I just snuck out of a court ordered gambling rehab facility to write this post, so I’ll have to be brief. After I was arrested for stealing old ladies’ purses from the retirement home down the block to fund my string of Arizona Cardinals’ Super Bowl wagers (a 50:1 lock!), the judge sentenced me to 6 month’s of in-patient rehab. Since I’ll be releasing my weekly fantasy football rankings each Thursday morning for the duration of the season, I’ve decided to throw in some bonus bold Thursday Night Football predictions along with my expertly handicapped pick for the contest:
Miami Dolphins (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Forecast: Dolphins at Jaguars, Fitzmagic at Minshew Magic, beard at moustache, it doesn’t get much better than this folks! Obviously this game will be all about Uncle Rico Minshew. His swag will cast a shadow so big on Thursday night that no other player will even be seen other than maybe Saucy Boi Preston Williams—who happens to be my favorite buy-low wide receiver target following weeks 1 and 2. But back to Minshew Mania: the Jock Strap King will arrive at the stadium 10 minutes before game time wearing nothing but a leopard print jock. Without any stretching or warm up throws, the mustachio’d one with lead the Jaguars on a 69 yard touchdown drive on the opening series. It’ll be all mustache from there except for a series he’ll take off after halftime while recording a track for his new album—see below. So jump on that sweet stache and ride it all the way to a Thursday night victory!
YOU AND ME pic.twitter.com/zc7u1vuGTQ
— Marc Rebillet (@marcrebillet) September 18, 2020
Wager: Jaguars -3 (1 Unit)
2020 Season: 0-2 (-2.2 Units) after Burrow backdoored our Browns last week
Anyway, here’s my fantasy football rankings for week 3 which will be frequently updated until Sunday kickoff:
*If you’d like more robotic weekly rankings with projections, check out Rudy’s Pigskinonator which is available on a 7 -day free trial and then only $17.95 for the full season.
First time playing Fantasy Football for a long time. Have stuck to baseball normally. I was asked to join a league by the commish made up of fellow English NFL fans. Couldn’t resist. 10 team league, STD scoring.
Am 2-0. But have lost Run CMC. All four 2-0 teams play each other this week.
QB – Murray
RB – Mixon, Kelley
WR – DK Metcalf , Godwin
WR/RB – David Johnson or Diggs
TE – Waller
DST – Colts
BN – Brady, CMC, Dobbins, Gibson, C Davis (TEN)
1. Who do I start at WR/RB this week David Johnson or Diggs ?
2. I need to make a drop, so I can pick up a IDP player (DL) to start. Who is the drop ? Davis ?
3. Golladay is a FA (I assume because we have no IR spots). He is a must pick up, right ? for Gibson, Dobbins or Brady ? (If I have already got rid of Davis?)
Nice team, tough break on CMC.
3. Yes, must grab. Lose Davis for him.
No problem, anytime.
1/2 point PPR, lost Sutton.
Looking to start 1 of the 3:
Starting these in my other WR spots
Cole is tempting with Chark officially out but I think you gotta go with Golladay
1. Drop Cohen for hamler?
2. Burned my #1 on m Davis (should’ve gotten Henderson!). Drop Davis for hamler
3. David Johnson for cam? (Have stafford)
Just got offered Sammy Watkins for m Davis. Accept?
I’d stick with Davis
3. Nah, find a cheaper QB
My DJ Moore for his Kareem Hunt?
PPR redraft and I have Michael Thomas, Lockett, Mike Evans, Robby Anderson, DaVante Parker and Jamison Crowder. We have to start 3 WRs each week and only 2 RBs, with 1 flex.
My RBs are Cohen, J. White and B. Scott. He’s got CEH, K. Drake, Chris Carson and Jerrick McKinnon (and Hunt).
He also offered Hunt & McKinnon for Moore & Crowder.
Would you make either of these trades?
It makes sense for your team but I’d want a little more for DJ. Any chance of working out a deal for Drake or Carson instead?
No, he wouldn’t budge on either. Will only part with Hunt and wants Moore or Lockett. I asked for Hunt and McKinnon for Moore and that’s when he countered and wanted Crowder too.
What do you think, should I pass?
I’d rather give Lockett than Moore. I think it makes sense for your team, especially if you can get McKinnon too. You could really use the RBs.
drop Stafford for Herbert, better outlook ROS?
I prefer Stafford but they’re close
Is Brady a must keep in 12 team redrafts? What do you see for him the rest of the season? Tannehill, Roethlisberger, Goff, Burrow are on the wire. Time to make a change, or perhaps drop Harry or Tate to carry a 2nd QB which I normally wouldn’t do. Thank you!
No, not must keep. I’d dump him for Tannehill and go week by week. No problem!
Thinking about offering Fournett and Slayton for CMC is that a fair trade or do you believe that would upset league mates ?
