This is the time where we are all very confident that everything that we have drafted is correctly valued and we are unstoppable. You and at least half of your league think the championship is a real possibility. A pit will arrive in the stomach of some fantasy football players in the middle of this upcoming Sunday afternoon when they realize that not everything they thought was written in stone will play out that way. Perhaps you will not go 13-0 in the regular season like you convinced yourself that you would. 

Remember to stay calm. The variance in week 1 performance from what you’ve read here or anywhere could be extreme. This variance is wreaking havoc on my nerves for week 1 rankings. Am I confident? Very. But the start of the regular season can feel like grasping at straws as opposed to the educated forecasts that they are if something goes wrong. My point being: we are all going to miss on a few things. That’s what makes this obsession so fun. 

A few bits of advice to remember for this upcoming week 1:

    1. Don’t start checking your scores until at least the late afternoon games. The “projected scores” won’t mean much until later in the day anyways. If you start watching your scores all day, you’ll drive yourself crazy. Just enjoy some football. This obviously does not apply if you are waiting on an injury question mark or a 50/50 lineup decision for later games. 
    2. Don’t break stuff that you’ll probably want tomorrow. 
    3. I write a Sunday Primer every Saturday night that is up before you wake up on Sunday so you can ask me line up questions, what I had for breakfast (probably a bloody mary), or how many donkey teeth that Donkey Teeth has. 
    4. Every Sunday is best spent with Andrew Siciliano. 

Without further ado, here are my week 1 rankings. 

  1. Principal Blackman says:
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    So are these only 1/2 PPR rankings? Are the STD (we need a better abbreviation for that) and PPR rankings algorithms based on your 1/2 PPR rankings?

    I’m thankful that Zeke signed, finally, but with his reps supposedly being limited in week one, do I start Aaron Jones in his place? Also, if I do start Jones, who is my flex out of Damien Williams, Marlon Mack, Calvin Ridley, or Dede Westbrook in a full PPR league. Thanks, MB!

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Haha we do need better abbreviation. Yeah I’m pretty sure the .5 ppr is the only one showing but if you go to my FP page, standard and PPR are based on their Al Gore rhythm.

      Sounds like a bunch of nonsense that will change in game. No way I’m leaving Zeke out of my lineup

      • Principal Blackman says:
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        Thanks, MB. That’s what I was figuring in re Zeke.

        FWIW, the standard and ppr rankings are showing on this page. The default, once you click off of QBs is STD rankings.

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Ok thanks

  2. Chris says:
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    Thanks MB!

    What side of this trade do you like or do you think it’s pretty even?

    Aaron Jones & Evans
    for
    Connor & Diggs

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Yw!

      Jones and Evans

  3. William Hung says:
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    RE: Following up on my tweet

    You are really high on Crowder – you think he’s a better dart throw than Albert Wilson?

    FYI – my roster in .5 PPR 12 teamer

    QB- DeShaun Watson
    RB- McCaffrey, A.A.Ron Jones
    WR- Keenan Allen, Josh Gordon, Pettis
    TE- Njoku
    FLEX- Duke Jr.
    B WR- John Brown, Anthony Miller
    B RB- RJ2
    B QB- Garappolo

    I typically wouldn’t go 2 QBs but everyone in my league decided to have a backup QB so I decided to roll the dice on Garappolo – he’s my 1st/2nd drop for a post W1 waiver add depending on if I should drop John Brown for Crowder or Albert Wilson

    The one thing that makes me wary on Wilson is that I was burned by Torrey Smith when he was “the only option” on the niners a few years ago – this mentality of being “the only option” doesn’t always pan out

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I think that there’s a good chance that Crowder eats this week, I’m not staring him over your other 3 WRs though. Anyways Robby Anderson has a tough shadow on Sunday so I project a Crowder day.

      I agree with you on the “only option” thing. I’m willing to take a shot with how cheap he is

      • William Hung says:
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        I hate Yahoo for ranking John Brown kinda high-ish… should I roll the dice as a bench stash on Albert Wilson over Brown or go real dart throw and pick up Marquise Brown or Miles Boykin?

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Boykin is a good dart throw so is Wilson

          • William Hung says:
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            So Wilson/Boykin before Brown but over John Brown?

            • MB

              MB says:
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              Wilson, Boykin, Brown

        • The Harrow says:
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          if you mean j.brown in yahoo drafts he’s behind FP’s top 30 guys and way behind rudy’s bot. if you mean for this week that’s possible. i got him all over the place super cheap in yahoo drafts. it’s possible you meant yahoo had j.brown higher than his ADP, but not over the smarter (from last year) drafters nor rudy.

