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2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Updated: | Maintained by

Click column headers to sort results. Use text boxes to filter results (* is a wildcard, | is an or so *beckham*|*fuller* would display Odell Beckham Jr. and Will Fuller).

Download Table as CSV
Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output

#NamePosTeamSTD PTS1/2PPR PTSPPR PTSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDIntRushRush YdsRun TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TD
Brock PurdyQBSF18.318.318.322322821.50.74170.10000.0
Patrick MahomesQBKC18.218.218.226363021.60.83140.10000.0
Christian McCaffreyRBSF18.921.223.40000.00.019930.665400.3
Isiah PachecoRBKC15.917.719.40000.00.019800.753290.2
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBKC2.53.03.60000.00.0280.021110.1
Kyle JuszczykRBSF2.43.24.00000.00.0140.122130.1
Elijah MitchellRBSF1.51.61.70000.00.0270.10020.0
Rashee RiceWRKC10.813.616.30000.00.0000.086820.4
Deebo SamuelWRSF10.312.414.50000.00.02140.164590.4
Brandon AiyukWRSF9.311.614.00000.00.0000.075760.3
Justin WatsonWRKC3.94.95.90000.00.0000.032310.1
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRKC3.84.95.90000.00.0000.032320.1
Skyy MooreWRKC3.54.75.80000.00.0010.042260.1
Jauan JenningsWRSF3.03.94.80000.00.0000.032240.1
Chris ConleyWRSF0.70.91.10000.00.0000.01050.0
Kadarius ToneyWRKC0.60.81.00000.00.0010.01040.0
Ray-Ray McCloudWRSF0.40.50.70000.00.0000.00030.0
Mecole Hardman Jr.WRKC0.40.60.70000.00.0000.00030.0
Richie James Jr.WRKC0.30.40.40000.00.0000.00020.0
George KittleTESF7.69.812.00000.00.0000.064560.3
Travis KelceTEKC7.19.812.50000.00.0000.065530.3
Noah GrayTEKC3.04.25.40000.00.0000.032230.1
Blake BellTEKC0.81.11.50000.00.0000.01160.0
Charlie WoernerTESF0.30.40.60000.00.0000.00020.0
Brayden WillisTESF0.20.20.30000.00.0000.00010.0
Jake MoodyKSF8.18.18.10000.00.0000.00000.0
Harrison ButkerKKC7.77.77.70000.00.0000.00000.0
SF DefenseDEFSF5.75.75.70000.00.0000.00000.0
KC DefenseDEFKC5.25.25.20000.00.0000.00000.0

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Oliver
Oliver
9 years ago

Awesome! Thanks!

May be a silly question, but in your projections, are you counting 0.1 pt per yard or is it actually 1 for every 10? So if a player rushes for 99 yards, do they get 9.9 or 9 points?

Jay
9 years ago
Reply to  Oliver

No probe! And it would be 9.9.

Aubrey Plaza's Pillow
Aubrey Plaza's Pillow
8 years ago
Reply to  Jay

@Jay: good, none of that rounding b.s.

Jay
8 years ago

@Aubrey Plaza’s Pillow: My goal is always less work for everyone, including myself.

Aubrey Plaza's Pillow
Aubrey Plaza's Pillow
8 years ago
Reply to  Jay

@Jay: and you get accuracy thrown in for free, how nice.

Matt
Matt
8 years ago

Question:

I’m in a 2 QBkeeper league and already have my 2 QB’s, my RB, 2 WR, TE and an additional WR. I have the 1st pick and my current RB is Lacy. We play with defensive players as well. Should I take Hill (best available player) as a backup RB or should I draft for need and take a defensive player which isn’t as flashy but would fill my defensive needs?

Wagner (LB), Jones (DL) & Posluszny (LB) are available

Thanks

Jay
8 years ago
Reply to  Matt

@Matt: This might be a better q for Kevin, but I’d go Hill.

Charles
Charles
8 years ago

Any way to put a comment somewhere to tell us when the projections were last updated?

Jay
8 years ago
Reply to  Charles

They are updated every Sunday, and should be updated tomorrow for the next batch. But yeah, on the next iteration, I’ll add those dates in, good catch there.

Mattyo
Mattyo
7 years ago

Hey Jay – thanks so much for doing this. You guys are great. You have the team in the POS column – any chance you can get that fixed so downloaded Excel file is sortable by POS?

Jay
7 years ago
Reply to  Mattyo

Yeah, we’ve had the same issue with the auction tables too. I’m working with Rudy to get those fixed. Thanks for the heads up!

Jay
7 years ago
Reply to  Mattyo

@Mattyo: Should be fixed now!

Jeebers
Jeebers
7 years ago

Super solid ranks, ESPN is driving me nuts. Keeper question: do you go for the higher ceiling of K Benjamin, or the higher floor of Cobb? Gotta pick one.

Jay
7 years ago
Reply to  Jeebers

@Jeebers: I think in keeper leagues, if you can roll with it, Benjamin seems like a good bet. But if you need Cobb to go for the championship, I would go that direction.

Deuce
Deuce
7 years ago

You really think Mark Sanchez will get the majority of reps in Denver?

Jay
7 years ago
Reply to  Deuce

@Deuce: Probably wishful thinking, I always want to watch Nacho start for maximum entertainment value, but this is one of those things that will probably be updated next week.

Tony
Tony
7 years ago

Does creating your projections affect your rankings? Like you have Luck projected higher than Newton, but you’d still take Newton first because he has a higher floor? Do you find yourself going over your rankings after an exercise like this?

Jay
7 years ago
Reply to  Tony

@Tony: Rankings are more feeling than scientific, based on draft value, hype, trends, etc. Not to say I just shoot from the hip, but the projections are much more scientific. I take the last three years numbers, form a median, calculate the fluctuations, and then find how the player trended. I then take their games played, and try to add the missing projections from that. And then once I have all the numbers in front of me, I do my own edits compared to just last years stats. It’s not an exact science, but I try to be not just conservative with the numbers, but very meticulous with the parts that I personally touch without any methodology.

That’s kind of a long answer to say that I keep both separate because one is how you should draft, and other is a “close range” of what you should expect if everything turned out perfect. Or not perfect, but predicted.

Nostraballus
7 years ago

Rate my team
Luck
DEZ
M.Evans
B.Cooks
D.Freeman
R.Matthews
J.Graham
E.Ebron
T.Coleman
M.Thomas
D.Washington
J.Doctson
C.Ivory
I Crowell
D.Adams

Nostraballus
7 years ago
Reply to  Nostraballus

Thats a 12 team PPR keeper league

Nick
Nick
3 years ago

Hey Jay! Hope all is well with you, this is going to be quite an interesting year! I have my draft on Sunday & noticed the rankings look quite different this year from the prior 3 or 4 years…normally you have links for each contributors rankings, by position as well as overall. This year, it seems there is just one link, for 2020 rankings, created by Rudy? Do you have a link to your own updated ranking list by position as well as an overall list?

Thanks as always!

Matt R
Matt R
2 years ago

2021 projections “All” link seems to be off – unless Greg Zuerlein really is the #3 projected pts/game player