Maybe a little on the low-ball side but not a bad starting point, especially if the owner has started 0-2. But who knows what will upset people…
Last week I stacked my WR3 and Flex with Jonnu Smith and Corey Davis, benching Preston Williams, and it worked out well. I was thinking of keeping Jonnu Smith in my flex (have Kelce as my TE) and starting Preston Williams tonight over Corey Davis. I know how you have them ranked and you seem to like Williams more than some others, but wondering if I should stick with last weeks plan or hope Preston has his big day in a possible shootout game?? I could also benched Jonnu for both WR but he Had a lot of looks last game. Thansk
I’d go with both WRs
8 team league, no flex, my RBs are Jacobs and Kamara and I’ve been sitting Aaron Jones. Worth it to trade Jones and Tyler Boyd for McCaffery and JuJu(or DJ). I have Amari, Golladay and Ridley as my starting WRs already So really just gives me more top depth and and takes away the other guys best WR. Worth doing or why mess with a good thing??
Lotta tough decisions with only 8 teams. Think I’d sit tight for now. If anything, maybe look to trade Jones for an elite WR like Adams or Hopkins.
Thanks, DT! Question: I’m offering DJ Moore, Joshua Kelley and Mike Davis for Jonathan Taylor. The other owner has Akler and McCaffery. Am I offering up too much?
No problem! Nope, I think that offer’s strong and fair. Hopefully it gets the job done!
Standard scoring. Lost CMC :-( and trying to figure out RB.
Which 2 do you like in standard?
JK Dobbins vs KC (Monday)
Josh Kelley @ CAR
Myles Gaskin @ JAX (Thurs)
James White vs LV
Nyheim Hines vs NYJ
Also, which WR for a flex (or any of the above RBs)?
Marvin Jones @ ARI
Will Fuller @ PIT
Ouch, really stings since you didn’t have much depth. I’d go with Kelley and Dobbins. Fuller at flex if he plays, if not then Marvin.
Thanks for keeping the info coming DT…
Deep (12 team x 20 roster) full PPR with various bonuses…currently have:
RB: A Jones, Taylor, Rojo, M Brown, B Scott
WR: Godwin, Woods, Chark, M Jones, Watkins, A. Miller, Hamler + Campell stashed on IR
Only RBs of note available are Wilson, Burkhead, McKissick, Breida, Bernard, Richard, GusBus
WRs available include B Edwards, V Jefferson, Mooney, Cephus, Borne, J Washington, Conley, Sanu, Pascal, Amendola
Only bench stash at this point, but Hold A Miller hoping for the best or bench-stash somebody else off these lists? Edwards or Jefferson maybe??
Thanks for reading, Bob.
I’d stick with Miller for now. Edwards would be my choice if you really had the itch to make the more. I don’t have them very far apart ROS fwiw.
Thanks…I got burned by Miller-Mania last year and I only have him because he was cheap late in the draft. Now that Nagy is looking like he’s signed on to a mentorship with Gase – making the Bears as useless as the Jets, for real-world and fantasy – I’m starting to wonder how and when to exit. I like the player…but players usually can’t overcome stupid coaches…
Give him another week or two
Drop Pollard or AP for Breida in a full point PPR dynasty or hold?
Hi Donkey, thanks for the rankings. always very good help.
But you sure to start Watson vs PIT instead of Minshew vs MIA?
I have both and have Watson in my lineup, but lately im 2nd guessing.
Please offer me so ease of mind.
I don’t think “sure” is the right word, I’m not sure about much!
Pitt has a great D but their specialty is stopping the run. I think Watson should still have a solid fantasy day as he’s force to throw.
That said, I won’t be surprised if Minshew has the better day. It’s just tough benching a guy like Watson.
Hope that helps. No problem.
Thoughts on tre’quan? Is his shelf life just 2 weeks? Am I better off w hamler or Cobb?
Not sure on the shelf life but I do prefer Tre’Quan to those guys. I expected Sanders to be a much bigger factor last week, if week 3 is a repeat then I think Tre’Quan could find himself as the surprise #2 in New Orleans ROS which is very enticing…
I have Godwin and Woods at WR and Henry and McKinnon at RB.
Who from this list would you Flex?
I’m actually leaning Lamb over Schuster.
Oh, 0.5PPR league. Thanks, again!
I’m benching Woods this week since BUF is tough draw. I’d start both SS & CeeDee.
I have Lamb and JuJu right in the same range. Go with your gut on Lamb.
First of all, couldnt have been happier that you put in a Marc Rebillet JAM.
Got a conundrum for you – I have the old boys in Matty Ice & Discount Double-Check, and the young gun Minshew Mania Magical Moustache in a superflex league.
