With the NFL’s ever increasing shift to throwing the football, the traditional running back that carries the football 30 times per game is becoming harder to find. Even NFL teams aren’t really worried too much about getting running backs. There wasn’t even one drafted in the first round this year! Fantasy owners have been told for years to stock pile running backs, and in the past that has been good advice. In today’s fantasy leagues, however, you have to draft the right kind of running backs.Please, blog, may I have some more?
The NFL Draft… I’m about drafted out. In the Cleveland area, local talk radio has been so Browns focused that I’m not even sure if we have a professional baseball team. Check that, we do… we just don’t have a closer, but I digress. Holding the draft three weeks later than last year just added to the amount of BS we had to sift through trying to figure out who was going where. As much as I would love to give you yet another recap of what happened, and it actually turned out to be a fairly exciting night, I’m moving forward.
Watching the NFL Draft is kind of like watching a R-rated movie when you were a teenager. Remember waiting with baited breath for some girl to rip her top off for no reason? That’s the draft. You watch a few lineman taken, a defensive back, where’s the QB??? This year we got our money shot early with Blake Bortles being drafted third. What we really want to know is: How will he and some other guy from Texas A&M do this year? I’m going to tell you about these two QBs this week, and a couple more next week.Please, blog, may I have some more?
The following post has some of my thoughts for the first three rounds of the draft. You can catch Jay’s thoughts on Round one here. I will be covering the players (either drafted or the players affected by the new draftees) that weren’t covered in-depth by Jay, and what this does to their value for the upcoming season in redraft leagues. All of my views will be for that of a standard (Non-PPR) scoring.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Although this is my first rodeo with Razzball, it’s not my first rodeo when it comes to writing about the NFL. One thing that I have learned about fantasy guy is that fantasy guy loves stats… And fantasy guy loves rankings. He wants to look at a chart and have the chart tell him who the best player is…
Fantasy guy also wants to see what other people think about a player… kind of. If you have a different opinion, fantasy guy loves to bombard you with stats to affirm the man crush they carry for a particular player. Looking for affirmation of his love for his third string tight end will often cause huge emotional swings for fantasy guy.
Here is my message for fantasy guy, as I am about to give you a couple more players I think will be over-rated in 2014: It’s not personal. Don’t go tearing up your 2014 mock draft based on my feelings. I put my pants on just like you do and there is a chance I might be wrong. It’s going to be okay.Please, blog, may I have some more?
After enjoying a great NCAA basketball game between Kentucky and Michigan and throwing about 100 pitches to my 11 year old son in the cage, I find myself sitting in front of the tube watching the the Dodgers and Padres game, and my mind immediately wanders to fantasy football. I’m still sick about how Reggie Bush and Adrian Peterson let me down late in the year and I ask the question, “Were these two guys over rated?” I grabbed Peterson with the first pick last year and Bush with my third. Having those two on the bench at the end of the year was like realizing what your first girl friend looks like without all that make up on. Extremely disappointing.
How do we stay out of the mess of picking guys too soon or paying too much for a player that could under perform? Stay away from the hype. Let’s take a look at a few players that are going to be highly touted next year, but aren’t going to bring home the bacon.