We’re approaching the end of worthwhile adds and into the adding good backups for the rest of the season. You usually don’t have to spend FAAB dollars on backups but you might this week in the case of Alex Mattison, who is continually proving he’s the best backup RB in the NFL (and if you’ve been reading weekly you would’ve added him weeks ago). From here on out the highest bids/added guys are going to be because of injury. So why not hedge those bets and load up your roster with those guys now as opposed to a fringe starter or a WR4 that might hit but probably won’t. By this point in the season you should’ve spent some FAAB money so we’re updating the amount we have at this point to $25; if you have more by all means add it to the dollar amounts listed here:

$22 – Brian Hill, RB, ATL (3% Y!, 1% ESPN) Exactly what I mention in the opening is why he’s the add of the week. Devonta has not been himself (same could be said about the Falcons overall) and Ito Smith is on the IR so Hill is the guy if Freeman misses time. As a Freeman owner (feel bad for me) in a couple leagues I’m spending the rest of my cash on him and looking to make any backup adds after the waiver period ends.

$19 – Derrius Guice, RB, WAS (37% Y!, 39% ESPN) He’s on a bad team and Peterson still lurks…what an endorsement, right? Positively speaking he ran a 4.49 40 at the combine and is a solid sized RB at 5’11 & 225 lbs. Washington plays the Jets this week followed by the worst run D in the league, the Lions, after that. Fact is I’d rather have him the week before he goes off than the week after, know what I’m sayin?

$9 – Darius Slayton, WR, NYG (10% Y!, 13% ESPN) What a game on Sunday with a 10/121/2 line. A bye this week followed by a matchup versus the Bears is no bueno, so he’s really more for use for the playoffs and thus I wouldn’t spend a lot on him. Pro tip: if you really want him and someone pays more just add him after he has a subpar game versus the Bears in two weeks. That’s my plan.

$8 – Alex Mattison, RB, MIN (29% Y!, 20% ESPN) If needed can fill in at FLEX even with Cook starting.

$6 (Max) Wide Receivers DeVante Parker, James Washington, Dionte Johnson, Mecole Hardman, Cole Beasley, Auden Tate, Dede Westbrook, Deebo Samuel – I’m looking to add these guys (in this order) after waivers clear, but depending on your league, you may have to pay for them now; as such pay up to $6 for the one you like (in three WR+ leagues preferably).

$4- Nyheim Hines, RB, IND (18% Y!, 30% ESPN) As much as I want Marlon Mack to be the undisputed lead back in Indy, he’s not. Hines is solid and can also be a FLEX play in the right situations.

No QB or TE was a must add this week, so pay what you need but none I’d pay more than a couple bucks on.

$1 Defenses: OAK vs CIN (bonus! the Raiders travel to NYJ next week)…besides that it doesn’t look good for streaming defenses; maybe JAX @ IND if Jacoby doesn’t play or DAL @ DET if Stafford doesn’t. Either should be available after the waiver period clears so save you buck.

 

Exercise Time! Starting with $100 week one, these are the guys I’ve already won this season:

Week 2: Terry McLaurin ($26), Josh Allen ($3) and Golden Tate ($4)

Week 3: Demarcus Robinson for $19, Deebo Samuel for $7 and Ten D for $1

Week 4: Jamaal Williams for $12, Parris Campbell for $2

Week 5: Nada

Week 6: Vance McDonald for $3

Week 7: New Orleans D for $1

Week 8: Seattle D for $1, Alex Mattison for $3, Derrius Guice $1

Week 9: Auden Tate for $4

Week 10: Baltimore D for $3

$10 left, and have already added guys like Mattison and Guice from this week’s list back in Week 8 and feel good riding the Baltimore D the rest of the way. I’ll put in a $10 bid on Smith in my leagues, but I doubt I get him, we’ll see so most likely this week is a hold.

I was reading another website that does FAAB bidding and they gave recommendations on how much to spend as a percentage based on how many FAAB dollars you have left. That’s an interesting concept and I debated it’s merits in my head as I was working on this week’s post. A major issue with FAAB is that it is very league dependent obviously; so I’m (usually) operating under the impression of a .5 PPR, 12-team league; many of us play in 10-team leagues, or 1 pt PPR, or Superflex, or IDP or some combination of all.