Obviously they’re 9-10-11 in your rankings with Minshew being last. For some reason that doesn’t make my decision any easier seeing them so tightly grouped. I feel like Minshew might have more upside than Matty going against CHI, but they’re also just always going to throw the ball. For A-Rodg, I thought people were sleeping on him this year so I’m pretty high on him, and also have Davante, but if Davante sits that obviously limits his upside.
What do you think? I’m feeling some magic for TNF and leaning toward sitting Matty for Uncle Rico but I don’t feel good about sitting any of these guys tbh. Embarrassment of riches, I guess?
Rebillet is awesome.
Tough decision…brain says don’t overthink it and go with the old boys, heart says YOLO with Rico. I bet Rebillet would tell you to listen to your heart!
I just bumped Minshew ahead of them in my rankings
Fuck it, we’re doin it live. Thanks man
BAL DEF is on waivers since playing the Chiefs this week. I currently have Indy DEF who are playing well but BAL may be in a tier of their own. Would you spend #2 waiver or hold?
Thanks – at lease it’s not a kicker question!
I don’t usually like to waste that high of a waiver priority on a defense when you might be able to snag a difference making RB in a couple weeks. Maybe they’ll clear waivers?
Ha no problem!
right now IND is 5th by FO, BAL 3rd. not big enough of a gap to use a 2 waiver.
With AJ Brown likely missing this week, I’m weak at wr2 I would backfill with MVS. TreQ Smith is also on the wire
For my 2 rb and flex I have Drake Ekeler Mackinnon Kelley AP Gibson
Got offered CD Lamb for Mackinnon and Robbie Anderson for Kelley…making either of these or staying out? I am 0-2 but feel I have a decent team.
14 team std
I’d start Drake , Ekeler and Kelley and then do the Lamb for McKinnon deal and start Lamb.
Agree, your team looks solid for a 14 teamer, bad luck…
Also got offered C Davis and Goddert for Mackinnon…my TE is Henry…I think the Lamb deal is better
Agreed, go with the Lamb deal
BAL DEF is on waivers since they’re playing KC this week. Would you use #2 waiver on them? I currently have Indy who are good but I feel like BAL is in their own tier.
Thanks- at least its not a kicker question!
Great write up. In a PPR league and my 2 RBs are Ekeler and Chubb. WR’s are DK and OBJ. Bench is Kelley, Edelman, Kupp and McKinnon. Been using Kupp as my flex but this week I have a lot of choices. Who should I use as my flex?
Thanks! Tough call, could be the week Kupp breaks out but I think I’d go with Kelley.
Hay again DT…
So talk me down here on this lineup…this morning it was M Ryan, DJ Moore, DJ Chark, Ekeler, Drake, J Robinson, Hurst and I was pretty OK with that. Lost Chark, stashed him on IR, picked up Cole. Thoughts on a couple things if you would…
1) could play Cole, Woods (but…Tre’Davious White) or Boyd (meh) as the second receiver
2 ) could play Hunt instead of Robinson
3) could do any of those things (except play Cole), drop Cole back and stream in Tannehill for Ryan
So many choices and so little brain power here on my end. Thoughts??
1) I agree it’s risky in a tough matchup, but I’d still start Woods
2) I like Hunt of over Robinson
3) I’d stick with Ryan
Thanks, man…that’s pretty much what every ranking list, set of projections and start/sit tool has been telling me, but I just wanted one more confirmation…this is the league where I fell to 0-2 last week by 8 pts because I lost Barkley mid-game and didn’t play Hunt over Barkley, Drake or Ekeler (go figure). So I need this one.
Ertz or Higbee ROS half ppr?
I’d want Ertz.
Hurst or Gesicki this week? ROS? 0.5PPR league
Hurst for both but it’s also pretty much a coin flip for both
10 team non ppr 10 bonus points @ 100 rushing and or receiving. Would you do anything different with my lineup this week ? 49ers D also available
W/r -scary terry
W/r/t -Julio Jones
IR BELL and Lindsay
Nope, that’s who I’d start. And if Julio sits I’d go with Gibson. I like the Colts D this week, 9ers are really banged up…
All right I like it when you agree with me lol thanks a lot
DT with Chark gone i have Boyd, Fuller and Shenault on my bench to sub in. They all have question marks. What’s the smart move here?
actually let me put it like this….2 WR’s to fill with Slayton, Boyd, Fuller and Shenault
I’d go with Shenault tonight to be safe and then decide between Fuller and Boyd on Sunday. If Fuller is good to go then lean towards him.
