Week 2 Starts and Sits: Home/Road Players Splits

Welcome to my first column for the 2025 season using the Razzball Home/Road Players Splits tool available for free on RazzballNFL.

Last season, we established that this tool won’t necessarily be useful for deciding to start the top 24 running backs or top 24 wide receivers in a given week’s rankings, but could be useful to point out a player for further consideration when deciding to sit him. This tool won’t be a decision point as much as a compass. The start recommendations will be deeper players outside the top 24 of the RB/WR pools. If I recommend a tight end, it would likely be someone outside the top 12 of those week’s rankings. This week, I rate a quarterback as well.

For the numbers below for Home/Road: a positive number means a player scores more at home, and a negative number means a player scores more on the road. The index numbers are percentages of PPR points scored in home games divided by those scored in road games: an index of 100 means the numbers are equal, more than 100 means the player scores more at home, and less than 100 means the player scores more on the road (H/R).

Let’s look at some players for Week 2.

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Player: Isiah Pacheco

Team: Kansas City Chiefs

FantasyPros PPR Rank: RB 31, 10.9 PPR points

Current PPR Scoring Rank: RB 42, 4.8 points/game

Spread: +1.5 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Home/Road: +5.8, H/R Index 241

It was a tough 2024 season and a tough start to the 2025 season for Pacheco. His presence here is abbreviated: 5 home games (9.9 PPR points per game) and 3 road games (4.1 points per). In 2024, he played the first two games, both at home, had 17 touches and played 80% of the snaps in the first game, had 24 touches and played 66% of the snaps in the second, and then missed nine games. The same guy did not come back: he topped out at 16 touches and 46% of the snaps.

There is a little good news: against the Chargers, he played 51% of the snaps. He was effective as a runner: 25 yards on 5 carries. The bad news: he had only seven touches, and Kareem Hunt played 38% of the snaps and also had seven touches.

To be fair, the Chargers took the lead with 9:11 left in the 1^st quarter and never trailed. They also harassed Patrick Mahomes all night as the Chiefs’ O-line did not have a good night.

Without context, the Home/Road tool can mislead. The Eagles are next at Arrowhead. I’m betting Jalen Carter doesn’t get tossed seconds into the game this week. If I have a better option, I’m not starting Pacheco this week, even as a flex.

Recommendation: SIT                                                                                                                                                              

 

Player: Jakobi Meyers

Team: Las Vegas Raiders

FantasyPros PPR Rank: WR 28, 12.4 PPR points

Current PPR Scoring Rank: WR 15, 17.7 points/game

Spread: +3.5 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Home/Road: +2.7, H/R Index 120

In his last 16 games, 7 at home, Meyers has done better in Las Vegas than on the road. That began leading me to this feature.

I’m not going to bury the lede: I love Meyers this week. I think the Raiders are going to have a difficult time running the ball unless their guards step up their game. It’s no accident the backs had only 46 yards on 22 carries in Foxboro.

I know Brock Bowers and the coaches are saying all the right things about his availability for Monday, but I’ll be keeping my eye on the injury report. With Bowers out of the game in Foxboro, Meyers led the team in targets with 10. Other than Bowers, no one else had more than 4.

The Chargers come to town, and I would not be surprised to see them attack the Raiders much the same way they attacked Kansas City. It’s likely to be another game the Raiders will have to lean on Geno Smith and the passing attack more than they’d like. Even if Bowers is a full go, I like Meyers to beat his projection and land well in WR2 territory.

Recommendation: START

 

Player: Juwan Johnson

Team: New Orleans Saints

FantasyPros PPR Rank: TE 18, 7.9 PPR points

Current PPR Scoring Rank: TE 1, 15.6 points/game

Spread: +3.5 vs. San Francisco 49ers

Home/Road: +0.6, H/R Index 108

H/R is only a small part of why I like Johnson this week. It certainly gave me a start, but this ranking is low. Confession: at this point, my ranking is as well.

If Week 1 is any indication, the Saints look like they’re going to play track meets: they ran 75 plays and Arizona ran 66. I’m not sure they’ll have to throw 46 times again, and Alvin Kamara only being targeted twice is odd, but I don’t see Johnson falling lower than third in the pecking order. Of the 75 plays the Saints ran in Week 1, Johnson was on the field for 74 of them.

I’m not sure what 49ers team steps onto the field on Sunday: George Kittle is on IR, Brock Purdy is likely to miss the game, Jauan Jennings and Christian McCaffrey both rested injuries today.

The Saints were competitive in Week 1. They could surprise in Week 2. I like Johnson as a TE1 this week, and certainly as a flex.

Recommendation: START

 

Player: Bo Nix

FantasyPros Rank: QB 13

Current Scoring Rank: QB 27

Spread: -1.5 at Indianapolis Colts

Home/Road: +3.5, H/R Index 122

Another player that H/R helps confirm other things I’m seeing.

Nix may just be a slow starter. It took him a few games to get going in his rookie season. But Sunday was concerning. He had a YPA of 4.4 and a QBR of 19.6. The Titans are not supposed to be a top defense, and they blitzed and applied pressure at a below-average rate. Nix’s receivers had an error rate of 13.3%, which was the ninth-lowest for Week 1. He turned the ball over three times.

One of Nix’s narratives is that he’s a running quarterback. I’m beginning to wonder: Sunday, discounting the kneel down at the end of the game, he ran 7 times for 19 yards, including an 11-yarder. He hasn’t had more than 47 yards rushing since Weeks 6 & 7 of last year, and fewer than 10 yards five times.

I don’t expect the Colts to harass Nix the way they did Tua Tagovailoa in Week 1, but I’m avoiding Nix if I can this week in 1-QB leagues. I’m concerned about him in leagues that can start 2 QBs, but he’s hard to sit there.

Recommendation: SIT

 

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