Can you see it? Through fuzzy flurries of snow occasionally it comes into view, the summit just to the west. If you can see that peak, then it means our own destination is approaching! The blood courses through our veins as we tighten up our packs and clean up camp. Only 2 weeks stand between us and the promised land of the playoffs.
Monthly Archives: November 2019
Handcuff Report: Bad Boyz Of Week 12
November 18, 2019 | Handcuff Report | 2 Commentsby: Nic Romero
Ty Johnson was able to clear concussion protocol and suit up after carrying a questionable tag all week, but it was the Lions practice squad acquisition that led this backfield on Sunday against the Cowboys. Bo Scarbrough found the field for 49% of the Lions offensive snaps, leading both Ty Johnson (29%) and JD McKissic (23%), and looked good while doing it. Bo handled 74% of the Lions running back carries (14), and finished the day with 55 yards, 1TD, and 11.5 fantasy points. If the Lions did not fall behind in the second half, Scarbrough would have padded his stats a little more. The Lions turned to JD McKissic in the passing game, recording 3 receptions on 4 targets, with Bo recording 0 targets while the Lions were playing catch-up. Ty Johnson was an afterthought, taking his 2 carries for a measly 6 yards, making Bo one of the top adds this week. McKissic still offers low-end value in deeper PPR formats, but Ty Johnson can be dropped in most 12-team and small leagues.
Kyler? I Hardly Know Her!
November 18, 2019 | Fantasy Football Daily Notes | 20 Commentsby: Donkey Teeth
Have you heard Kyler Murray was not only the #1 overall pick in the 2019 NFL draft but also the #9 overall pick in the 2018 MLB draft? Of course you've heard, you haven't been living under an Antonio Brown fart for that last five months. Wait, you HAVE been living under an Antonio Brown fart for the last five months?! What was it like under there? How did you survive? Tell me everything! Oh right, Kyler Murray—he's an incredible athlete on par with the Deshaun Watsons and Lamar Jacksons of the world. Murray flashed his freak athleticism this week against the stout 49ers defense going 24/33 for 150 yards with 2 passing touchdowns while tacking on 8 carries for 67 yards and a rushing touchdown. Kyler Söze now has 14 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns on the season as he led the Cardinals in a valiant effort against the first place 49ers, falling just shy of a huge upset. Anyway, here’s what else I saw during yesterday’s late games in fantasy football:
If you were to ask 15 fantasy football "experts" who you should start between Brian Hill and Bo Scarbrough, all 15 of those analysts wouldn't have hesitated in saying Hill. Every single one of them. That's just how it shakes out in the wonderful world of football fantasies.
Bo Scarborough was signed yesterday by the Lions from the practice squad only to lead the backfield with 14 carries 55 yards and a rushing touchdown. 3.9 YPC isn't impressive at all, but how the hell were we supposed to know Bo Scarbrough would be a lead back. I'm actually surprised that he wasn't on a roster after a pretty nice college career at Alabama.
Brian Hill, on the other hand, was in a smash spot against the Carolina Panthers who have struggled exponentially against the run. Brian Hill ran the ball 15 times for 30 yards and had a touchdown called back because of a holding call. The hardest pill to swallow was that it was such a positive game script for the Falcons. They led the entire game. I guess sometimes the chalkiest calls end up being too chalky. Here is what else I saw in the early slate.
NFL Fantasy Football Sunday Primer
November 17, 2019 | Fantasy Football Gameday, Fantasy Football Strategy | 22 Commentsby: MB
It's go time! The fantasy playoffs are a short 3 matchups away. The Cowboys will finally play an early game for once and they will travel to Detroit to take on the Lions to stay in the NFC East race. The Buccaneers will host the Saints who are probably not too happy following a loss to the struggling Falcons at home. The Vikings will play host to the pesky Broncos and one of Allen QBs while the Jets will visit the Redskins. The Falcons and Panthers will face off in Carolina, but the big one for the early slate is Houston traveling to Baltimore to take on the red hot Lamar Jackson and the Ravens.
In the afternoon we have a Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and the Patriots and the Eagles have a ton of injuries on offense so we will see how that goes. We have a rematch of the Thursday night game from a couple of weeks ago with the Cardinals traveling to San Francisco or where ever they play to play the 49ers. And at night we have the Bears traveling to Los Angeles to take on the Rams who have a pretty beat up offensive line. It should be interesting. Let's get to the injuries and the rankings!
Rich Hribar of Sharp Football Analysis sent out an interesting thread of tweets earlier this week. I'll try to summarize it in as few words as possible: THE BUCCANEERS ARE DFS GOLD. For those of you who want to know more, let me explain in a little bit more detail.
Hribar points out that the Bucs have hit their implied point total in seven games this season, which tops the NFL. They have held their opponents under their implied total just once, which is lowest in the NFL. Games involving the Bucs average nearly 60 combined points. I don't want to just keep reciting Hribar's tweets, so check out the thread yourself here. Credit to him for the great detective work.
As we march towards the Playoffs, these next few weeks are going to be absolutely crucial to see which fantasy owners will be making the playoffs, and those that should start preparing for next season. As always, this starts first with our starting lineup decisions.
Let's talk about who we should start, and who we should sit.
