Welcome to the playoffs.

If you are reading his, you have had a good season, or at least been lucky enough to make the playoffs in your league. Let’s look at some Week 14 matchups we can exploit or avoid while trying to move on to the semi-finals and beyond.

Of course, no one and no process is perfect. There will always be the Adrian Peterson or Derrius Guices of the world to show that. But these are educated predictions of who may or may not deserve a spot in your lineup this week.

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After the NFL Scouting Combine this past year, much was made of D.K. Metcalf’s rippling muscles. My boss was talking up the Ole Miss product’s biceps. My girlfriend was enamored with his bustling chest. Even Momma-Donk called to ask about D.K.’s glutes. But what nobody talked about were his bulging calves. That is until week 9, when the Buccaneers defense was hypnotized by Metcalf’s leg beef.

The entire Seahawks offense took full advantage of this calf-muscle-induced hypnosis with Russell Wilson going 29/43 for 378 yards and 5 touchdowns—he now has 22 passing touchdowns on the season—Tyler Lockett snagged 13 catches for 152 yards and 2 touchdowns—he now has 6 touchdowns on the season—and the sexy calved beast himself, D.K. Metcalf, hauled in 6 catches for 153 yards and his 5th touchdown. The Buccaneer defense will attempt to snap out of the trance before gazing into Kyler Murray’s sparkling eyes next week. Anyway, here’s what else I saw during yesterday’s late games in fantasy football:

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Another of our great writers here at Razzball, Nic Romero, highlights the Tampa Bay-Seattle matchup as one that should yield some high scoring. With an over/under of 53 points, there’s a lot of fantasy production to be had, and as such, many of the players on these rosters will be featured as good options in this article. But honestly, the implied total of 23.5 points for the Buccaneers seems low. Since when is there a shootout with Tampa Bay involved where they don’t score like 70 points and still find a way to lose by 3?

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It was Aaron Rodgers‘ agent—Gabe, not that nice State Farm guy—who contacted the referees Monday morning with his very indecent proposal. “Illegal hands to the face,” Gabe whispered, “and be sure to delete those emails!” Trey Flowers and the Lions were the innocent victims of this elaborate conspiracy, with Flowers erroneously flagged twice in the 4th quarter as the officials gifted the game to the Packers. Final score: Lions 22 – Packers 13 – Refs 10. Anyway, here’s what else I saw Monday night in fantasy football: 

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Drafting your fantasy football team is all about risk management. You want just as many guys with a good statistical pedigree as you do guys that have big upside. Let’s face it, not every 6th-7th round pick with the explosiveness and opportunity to return profit is going to do so. You’re going to draft a flop every now and then, it’s just how this stupid game that we love so much works. The players that I’m writing about today are most likely going to return value, but they probably won’t jump out at you on a week to week basis. These are just solid contributors that you can’t take out of your lineup and they end up helping you get to your goal of making the playoffs and making a run at the title. This is how you take luck out of fantasy football and it’s also a reminder to myself to enforce risk management in my drafts.

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Are you playing in three wide receiver leagues? If you aren’t, what’s wrong with you? Do you not like fantasy points? You must be a fan of the Big Ten style fantasy leagues and grinding out those low scoring victories. I can respect it. I like 3WR formats and if you do too, today is your day for WR rankings! Just like my age, let’s go to the 30’s and beyond.

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The one injury I’m watching most closely this week is Joe Flacco’s. I know he’s only owned in around 20% of leagues, but it’s not him I’m concerned about — it’s Lamar Jackson. The 2016 Heisman winner actually had an even better 2017 than his 2016 and would’ve won the award back to back if it weren’t for the crazy breakout of Baker Mayfield. If you’re a Tom Brady owner looking for a good bye week replacement — keep an eye on the Ravens QB situation. Either way Flacco goes I think a Ravens QB is due for a big game.

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The baseball article I write during the baseball season has a section “Doing Lines In Vegas” but here in NFL season, we’re “Doing Lines With cinthree.” If anyone is willing bet me that Nathan Peterman will outscore the Chicago Bears defense in fantasy points tomorrow, I will take that bet. Peterman’s not going to break 10 and the Bears are probably putting up 12-15 (which makes them a bad play in DFS).

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What’s going on everyone, and welcome to the eighth week of the 2018 NFL season! I hope you guys all had a great Week 8 thanks to some awesome performances from James Conner, Deshaun Watson, Cam Newton, Todd Gurley, Marlon Mack, Mike Evans, Adrian Peterson, Marvin Jones, and Sammy Watkins (of all people!)

Below are my rankings for Week 9, for all scoring systems, so enjoy!

And like always, be sure to check out Rudy’s fantastic premium tools here, and follow myselfMB, and Jay on Twitter.

In the meantime, I’ll be back on Saturday for the ninth edition of my 2018 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em series!

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Seriously. I could not wait for Monday Night Football just to listen to the absolute nonsense from Jason Witten and Booger McFarland, the latter of which should be prepared for someone in the crowd to black out and see a table on top of the #BoogerMobile. But despite that disaster of a football game taking place, let’s look back at at some of the action from Sunday’s games…

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