  4. William Trill Cauley-Stein says:
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    MB! What up?! I hope you are doing well. I am in a ten team .5 PPR league. We do have big play bonuses in my league. Can you help me figure out who to start? I would really appreciate it.

    QB- Goff

    RB- D. Cook

    RB2- N.Chubb

    WR1- T. Boyd? OR C. Kirk?

    WR2- C. Ridley? OR J. Landry?

    Flex- L. Fournette? J. Landry? M. Sanders? C. Kirk? L. Murray? M. Andrews? D. Henderson?

    TE-Andrews OR Njoku?

    K- J. Elliott

    D- Cowboys

    Also, N. Hines, D. Lewis, M. Hardman, J. Washington, Justice Hill, Damien Harris, Darwin Thompson, and A. Mattison are on the wire. Should I pick up any of them?

    Thanks

    William Trill Cauley-Stein

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Hey Trill!

      Boyd and Ridley, Fournette, NJoku,

  5. Buster Moon says:
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    D Thompson or J Hill. 1/2 PPR?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Hill

  6. big league choo says:
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    12 team standard start 3 wrs 1 flex
    Larger bench 7 men deep

    Im weak at wr would you drop Golden Tate for mecole hardman or albert Wilson/Preston williams? Or maybe high upside handcuff like Edmonds, armstead, Malcolm brown or dexter williams?

    Adams, Robinson, Moncrief, Allison, Tate, Coutee

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d stay put right now, I like Tate more week 5 and forward

  7. steve stevenson says:
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    Waited on TE in a .5 PPR and ended up w/ Waller, then picked up Fant at the end of the draft for my bench in the hopes that one of them hits. Thinking about taking a chance on Gronk unretiring. Would you dump Fant or one of my bench WR (A. Wilson or Metcalf) for Gronk, or hold? Herndon is also out there.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d stay out, I don’t think Gronk will play. Maybe eye Herndon in a couple of weeks

  8. bigbear says:
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    Awesome! Thanks MB for the time and passion for this fake game we play!

    My purple shaded glasses did find one mistake. :) All 4 Houston WRs are ranked higher than any 1 Raven WR. Hou/NO will probably be a shootout to some degree, so I can buy the higher rankings in general. But Lamar’s going to catch MIA cheating up to stop the run… Marquise Brown is going to stretch the field. Maybe on the Ravens first play. I would not be shocked if Brown has 75+ yards from scrimmage and a TD.

    If Trey Burton doesn’t play this week, is he droppable for someone who playing?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Hmm yeah, that slipped past me, thanks!
      Yeah if you do need a Tight end this week you have to but if not, it depends on who

      • bigbear says:
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        Thanks!

        I didn’t draft a K. So now I’ve got to drop someone to pick one up. Regardless of who it is, who’s the drop from the squad?
        QB – Watson, Goff
        WR – Hill, Diggs, Fitzgerald, Hollywood Brown, John Brown
        RB – Barkley, Duke, White, Hunt, Malcolm Brown, McCoy
        TE – Burton
        K – ?
        D – NE for now

        12 team redraft, start 3 WR, 2 RB, 1 W/R/T flex.

        Feeling a bit handcuffed holding 2 QBs… Just can’t drop Goff though.

        • MB

          MB says:
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          There’s no need to carry 2 QBs but if you want to hold onto Goff, Hollywood would be my drop

  9. James Bolger says:
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    The “adds” for Demarcus Thomas are going through the roof today after he signed with NE. Do you prefer Thomas or Justice Hill ROS?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Justice

  10. Water boy says:
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    Yo MB! Week 1 is here!!

    Would you do any of these or stand pat? It’s .5 ppr

    1.) deal my Tevin Coleman to receive James white . White is his RB2, whereas he’d be my flex or bench RB

    2.) deal my Tevin Coleman to receive Evan Engram, he originally wanted David Montgomery but thinking of countering my Coleman instead . My TE is Waller who I got round 17 if he didn’t pan out I wanted to stream

    3.) deal my Tevin Coleman to brieda owner for Tyler Lockett or aim higher, Tevin Coleman + Dede Westbrook for his Chris Carson?

    4.) deal my David Johnson to get nick Chubb?