What giving a percentage does is attempt to budget for the rest of the season; but as of this point in the season you shouldn’t have much money left. It doesn’t mean that every guy you added was worth it (and boy, isn’t that truth? When I review next week we’re going to see many overpays; Ty Johnson I’m side-eying you) but that the reason you have FAAB bucks is to spend them. So when the money starts to get tight, that’s when the all-in bids make sense, because why not? My only (minor) caveat here is if you’ve been streaming Defenses; if that’s the case holding a few bucks back to get your Defenses right for the playoff push is the right move.

As always, if there is a guy I missed bring them up in the comments and I’ll give them a price. Enjoy the games Razzballers and Razzballettes!

  1. CMUTIMMAH says:
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    “$10 left, and have already added guys like Mattison and Guice from this week’s list back in Week 8 and feel good riding the Baltimore D the rest of the way. I’ll put in a $10 bid on Smith in my leagues, but I doubt I get him, we’ll see so most likely this week is a hold.”

    Do you mean Hill?

    Should I be burning waiver priority on Hill at this point? No guarantees there’s another option in the next weeks, but also no guarantees Hill is a must start going forward…

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      Hill, yes, I still had Ito Smith in my brain I guess. I agree, but at this point, when’s the next guy coming along? Guice is fine too, and he should be starter, but is Washington going to give him enough to be valuable? So I’m going in on Hill, a lot of things to like about him besides his size and speed. Freeman could likely be gone after this season (though that leaves about $6mil in dead cap space) and the season is a bust, so why not feature a healthy Hill over a banged up Freeman the rest of the way?

      That was a very positive take on Hill I know, but I’m all about that positivity!

  2. Cram It says:
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    You’re saying you’d spend $22 out of $25 for Hill? So if I have $71 you’d spend around $60?

    *I have Zeke and Cook and will make the postseason, but kind of a crapshoot at FLEX every week for me with WR3s and Jamaal Williams and Mattison as my only other RBs

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      The math is tough when you have more left, but I’d see no problem with spending $45 out of $71 on him. A lot of my thought process is what other options are going to be better going forward? Mainly backups that get thrust into roles, Jamaal & Mattison prime examples. Also, I think there’s a lot to like about Hill and the Falcons may very well give him the chance.

      If Hill winds up not doing much…he’s still going to do more than Ty Johnson (damn you Ty!)

  3. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    12 teamer PPR redraft. traded henry for dak attack (lost ben to start year). record finally catching up with points and i’m near playoff lock as a top 2 scoring team now. but in case lockett is out longer than a week with a blood thing from a deep bruise i could trade m.ryan for sanders (hurt) or chark (that owner asked me this on sunday before game times). ryan was very stupidly dropped in this money league by a dumbshit when he was hurt for one total week. now that guy is streaming carr and the like. return yardage worth half of scrimmage so lockett didn’t even have that bad of a week 10.
    QB (1) dak, ryan
    RB (2) AAron, jacobs, RJ2, j-will, guice
    WR (2): lockett (might not be able to IR him this week as he’s on bye and won’t get the “out” tag), kupp, j.brown, sutton, adams
    TE (1): hollister (THIS was nice that he played the late game so i could IR kittle and get value and still win without having to drop anybody useful)
    1 flex
    IR kittle

    so trade ryan for chark here (or sanders). dak’s ROS is probably worse than ryan’s

    dak: @ DET, @ NE (not playoffs yet though), vs BUF, @ CHI, vs LAR, @ PHI
    ryan: @ CAR, vs TB, vs NO, vs CAR, @ SF, vs JAX

    2. opp’s got more RB depth than WR depth. what about d-will for ryan? (he might want a RB (guice here likely)) back on that. if we’re to believe SEA’s coach lockett isn’t that messed up (albeit SEA coach has a top 5ish history of injury lies in the past)

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      Ryan for Chark mos def; Though I see why you’d hesitate as @ NE and @CHI could be stumbling blocks, though if you’re close to a lock I’d roll with him those weeks, the rest is a go. Hollister, I did the exact same in my Kittle league; thank god, really one of those weird occurrences, doubtful to happen again, you know?

      Agree on going after Dwill first, then Chark. Chark is enough of an upgrade over J Brown, so a chark/dwill for ryan/guice? (If he wants Guice back)

      Even without knowing Lockett’s status I’d minimum do Chark for Ryan.

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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        he won’t do d-will AND chark here, i was wondering which of those first since he’ll probably do either one.

        – this week with kittle, he’s got a late day sunday gametime so we’ll have other options (but have to drop hollister since he’s off).

        • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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          obviously we’d have FAR more options IF SF rules kittle out earlier, but that’s probably not gonna happen.

          • Phil B.

