Don't be shellfish...Tweet about this on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on Google+Share on Reddit

In reality, I could write about three of these sleeper posts on wide receivers a week.  The position just lends itself to it.  Most leagues only start 3 with maybe a flex spot for a possible 4th but you really want an RB there.  So, if there are 32 teams and each team has about 3 starting receivers per team, that’s 96 wide receivers to account for.  Now subtract 36 from that number and you’ve got what’s left for either your bench or the FA pool in a 12 team league.  It’s like the anti-RB position where if you have a pulse and you’re a back up to DMC, you’re probably getting drafted.  But none of that has to do with the topic at hand, of course, that was merely food for thought.  Food?!?  What kind of food?!?  It was a turn of phrase, I.R.  You shouldn’t do that.  People out there might be hungry.  I’ll try to keep that in mind next time.  But enough about hot pockets and lean cuisines, I’m here to talk about a guy named Vincent Brown and how he’s a fantasy football sleeper for 2013…I’m gonna keep cutting myself short until we have 500 league signups (or thereabouts).  Before I direct your attention to Vincent, I’m going to redirect your attention to our Razzball Commenter Leagues Signup.  Like what all the kids at school said about your mom, it’s free and easy.  Want details?  Well that link I provided you should give you everything you ever (and maybe never) wanted to know about how to get the ball rolling.  There’ll be prizes as well if you need your fancy tickled.  And with that over, we’re now back to our regularly scheduled post…

So to understand why Vincent Brown is a sleeper, we need to take a journey.  A journey way back to preseason of 2012.  During this time, Brown was making quite a name for himself.  Even the the goofy mustached one – Philip Rivers – stated that ‘We know he was the MVP of training camp’ last year.  That was either a royal we or he’s making note that everyone in Chargers country felt he had a great camp.  As much ego as Rivers has, I could see guessing the first one but I’d bet on the second one given the context.  So, that’s good news to know: we’re not dealing with an unwanted/unknown entity here.  Couple that with him being the leading receiver last year in preseason for the Bolts with 6 catches for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns and it’s clear Vincent was becoming a viable year two receiver.  But of course, we aren’t playing off 2012 news, we need some 2013 goodness.  That goodness comes in the form of Vincent having not missed a beat according to teammates so far.  When you factor in a change of offensive scheme – shorter more conservative throws which benefits Rivers greatly – and that the Chargers are seeing him as the WR2 behind Alexander, there’s good reason to believe Vincent’s on his way to a solid campaign.  Considering he’s going as the WR52 consensus rank over at Fantasypros, you’re not spending much to take a chance on greatness here.

  1. DANgerous says:
    (link)

    Damn so DX was my 3rd wr. Great value too! 11th round in a 12 team league! Anyways I know you have Mike Willams ranked higher, but I was debating between him, Michael Floyd, and Mr.Vincent Brown. Then I come over here and there’s a sleeper post about Mr.Brown! Who would you go with, taking upside into consideration? I’m leaning towards Brown. I was offered Tate & Run DMC for Sjax…..tempting…..my other wr are Wallace and White. My rbs are Sjax & Murrary, and Montee. thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Ouch…yeah, just saw the injury news. Brown will move up my ranks once I’m back home (limited internet visiting relatives right now). I like Brown over all three in terms of upside due to ability AND opportunity. Brown becomes the WR1 there. Can’t say the same about the other two. I wouldn’t do that trade of SJax at all. Murray/DMC are low in my rankings this year and I’m not big on Montee either.

  2. stoopid says:
    (link)

    This post Jinxed DX! Booooo. I was so happy to have him as my WR3 considering I kept him for a 15th round pick. These are the top 10 names based on CBS fantasy projections. Who do you like as a pickup? I have L.Moore & K.Wright currently to slot in at WR3. .5 PPR

    M.Sanu
    M.Floyd
    Jacoby Jones
    DHB
    Burleson
    Kerley
    J.Wright
    Gibson
    S.Moss
    Quick
    Avery

    • stoopid says:
      (link)

      @stoopid: I did’nt realize CBS already had Floyd on the IR. So i picked him up and put him there. Still another spot for one of those other guys. Any upside in there?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I wrote it like two weeks ago! I swear it wasn’t me! Kerley is another boring/steady kinda guy; he’s not bad but I wouldn’t expect much. I’d give Wright a try there. Think Ponder’s noodle arm makes him a perfect slot candidate.

