I’ve been watching this QAnon docuseries on HBO this week, Q: Into the Storm. I’ll confess, I haven’t been plugged into the Qverse until now. But it turns out there’s a bunch of politicians and movie stars who murder babies and drink their blood. Allegedly. I mean, it kind of makes sense. I won’t get any further into the political weeds here, but if you showed me footage of Nancy Pelosi and Mitch McConnell eating babies together it wouldn’t be the most shocking video I’ve seen this year. Those cats playing the piano blew my mind. Where am I going with all this? Not quite sure. Something convoluted about Pat Fitzmaurice and Rich Hribar scooping up babies like evil Illuminati brethren in our recent superflex dynasty best ball draft. Take a look at how many rookies each of our esteemed analysts selected in the draft:
Please, blog, may I have some more?What is up everybody!? How are you people doing in the back? Good? There’s no back to the internet? OK! Now, huddle up: you’re going into fantasy football mode and there’s a secret you need to know that will win you the most leagues with the least effort and I’m going to tell you all about it. Right after this word from our sponsor! Donkey Teeth, take it away!
[camera cuts to DT eating ice cream out of the container with his hands]
Aw crap, we really suck at this advertising thing. Maybe that’s why we here at Razzball just give you the facts without the gimmick. We’re here to be in a community with you, help you win your leagues, and have a bunch of fun while we do it. So, meet me after the jump and we’ll talk about the best way you can set up your teams for fantasy victory. And if you want the TL;DR, here it is: just draft and have fun.
Please, blog, may I have some more?The third and final feature of this draft capital trilogy is the tight ends. If you missed the running back article, click here and if you missed the wide receiver article, click here! What we did was look back over the last 10 years (2011-2020) to see how many consistent fantasy contributors came out of each round of the NFL draft. We aren’t going to be talking about one hit wonders. Instead, we are highlighting the players who were able to sustain some level of fantasy success over their careers.
In this article we are reviewing the tight end position. The benchmark used was 6.5 points per game (PPG) in half point per reception (PPR) for their career. Even with the extremely low point total of 6.5 you will see very few tight ends ever become consistent fantasy contributors. Another key factor why the benchmark is a lot lower for tight ends is how poorly they perform as rookies. For example, notable tight ends George Kittle (5.7) and Mark Andrews (5.6) and T.J. Hockenson (5.4) all failed to hit 6 PPG in their rookie seasons.
Below you will find a chart breaking out draft capital by round for tight end. The chart is broken out into four columns:
- Round Drafted – Identifies the round in the NFL draft that the tight end were drafted
- Total tight end drafted – This is the total number of tight end drafted in that round over the past 10 years
- Career 6.5 PPG in .5 PPR – This column represents how many tight end drafted in that round hit the benchmark of 6.5 PPG for their careers in .5 PPR
- % Hit Rate – The final column shows what percentage of the tight end drafted in that round hit that benchmark
Feel free to just review the chart only and take what you want from it. If you want some additional insight on how we feel about 2021 prospects based on this data, it will be included later in the article!
| Round Drafted |
Total Tight Ends Drafted |
Career 6.5 PPG in .5 PPR |
% Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 75% |
| 2 | 18 | 5 | 28% |
| 3 | 24 | 4 | 17% |
| 4 | 24 | 1 | 4% |
| 5 | 19 | 1 | 5% |
| 6 | 21 | 1 | 5% |
| 7 | 25 | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 139 | 18 | 13% |
| Total after Rd 3 | 89 | 3 | 3.40% |
Please, blog, may I have some more?
The illustrious wide receiver Julio Jones of the Atlanta Falcons will be taking the Dirty Bird to the Music City. Will the 32-year old wideout make a dent for your fantasy team by swapping Matt Ryan for Ryan Tannehill? What does this mean for Calvin Ridley, who becomes the de facto #1 target in Atlanta? And how can you profit off this in the early fantasy football season? Join me after the jump and learn why you’ll be moaning over Julio Jones.
Please, blog, may I have some more?B_Don and Donkey Teeth are joined by fellow Razzball writer, Bobby LaMarco, to talk about some recent super flex dynasty drafts with some other, more well known, fantasy football analysts. Bobby took part in a couple recent CBS mocks including a rookie draft and then a full start up draft. Meanwhile, Donkey Teeth and B_Don ran it back with most of the same people from the 1 QB dynasty best ball league we discussed on the last show.
