We’re back, highlighting my favorite WR starts and sits for Week 5, utilizing Razzball’s Wide Receiver Fantasy Points Scored Slot vs. Wide and our Defense Slot vs. Wide. The Slot vs Wide chart breaks down how many fantasy points a wide receiver has scored so far this season from the slot vs. out wide. With three weeks under our belts, the sample size is growing, and trends are starting to emerge.
Be sure to check out the latest tools on Razzball.com: Slot vs. Wide PPG Allowed | WR Slot vs. Wide| DEF Targets Allowed | Home vs. Away | Wins vs. Losses | TD Tool | RB Zone vs. Gap Rushing | DEF Zone vs. Gap Rushing |
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Starts
- Player: Marvin Harrison Jr.
- Opponent: vs. Titans
The Cardinals are down to the third and fourth string running backs. The only scenario that makes sense is to have Kyler Murray throw more quick passes as an extension of the running game. This is where Harrison will be needed. He started the game poorly in Week 4, but came around in the second half, making the catches when his team needed him. Fortunately, the Cards are at home against the Titans, who are allowing the sixth-most points to WRs. Tennessee is permitting 63% fantasy points to WRs out wide, where Harrison is scoring 64% of his fantasy points. We can overlook his sluggish start with a huge Week 5.
- Player: Xavier Worthy
- Opponent: at Jacksonville
I was wrong about Worthy last week against the Ravens. He was the go-to WR for Mahomes, running the second-most routes while leading the team in targets and yards. So much for being a decoy, idiot. The Chiefs looked much better as an offense with Worthy involved. I am now looking to right my wrongs if you followed my advice. The Jaguars allow an NFL-high 88% of WR production on the perimeter, which sets up Worthy quite nicely. Nearly 64% of his scoring occurred out wide in Week 4, which was in line with his usage last season. Pat Mahomes’ number one WR should always be a set and forget!
WR3 Starts (WRs ranked outside the top 25)
- Player: Chris Godwin
- Opponent: at Seattle
I am seeing many in the fantasy industry not saying good things about Godwin after his return last week. I disagree with them and believe the Bucs will make the adjustments to get Godwin in more successful situations. He lined up in the slot 61% last season, but ran only 35% in Week 4. Interestingly, out of his 10 targets, he produced all his fantasy points from the slot at Philly. The Seahawks have a tough secondary, allowing the third-fewest points overall to WRs, but are league average in defending the slot. Expect similar target share and higher production with an ailing Bucky Irving.
- Player: Jordan Addison
- Opponent: vs. Browns in London
Addison returned from his suspension and rightfully reclaimed the number two role. He generated a healthy eight targets on 52 routes and scored all his fantasy points out wide against the Steelers. Last season, he was out wide on 70% of his routes. His return to the lineup appeared to be a catalyst for the Vikings’ offense and Carson Wentz. Addison and the Viks have a great match-up on paper as the Browns rank 10th in the league in allowing the most points to WRs on the outside. With bye weeks and injuries mounting up, Addison makes for a strong play in Week 5.
Sits
- Player: DeVonta Smith
- Opponent: vs. Broncos
Jalen Hurts and the Philly passing attack are MIA. They’ve had three stinkers and one good game. I don’t like those odds for the fantasy community. It doesn’t get any easier for them against Denver, which allows the fourth-fewest points to WRs. Smith is generating 84% of his fantasy points from the slot, where the Broncos are limiting slot WRs under the league average. If the Eagles need a WR, house money is on A.J. Brown.
- Player: Brian Thomas Jr.
- Opponent: vs. Kansas City
The Chiefs are allowing the seventh-fewest points to WRs out wide through four weeks this season. Thomas has scored 100% of his points out on the perimeter this season. I am starting to lose faith in BTJ’s production, as he hasn’t topped 60 receiving yards or hauled in a receiving TD. He’s drawing plenty of targets but hasn’t capitalized on them for various reasons. I don’t foresee things getting any easier as the Chiefs are vying to get over .500 for the first time this season. I hope Thomas proves me wrong.
