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Drew Brees. (23.83 fantasy ppg in RCL scoring on Yahoo)
Aaron Rodgers.
Tom Brady.
Matt Ryan.
Ben Roethlisberger.
Andrew Luck.
Cam Newton.
Marcus Mariota.
Colin Kaepernick.
Dak Prescott. (19.78 fppg)

This is the Top 10 ranking of average fantasy points per week from QBs. Solid list, but one of these is not like the other. Sure, you could argue the rookie Prescott shouldn’t be in there, but we’ve seen for 10 weeks now that he’s completely legit. Mariota? Nope, there were a lot of paths that could have ended up with him getting here. But nestled in there at #9 is Mr. Kaepernick himself. And who in their right mind would have ever thought in the everest of evers just two months ago that he’d be here? Buried behind Blaine Gabbert, and 6 feet under the scrutiny/scolding of the national media, Kaepernick was relegated to a borderline cut coming out of camp, and a for sure release after this season ends. Would he ever see the field again as an NFL QB? That was an actual question with a lot of credence in early September. Yet, after 10 weeks, the Kaep is back as a top QB option in fantasy football. Surprised? You shouldn’t be.

But he’s not the only one, just the first. Here are the top targets to, well…target heading into Week 11!

Note: The threshold for appearing as one of the targets is <25% ownership on either Yahoo or ESPN as of Monday. fire= BURN NOTICE…it’s worth burning your waiver for the player.