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Out here on the fields. He fights for his meals. He puts his back into his living. And then he gets wasted! And says something really dumb that you probably shouldn’t click on while at work. Deadspin, ya couldn’t censor the word in your title? What the Eff…see? You can get the point across without actually saying it. Neverthewho! It seems that our media darling Riley Cooper has torn the fantasyniks asunder. One side of the camp will tell you he’s been extremely lucky with the production he’s had since week 6. I mean, he’s only averaging 6 targets per game during that span. Want a little perspective on how low that is? Well, over the last 4 weeks, he’s outscored Demaryius Thomas (10.75 TPG), Pierre Garcon (10.5 TPG) and AJ Green (11.5 TPG). So somehow, he’s squeezing similar or better production from 40%-45% less targets. REGRESSION ALERT! Right? Well, maybe not so fast. You see, chemistry is a crazy thing between QB and receiver. This Foles to Cooper love affair could be spotted last year as the season wound down and has carried into this year. It’s not just that Foles likes throwing to Cooper because he’s a great receiver – I don’t think he is – or because he’s especially fast – he’s not – but because he trusts him. Trust goes a long way in those relationships. I have no doubt Foles and Cooper would excel at a marriage retreat with trust exercises. Catch me Coop I’m falling into your loving arms! That’s Foles. He calls him Coop, trust me. All this to say, Foles is willing to throw dangerous passes Riley’s way because he knows he’ll fight for them. Plus Cooper has this going for him: he’s not the best receiver on his own team. But, but Sky…you said to buy him…why would I not want the best receiver on the team? That’s the great thing about Riley and his situation. He doesn’t have to be to get results. DeSean pulls the toughest corner more often than not, the ground game threat usually keeps the safety playing up tight and Cooper is left by his lonesome to do some damage against the second best coverage player on the team. And because this topic is getting ridiculously long, I’d like to finish with a few notes. Consider this the lightening round portion of your reading info-tainment. Since becoming a starter, Foles is averaging 26.4 attempts per game. Remember when we all said ‘these stats can’t be sustained because of low target totals’? Well, Cooper has been 22.7% of Foles’ targets during that span. Perspective? Aforementioned DT has been 22.7% of Peyton’s all year. Yup, for as explosive as the Eagles offense has been for the year, many forget they’re a run-first team and Foles hasn’t had to attempt many passes to garner the success he’s had. Oh and Cooper’s last game was regression? FUGGEDABAHDIT. Dropped a would be 40+ yard bomb of a touchdown and got dropped at the one inch line for another TD opportunity. Cooper is as real as he needs to be, just had a ‘bad’ game and is on bye. BuyBuy O’Riley indeed. In other buy/sell news for 2013 Fantasy Football…Please, blog, may I have some more?
I’m gonna take you back. Way, way back into the distant past…woah, too far! You’re wearing white flared pants and a white fitted imprinted jacket? And you’ve slicked your hair back…ok, ok, I get it. I’m quoting a disco song and you’re doing your best Travolta impersonation. Next time would you let me finish? You’ve made both of us look silly…well, mostly you but still, back to the point. What I was saying before I was rudely interrupted by your Saturday Night Fever was let’s go back into the distant past of August 2013. Can you picture it? Summer was still around but we knew football was right around the corner and you were planning for your drafts. Everyone knew Megatron was the belle of the wide receiver ball but who was gonna be the second best behind him? Would it be Brandon Marshall? Some said yes. AJ Green? Possibly. Well, many selected Dez Bryant as the #2 receiver according to rankings. And because you’re gonna ask, here. I had him as 4th best but in a tier of 3 other peers. How’s THAT for hedging. In either case, things haven’t been going so well for the highly touted Dez of late. Against a creampuff matchup with the Vikings, Dez totaled a measly 6 for 64 in week 9 and followed it up with an even worse 1/44 in week 10. And to top it all off? He’s gonna drop a goose egg this weekend on his owners. Mark. It. Down…yeah, he’s on bye. Notice how ‘bye week’ sounds a lot like ‘buy week’? Mmm-hmmm. Scuffling and on an offense that’s not been grooving of late and now on a bye, owners might forget why they spent that high of a price tag on him and let him slip for a bit less than he’s worth. VJax for Dez you say? Sure, I’ll sell. Jordy for Dez? Yeah, I’m in. All this to say, he’s had a few clunkers and hasn’t gone on a tear like he did last year to finish the season but who knows? Maybe he’s got a monster 6 week stretch ahead of him after the bye. At worst, he’s a top end product that’s produced bottom shelf results. If you can get him for less than he’s worth, it’s worth it. In other buy/sell news for 2013 Fantasy Football…Please, blog, may I have some more?