WR Slot vs. Wide Prediction
- Player: Darius Slayton
- Opponent: at New Orleans
I am going back to well with this New York WR. The Saints are allowing the third-most fantasy points and the second-highest percentage of points to WRs on the perimeter. Slayton is set to replace Malik Nabers, who was producing 81% of his fantasy value out wide for the Giants. Brian Daboll should let his shiny new QB, Jaxson Dart, take some shots downfield against a porous secondary. The main beneficiary will be Slayton, and should you start him, you’ll be one step ahead of the curve! Bonus player: Rashid Shaheed should have one of his best games opposite Slayton, as the Giants allow the ninth-most points to WRs out wide. Quentin Johnston just dominated on the outside against NY.
| Download Table as CSV | |||
| Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output | |||
| # | Defense | Total PPG Allowed | Slot PPG Allowed | Wide PPG Allowed | Slot% | Wide% | Next Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARZ | 27.1 | 8.3 | 18.9 | 29% | 71% | LA | |
| ATL | 37.4 | 9.4 | 28.0 | 23% | 77% | SEA | |
| BLT | 31.4 | 9.4 | 21.9 | 32% | 68% | PIT | |
| BUF | 25.2 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 49% | 51% | CIN | |
| CAR | 29.7 | 11.4 | 18.3 | 38% | 62% | BYE | |
| CHI | 34.9 | 11.2 | 23.7 | 37% | 63% | GB | |
| CIN | 18.4 | 7.8 | 10.5 | 34% | 66% | BUF | |
| CLV | 20.2 | 5.6 | 14.6 | 44% | 56% | TEN | |
| DAL | 37.2 | 11.3 | 25.8 | 27% | 73% | DET | |
| DEN | 29.3 | 9.5 | 19.8 | 41% | 59% | LV | |
| DET | 36.1 | 10.2 | 25.9 | 28% | 72% | DAL | |
| GB | 26.2 | 6.1 | 20.1 | 21% | 79% | CHI | |
| HST | 24.0 | 10.9 | 13.2 | 45% | 55% | KC | |
| IND | 32.5 | 14.3 | 18.2 | 46% | 54% | JAX | |
| JAX | 28.0 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 35% | 65% | IND | |
| KC | 28.4 | 8.5 | 19.9 | 32% | 68% | HST | |
| LA | 31.4 | 10.7 | 20.8 | 30% | 70% | ARZ | |
| LAC | 23.1 | 7.9 | 15.2 | 35% | 65% | PHI | |
| LV | 36.5 | 13.6 | 23.0 | 37% | 63% | DEN | |
| MIA | 26.1 | 10.9 | 15.2 | 45% | 55% | NYJ | |
| MIN | 23.2 | 8.5 | 14.7 | 38% | 62% | WAS | |
| NE | 27.5 | 11.4 | 16.0 | 43% | 57% | BYE | |
| NO | 24.7 | 6.0 | 18.8 | 30% | 70% | TB | |
| NYG | 33.1 | 10.3 | 22.8 | 29% | 71% | BYE | |
| NYJ | 27.0 | 8.4 | 18.6 | 30% | 70% | MIA | |
| PHI | 28.3 | 6.8 | 21.6 | 29% | 71% | LAC | |
| PIT | 35.6 | 12.8 | 22.8 | 33% | 67% | BLT | |
| SEA | 20.7 | 9.7 | 11.1 | 45% | 55% | ATL | |
| SF | 37.6 | 18.6 | 19.0 | 50% | 50% | BYE | |
| TB | 36.9 | 13.6 | 23.3 | 42% | 58% | NO | |
| TEN | 39.4 | 13.3 | 26.1 | 33% | 67% | CLV | |
| WAS | 38.7 | 15.7 | 23.0 | 40% | 60% | MIN | |
| NFL Average | 29.9 | 10.4 | 19.5 | 36% | 64% |
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