We discuss our draft strategies for super flex dynasty startups and how the 2 QB approach changes our approach, especially early in the draft. With QBs being more highly valued, we discuss where each analyst would have the break to go away from the QB position and look elsewhere. The pace at which QBs are taken may adjust your draft strategy, and the 2 drafts were quite different in their approach to QB. We wrap the show with the most important question, which team does Bobby like the most between the 2 co-hosts in our superflex dynasty best ball league?
Please, blog, may I have some more?Now that we took the journey for running backs let’s move to wide receiver. If you missed the running back article, click here! What we did was look back over the last 10 years (2011-2020) to see how many consistent fantasy contributors came out of each round of the NFL draft. We aren’t going to be talking about one hit wonders. Instead, we are highlighting the players who were able to sustain some level of fantasy success over their careers.
In this article we are reviewing the wide receiver position. The benchmark used was nine points per game in half point per reception (PPR) for their career. AND Before anyone moans and groans about the lower point total here is a list of wide receivers who average between 9-10 PPG in .5 PPR for their career.
| Player | PPG |
|---|---|
| Randall Cobb | 9.8 |
| Tyler Lockett | 9.8 |
| Sammy Watkins | 9.7 |
| Courtland Sutton | 9.3 |
| Tyler Boyd | 9.3 |
| Martavis Bryant | 9.3 |
| Marquise Brown | 9.2 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 9.2 |
| Christian Kirk | 9.1 |
| Jamison Crowder | 9 |
Why was there never a sequel to Gone in 60 Seconds? I guess it wasn’t plausible that Nicolas Cage could ever round up that dream team of car thieves for second go And without Angelina Jolie on board, what was the point? We ran into that same issue in the wake of the Razzball Best Ball Dynasty Analyst League draft which took place a couple weeks back. When Razzball announced it’s Best Ball Dynasty Superflex Analyst League, the entire star-studded crew of industry participants jumped right back on board. All but one. A certain Nando Di Fino had a prior commitment: Months ago Nando signed up for Catholic missionary work in Saskatchewan. A great loss for the Razzball Dynasty League to be sure, but Rich Hribar of Sharp Football Analysis was luckily available to step into Nando’s Shaquille O’Neal sized shoes. And so we pressed forward, minus our Angelina Jolie.
Here’s the full star studded list of industry participants and the league’s official draft order:
1. Dave Richard| CBS
2. Rich Hribar | Sharp Football Analysis
3. Heath Cummings | CBS
4. Scott Pianowski | Yahoo
5. Jake Ciely | The Athletic
6. Michael Salfino | The Athletic
7. Pat Fitzmaurice | The Football Guys & The Football Girl
8. Rudy Gamble | Razzball
9. Brandon Myers | Razzball
10. Andy Behrens | Yahoo
11. Donkey Teeth | Razzball
12. Dalton Del Don | Yahoo
And here’s the first two rounds of our dynasty superflex half PPR best ball league with real US Dollars on the line:
Please, blog, may I have some more?B_Don and Donkey Teeth are back to discuss the recent Dynasty Best Ball draft. It’s a good thing that we put this league together because looking at the names in the draft.
We review our drafts and talk about our approach to a format that doesn’t have much discussion around it, best ball dynasty fantasy football. What do the guys do differently in these drafts? How do they split out their rosters? Then, we discuss some of the early round picks with surprises and where some values came out of the draft.
Please, blog, may I have some more?What is up every baller!? We here at Razzball have been working tirelessly behind the scenes to prepare the next RazzBowl for you! Let’s jump over to our fearless leader DonkeyTeeth for the 2021 update!
[camera cuts to DT, who is pouring a can of Pepsi into his Cheerios at breakfast]
Well, well, well! I suppose I should have warned Mr. Teeth about our meeting today. But never fear, for I know that scene you just saw was fake news. DonkeyTeeth is a Dr. Pepper man! I suppose I can catch you up on the updates instead. Like, the 2021 RazzBowl is powered by imagination! Whee! And we have backing from financial sponsors [checks notes] Bernie Madoff and Martha Stewart. Wow, what celebrity power! I better stop while I’m ahead. Let’s get to the specifics and get you signed up for your free shot at fantasy super-stardom!