The season is at the midway point and as we journey into the second part of our lonely trudge into fantasy fame in some leagues and fantasy infamy in others, it gets harder and harder to get in on someone and call them a buy low. Too much work has been done at this point to point at a player and say ‘that guys underperforming’ or ‘that one’s clearly playing above his head’ or ‘he should’ve had a V8′. We’ve seen too much and know too much to be fooled by a bad game or two…but it never stops us from trying. And in the spirit of that, I’m here to talk to you about Marshawn Lynch. I’ve been ragging on the ‘hawks coaching staff of late and their offensive game plan and I think it’s fairly warranted. This is a team known for its run game, great defense and the heroics of RW3 when they’re needed. Lemme be the first of many to tell you, the heroics of a game generally aren’t needed until the 4th quarter. Heroics usually don’t watch their running back rush for nearly 50 yards on one drive in the first quarter only to turn the ball over on an interception and then go away from the run for another 2 and a half quarters to top it off. What I’m saying is, after 8 carries for 23 yards against a team defense that gave up almost 200 rushing yards to the Titans a week later, Lynch should’ve been feasting on the Bucs but he didn’t really get the chance to. Well I’m here to say I think the OC in Seattle has learned their lesson – ok, I’m hoping they have – and will go back to the style of ball that has put Seattle in the driver’s seat of the NFC West. Lynch is still on track for a good season – Nearly 1,650 total yards and 12 touchdowns is his current pace – but it only takes a couple of weeks without a touchdown for owners to get anxious. So go calm their fears and taste the rainbow while you’re at it. In other buy/sell news for 2013 Fantasy Football…Please, blog, may I have some more?
Normally I start these buy/sells off with a buy. I like to get you excited about getting ‘that one guy’ for cheap like I hope I did with Alfred Morris last week. Then I slowly ease you into what may be a call that you disapprove of or just don’t wanna hear. But this whole partially torn plantar fascia business is too big to ignore in my book and so I’m here to tell you to push the sell button on Jimmy Graham. The reason I say sell now can be summed up with a number: 18. That’s the amount of snaps Graham was in to play on on Sunday. Want more numbers to back up my stance? Cool, how about three. That’s the amount of targets he got in the game. Brees threw the ball 34 times in week 8. So Graham was a product of only 8.8% of Brees’ work on Sunday but no one cares because touchdowns. Specifically two of them. That saves a 3/37 day every time. Throw on the fact this game was after a bye week, do you want to hang your hat on that kind of production week in and week out? Our beloved Tehol mentioned a TE a couple of years ago who struggled through a similar injury. His name? Antonio Gates. Though statistically it wasn’t a bad year for Gates in 2010, he ended up only playing 10 games and bowed out during the time his owners needed him most: the playoffs. Now I’m not telling you the situation is exactly the same but do you really want to count on Graham to play through it and perform at the level you’re used to? Do you want to count on the Saints not sitting him at the end of the year if they have their division wrapped up to make sure he’s good to go for the playoffs? Basically, as a Graham owner you got a Joseph Fauria-type week and it masked a lot of things to be fearful of. He’s still a top 10 to 15 player so I’m saying you get out while the value is still there. I’d look to do a 2-2 trade where you take the ‘lesser’ TE and upgrade at another position in this scenario unless you have Reed or a player like him just waiting to take over for him on your team. Either way, I’d be getting out while the gettin’s good. In other buy/sell news for 2013 Fantasy Football…Please, blog, may I have some more?
Alright everybody. It’s that time. Grab your fingerless, studded leather gloves, tease your hair out so it looks like you stuck your finger in a light socket and send your red leather jacket through a paper shredder. Yes, we’re gonna rock out to some Billy Idol and listen to the buy low tale of Alfred Morris. But wait, what, huh? How’s a guy who’s performing well – currently a mid-range RB2 in most formats – be close to consideration as a buy low you ask? Well, under the hood there’s some stats. Morris is currently 4th in rushing yards per game (78.7), 8th in total rushing yards (472 with his bye week already passed), tied for second for 20+ yard runs on the year (5) and 4th in yards per attempt (5.2). With all of that, how in the world could he be underrated you ask? Simple: touchdowns. Morris is currently tied with a plethora – word of the day – of guys who are stuck at 3 rushing touchdowns ranging from Brandon Jacobs (yuck sauce) to Kendall Hunter (yes, a backup RB). This whole pile is 1 TD behind Morris’ teammate Roy Helu. You know, the guy who got every rushing TD in the game on Sunday. Three actually. Frustration creates opportunity if you’re ready to seize it. Given the dearth of injuries this last week and the steady nature of The Butler, a ROS RB6 or RB7 is well within sight and this could be your last chance to get in on that. Buy while you still can and let out a little Rebel Yell while you do. In other buy/sell news for 2013 Fantasy Football…Please, blog, may I have some more?