Welcome back my pretties! If you are reading this, I can only assume you are either (1) a glutton for punishment, (2) a desperate creeper, or (3) just curious. Any way you look at it, I am always glad to have you here. For those loyal slaves who have been with me for the past six years, hi lovelies! I know you missed me more than I missed you, but that is expected.

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Between everything that I have written this preseason and all of the other great stuff that our writers have put together, I’m running out of angles to take when approaching a post. So, I guess this post will be about my drafts! Hooray for you! No, I don’t want to go round by round with you about the 8 or so drafts that I’ve taken part in over the past couple of weeks, I just want to update you on where my mind is at over the past month.

As my draft season is coming to a close, my mind has changed on a few players as the preseason approach evolves. Some players that I didn’t like in July have a more digestible ADP in August and I can find a lot of upside.

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While many different fantasy owners employ different drafting strategies when selecting tight ends, some have found success punting on the position, and streaming TE’s for the first few weeks of the season, in hopes to uncover a diamond in the rough. It worked last year, as Eric Ebron was the #1 TE in fantasy through the first 6 weeks of the season, and Jared Cook wasn’t far behind.

Below, I’ve compiled a short list of a few candidates who are either selected in the last few rounds of the draft, or undrafted in 10-team leagues, and have very favorable schedules, in hopes to become a quality streaming option for the first few weeks of the 2019 season.

[brid autoplay=”true” video=”455325″ player=”10951″ title=”2019 Razzball Fantasy Football Draft Kit Keepers”]

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Most Razzball readers are experienced fantasy football players. We multiple leagues, multiple formats, spend countless time researching players, following ADP trends, and plugged in to the NFL news room. Regardless of how many ‘expert’ OR industry leagues we are in, nothing compares to the level of competition in famous “Home Leagues.”

Home leagues are an avenue for buddies from college to stay in touch, your family and neighborhood league, or your girlfriend/boyfriends work league that your significant other hyped you as “really good at fantasy football player” and now here you are signed up for more leagues than you want to admit to your significant other. This is where we cut our teeth playing fantasy football, but now these are the leagues that help us sharpen our tools. Here are couple of do’s and dont’s that will help you dominate on draft day…

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ADP Royal Rumble V will feature a trio of WR3s: Robby Anderson, Dede Westbrook and Will Fuller. With an overall ADP separated by 5 picks, choosing from this group is a situation drafters are finding themselves in often. At this point in the draft you should be shooting for full upside, because even if you miss, you’re no worse just streaming and mining the waiver wire.  Now, without further ado, let’s get ready to RUUUUUUUMMMMMBBBBLLLLEEEE!

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The Senior Editor of Razzball Football, Matt Bowe (MB), joins Donkey Teeth and B_Don on this week’s Razzball Football Podcast, formerly know as the Fantasy Sausage Podcast, still known as two questionably straight dudes talking football. Off the top, the guys dissect MB’s RazzBowl draft and convince him it’s not THAT bad. They also discuss the crazy Game of Thrones themed guillotine league slow auction in which they’re all currently participating.

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After 6 seasons and almost 100 million dollars in career earnings, Andrew Luck stole late evening headlines by announcing his retirement at just 29 years old. Personally, I’m pumped that he is preserving his health and moving onto the next chapter of his life. He can enjoy his new marriage and starting a family. Cheers to Captain Neck Beard, but where does this leave Indianapolis on the offensive side of the ball?

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Ah, auction drafts. My favorite. If I had my way we’d kick snake drafts to the curb (or curb stomp them if you just watched America History X or just played Gears of War – you get those supercool, not at all dated references, amirite?).  I re-read my Auction primer from 2017, and there are some good nuggets in there I suggest you go peruse, either now or at your leisure, I’ll leave it up to you…

But let’s say you chose to ignore my advice and not read my Auction Primer. That’s ok (my feelings can take it), so I’m going to pick out the most important lines, and it wouldn’t be a Razzball post if it wasn’t me quoting me. The biggest takeaways that still and always apply are:

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Pre-season is wrapping up soon and most of us have completed our rookie drafts. As we sit around and rosterba—- err, “admiring” what we have built, it’s easy to get carried away by pre-season hype. This is a volatile time of year to swap assets with other teams. We have seen countless rookies flash in pre-season only to bust when facing the 1st string, while others have zero preseason impact and break out all over the place.  Here are a handful of rookies that are worth the hype. 

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Weighted opportunity is a metric that recalibrates the value of touches based on the expected fantasy points for carries (less valuable) and receptions (more valuable). Thanks to player profiler, I was able to see if there was a strong correlation between running back weighted opportunities per game (WO) and fantasy points per game (FP) in 2018. Sure enough, there was a strong correlation with an r2 value of 0.8864.

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While many on this site, including myself, will advocate to waiting on draft day to select your starting/backup Quarterback, many fantasy owners out there will take a similar, yet different approach. Using different Strength-Of-Schedule metrics out there, many will identify some super-late round, or undrafted QB’s in hopes to stream the position for the first few weeks, until a starting QB is revealed. It led to some success last year, as Ryan Fitzpatrick was the 4th-best QB in fantasy during the first four weeks of the season.

Below, I’ve compiled a short list of a few candidates who are either selected in the last few rounds of the draft, or undrafted in 10-team leagues, and have very favorable schedules, in hopes to become a quality streaming option for the first few weeks of the 2019 season.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

In the late rounds you can start taking some shots on guys that you have a good feeling about. You can also start scooping up your handcuffs. I personally recommend only handcuffing your RB1 if the handcuff falls into the later rounds and then using the rest of these picks on high upside players. In the later rounds, you are taking guys that you are aware that you are probably going to drop for players that emerge on the waiver wire. If you get lucky, a few of these guys will hit and you will get excellent value. Outside of that, you can also add depth with your WR4 and RB4 if someone falls that you like. 

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