Well that was one hell of a ride. My Bills had Houston right where we wanted them. And Nathan Peterman just… just… just did Nathan Peterman things and threw a pick-6. I really shouldn’t have been surprised when it happened. He has to have done that at least 2847 times by now in his 396 day career. Before I go on a long tirade about how bad Josh Allen looked before he got hurt, let’s just take care of this game in its’ entirety.

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If you saw the arguments this week on twitter, then you know there’s a question. Does defense matter for overall fantasy production? Most of the reason why people say defense doesn’t matter is because the way we measure defense is pretty terrible, and until we can measure true talent defense much better, the appearance of being a good or bad defense is super noisy and the amount of signal there is very very low. And in terms of how to predict the production for fantasy, teams vary what they do (and some teams do this randomly and are bad at it), and you would need to know what their scheme is and what player(s) they plan to exploit, and then the adjustments on the initial game plan come into play. If you have that information, first, please share it with me, and second, you’d probably be able to obliterate DFS (and Vegas, for that matter). But if you have that information, you’re not reading this article right now. So for those of you without it – let’s attack this slate with what we do know – namely, #NeverRun, offenses score points when they throw a lot, and one of the only ways we legitimately do see defenses mattering is in pass rush versus protection – it’s hard to score points when you’re being thrown down to the ground before you can throw a pass. 

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Can you believe it?! It’s already Week 1! After an off-season and pre-season that seemed like it would never end, we have finally reached the first full Sunday of meaningful football. It’s going to be a fun season!

I’m absolutely thrilled to be back writing the Start/Sit column this year. For those of you that are new here, every Saturday morning I’ll be dishing out some serious takes and knowledge to help set your fantasy football rosters for Sunday.

While for a majority of fantasy owners, Week 1 is mostly about starting your studs that you drafted, there are a few tricky spots that I do want to talk a little bit about.

So let’s get to it!

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What’s going on guys, and welcome to the first part in my Sleepers, Breakouts and Busts series, where today, I’ll be taking a look at the Quarterback Position and talking about some names to keep an eye on in the 2018 season.

It’s almost August, which is very exciting as the Hall of Fame Game is just around the corner, which means that the rest of the preseason is soon to follow, and the regular season moves closer towards us as well.

Over the next few weeks, I’ll be sure to publish the rest of the posts in this series, as well as any major breaking news updates, updated rankings, my July ADP review, advanced player/team previews, and even more strategy pieces. It’s going to be a great month!

So let’s get to it.

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The quarterback position is a lot tougher to tell readers to avoid certain players. There are 20-25 quarterbacks who have value to a fantasy roster every season. According to ESPN scoring, QB7-QB12 were only separated by 18 points for the season. That’s slightly more than one point per week if you count the playoffs. If you are a participant in two quarterback leagues or deeper leagues, the difference in scoring for QB16-QB21 was just over 5 points for the season.

With bye weeks, in most leagues with 14 or more teams, it’s necessary to draft a back up quarterback especially if you’re one of the last owners to pick a quarterback which is a pretty common strategy. That strategy, by the way, is one that I fully support. This makes a lot of quarterbacks viable options as a QB2 when you factor in bye weeks and tough defensive foes on the schedule. Another factor is that early July ADP seems to align with my thinking on individuals at the quarterback position. All I can do is tell you who I see myself avoiding this season and you can take it for what it’s worth.

Side note: Check out the awesome tools that Rudy Gamble has going on for Razzball. Between the preseason projectionsdepth charts, and trade analyzer there is plenty to explore!

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While all the coaches posed for a picture in Orlando at the league meetings, Bill Belichick was once again absent. He was somewhere hunched over and scowling about the Patriot’s bitter Super Bowl defeat and thinking about how he can get the most bang for his buck for the 2018 roster. Anger continues to build as he continues to accept that the Eagles flat out built a better roster than he had. “We’re onto roster building.”