            Phil B. says:
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            For real, they better not pull that shit again this week. In your situation, much rather have Dwill; since Chark is just extra with your current group

            • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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              turns out MF’ing trade deadline was a few days ago anyway. yuck, i never remember to check those things (i’m used to running dynasty leagues with no trade deadline), i get having one for redrafts, but why not in the playoffs only, not 3 weeks before playoffs. that was my thinking on my RB depth vs WR depth, if lockett really isn’t that bad off (something that SEA’s known to lie in the past coach assures us 3 times now at least) chark wouldn’t probably ever play over adams, lockett (with return yardage esp), kupp anyway. RB depth you can almost never have too much of.

              • Phil B.

                Phil B. says:
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                Stupid trade deadline, same thing happened to me this week. I assumed it was farther off, because why not? 3 weeks before, especially in leagues that take 6 to playoffs, is so dumb. In my leagues like that only 2 or 3 teams at most are eliminated as of now.

                Agree Chark wouldn’t have started for your team, and nothing wrong with the RB depth, but trade would’ve been nice and helpful

  4. doit? says:
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    keeper league:
    a player can only be kept for 3 years: 12 team, 2 qb league

    give: dehaun Watson (cant be kept), dvante adams ($70), jared goff
    get: lamar Jackson ($1), Jarvis landry ($5), and sam darnold

    the play is to grab Jackson as a keeper. team is 4-6 and unlikely to make the playoffs, would be trading to a 9-1 team.

    thanks.

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      I’d remove Goff and Darnold and deal. But even if not, Jackson at $1 seems ridiculous and I’d do it.

  5. Jingle Dahl the Way says:
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    I’ve got Fells at my TE spot at the moment. Do you like Rudolph or Hollister over him? If not, who do you prefer between Rudolph or Hollister?

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      All close. As of now Fells, Hollister, Rudolph

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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        but the targets on hollister, still true? fells’ TD rate is nutzo of course, but HOU has another TE back of IR shortly if not already. j.thomas pretty sure. i also have fells starting where i could obtain cook and i might do cook.

        • Phil B.

          Phil B. says:
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          I like Fells best because he has established the longest repertoire with his QB. Hollister looks like a great add; as he had a great game and saw a lot of targets, just hard to see consistency, but that’s been how it is for TEs. I could see Cook over Fells, but its really close between all 3

  6. The Hot One says:
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    Which D would you rather stream?

    OAK vs. Cin
    NYJ vs. Was

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      OAK is who I am running with

  7. bidzior says:
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    The projections on Hardman seem bleak. A backup low snap percentage WR4 for KC. So why is he a $6 add? Is it because you think his snap percentage will increase?

    • The Harrow says:
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      he’s in the “max 6” group, for most leagues i doubt you’d need to pay near that, and in the ones you would are probably VERY deep leagues. also one likely reason the number is that high is since we’re so late in the year he’s making sure you get the players you could possibly want (i.e. leaving yourself with FAAB money at end of season AND you didn’t get the players you wanted isn’t good). here i’d personally rather have all 3 of tate (since erickson isn’t healthy yet and green seems never coming back), deebo (since sanders and kittle hurt), and dede over hardman.

      • Phil B.

        Phil B. says:
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        Depends on who’s owned, you know? If you’re in a 3 or 4 WR 10+ team league, Hardman is definitely in play. His boom/bust potential is great, personally as my #3 or #4 WR I’d rather have that than a higher floor, but to each their own. I said up to $6 because maybe people have a lot of cash (or more than $25) and thus would be more apt to spend it. I can’t argue with your order, as I like all 3 guys you listed as well. But all of those 3 are higher floor guys to me

        • The Harrow says:
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          that’s true, a super fast guy on KC certainly has a higher floor than tate/dede for sure, and deebo if/when kittle/sanders are back.

          • The Harrow says:
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            sorry, hardman has higher CEILING, not floor, than those.

            • Phil B.

              Phil B. says:
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              I gotcha. Tate got screwed by Dalton’s benching; but in a keeper or dynasty I like him the most.

              • The Harrow says:
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                i’m going deebo in a dynasty, that guy got the highest grades and was comped to a hines ward/s.smith (s.smith south, CAR). i have aj brown in majority of dynasties out of the this year WR crop, but it’s only since deebo went just before me in those. harry actually higher than these, but of course he’ll probably have next to no this year value and harry went even higher than deebo in most dynasties from grades and being on NE (assuming good sized benches as it was clear harry had the worst this year value likely)

                • Phil B.