  • fireColin Kaepernick, QB – SF (ESPN 14.1%, Yahoo 12%) – Coming into Week 10 Kaepernick was dropped in 7.9% of ESPN leagues. It made sense given he was facing a tough Arizona defense, but the best part about Kaepernick’s fantasy potential is that he doesn’t have to throw it 30+ times, or even find the end zone through the air multiple times, to bring great impact. Against Arizona he put up a 210/1/0 line through the air, but it’s the 10/55/1 on the ground that made the difference for him. He finished with 23 points on the day, giving him 20+ points for the second straight week. The Chip Kelly offense is primed for a QB to bring incredible value, and Kaep being back means there’s a viable option in San Fran to take advantage of that. His next two against New England and the Dolphins may be tougher, but then he gets the Bears, Jets, Falcons, and Rams through Week 16. At this point, I’m taking Kaepernick over a lot of other rostered options. I’m giving him the Burn Notice, but be smart with it. There’s a reason I haven’t highlighted a QB at all this year in this series: there are just too many of them that are great. However, with his rushing yards adding up, the floor for Kaepernick is high enough that he may be a safer option than someone like Kirk Cousins who is solely dependent upon pass attempts, the health of his receivers and them finding the end zone.
  • Kenneth Dixon, RB – BAL (ESPN 10.5%, Yahoo 19%) – For the their time in four week, Dixon finds his way onto the list. He’s essentially now the Jamison Crowder of RBs and the second half. Did he receive a huge bulk of carries last Thursday night vs. the Browns? Nope. But he didn’t need to. The Ravens were dominating the game from the jump, but when you lookout his volume, he was effective in both the rushing and passing game. 6/38/0 rushing and 5/42/0 receiving (on 7 targets) shows the equation for Dixon bringing big time value. If the passing game remains the same, but if he can steal another 5-10 carries out of the backfield he becomes a borderline RB2. Get him now before that ownership % jumps big time.
  • Taylor Gabriel, WR – ATL (ESPN 1.6%, Yahoo 2%) – Gabriel’s a big time speculative add, but he’s someone you can grab for cheap given his low volume total. Now listen, haha, I’m fully aware that a low volume option goes totally against what I’ve told you for the past 10 weeks, but I really like a lot of elements in the prospectus of Gabriel. He can absolutely take the top off a defense, and he’s never getting primary attention from a secondary. Playing next to Julio Jones his targets will be limited, but playing next to Julio Jones and having Matt Ryan as his QB, there will be opportunities each week for Gabriel to haul in a big play. Like he did on Sunday against the Eagles. For his only catch. 1/76/1 is as unreliable as it gets, but looking at his previous weeks getting this opportunity in the offense comes as no shock. He’s received 5 targets in each the past two weeks, and high the the fastest player on the field every time he takes it. Boom-or-bust play here, but he’s no different than the Sammie Coates of the world, with a QB and OC that are always looking to take advantage of the matchups on the back end.
  • Dontrelle Inman, WR – SD (ESPN 11.7%, Yahoo 7%) – It’s no secret that Philip Rivers likes to do one thing: yell at people. Ok, two things…he likes to throw the football, too. The Chargers offense relies upon him finding weapons in the passing game, and no offense may have more opportunities for new players to step up than the oft-injured Chargers. With 9 targets in two straight week, Inman is quietly emerging as a viable threat for Rivers in the San Diego offense. 5/43/0 isn’t blowing anyone away, but, unlike Gabriel, the volume is the attraction here. Averaging 7.75 targets per week since Week 7, the floor for Inman is high enough to slot in as a Flex play, especially in PPR leagues.
  • Pierre Garcon, WR – WAS (ESPN 28.2%, Yahoo 15%) – Again, I’m a volume whore. Or am I a volume pimp? I don’t know which side it falls on, but whenever someone gets the opportunities that Garcon’s receiving now, it catches my fantasy eye. He’s yet to garner less than 5 targets in any week this year, but he’s gone 11, 5, 7, 10 in his past four, which led to 6 catches in three of the games. He’s been forgotten as a fantasy threat, but he’s still a solid PPR option in this offense. In those three games he’s averaging around 75 ypg…if he could only find the end zone (1 TD this year). If he goes 6/80 but actually scores a TD this week (which is highly likely against a porous Packers defense) he’ll catapult to one of the top adds for Week 12. So get him a week earlier.
  • Tyreek Hill, WR – KC (ESPN 9.9%, Yahoo 16%) – After a massive outburst Sunday for 10/89/0, Hill showed he has the potential of not just being a big play threat. And yes, I that receiving line was massive. With Jeremy Maclin out, Hill emerged as the top target in the receiving corps, and showed he can slot into the WR1 role if needed. I don’t think he has the reliability to bring that every week, but the potential is there. If Maclin’s out again, he could see double digit targets once more, and it would be likely that he finds the end zone this time. I love Hill as a Flex option this week vs. the Bucs.
  • Vernon Davis, TE – WAS (ESPN 22.8%, Yahoo 6%) – Another speculative add that may actually bring some value even if the potential scenario doesn’t happen, Davis has the potential of being a big addition to playoff teams. If (which you could almost change to when) Jordan Reed gets hurt, Davis will balloon into TE1 territory. Following the bye week, with a healthy Reed suiting up, Davis went 3/66/1, his fourth straight game with double digit points. You can keep trotting out the ‘bigger’ name guys that were drafted 10 weeks ago but give meh production, or…you can take a more dangerous option, with even more potential, in Davis for your TE spot. I’ll take Vernon.

Now…DROP THOSE COMMENTS! Good luck in Week 11! Kaepernick gets the reluctant Burn Notice, but the others could be sneaky adds down the stretch. As for the top pick up of the week, it is likely C.J. Prosise, but he doesn’t fit under the threshold of 25% owned. At 30%, though, I gotta mention him here. Three weeks left before the playoffs!

  1. phil says:
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    Losing both Jeffery and Maclin I need help…which two should I pick up…WOODS, michael FLOYD, rishard Matthews, Marqise LEE, tyreek Hill, Britt, Quick,Wright , Meredith ?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @phil: Woods and Matthews. Hill and Meredith close behind.

  2. Robby says:
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    Hey man!

    I need a QB this week with Matt Ryan on bye.

    Available:

    – Dak Prescott (vs Ravens)

    – Flacco (@ Dallas)

    – Kaepernick (vs pats)

    – tannehill (at Rams)

    Next:
    Chris hogan has been hit/miss.

    Drop him for either Dwayne Washington, Powell or Deandre Washington? Or go the WR route? Available WRs are Woods, JJ Nelson, Michael Floyd, Inman, de Sean Jackson, davante parker, Seth Roberts, or Eli Rogers? Coates is there too.

