The most logical place to begin my position player ranking is the premier position in the NFL, Quarterback. I have already listed the six players from this position group, if you are interested in reading my thoughts on any of those players, I refer you to my top 10 for 2022 fantasy football dynasty leagues, […]Please, blog, may I have some more?
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Another pandemic plagued week in the NFL forced over 170 players to the COVID-19 list, and it has me thinking about the talent margin between starters, backups, and practice squad players. Houston Texans running back, Rex Burkhead (one of my favorites) ran for a career-high 149 yards and two touchdowns. Pretty good day for a 31-year-old veteran on the worst rushing offense in the league. Which begs the question, what if Rex had gotten an opportunity at a younger age? What if Rex Burkhead had been the starting running back for the Bengals at age 24?
While watching Rex take advantage of his opportunity, I see an advertisement for the Kurt Warner biopic American Underdog: The Kurt Warner Story. Warner only got his opportunity after an injury to Trent Green. Trent was not exactly Wally Pipp. Green would eventually follow former Rams Head Coach Dick Vermeil to Kansas City and had a nice run with the Chiefs. What if Trent Green hadn’t gotten injured? Would there be an American Underdog story to tell? I implore you to be flexible when preparing your rankings. Prepare yourself for wild fluctuations in value and adjust accordingly. Situation and opportunity are the two most important factors to consider in fantasy football, and those factors are often in flux.
If you missed it last week, here is the top 10 for 2022 fantasy football dynasty leagues.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Up until this write-up, I have been exploring the Mariana Trench of fantasy football players for the deepest of sleepers. The pressure is building and I need to surface for some fresh air. Time has come to assess what I’ve seen from the known commodities of the Fantasy Football world – the land-walkers. I have more players listed this week and I think they will be more relevant to the leagues in which you play. As usual, I have a little bit of everything – Quarterbacks, Runningbacks, Wide Receivers, and a Tight End (I’ve been working out). I hope you enjoy it.Please, blog, may I have some more?
When looking at rookie quarterbacks, redraft league players can pretty much forget the class and even dynasty league managers with 1QB don’t need to stick their neck out for a rookie. However, with the growing popularity of superflex and 2QB leagues, selecting a rookie signal caller has become more important. These types of leagues are often starved for starting QBs and the only way to obtain one is a difficult trade or drafting an incoming prospect. For managers in these types of leagues, this could be the most important article you read this summer!
Two metrics that I value in quarterbacks are completion percentage and yards per attempt. If a prospect can deliver the ball to his receiver as well as challenge the defense downfield, that’s likely a recipe for success. For more information on my process, check out last year’s rookie quarterback rankings.Please, blog, may I have some more?
What is it that makes drafting rookies so much fun? I’m told humans don’t like change. Yet each season a new crop of players enter the NFL and us fantasy footballers are mesmerized by their shine. Captivated by the the unknown. Resistance to the changing of the fantasy football guard is feeble to non-existent. Maybe it’s the lottery factor at play. Humans resist big life changes, but not when those changes are the result of winning the lottery. And what’s a rookie if not a lottery ticket. I remember scratching off my Sony Michel ticket expecting to reveal Jamaal Charles. And that Laquon Treadwell quick-pick I hoped would result in a Randy Moss-like windfall. But now the savings are all gone and I’m eating two meals a day from dumpsters just to be able to afford my next rookie fix. Ahhh yes, just one more hit of the shiny stuff. Rondale Moore is sure to fill the cavernous spiritual void in my soul. Anyway, here’s my top 10 rookies for 2021 PPR dynasty leagues:
*Note: these rankings are geared towards half PPR, 1QB dynasty leaguesPlease, blog, may I have some more?
We are now in the thick of summer when baseball is just treading water until the NFL preseason starts. Have no fear! I have my top 10 running backs post-draft.
Without getting too technical, my process heavily weighs volume for running backs. It has been shown that usage in college projects usage in the pros, with the occasional exception. Other college production metrics come into play such as efficiency AND volume is better than volume alone and of course draft capital equals opportunity which must be considered. Finally, yes, I do turn on the tape and see what traits jump out and how they convert their skills into the production the stats show.
This list reflects who I would prefer in a vacuum on talent alone. Landing spot is a bigger consideration for me at the running back position than it is for quarterbacks or receivers. So, there will be a higher likelihood of shuffling post draft on this list compared to other positions. Still, I think we should pick players mostly on talent first and the other factors are more like tie-breakers rather than a major consideration. See my pre-draft article for additional insight.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Not much changed after the draft, which is probably how it should be. While some landing spots may pay more immediate dividends, talent wins out in the end. Landing spot has nothing to do with talent. Draft capital is a different story, as the round selected does project future success. But I try not to concern myself too much with the actual team a player gets drafted to.
There were some movers such as Kadarius Toney and D’Wayne Eskridge who secured earlier picks than I assumed. In the case of Toney, despite not being impressed by his profile, there comes a point where first round capital trumps my personal evaluation. Let me know what you think in the comments! Who did I miss? Who shouldn’t be here?Please, blog, may I have some more?