    5.) deal my Tevin Coleman to get Guice + Christian Kirk Or is Coleman for Guice fair? He also have Tyler Boyd, diggs, Sammy Watkins, Guice, CMC, Chubb, Kirk, courtland Sutton , etc

    Now onto adding players from free agency:
    Drop pollard to add one of: Mike Davis (cuff my David Montgomery), Dare the RB from TB, ty Montgomery, frank gore or Mattison to cuff my cook? I can add two out of those as I’m dropping CJ Anderson too

    My RBs are DJ, cook, David Montgomery, Tevin Coleman, Justin Jackson, pollard, Dion Lewis, CJ Anderson

    My WRs are we start 3: obj, thielen, Josh Gordon, Dede Westbrook , AJ green, MVS, John brown

    My TE Darren Waller

    We have one flex (rb/wr/TE)

    My QB is Russell Wilson

    Thanks man!!

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I would do all of those trades except for #4. I’d just stick with the roster that you have now as far as waiver wire

  11. Better Call Limehouse says:
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    this wasn’t one of those impulsive drop situations. after IR’ing green/harry i had 2 slots to fill. quinn was the first, then i added mal brown for handcuffing, seeing if something else would be better (i’ve also since dropped quinn for aj brown) from dynasty guy advice.

    14 team super flex standard dynasty (actually QB’s are even MORE valuable here it’s a super standard, 15 rush or caught yards per point)
    QB: goff, allen, tannehill (seemed most likely in draft with last pick to take over a job, all the rookies gone in round 1 so i went harry)
    RB (2): gurley, breida, coleman, guice, ballage
    WR (2): cooks, m-will, pettis, a.wilson, quinn (highest projected WR left in rudy’s bot, i just added)
    TE (1): howard, walker
    1 regular flex
    1 super flex
    IR (2) green, harry
    K: NO kicker
    DEF: MIN

    best add out of:
    QB: finley, hill, grier, stidham, glennon
    RB: samuels (just dropped), CJA, gio, mal brown (handcuff value), snell, richard
    WR: lee, foster, ginn, humphries, isabella, d.moore, callaway, renfrow, k.johnson, aj brown

    • MB

      MB says:
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      No I actually would stay right where you’re at

  12. Hernandez Hangman says:
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    Hey MB, I was offered Antonio Brown and Fournette for Josh Gordon and Gurley. PPR league… Wasn’t considering it until I saw AB moving around good… Any thoughts?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Love AB and Fournette side

      • MB

        MB says:
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        Yeah Nevermind lol

  13. Sinkhole Demayo says:
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    how’s this one look, PPR, IDP redraft 20 teamer. i got lucky and got a middle (10th in odds) round pick, far harder in these at the ends.
    QB (1) winston (6th), d.jones (19th, you kinda need a backup here if possible and not too expensive, rosen went slightly later)
    RB (2): AAron (2nd), j.white (4), lat murray (5), ballage (8), d-will (GB, j-will had just gone and we know he sucks, 14)
    WR (3): julio (1st), edelman (3), a.wilson (5), quinn (13), beasley (15), aj brown (25)
    TE (1): waller (9, VD still out there could add over aj brown)
    1 flex
    K: bailey (23)
    team D (but it scores smaller than normal, people still overdrafted the crap out of these, 18)
    LB (2) littleton (11), j.hicks (17), vernon (also counts as DE so double backup, 20)
    DE (1) hunter (12)
    DT (1) AAron donald (HUGE value at position and over replacement, did pay for it though, 7, still the 6th or so IDP off the board)
    S (1) mcdougald (16), s.williams (21)
    CB (2, yeah i have no idea why 2 CB and 1 S here): bradberry (22), t.johnson (24)
    1 IDP flex
    could drop aj brown for TE backup or extra RB but neither have any upside of the remaining FA’s.

    • Sinkhole Demayo says:
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      went off from Rudy’s bot straight for QB/RB/WR/TE here and went top 30 only guys at FP. however some stuff i did wait on and rudy plus those guys are higher on in general than ADP anyway, like a.wilson, beasley, white, quinn, AAron jones

      julio (rudy’s bot would’ve said JJSS here so this did differ from rudy)

      i input the top 30 guys at FP’s rankings for QB/RB/WR/TE and used my fantasy league’s ADP’s to sprinkle in the top 50 or so IDP’s (their ADP’s are best since they actually have IDP’s, and way more options than any other ADP site i can fine, you can index by date of drafts, rookie only, PPR vs not, IDP, not including injured etc)

      only things i think i could’ve improved is if i don’t go AAron donald (better other depth at RB/WR), wait longer on DE (hunter is ranked VERY highly by the IDP source i’m using, a top 2 ranking guy) as similarly ranked DE’s were around quite a bit later, was still able to wait on topish LB’s and S’s without overpaying at all though. s.williams by the good rankings site probably starts in IDP flex most of the time, ranked overall IDP 47th, vernon 53rd.

