territory.
- Player: Pat Freirmuth
- Game: Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos
- Home/Road (+/-): -4
TEs were atrocious from a fantasy perspective last week. It would appear many of you are reeling with the possibility of a streamer. Look no further my compadres. Freirmuth’s ownership increased drastically after his Week 1 performance and he has a solid match-up against the Broncos on the road. The Steelers’ TE averaged 8 PPR points on the road compared to just 3.8 at home. If Justin Fields is the starter, his former TE in Chicago, Cole Kmet, performed better on the road at 11.6 to 8.6 points at home. Lastly, the Broncos allowed the MOST fantasy points, MOST receiving yards and MOST touchdowns to TEs in 2023. You know what to do.
SITS
- Player: Joe Burrow
- Game: Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
- Home/Road (+/-): +1
Returning from his wrist injury, Burrow did not earn a vote of confidence after his play against the Patriots. He threw for three more yards than Bryce Young and was QB27 in Week 1. Burrow averages fewer points on the road and has a tough matchup with their rival in Kansas City. The Chiefs allowed the eighth-fewest points to QBs a season ago. If Tee Higgins is out again, the Bengals offense could struggle again, which is why I am out of Burrow this week and more.
- Player: Zamir White
- Game: Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens
- Home/Road (+/-): 3
Last season, Josh Jacobs scored fewer fantasy points on the road as the lead back in Las Vegas. White and the Raiders will travel to Baltimore, who gave up the eighth-fewest points to RBs a season ago. I mentioned Henry as a great start in this game as I expect the Raiders to be playing from behind. In Week 1, it was Alexander Mattison who was targeted six times out of the backfield, scoring the lone TD for Vegas, while having a 60% snap share. If White is only getting work on early downs and NOT in the passing game, I find it hard for him to put up fantasy points this week against a good defense on the road.
- Player: Stefon Diggs
- Game: Chicago Bears at Houston Texans
- Home/Road (+/-): -2
During his time in Buffalo, Diggs was statistically a better WR on the road than at home. The Texans are at home this week facing the Chicago Bears, who limited the Titans to just 127 passing yards. Diggs did score two TDs in Week 1 but he ranked third among Texans’ WRs in targets and receiving yards. I think Diggs’ value hinges on his ability to score TDs and if he regresses, he will not put up WR3 value this week.
You can find your own statistical nuggets at Home vs Away Splits and share what you find in the comments so we can discuss them!
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Cheers!