Hello all, it’s the most wonderful time of the year when hot takes are all the rage and us nerds get to wax poetic about what those silly NFL GMs should do at the end of April. I have put together my top 15 wide receivers for you using a combination of production metrics and film. Without getting too technical, my process is to group players into tiers based on breakout age and other college production metrics which and project draft capital and expected upside then refine those rankings within a tier by watching them play.
This list reflects who I would prefer in a vacuum on talent alone. Of course NFL draft capital and landing spot will come into play, but I think we should pick players on talent first and the other factors are more like tie-breakers rather than a major consideration. All metrics come from the campus2canton.com data app.Please, blog, may I have some more?
As they counted down the ball drop in Times Square this year, I sat at home alone—balls of my own in hand—contemplating whether I’d rather own Justin Herbert or Tyreek Hill in a dynasty league which allows me to start two quarterbacks. As I slurped Champagne out of a bowl (I broke every glass in my house when all of my fantasy teams lost in week 15), all of the answers came to me in a rush of drug induced clarity. I began scribbling names down on napkins like some mix of Russell Crow in A Beautiful Mind and Charlie from It’s Always Sunny. Below you’ll find the superflex dynasty answer key I compiled on that fateful New Year’s Eve. I already went over all on the non-quarterbacks on this list over the past couple weeks when I gave you my top 10 and top 20 dynasty rankings for 2021 fantasy football 1-QB leagues. So if you’re interested in my convoluted thoughts on those players then click the links that litter this entire list! Anyway, here’s the top 25 superflex dynasty rankings for 2021 fantasy football:Please, blog, may I have some more?
So you just reached the pinnacle of your existence by winning your fantasy football championship, now what? First, finish that pile of celebratory drugs, then slip your pants back on and put the Jergens away. Now it’s time to get back to work, with an eye toward 2021. A couple weeks have passed since I shocked the world with my top 10 dynasty rankings for 2021 fantasy football. December 4th, 2020 is a date which will live in infamy. The date when Donkey Teeth declared D.K. Metcalf as the top dynasty asset in all the land and then took his first shower in three months.
This year I brought in a ringer to keep me in check: Pat Fitzmaurice. Pat is currently sitting at #1 (out of 160 experts) in this year’s FantasyPros’ Ranking Accuracy Competition, he also finished #2 (out of 162 experts) in FP’s Draft Ranking Accuracy Competition in 2019 and he holds the title of #1 most accurate draft ranker from 2017-2019. In short, the man is a fantasy football ranking sorcerer and he was kind enough to record a YouTube show with me discussing each of our top 10s—subscribe and give us a like if you don’t hate it. Full disclosure: I haven’t had a professional haircut since February. Anyway, here’s that show, followed by my top 20 dynasty rankings for 2021 fantasy football:Please, blog, may I have some more?
Last December when I released my top 25 and top 50 dynasty rankings for 2020, there were three rankings for which I was mocked most: Kerryon Johnson (way too high at #18, they scoffed), Joe Mixon (way too low at #26, they cried) and Juju Smith-Schuster (way too low at #50, they howled). Two for three would make me the best baseball player in the history of baseball, but in the game of fantasy football dynasty rankings it won’t fly. Also, I missed terribly on a bunch of other rankings including Fournette, OBJ and Hollywood. So now I must be held accountable and take responsibility for ranking my cousin Kerryon Johnson way, way, way too high last year. No excuses! No blame! Even though the freshly-fired-incompetent-coach/GM-duo of Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn seem like pretty good scapegoats—was it really necessary to spend an early 2nd round pick on D’Andre Swift AND sign Adrian Peterson AND not use your talented 23 year old RB Kerryon Johnson at all? Ah right, no excuses. But the sun was in my eyes last year when I was writing my rankings. So this year I brought in a ringer to keep me in check: Pat Fitzmaurice. Pat is currently sitting at #1 (out of 160 experts) in this year’s FantasyPros’ Ranking Accuracy Competition, he also finished #2 (out of 162 experts) in FP’s Draft Ranking Accuracy Competition in 2019 and he holds the title of #1 most accurate draft ranker from 2017-2019. In short, the man is a fantasy football ranking sorcerer and he was kind enough to record a YouTube show with me discussing each of our top 10s—subscribe and give us a like if you don’t hate it. Anyway, here’s that show, followed by my top 10 dynasty rankings for 2021 fantasy football:Please, blog, may I have some more?
After the Lions drafted D’Andre Swift in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft, I retreated into solitude to ponder worldly existence and the future of my forbidden relationship with Kerryon Johnson. On the 69th day of silent meditation in a remote Himalayan cave, a six-eyed pigeon appeared to me from thin air. The mysterious fowl pooped on my bed of Scooby Snack and Pop Tart wrappers before vanishing as quickly as it had appeared. The message was clear, it was time to return to the material world and compile my 2020 redraft fantasy football rankings; the angry mob of Reddit haters wouldn’t wait around forever. And so I wrote. Position by position, projection after projection, Johnson upon Johnson, until the rankings were complete and the Fantasy Pigeon God was satisfied. Only then would I return to my top 250 dynasty rankings which had grown woefully out of date—Kerryon was far too low, not to mention the shameful Saucy Boi Preston Williams disrespect. Anyway, it’s all been rectified now, here’s my updated top 250 PPR dynasty rankings:Please, blog, may I have some more?