I was listening to the Will Cain show on my way home from work as I am often forced to because I’m too lazy to sync my phone to blue tooth sometimes. “It’s a short drive, I can handle it.” That what I tell myself as William babbles aimlessly about his opinions on sports. All of a sudden, my ears perked up as he was talking to a guest about trading Rob Gronkowski. I didn’t catch the guests’ name but he brought up how the Patriots tend to go with the element of surprise when it comes to trades. Before the Patriots traded Brandin Cooks to the Rams on Tuesday, this guy had already dismissed the possibility of Gronkowski being traded. Trading Cooks makes me believe that the Patriots want to keep Gronkowski around for 2018. It doesn’t make sense to trade both of your best weapons in the passing game in one offseason.

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I am back from my football blogging sabbatical and ready for the off season. I have no interest in this crumby Super Bowl, so I’m ready to dive right into the offseason. What better way to start than to review the 2017 season? There could have been stuff that you missed, you never know. Maybe something that you read in this will stick in your brain until your draft season in August. Will you remember which article you read it from? Probably not, It’s January.

I’m surprised you even clicked on this, you must be bored. What you will probably remember from my posts when your drafts roll around in August is my grotesque misunderstanding of English grammar. I’ll probably over use some commas, or not use enough commas. Do they teach 6th grade grammar at the local community college? Better yet, maybe you would prefer that I disperse of fantasy football knowledge through the use of emojis. That would be edgy, and no one has done it yet! (Simpsons did it!) Alright stop. I’m going to go through the quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends to let you know what stuck out to me this season. Today, let’s start with the quarterbacks and running backs.

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November 1, 2017 @ 1:30 PM: Me: have Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson on my team. Decide to shop Prescott to a rival league member who was struggling with Jameis Winston and Philip Rivers as his QBs.

November 1, 2017 @ 1:52 PM: Trade is accepted to send Prescott to other team member.

November 1, 2017 @ 2:04 PM: Text exchange with another league member:

November 2, 2017 @ 4:12 PM: Reports: Watson was limited in practice due to a sore knee. “lol”

November 2, 2017 @ 4:53 PM: Early reports: Watson might have torn his ACL, season possibly over. “lol”

November 2, 2017 @ 5:27 PM: Reports confirmed. Watson has torn his ACL and is done for the season. “lol”

November 3, 2017 @ 3:00 PM: Trade is processed. “lol…”

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Everyone knows the Rams moved from St. Louis to Los Angeles in 2016. Not everyone knows that yours truly did as well. And no, I did not follow the team to LA. I’m no Rams fan; for that matter neither were most of my friends and associates in St. Louis, and even if they were, it wasn’t like the love they showed for the Cardinals. The Rams didn’t have a good setup in the Lou; no tailgating, crappy stadium, bad location, terrible team. I’m not at all surprised they moved, and I doubt many have noticed in that baseball town.

Not surprisingly an embarrassing first season in LA led to poor fan support at games however things are looking up this season. Funnily enough, in either market, if the Rams put a good product out on the field people will go, and people are going now, to see the Goff and Gurley show. But before we get to the fun let’s just reiterate the rules: This is Free Agent Auction Bidding. Or FAAB for the faabulous ones, and we started the season with $100. By now we should have less. How much? I have an average of $25…

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Happy Halloween fantasy football team owners! Hopefully this week’s bye week teams won’t haunt you for the rest of the season. The league’s third-highest scoring QB (Tom Brady), best WR (Antonio Brown), two of the league’s best RBs (Le’Veon Bell and Melvin Gordon) and the league’s 2nd best TE (Rob Gronkowski) are all out this week so you’ll need to make smart adds to stay floating down here!

Speaking of Tom Brady — I need your help to solve an argument. I was discussing with some of my friends about who is the best player of all time in each of the four major sports. Hockey is obviously Wayne Gretzky, basketball is Michael Jordan (for now), baseball could be Barry Bonds, but who is the best NFL player of all time? I’m leaning towards Brady, but was told to “chill” on that assessment. What do you all think?

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