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Player: J.K. Dobbins
Overall Ranking: 68
Dobbins has been a steady riser for me all offseason and headed into the start of the 2023 season. There’s a ton to love, and for starters, he is now two years removed from the ACL tear and recovery. We traditionally see running backs returning to their “normal” selves in Year 2. Dobbins has never garnered more than a 46% snap share and has yet to eclipse a 60% opportunity share. That all changes this year with a fresh set of eyes and coaching philosophy from new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. J.K.’s metrics reveal efficiency to the tune of 5.8 yards per carry as his career average.
Stance: Bullish, trying to acquire in all builds. The longer you wait, the more expensive it will be, especially after he runs all over the Texans in Week 1.
Player: Sam Howell
Overall Ranking: 116
In mid-August, Washington finally did the right thing and formally named Howell their official starter. We have only seen Howell in NFL action in one game, week 18 against Dallas in the 2022 season. Granted, starters were resting for the playoffs, but still, Howell finished as QB7 on the week. He went 11/19 passing, 169 passing yards, 35 rushing yards, one passing TD, and one rushing TD. Now, factor in the proven offensive brilliance of new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy and one of the league’s most underrated wide receiver rooms. I have Howell as my QB3 in a few dynasty leagues, and I feel totally comfortable with it. He has a tremendous upside and a relatively safe floor, even being such a late-round draft selection.
Stance: Neutral to relatively bullish. I am not going out of my way to overpay to acquire him. I would be willing to “tier-down” to Howell in a package to upgrade at another position.
Player: Raheem Mostert
Overall Ranking: 137
Folks, this one is pretty simple. Mostert is the starting running back on an explosive offense, and he was going so very late in drafts. If you’re a sicko like me and draft year-round, Mostert was free. The Dolphins placing Jeff Wilson on injured reserve gives a little extra shine to Mostert’s workload. Devon Achane is as explosive as they come, but he is a package-specific player and not an every-down back. Let’s be realistic: Mostert is 31 and has an illustrious injury history, especially with knee issues. As long as he is healthy, he will anchor Miami’s ground attack, which should be lucrative. In 2022, Mostert had seven finishes inside the top 25.
Stance: I am only looking to acquire if I am chasing a championship and need win-now running back depth. I’d toss out a 2024 mid-3rd out if I’m ready to get after it right now. Conversely, if I am not contending, I am trading away for draft capital.
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