  3. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    if memory serves me well, which it didn’t because she brought me cold soup, wasn’t this guy in a sleeper post last year?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Your memory > my memory. I don’t believe I did but I did say he could be a nice late round HR swing if you had an IR spot. Looks even better for him now that he’s not competing with DX for targets.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @Sky: the mass consumption of mary jane for many years says otherwise, wait, San Diego, beautiful place to be….sorry football, I like Rivers, not personally, kinda a big douche, but his arm can be impressive, I like the new coach and I think they may be a team of fantasy sleepers.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          On all accounts I agree. I’m driving/vacationing so ill be a bit quiet in here today. Of wife kills me. You know the ropes. Talk later my man!

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
            (link)

            @Sky: have fun, say hi to the wifey for me

            • Sky

              Sky says:
              (link)

              Thanks Jack!

  4. Skyismyhero says:
    (link)

    Are you going to be releasing a cheatsheet that reflects your rankings soon? Or am I missing it? Thanks and keep up the good work!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’ll try my man!

  5. Ralph Lifshitz

    Dad Boner says:
    (link)

    Sky thoughts on my first draft ignore the kicker and Defense because that will change about a million times.
    14 team league…..

    1. LeSean McCoy (Phi – RB)
    2. Stevan Ridley (NE – RB)
    3. Antonio Brown (Pit – WR)
    4. Pierre Garcon (Was – WR)
    5. Jason Witten (Dal – TE)
    6. Daryl Richardson (StL – RB)
    7. Golden Tate (Sea – WR)
    8. Andre Brown (NYG – RB)
    9. Vincent Brown (SD – WR)
    10. Emmanuel Sanders (Pit – WR)
    11. Malcom Floyd (SD – WR)
    12. Jay Cutler (Chi – QB)
    13. Zac Stacy (StL – RB)
    14. Tampa Bay (TB – DEF)
    15. Billy Cundiff (NYJ – K)

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I like it. Good upside at backup RB/WR. Solid start.

  6. Moose Out Front says:
    (link)

    So does Brown crack your WR top 40 now that Alexander is gone?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Yeah I’m away from regular Internet this week. Need to evaluate but I definitely think so

  7. xtremehulk says:
    (link)

    great article sky! Loving the rankings as well.

    Im hung up on a keeper decision.
    PPR 12 team. $200 budget. 2QB 2WR 2RB 2FLEX

    Ive been offered a 3 for 1.
    Lynch $23, Julio $19, and my choice of David Wilson $10 or Lamar Miller $10 for Jimmy Graham $1.

    Overall thoughts on the trade? Which is the better PPR keeper, Wilson or Miller?

    • xtremehulk says:
      (link)

      @xtremehulk:

      FYI This is a 3 keeper max league and I dont really have any other potential keepers
      (Forte $32 and Garcon $10)

      • Sky

        Sky says:
        (link)

        Cool yeah. Graham is a ridiculously good value but his position is physical. It’s a good trade for you

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I’d take that. Great Graham value but good value amongst those three. I’d want Miller there. Trust his role more overall.

  8. Jeff says:
    (link)

    I’m seeing crazy RB heavy drafts early.

    In a 10 teamer – Why not be a contrarian and draft Megatron and Rodgers and Graham?

    Then just scrap around for platoon backs and hope to hit a few backups into studs?

    I guess I’m nuts but if draft some platoon guys – and hit the right side, and you get a starter out of B Pierce, B Brown or Ben Tate or a waiver wire guy you’d be pretty awesome.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Because platoon picks and hoping are just that. In terms of ease, TE, QB, WR are the easiest to fill with talent. Less potholes then your route with contrarian .

  9. I agree with you 100% about Vincent Brown. He was on my sleeper radar as a rookie and last year but always gets injured. When he was healthy he flashed some serious talent. That’s why I have him ranked #91 overall in my 2013 Draft Rankings. The Chargers are going to rely on passing heavily with Ryan Mathews being a very average runner and their team likely being behind in most games in 2013. Vincent Brown has a legitimate chance to be the WR1 on that offense and lead the team in both targets and receptions.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      All true things. Now with DX out, he will still be a value, just not as much of one.

