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We talked last week about how the role of the every-down workhorse running back in today’s NFL has pretty much disappeared. After your Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry, who are top tier backs that carry the bulk of their backfield’s workload, most of the other backs have some shared workload. After you get through the first few rounds in your draft, you land in that questionable territory at running back. This is the point where there are many backs who are going to be in a split backfield situation of some sort. This two-part series is made to look at some of those backfields and make heads or tails of them. In Part 1, we looked at Tampa Bay, Arizona and Las Vegas. Today, we will examine a few more muddy situations and I will answer the question of “Which back are you backing?”
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Before you go any further if you haven’t read the previous articles from this series, we recommend you do so. You can find some of those articles here:
Points Per Rush Attempt Analysis for 2021 Fantasy Football
Fantasy Points Per Reception – Running Back Edition Part 1
Fantasy Points Per Reception – Wide Receiver Edition Part 1
In this article we break down Fantasy Points Per Reception or FPPR positive regression candidates from 2020 at the tight end position. The goal of this article is to help you identify players who will potentially outkick their ADP in 2021.
A couple things you might want to know first. The league average FPPR for tight ends over the past 10 seasons is 1.93. For a tight end to see one point more per game they need to average three receptions per game and see an increase in FPPR of .35.
2021 FPPR Positive Regression Candidates
Player: Gerald Everett
2020 FPPR: 1.66
Career avg. FPPR: 2.10
FPPR Variance: -21%
Please, blog, may I have some more?B_Don and Donkey Teeth are back as we prep for the 2 big draft weekends. We start by touching on the Travis Etienne injury by discussing what it means for his dynasty value, and James Robinson’s redraft ranking. After some less than ideal results, we discuss if there should be any concerns over rookie phenom, Ja’Marr Chase.
We get you ready for draft weekend with a run of, would you rather? CIN WRs, ARI RBs, SF RBs, TB WRs, and some of the other more confusing situations.
We are also filling the podcast redraft league. It will be an auction, slow or fast depends on when we start. There will be a $50 buy in and a spot in next year’s RazzBowl up for grabs! Message @RazzBDon or @DonkeyTeeth87 if you want in.
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When I was younger, I was into brand-name frivolity and what amounted to living my life for other people. I was fortunate to have come from a middle-class family and been able to have well-paying jobs. While I did enjoy some five-finger discounts from time to time, most of the time, I’d spend casually since I had the resources. After I matured and met my wife…Or was it the other way around? Anyways, at some point, I did both and have become more frugal and price-conscious over the years. Having two kids accelerates the process for sure. My wife is always looking for deals and is really good from that perspective. Is it because she grew up poor or is it in her Chinese blood? Probably both but it’s rubbed off on me, especially on the fantasy streets. I love getting production at a discount and two players who stood out to me when scrolling through the NFFC ADP data were Jakobi Meyers and Gus Edwards. Let’s break it down.
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This may shock you, but in my youth, I was a stubborn jackass. As most of us know, the world has a way of humbling us arrogant fools sooner or later. Life naturally and systematically grinds the ego down, and if we choose to surrender, there’s unfathomable joy waiting. Joy in the form of fantasy football glory and scores of very attractive women (or men if you’re into that) fawning after you. But step one: we must surrender. We must look ourselves in the mirror and admit we were wrong about Taysom Hill. We must grovel at the feet of Ben Roethlisberger. We must massage the loins of Kerryon Johnson. What I’m saying is, most of this post is about what I’ve been wrong about—granted, it’s difficult to take victory laps before the preseason has even ended. Anyway, here’s who’s moving most in my rankings in recent days, along with my updated top 200 rankings for 2021 fantasy football:
Please, blog, may I have some more?It’s rankings time! What does it mean? says Jack Skellington, obsessing over the list with a haunted magnifying glass. Well, if you know me, it doesn’t mean a whole lot. Rankings are merely an attempt at clairvoyance, and I can tell you my subscription to CrystalBall.com ran out. Let’s summarize my fantasy sports philosophy:
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One of the things I value most whether it be in film, music, or literature, is originality. When you get a hold of something with a truly fresh concept, it is mind-blowing. I remember the first time I saw Robert Downey Sr.’s Putney Swope. I had never seen humor and satire done in such a confrontational and blunt manner. I was used to the kind of satire found in the early works of Mel Brooks and Stanley Kubrick’s Dr. Strangelove. Incredible works on their own, but Putney Swope was truly another level for me. If you’ve never seen the film, it tells the story of the only minority executive member of an advertising firm, who is accidentally put in charge after the sudden death of the chairman of the board. Restricted by the company by-laws from voting for themselves, members voted by secret ballot for the one person they thought would never win: Putney Swope. It is hilarious, raw, and confronts the race issues of the late ’60s as I had never seen before. Originality is paramount when it comes to me consuming my content. That being said, today I am to talk about sleepers for this 2021 season.