Stat-o-Matic: QB Pressure Completion Rate
November 16, 2019 | Fantasy Football Analysis |by: al_FF_red
Welcome to Stat-o-Matic where we will look at some advanced stats around the NFL. As a disclaimer, I am using this space to play around with some numbers and present some interesting findings. But, by no means is this validated or predictive data. I hope that it will lead to meaningful discoveries or it could inspire you to go down your own rabbit hole. We’re going to explore together, crunch some numbers and see what pops out. Stats courtesy of PlayerProfiler.com.
Even though LAC is listed as the "home" team, this game will be played on a neutral site in Mexico City, Mexico.
Carrying the highest point total for week 11, AFC West division rivals meet down in Mexico City on ESPN's Monday Night Football. Dating back to 2017, KC vs LAC have averaged a 52.8 total points over their previous 5 matchups.
Garrett Plays Whack-A-Mole With Rudolph’s Head
November 15, 2019 | Fantasy Football Daily Notes | 16 Commentsby: MB
It was an ugly end to an ugly game. The talk of the town this morning is how long Myles Garrett should be suspended by the NFL. Baker even brought up a suspension in the post game interview. Striking Mason Rudolph with his own helmet is one of the most malicious acts that we’ve seen on the field in a very long time. If there is even a little bit of humor in what occurred; trust me there isn’t much, it was Mason Rudolph throwing his hands up to the ref IMMEDIATELY after the helmet hits him.
Data Domination Week 11: Is The Drew Brees Breakdown Here?
November 15, 2019 | Fantasy Football Strategy | 4 Commentsby: Pat
One of the struggles with using data in the NFL is that there are so few trials in order to get a good perception of what a team or player truly is. In the early portion of the season you must sort through the information that you have and constantly cross check to ensure that there isn’t any noise (schedule, injury, etc) in the data that you are attempting to use. Therefore, I’ve always enjoyed the back half of the season. There are more pieces to put together to tell a story of what is going to happen on a Sunday slate. I’ve nailed down some edges below that I’m hoping you can use to propel you into the season long playoffs, or get to the top of the DFS leaderboard.
Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings, Week 11: Brought to You by the Letter “J”
November 14, 2019 | Fantasy Football Rankings | 34 Commentsby: Jay
| 2019 Accuracy | Rank | QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 | 39 | 16 | 127 | 45 | 19 | 47 | 51 |
| Week 8 | 115 | 128 | 115 | 100 | 18 | 24 | 14 |
| Week 7 | 104 | 25 | 66 | 129 | 113 | 28 | 26 |
| Week 6 | 81 | 74 | 118 | 28 | 76 | 76 | 37 |
| Week 5 | 58 | 68 | 8 | 113 | 41 | 10 | 39 |
| Week 4 | 83 | 37 | 64 | 90 | 120 | 77 | 80 |
| Week 3 | 89 | 86 | 117 | 32 | 106 | 27 | 13 |
| Week 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 26 | 39 | 69 | 35 |
| Week 1 | 47 | 81 | 31 | 49 | 76 | 26 | 24 |
| Cumulative | 55 | 37 | 69 | 67 | 72 | 32 | 13 |
What are you ranking? Everything! You get a ranking, you get a ranking, everybody gets a ranking! You’ll find my Standard, Half-PPR, and PPR rankings below.
What are my rankings bona fidas? Well, there’s finishing in the FantasyPros Top-10 Draft Accuracy (7th Place) in 2017, Top-25 Weekly Accuracy (23rd Place) in 2017, Top-5 Draft Accuracy (3rd place) in 2016, Top-10 Weekly Accuracy (10th Place) in 2016, Top-25 Weekly Accuracy in 2015 (21st Place) and on average we’ve finished in the Top-10 Draft Accuracy (9th Overall) and the Top-20 Weekly Accuracy (18th Overall) for the past four years and finished 30th overall for our Draft Rankings with a 32nd overall finish in Weekly just last season. And this is out of over 100+ industry sites and experts year-after-year. I’d like to think we’re pretty good at this stuff…
What does the word bona fidas mean? According to the Merriam-Webster Dictionary, bo·na fi·des ˌbō-nə-ˈfī-ˌdēz , ÷ˈbō-nə-ˌfīdz means 1 : good faith : sincerity, 2 : the fact of being genuine —often plural in construction, 3 : evidence of one’s good faith or genuineness —often plural in construction, 4 : evidence of one’s qualifications or achievements —often plural in construction. On a separate note, I think it would make a great name for a cat.
What’s my ranking process? I’ve actually written about this in the past, and instead of working hard for new and enlightening content, I have chosen the more efficient (lazy, ahem) method and dropping in a link to that post here. Honestly, my process hasn’t changed much at all (the ole “don’t fix what ain’t broke” proverb comes to mind) and so my “A Day in the Life of a Fantasy Football Ranker” story still remains relevant to this day. (The TL;DR is: I’m lazy as fudge. Well, I mean the other “f” word, but I’m hungry.)
How should I use your rankings? The same way your mother does. Which actually makes no sense. (Unless your mother is in the running to always finish top-3 in your Fantasy Football league. And if that’s the case, say hello to her for me.)