      • Sinkhole Demayo says:
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        missed it i got the IND D in round 18

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I think you did well, I have Julio ranked higher myself

  14. William Hung says:
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    My 10 teamer – I left the draft without a kicker cause I had trouble bringing up W1 kicker rankings so I decided to draft Golden Tate with my last pick

    .5 PPR

    QB- DeShaun Watson
    WR- Odell, JuJu
    RB- Lindsay, Drake
    TE- Ertz
    Flex- Tyler Boyd
    B RB- Duke Jr., Breida, Singletary
    B WR- Kirk, Fitzgerald, Tate
    B TE- Walker

    D- CLE
    K- ?

    So some context – this is a work league and we all did the live draft on our phones at a bar and there was plenty of trash talk all around… Not sure how I left the draft with both Kirk and Fitzgerald as that seems to be heavy on the AZ offense which might be pretty crappy – I also have 1/2 my team on BYE in W10. Apparently Y! loves my team as well cause I came away with a A grade even without a kicker…

    So who would my drop be for the K? I was leaning Walker since he’s the TE… I won’t need to play any bench WRs until W7 with both JuJu and Odell out and then I won’t need a backup QB, RB and TE until W10

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d drop Fitz for a kicker

  15. Mak says:
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    with this AB news, would you drop larry fitz for tyrell williams? half PPR.

    • William Hung says:
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      Or even Hunter Renfrow – I am leery of Tyrell just cause he’s a deep threat and Derek Carr is scared to throw the ball beyond 5 yards

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I like Renfrow

      • mak says:
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        thanks. waller or ebron this week ? half PPR

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Waller

  16. eballs says:
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    Might not have Reed week 1. Who do you like as a possible fill in? (0.5 ppr)

    Fant
    Goedert
    Davis
    Swaim
    Dissly

    • MB

      MB says:
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      No Waller? If no Waller, Fant

      • eballs says:
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        Nope, someone snagged Waller already sadly

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Dang

  17. Justin says:
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    royce freeman was just dropped. should i drop larry fitz for him?

    • Justin says:
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      renfrow also available. half PPR

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d grab freeman if you have enough depth at WR

      • Justin says:
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        i got tyreek, robert woods, sammy watkins, christian kirk. not too bad

        • Beware the Shit Rope says:
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          4 total WR isn’t much depth, unless you have super lack of bench slots and have like 3 RB’s total. the 4 you have are good guys but i’d not drop one of them for royce (esp if that’s yr total WR’s)

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Living on the edge a little bit

          • Justin says:
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            Well. I also have Larry fitz as my 5th WR. Wasn’t gonna drop one of the 4 I mentioned. I was asking if it’s reasonable to drop Larry for freeman.

            • MB

              MB says:
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              That’s right. I wouldnt roster 4 WRs for very long but I think it’s a good idea to see how Freeman fairs on Monday while he’s available.

  18. Mordacious Levator says:
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    12 team PPR with return yards worth half of scrimmage, with zeke back pollard’s lost value.
    QB ben
    RB (2): aaron jones (not a good day today so far, even j-will gets carries, meanwhile d-will is benched), jacobs, drake, guice, ballage, pollard
    WR (3): kupp, lockett (huge value jump with return yardage), adams, sutton, j.brown (BUF)
    TE (1) kittle
    1 flex
    K: PHI kicker
    D: DAL

    drop pollard for:
    backup QB: many, but only j.allen interesting here
    WR: deebo, MVS (recently dropped for somebody nabbing t-will when the AB news broke), lee, coutee
    TE: hockenson (just dropped), andrews, eifert
    RB: j-will (if GB is continuing to give this guy the handcuff could go him), j.hill, j.jackson (these 2 also just dropped), gio, ito, ty mont

    could also grab a next week stream D early (later drop DAL), options:
    KC @ OAK
    DAL @ WAS
    CAR vs TB
    TEN vs IND

    • Mordacious Levator says:
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      sorry it’s start 2 WR not 3 here.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      MVS

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