This week, using our Slot vs. Wide PPG Allowed Analysis on Razzball.com, we break down some of the top matchups for wide receivers heading into Week 16. These wide receivers are outside the top 24 in PPR PPG , while our sits are inside the top 30. I guess these would be more “BOLD” starts and sits, so if you’re second guessing some of these takes, bring your start sit questions to our Sunday live start sit show on the Razzball Fantasy YouTube channel, 8:00 am – 10:00 am PST every Sunday!
To hear a full breakdown of the slot vs. wide matchups, join our wide receiver matchup show this Friday at 5:00 p.m. PST on the Razzball Fantasy YouTube channel, but for now, let’s dive into the top matchups for Week 16.
To see the full slot vs. wide PPG-allowed data, click here!
Want more data-driven stats and tools to help you win your fantasy league? Check out the Razzball Fantasy Football premium subscriptions for $0.00 upfront with our 3-day free trial!
Wide Receiver Starts
Week 16 START: Rashee Rice
Defense: Las Vegas Raiders
Out Wide PPG Allowed: 3rd
If you were smart enough to stash Rashee Rice through the early season usage or lack thereof, your patience is finally paying off. Rice has moved into the WR1 role for the Chiefs heading into the back half of the season. Rice paced the team in routes in Week 15 and saw 55% of them come on the outside. This week he faces a Raiders team that not only allows the 3rd most fantasy points out wide, but the 4th most YAC.
Week 16 START: Garrett Wilson
Defense: Washington Commanders
Out Wide PPG Allowed: 4th
This one is risky since we have no clue what the Trevor Siemian experience will be for the Jets. However, can it really be worse than what has been going on all year? The Commanders have been an absolute dumpster fire this season and have allowed monster games to opposing WR1s. Over the past five games, at least one wide receiver has scored at least 17 PPR points in every game vs. Washington.
Week 16 Start: Chris Olave
Defense: vs. Los Angeles Rams
Wide PPG Allowed: 1st
Thursday night football hasn’t been friendly to us this season, but let’s try it again. Chris Olave got in a full practice on Wednesday, which means he should be in your lineups this week. Since the Michael Thomas injury, Olave has seen double-digit targets in three straight games. Meanwhile, the Rams have been getting lit up on the outside, allowing big games to opposing WR1s Terry McLaurin (5-41-2) and Zay Flowers (6-60-1) in each of the last two games.
Week 16 START: Adam Thielen
Defense: Green Bay Packers
Slot PPG Allowed: 4th
After starting off the season red-hot, Adam Thielen has cooled off a bit, failing to score 10 PPR points in three of his last four games. Some of this has to do with the emergence of Jonathan Mingo, but overall Thielen still has seen six or more targets in three straight games. This week he will face a Packers DST that allowed big PPR games to Wan’Dale Robinson (6-79), Rashee Rice (8-64), Amon-Ra St. Brown (9-95), and Keenan Allen (10-116-1) on the inside
Wide Receiver Sit (s)
Week 16 SIT: Terry McLaurin
Defense: New York Jets
Out Wide Allowed: 29th
Terry McLaurin’s fantasy day last week was saved by Jacoby Brissett last week tossing him two late touchdowns. It seems like the Commanders have no plans to bench Sam Howell, which means Washington should go back to their spread-the-wealth approach. That doesn’t bode well for McLaurin, as he will square off vs. the vaunted Jets secondary. The Jets have been beaten by Jaylen Waddle over the past few weeks, but this doesn’t seem like a matchup that I want to exploit in the fantasy football semi-finals.
Week 15 Recap
START Cooper Kupp vs. the Commanders – HIT
START Gabe Davis vs. the Cowboys – MISS (BIG MISS)
START Tyler Lockett vs. the Eagles – MISS
START Courtland Sutton vs. the Jaguars – MISS (Barely)
SIT Amari Cooper vs. the Bears – MISS
Score – 1 of 5
Don’t forget to bring all your start/sit questions to our Sunday Live Start/Sit show starting at 8 a.m. PST on the Razzball Fantasy YouTube Channel!
For more from Bobby and his Razzball content, find him on Twitter @bobbylamarco.
Sources: Razzball.com, PFF.com, FantasyPros, FFToday, Pro Football Reference and Football Outsiders