Trying to decide on my starters for week 3 at WR, RB, and Flex. My thought was:
RB: Dalvin Cook
RB: Nick Chubb
WR: DK Metcalf
Flex: Diontae Johnson
But other possible subs for any of those are:
What do you think, DT? (12 teams, 0.5 PPR)
I’d go with Kelley over Diontae
1. Mike Davis over David Johnson this week? I also have Cohen, which could be a mistake altogether.
2. Cohen or the likes of Samuel, hamler
1. I know it’s a tough match up but I’d still go DJ
2. Ehh I’d stick with Cohen
which 2 out of j.cook, p-will, t.smith. the consensus top FP rankers for PPR say bench t.smith (i can slot goedert in TE slot, 2 flexes besides)
ok, you say bench cook. that total tonight moved up from 44 to 48.5 but i doubt they don’t go over that. JAX horrible D (31st vs pass, much better vs run) and MIA is 31st or worse at pass and run. i’m playing minshew over watson (somebody else had this above, FP has them back to back like you do too with watson 1 spot higher. but chance of PIT just completely destroying watson looms too high for me)
Yeah sorry I didn’t get to you before game time but you’re right, I woulda said Cook
i benched cook
p-will needs more targets obv, but it is nice to see gaskin/parker being used constantly (have both in numerous spots, also p-will). gaskin mostly benched except for spots where i’m in bad shape at RB in general (mostly KJ and/or l.bell related, or owned howard and nabbed gaskin after week 1)
Yes, get P-Willy the ball! Gaskin looks quick, happy I snagged him a couple places as well. Woulda been tough to start this week though.
this is what i get for starting minshew on a week that isn’t watson’s bye. MIA’s league worst through 2 weeks def looking pretty good, plus we got conley dropping balls all over the place. he wouldn’t have caught that TD even if it was possible for him to.
also o’shaugnessy not having any idea of a short pass isn’t helping. even though it’s true that players are playing for their next year jobs (and this year’s); the stuff that happened in major league (the movie) is super rare. when owners/management intend to lose, that shit filters downward and people usually play down to that. go watch PIT (MLB)’s defense, the effort, not the talent. people check out. not all of them and not all the time, but it doesn’t take much of that for a whole team to be an utter mess, like JAX here having 7 points with around 1/8th of the game to go at home vs the league’s worst D (they appear to be about to score, but at best 15 points)
could be argued since thurs i should’ve just dodged this entirely if it was close (which i thought watson vs minshew was).
Watson is still tough to bench
Jaguars sure didn’t do Minshew many favors
Nobody could’ve guessed that Miami’s defense would show up like this
Gesicki is free . Would have to drop Jared cook and Kerryon Johnson in order to get him .
10 team standard
Have crowder on ir but not out yet .why I would have to drop 2
KJ nobody needs to own in 10 teamers. even in 12’s you could drop then add again later when crowder gets his out tag again.
Yeah Not afraid to drop kerryon even though we go with two flexes in a very deep bench with no good running backs on the wire but what I was saying is I would have to drop Jared cook too but too late now
Yeah if Yahoo hasnt designated the guy as ‘out’ yet then they make you take that guy out of the IR before you can make a move. I think I would’ve done it for Gesicki but not like it’s a slam dunk or anything. Don’t sweat it…unless Gesicki go for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns tonight!
this is true, HOWEVER, IF you input your claims BEFORE tues at around 11 am or just before you CAN leave the guys that were “out” and might be again in a few days in the IR slots. getting ahead of this is a big deal sometimes.
Yes, nice work around
the “got away from gase all stars” update. players that didn’t do much till they got away from gase’s awfulness. in a year or 2 we might be able to add darnold to this too making it a super flex possibly drafted team (darnold made what if mahomes did it the entire league would be raving about it throw last week under duress too)
QB tannehill (yep, the data on this continues good)
RB: drake (oh yeah, possibly the MVP of this), l.miller (had 2 useful years at HOU when allowed to get carries while healthy, not at MIA with gase though)
WR: parker (last year and even while not healthy yet this year, yep), r.anderson (our newest member, and it didn’t take long getting away from gase)
others that’ll probably get added to this within 2 or so years or whenever NYJ themselves decide to become part of these all stars: mims, l.bell (outside shot since age and he might not count since he was already a superstar BEFORE gase), perine, perriman (probably can’t count since he broke out at TB last year pre-gase), darnold
herdon could be added to the “others” group too
This has to be Gase’s last year ever as a head coach. Nobody’s dumb enough to fall for again.
we’d have said that same thing after MIA though (inertia takes a while to change, like that seinfeld relationships ending line about it’s like rocking over a soda machine, it takes a few pushes to tip it all the way)
The machine has been rocking for years now, it’s time
Aaron Jones or Josh Jacobs ROS? Jacobs seems like such a huge part of that offense.
Jacobs for me. I think his workload is about as safe as it gets.
Christian Kirk is ranked better than Isabella. But Kirk is out and Isabella is the deep speed this week.
Yep, hadn’t updated yet today. It’s corrected now, thanks!
Who do you like it more as a bench stash Non-PPR 10 team
Hamler or Pittman ?
Hamler but pretty much a coin flip