      • @Sky: Yeah where do you rank Floyd? After looking over some of your other posts I feel like we have similar mindsets on a lot of players.

        I would love it if you gave me feedback on a site I’m working on:
        http://www.TheFFOracle.com

        I have updated my Top 150 rankings as of this morning.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          Hey Travis I’ll email ya at some point if you want to do some cross site analysis. I’m on vacation and away from regular access. Haven’t gotten to re-rank over the last week and a half but I’ll buzz ya.

  10. mpc says:
    (link)

    Hi Sky,

    I’m in a 16 team PPR keeper league and I have the 3rd pick in our upcoming draft. AP, Doug Martin, and Charles are all keepers and Arian Foster is hurt.

    Am I crazy to consider drafting Calvin Johnson at three overall in this scenario? I’m thinking Ray Rice will also be off the board once it’s my pick. My keepers are AJ Green in rd 5 and Cecil Shorts in round 8. So I’d roll into round 2 with 3 pretty darned good options at WR. I’d then more than likely take RBs back to back in rounds 2 and 3.

    Thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      In a keeper you’re not really drafting him third overall. I have no problem taking him there. Have him 4th overall on my board

  11. One Man Crusade says:
    (link)

    Brown has bug time potential and can be probably be had late. A lot of people (myself included) were high on him last year and he failed to deliver….which means he will be passed by the next hyped sleeper, making his return value extremely high. Brown is a guy I will target in both leagues I am in.

    I need as many sleeper WR picks as I can get….this will be the first time in 6 years I do not have a third WR kept on my roster when the draft starts.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Sounds like you should employ the WR strategy I showed on Tuesday as my favorite

      • One Man Crusade says:
        (link)

        @Sky: True

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          It does make Keenan Allen someone I’m targeting at least for benches in deeper leagues, though

  12. Beastman says:
    (link)

    Nice post Sky, Brown looks like a guy with tremendous upside considering Alexander’s injury history.

    Quick keeper question. Standard Yahoo league: Luck in the 11th round, or Gronk in the 7th?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Thanks Beastman! That’s a tough one, great values on both. I think you could get Luck cheaper if you threw him back but with all the Gronk injury news, I’d take the safer pick with Andrew.

  13. chisox22 says:
    (link)

    I’m in a 12 team performance scoring ppr league.. office pool some guys are decent but anyways we have 2 flex positions and qb can be used in flex. I kept peterson and j. Graham so won’t pick till the 3rd rou nd, with that said these guys overvalue the qb position so the run on them will start fairly quickly. I went with the late qb approach last uear and lost in championship cuz he had ryan and brady so when should or who should I target an when is a reach?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      If you made it to the championship your strategy did fine. I always zig when others zag. No such thing as a reach if the entire league is draftin them earlier then they should. Just redeploy your strategy.

  14. Frank White says:
    (link)

    So in my PPR keeper league I said I wanted to keep Cam and Cruz.. The thing is that i have B Marshall but if i keep him then we would only have him for a year. If I keep Cruz then I can keep him for 3 more years… What would you do??

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Stay Cruz

  15. smegma says:
    (link)

    Our league might be shifting rules regarding QB’s this year. We’re likely shifting from a 1 QB league to 2 QB league and going from 6 pts per TD pass down to 4 pts. We also won’t be adding another bench spot despite having extra QB. So, 10 team league with 5 bench spots with 3 WR, 2RB, 2QB, 1TE, 1K. How should my draft strategy change with 2 QB’s? They’ll score less than last year but I’ll also need 2 of them starting.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I would go cheap. I’d aim for the tail end QB1 players if they fall far enough in the draft (4th or further down). If not, take three QBs. One or two that’s boring but steady (think Flacco or Schaub) then take guys that’ll get passed over who still have upside for their price (think Rivers or Smith or Tannehill)

  16. Q says:
    (link)

    been doing PPR mock drafts on fantasy football calculator.com people draft the top 18 RBs in the first 2 rounds.
    Do you think I would be ok If i just took a 1st round RB + high end WRs then grabbed Mendenhall or something in round 5 or 6 with a lot of late round RBs as back up plans? I really don’t want to take a rookie rb or Demarco Murray over Andre Johnson or something.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      It’s reasonable. As always, let your draft dictate your path.

