Team: Atlanta Falcons
Opponent: New Orleans Saints
WR1: Julio Jones
Shadow Coverage Matchup: Marshon Lattimore
|Julio Jones vs. Shadow Coverage|
|All Other Opponents||22||7.2||109.5||0.5||17.6|
|Vs. Shadow Coverage||16||6||81.3||0.4||13.4|
|vs. Marshon Lattimore||1||3||79||0||9.4|
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
Ok, let’s try this again! After Lattimore missed week 11 and Julio left early we still don’t have much to go on when these two play each other. Back in 2018 the Saints used Marshon Lattimore on Calvin Ridley and tried to double Julio with Eli Apple as the primary CB. Let’s just say that didn’t go well as Julio went for 11-147. In 2019 the Saints wised up and used Lattimore on Julio; however, Lattimore left the game early due to injury and only played half the snaps. Still Julio only finished with a modest 3-79 all of which came after Lattimore left the game. Later in the year Julio missed the second game vs. the Saints so you see we truly don’t know how this matchup will pan out.
Week 13 Recommendation – WR3/Flex
With Julio dealing with another injury in 2020 it is hard to trust him as his usual #1 self in week 13. The good news for Julio is Lattimore has only shadowed Mike Evans in 2020 and with his counterpart Janoris Jenkins out the Falcons should be able to move the football more this week. Most fantasy teams won’t have the depth to fade Julio and with his career 13.4 PPG vs. shadow coverage, Julio should do enough to get the job done in season long leagues
DFS Recommendation – Price FD $8,000 / DK $6,600
Julio is priced as a top 8 option on FD making him a full fade at that price. On DraftKings you are able to get him at a reduced cost at roughly top 16 value, but even at that price playing on a bum wheel it might make him tough to trust. Players I would pivot to include Allen Robinson vs. DET and Adam Thielen vs JAX.
Please, blog, may I have some more?