Please, blog, may I have some more?Does Draft Capital Matter For Future Fantasy Success?
Now we know we are not the first to journey down this path, but we are here to simplify the search. What we did was look back over the last 10 years (2011-2020) to see how many consistent fantasy contributors came out of each round of the NFL draft. We aren’t going to be talking about one hit wonders. Instead, we are highlighting the players who were able to sustain some level of fantasy success over their careers.
In this article we are reviewing the running back position. The benchmark used was 10 points per game in half point per reception (PPR) for their career. Before anyone loses their minds, this article isn’t saying that 10 points per game is a top 24 running back each year. However, the lower points per game helps take into account flex spots to start a 3rd running back and/or a down year from an otherwise consistent starting tailback.
Below you will find a chart breaking out draft capital by round for running backs. The chart is broken out into four columns:
- Round Drafted – Identifies the round in the NFL draft that the running backs were drafted
- Total running backs drafted – This is the total number of running backs drafted in that round over the past 10 years
- Career 10 PPG in .5 PPR – This column represents how many running backs drafted in that round hit the benchmark of 10 PPG for their careers in .5 PPR
- % Hit Rate – The final column shows what percentage of the running backs drafted in that round hit that benchmark
Feel free to just review the chart only and take what you want from it. If you want some additional insight on how we feel about 2021 prospects based on this data it will be included later in the article!
| Round Drafted | Total Running Backs Drafted |
Career 10 PPG in .5 PPR |
% Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 79% |
| 2 | 29 | 13 | 45% |
| 3 | 30 | 7 | 23% |
| 4 | 45 | 3 | 7% |
| 5 | 31 | 3 | 10% |
| 6 | 34 | 0 | 0% |
| 7 | 40 | 2 | 5% |
| Total | 223 | 39 | 17% |
| Totals after Round 3 | 150 | 8 | 5.30% |
The sports entertainment world really seems to center around the NFL. Best Ball lobbies are full, and you can draft on several sites like Yahoo and Underdog right now for the 2021 NFL Season. There is a ton of excitement in the air for this NFL season and having a more normal fantasy schedule for 2021.
If you need any more proof that people are excited about the NFL, even in May, you can check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds right now. They have futures up for every team, as well as Week 1 spreads, moneylines, and point totals. You can use the BetMGM promotional signup bonus when making your account to receive a $600 risk-free bet. The NFL is just one of your options to use that risk-free wager on.
Please, blog, may I have some more?I met my wife, Mrs. The Joey Wright, in the budding spring of 2004. We got married in the blistering winter of 2014. “Ten years!” you might be saying to yourself, “why would you wait ten years to marry the woman of your dreams?” Your thoughts would be echoing the thoughts of my friends and family during the decade-long proverbial dragging of my feet. I guess you could say I have always subscribed to the “good things come to those who wait” philosophy in life and most definitely when it pertains to drafting quarterbacks for my fantasy teams. I rarely use a pick before round seven on a quarterback, in one quarterback leagues, unless the value is completely justified. It is the one piece of advice I was given early in my days of playing fantasy football and it is the one recommendation I always give to people just starting out. Most of the time, when sticking to my usual method of waiting, I will end up taking two. This is also where the waiting on marriage and waiting on quarterback analogy ends. I am not here championing multiple spouses. Just wanted to make that clear.
Since 2016, nearly half of the top ten quarterbacks have been drafted outside the top ten at the position. The only year at least five of the top ten finishing quarterbacks were not drafted as the QB10 or later was 2020, where only four accomplished the task. In both 2018 and 2019, the quarterbacks finishing first, second, and third were taken as the eleventh quarterback off the board or later. The savvy team managers who loaded up on their running backs, wide receivers, filled their flexes, maybe took a top-tier tight end before addressing quarterback were swimming in gold if they hit on say Mahomes, Ryan, or Roethlisberger in 2018. However, you are just as likely to take a top ten quarterback and have them return top ten value. Although the number one quarterback in ADP has not finished the season as the number one quarterback in fantasy points since 2012. Throwing out Aaron Rodgers’ 2017 injury-plagued season, the QB1 has an average finish of around QB8 the last five years. Numbers like those give me pause and I would rather use my earlier picks giving my teams foundation and depth.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