                  Phil B. says:
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                  Totally with you on AJ Brown. I can see Deebo over Tate, its the run heavy + Garropolo; however Tate’s situation is worse. Harry not even sure what to do with; NE never drafts WRs high that I can recall.

                  • The Harrow says:
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                    exactly on harry, i’m looking at it now, i forgot he was the 2nd highest drafted WR (m.brown 7 picks earlier) and was only the 6th draft graded guy (metcalf 1st, but metcalf also had the most character negatives, albeit he’s the closest graded to megatron in a while). aj brown/deebo/parris campbell had the highest short term negatives (team situations, SF running team, TEN with mariota, losing a.luck etc)

  8. Yr Never Too Old for Balloons says:
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    ROS for 20 team PPR redraft, this is for worst RB on team (also have lat murray, AAron, white, samuels, mal brown). rank these: edmonds (PIT, so my jay sam backup), pollard (handcuff in good situation if one injury), mal brown (not even sure if he’d be the biggest gainer if gurley went out now and LAR offense (esp running game) ain’t great either), bonnafon (similar to pollard).

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      Edmonds (now that Conner is shelved obvs), Pollard, Bonnafon, Brown. I think Rams would look Henderson first, but if they used them both for Gurley I wouldn’t be surprised.

  9. Mordacious Levator says:
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    12 team PPR. keep one (barkley, easily). RB thin here (lost carry-on, now i’m left holding the baggage)
    QB (1): j.allen, goff (6 pt TD throws league, and 6 pt bonuses for going over 300 throwing (had been goff’s bag in past seasons), 6 pt bonuses for rushing/receiving over 100 yards too)
    RB (2): barkley, mckissic (him or guice this week too), gore, mack, guice
    WR (2): pascal, samuel, edelman (return yards worth same as scrimmage, but this year edelman’s gotten far less return work than most seasons), mclaurin
    TE (1): henry (bye coming up), cook
    1 flex
    IR (1) green (although i might be better off putting c.thompson in here when he gets ruled out)
    K: gay
    DEF (1): BAL/OAK (OAK’s weeks 11 and 12 are awesome, meanwhile BAL destroys people sometimes and hasn’t gone under 13 pts in this league since week 4, and has this playoff schedule (@ BUF, vs NYJ, @ CLE, which has to be the best playoff schedule i’ve heard about, BAL got a 30 in this league last week, these scores since week 4, 13, 14, 25, 30)

    only waiting for yahoo to catch up to green’s out tag, when he gets it,

    1. best add out of: gallman (barkley went for MRI on shoulder, we won’t hear the news for a bit since he’s on bye, but if i wait for that gallman might be grabbed by somebody), ty-jo, c.thompson (could IR him over green too in not too long), conley, mccoy (just in case walrus 5th guesses himself or whatever number he’s up to on jerking some RB around for playing time), walton?

    2. mayfield over goff here?

    • Mordacious Levator says:
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      3. one of those FA RB’s over gore here? i guess gore would have good value if singletary went out again of course.

      • Phil B.

        Phil B. says:
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        Not a Marlon Mack fan? He’s solid, though I obvs worry about Hines.

        Anyhoo, out of those adds, its Gallman then thompson. Ty-Jo is no help in PPR to me, McCoy appears done, and Walton isn’t long for the league. Conley just is caught up with too many other options for the Jags, especially now that Dede is back in the mix.

        I could see dropping Gore for Gallman as he’s the better backup for now. For Thompson as well.

        I’m doing the same D-wise in a league, so obvs I agree with your plan.

        I’d go Mayfield over Goff for RoS.

        • Mordacious Levator says:
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          oh no, got nothing against mack at all. mckissic is starting this week (or guice) since barkley is on bye. from a football guys report from last year i like wilkins too if mack were to go out, and in deeper-benched-mack leagues i have wilkins too. yeah ty-jo i had the first week after carry-on went out (later dropped for mckissic, as either dola or mckissic have taken up that RB who’s really just getting catches rid dick role since, actually had dola right after he stopped doing that part too, later dropped for week 12 TE cook)

          • Phil B.

            Phil B. says:
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            I feel like Mack a bit underrated; when I saw you mention him behind gore I thought you were not loving him. I just can’t get on board with McKissic, though PPR he should be owned; ty may be a sneaky own next year.

            • Mordacious Leavator says:
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              that order wasn’t value based, just as it came to my memory. gore’s last in that order.

              • Phil B.

                Phil B. says:
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                No doubt about that. Gore is the weakest link

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