  17. Ron says:
    (link)

    Here is one for you Sky. Which of these teams look best so far?

    A) Forte, S. Jax, Graham, Bryant
    B) Forte, S. Jax, R. Bush, Bryant
    C) Forte, S. Jax, Bryant, Marshall

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      If you have a flex, B. if not then A

      • Ron says:
        (link)

        @Sky: Here is how the league is structured:
        QB
        RB
        WR
        WR
        RB/WR
        WR/TE
        DST

        You still going with B?
        K

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          As you only start 1 RB – most leagues start 2 – your flex is not really a normal flex spot. A is the option there

  18. reilljt0 says:
    (link)

    I’m in a new Keeper League. We can keep 2-4 guys, but if we keep 3 we lose 2nd round pick and if we keep 4 we lose both 1st and 2nd round pick. Here are my keeper options… Who should I keep? Brady, David Wilson, AJ Green, and Gronk. Not too great, but need to keep at least 2. Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Not bad at all really. I’d keep Wilson/Green and let the rest go.

      • ChiliCheeseConey says:
        (link)

        @Sky: No Gronk? Are the injury concerns just too much or are you worried he will be out until week 6?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          He said it has to be 2 or 4 and round picks are associated. Don’t think he needs to keep Brady and he could probably nab both back in the draft.

  19. Ron says:
    (link)

    12 team PPR snake draft I had a guy offer me his 5th round (pick 56) and 8th (pick 89) for two 6th round (picks 67, 71).

    The real get for me here is gaining another 5th round pick since I already have pick 50. Would you take his offer?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Sure, go for it

      • Ron says:
        (link)

        @Sky: I don’t want to beat this into the ground but I ALWAYS mess this stuff up.

        Am I reading too much into your “sure go for it” by thinking you sound less than thrilled by this offer? Are you saying you would do this?

        Thanks a lot for your patience!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          I’m of the mindset is you do with your picks no matter what they are. I don’t put much into trading draft picks because they’re not players. They don’t have value until you draft someone with it.

  20. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
    (link)

    SKYYYYY,

    here is my situation.
    League:
    12tm
    .5 PPR for RB and WR
    1 PPR for TE
    start, QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, RB/WR/TE

    I can keep 2 players that cost me absolutely nothing. The players I have that are eligible to keep are Colin Kapernick, Martellus Bennet, Jared Cook, Alshon Jeffery and Kendall Wright.

    Most would think that it is a no-brainer to keep Kaepernick and throw one of the TE’s back, however as noted above, this league TE’s are at a BIG VALUE (1 PPR) and you can start 2 Tight Ends each week (one at TE and one at FLEX).

    What are your thoughts? Do i keep the two tight ends and throw back / trade Kaepernick?

    It just seems that QB’s are going so late in drafts that I can find value, but with this scoring system I think both of these TE’s would probably be taken before kap.

    thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’m not at all high on Bennett. Keep Cook and Kaep. Don’t think your scoring system makes any TE an offensive juggernaut unless they are a key piece to the offense.

  21. Goldschmidt On Her Chest says:
    (link)

    In my league we keep 4 losing the next highest rd so people drafted in 1st rd are off team nexrt year
    As it stands right now I have
    A.morris 12th rd
    Kaepernick 11th rd
    Cruz 10th rd
    Foster 1st rd (9th pick overall) meaning he is off my team next year
    BUT I also drafted Ridley in 10th so I could lose Foster for Ridley in the 9th rd…
    Keeping his potential for the next few years and draft a steven jackson/forte type in the first…
    So basically Ridley 9th rd or Foster 1st rd…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d go Ridley there

  22. Frank White says:
    (link)

    Sup Sky… My other League is a regular PPR.. Do you think it’s a good idea to draft 2 RB’s first??

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Yes

  23. Frank White says:
    (link)

    Hey if available.. do you like Bush as a 2nd RB?? Especially in a PPR?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Yup

  24. Clint (aka Pablo Death) says:
    (link)

    I like VB but I bet his ADP’s skyrocketed now that Alexander’s on IR for 2013. This is one of those rare times I wish my fantasy draft was earlier than week 3 of preseason.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I mentioned that in a comment above. Now the question will be if Keenan Allen can get healthy enough and up to speed to take on a bigger role. He’ll be the value play there if so. Malcom is so meh…

Comments are closed.