What’s even better than one set of picks? A whole slew of picks from many different people! It’s time to see the sane picks, the wild picks, the bold picks, and the bland picks. Too bad we didn’t include the ab pics? Next time, next time. But for this time, let’s jump in and see what the Razzbois have to say about their favorite picks for 2021 fantasy football:
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Part of me wondered if anyone would even notice if I only ranked the top 10 tight ends for 2021 fantasy football. We all remember what Confuscious said, “If a fantasy football tight end ranking post falls in the forest and nobody’s there to read, then did it happen?” I believe Confuscious also told us to draft Darren Waller each of the last two seasons. Wait. No. That was Donkey Teeth. People confuse the two of us so often that sometimes I get confused myself. Identity crises aside, someone must rank the Irv Smiths and the Adam Trautmans of the world, so why not Confuscious Teeth? If you’re just looking for a plain old list of rankings without the fluff, you can stop right here and go check out my top 200 for 2021 fantasy football. Anyway, here’s my top 20 tight ends for 2021 fantasy football:
Click here to see all 2021 Fantasy Football Tiered Rankings.
*Note: These rankings are geared toward half PPR scoring. Projections provided in this season’s rankings are NOT my own, they come from Rudy Gamble’s World-Renowned 2021 Fantasy Football Projections. These preseason projections are available free of charge, while Rudy’s in-season weekly projection subscription is currently available until August 31st at an early bird discounted price of only $17.99 for the entire season! These are the same weekly projections that won Rudy Gamble the FantasyPros designation of “Best Bold Ranker” for the years 2017-2019 (and likely 2020!).
Please, blog, may I have some more?If there’s one buzzword that coaches absolutely love to use this time of year, it’s “competition.” Hey coach, how’s your first round rookie looking? “He’s competing every day, and that’s all we can ask of him.” Wow, thanks… Or how about this one? “We love the additions we made through free agency and the draft, it’s added some great competition to our locker room, and it’s pushing everyone to be better.” Blah, blah, blah. These guys really know how to say something without saying a thing don’t they? In all honesty, most of the competition happens on the back end of the roster, as teams have to decide who to keep and who to cut as they trim the roster to 53 players. Most of these decisions don’t have a major impact on fantasy football, as we already have a good idea who the impact players are. There are always a few legitimate competitions, however, that WILL make a difference for your IDP rosters. Since coaches rarely tell us exactly what their plans are, I’m here to help you read the tea leaves for one of the top defensive battles in the league, the Dallas Cowboys linebackers.
Please, blog, may I have some more?In this article, we break down Fantasy Points Per Reception or FPPR regression candidates from 2020 at the wide receiver position. The goal of this article is to help you identify players to potentially fade in 2021.
A couple of things you might want to know first. The league average FPPR for wide receivers over the past 10 seasons is 2.19. For a wide receiver to see one point less per game they need to average four receptions per game and see a decrease in FPPR of .25.
Please, blog, may I have some more?The role of the every-down workhorse running back in todays NFL has pretty much disappeared. Guys like Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry are top tier backs who carry the bulk of their backfield’s workload, but even Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb and Ezekiel Elliot all have other backs who could be a thorn in their sides. After you get through the first few rounds in your draft, you land in that questionable territory at running back. This is the point where there are many backs who are going to be in a split backfield situation of some sort. This two-part series will look at some of those backfields and I will answer the question of “Which back are you backing?”
Please, blog, may I have some more?