    Or drop him for eric Ebron? Ebron faces jags this week

    • Robby says:
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      @Robby:

      For WR if I drop hogan Taylor Gabriel is also available
      But the pats schedule coming up looks favorable it’s a toss up

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Robby: Sorry for my delay! I’d take Kaep for the QB this week. Prescott a close 2nd.

      And I’d drop Hogan for Woods to keep the same position if your roster needs it.

  3. Robert Closson says:
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    PPR league: Rawls and Dez for AJ Green, which side?

  4. LordMetz says:
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    Prosise or Rawls in .5 PPR ROS?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @LordMetz: Prosise. Somehow.

  5. MJP says:
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    Kelley or Ivory ROS Half-PPR?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @MJP: Kelley

  6. Frank says:
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    I am 5-5 in 6th place in a 12tm half ppr. I lost both Keenan Allen and Rawls early and haven’t made any trades yet, but that’s not the point. The David Johnson owner is 4-6 in 10th and is desperate for RBs. I am kinda RB heavy… here are the rosters, who do I dangle to him?

    Start 2RB – 2WR – TE – Flex (W/R/T)

    My team
    QB – Luck
    RB – Gurley, Howard (Q), Riddick, Prosise, Dixon, Cunningham
    WR – Cooper, Diggs, Ty Will (bye), Britt
    TE – Olsen, Ebron

    His team
    QB – Bortles, Dak, Rivers
    RB – Dv Johnson, Langford, McKinnon, Tev Coleman, Ellington
    WR – Adams, Meredith, Shepard, Snead, JJ, (he just traded Jordy for Dak/Meredith)
    TE – Reed, Bennett

    I would love to hold onto Howard and move Gurley but the “injury” for Howard makes me nervous… I’d still have some depth, if it’s not a serious one.

    I’m thinking it’s gotta be eithe Howard or Gurley and Prosise for Johnson and Ellington? Would love to hear your thoughts!

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Frank: Haha, you offer any two of them period for David Johnson. Doesn’t matter. Just pick. I’d obviously rather hold onto Gurley, but his name value may have to be involved. I’d probably offer Howard or Riddick with Diggs for DJ.

      You can try moving two RB, but he may not go for it.

  7. Wilsonian says:
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    Lost Jeffery and the rest of my team is on BYE, so I need a WR3 desperately (seriously, Julio Jones and Tyrell Williams picked a great time to go on BYE with Jeffery’s dumbass PEDing it up). I currently have Benjamin, Adams and Tyreek Hill as my WRs.

    Would you dump Hill for Meredith, Garcon, Woods, or Parker?

    0.5 PPR – 3 point bonus at 85 yards receiving – 6 point bonus at 135 yards receiving – 6 points per TD

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Wilsonian: No, I’d probably stick with Hill. You’ll need some big points, and I’d rather have his potential than the floor of Garcon. Meredith and Parker big question marks, and Hill’s been hotter than Woods.

  8. Michael Ehrhardt says:
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    I have Rivers on bye. Would you recommend Winston or Kap? Thank you.

  9. Bluety says:
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    Offered J. Nelson and D. Lewis for F. Gore and M. Thomas. Its a PPR after the 3rd rec. Thanks
    I have Brees-QB
    Gurley-RB
    McCoy-RB
    Brown-WR
    M. Thomas-WR
    F. Gore-Flex
    I have R.Cobb, C. Coleman, D. Henry

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Bluety: Gimme the Jordy/Lewis side.

  10. Michael Ehrhardt says:
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    I am going back and forth with a final roster spot. Would you recommend Rawls, J Matthews or Wallace this week for my final WR/RB spot? Thank you.

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Michael Ehrhardt: I’d take Matthews. The Wallace/Flacco connection still just leaves me wanting more. I know he’s been great all year, but it feels too inconsistent. Rawls just coming back doesn’t excite me…yet. So I’d go Matthews. 14/10/10 are his targets in the past three games. He seems to be back as a cog in the offense.

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