LOGIN

The bell has rung, marking the end of round 2 for the NFL season. Make sure to savor every game and matchup, win or lose, as the weeks will only continue to fly by. Following a successful release of the week 1 Target Report – I want to say thank you to everyone that read it, left a comment, DM’d, tweet, and re-tweeted. It is all fuel that motivates me to deliver a quality product to you on a weekly basis. Thank you. 

Weekly Refresh 

Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend. 

Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…

Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points). After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7  ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).

If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers. 

  • Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
  • I like you, but don’t love you range :  Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not. 
  • Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range. 
  • Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays. 

Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop. 

Arizona Cardinals

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeAndre Hopkins  11% (wk1 25%) 96.7% (wk1 88.4%)
A.J. Green 16.7% (wk1 18.8%) 83.6% (wk1 79.7%)
Christian Kirk 11.1% (wk1 15.6%) 62.3% (wk1 56.5%)
Rondale Moore 22.2% (wk1 15.6%) 45.9% (wk1 29%)
Chase Edmonds 13.9% (wk1 12.5%) 63.9% (wk1 58%)
Maxx Williams 19.4% (wk1 3.1%) 73.8% (wk1 79.7)

Quick Hit: No reason for panic after a 15.5 PPR performance by Nuk. Hopkins still led ARI WRs in snaps, by a long shot, and his 4 targets still had him finish as a top 30 scoring PPR receiver. Not a surprise to see Green slide into double-digit PPR fantasy points following is TS and SS from week 1. We need to monitor if he can sustain the usage, he is worth a bench spot on this high-flying offense. Atop many waiver wire articles for week 2, Rondale Moore was suggested as an add-in the week 1 Target Report. Grab him if he is still out there. The TS is promising, but the SS is a warning sign that his production will fluctuate on a week-to-week basis. Unless he can continue to leapfrog both Green and Kirk in usage as the season progresses. Moore and Kirk might see-saw in weekly fantasy production. Can Murray sustain 3 fantasy relevant pass catchers on a weekly basis? Might be playing with fire on this one.

Atlanta Falcons

Player Target Share Snap Share
Calvin Ridley 20.8% (wk1 22.9%) 83.3% (wk1 84.7%)
Kyle Pitts 12.5% (wk1 22.9%) 79.2% (wk1 68.1%)
Mike Davis 14.5% (wk1 17.1%) 63.9% (wk1 75%)
Cordarrelle Patterson 12.5% (wk1 5.7) 33.3% (wk1 33.3%)
Russell Gage 14.6% (wk1 5.7%) 52.8% (wk1 68.1%)

Quick Hit: Matty Ice tied with WFTs Taylor Heinicke for most pass attempts in week 2 (46). Unfortunately, Ridley and Pitts continue to be the only two pass catchers worthy of starting. Patterson will be among the most added from waivers this week. His target share did increase from week 1, but his snaps indicate unsustainable weekly production. Mike Davis was the more efficient runner and edged out Patterson in targets. Cordarrelle’s red-zone usage was his saving grace, and Davis’ black eye (zero usage). CP is worth a bench spot, but I am not ready to trust him in my lineups (unless desperate). Don’t give up on Gage just yet, if you have the bench space. Gage finished 2nd behind Ridley in targets, but drastically fell in snaps from week 1. Olamide Zaccheaus seemed to cut the most into Gage’s opportunity. OZ doubled his snaps from week1 to week2 (19 to 42), but didn’t record enough targets or snaps to consider rostering at this point in most formats.  

Baltimore Ravens

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marquise Brown 38.5% (wk1 20%) 72.4% (wk1  69.1%)
Sammy Watkins 26.9% (wk1 26.7%) 92.1% (wk1 82.4%)
Mark Andrews 19.2% (wk1 16.7%) 75% (wk1 80.9%)
Ty’Son Williams 7.7% (wk1 13.3%) 48.7% (wk1 51.5%)

Quick Hit: Even in a high scoring point total (BAL 36 – KC 35) on Sunday Night Football, Lamar Jackson finished 27th in week 2 pass attempts (26 ATT). His rushing stats are what make him an elite fantasy QB. The low volume passing attempts is the reason you find BAL pass-catchers further down on your favorite fantasy experts weekly rankings. The TS and SS data look great for Hollywood, Watkins, and Andrews, but the volume will always be a limiting factor. Brown falls in the “I like you, but don’t love you” range. Watkins flirts between “I like you,..” range and “risky business.” The TS and SS data suggest Watkins will find himself in double-digit fantasy points in the near future. Given the baron landscape at the fantasy TE position, we have to keep firing Andrews up in our lineups. Devonta Freeman will only continue to muddle this backfield if he can sustain the burst he showed in week 2, ripping of 2 rushes for 29 yards (14.5 yards per carry). Ty’Son is still the back to trust, and Murray is merely a bench warmer. We need to see if the RB usage evens out in the coming weeks. 

Buffalo Bills

Player Target Share Snap Share
Stefon Diggs 24.2% (wk1 27.5%) 78.5% (wk1 92.9%)
Cole Beasley 12.1% (wk1 25.%) 60% (wk1 90.6%)
Emmanuel Sanders 18.1% (wk1 15.7%) 76.9% (wk1 92.9%)

Quick Hit: Diggs = set-it and forget-it. The whole pass-catching core dipped in usage after the Bills put their division rivals, Miami, in the dirt. Shutting them out 35 – 0, after losing Tua for the majority of the contest. BUF ran the ball more in week 2 and Allen saw a dip in pass attempts (51 wk 1 – 33 wk 2). Don’t let the dip scare you, BUF will continue to be a pass-happy offense. Sanders usage is the most promising and should keep him rostered in most formats. Check to see if one of your league-mates bailed on Sanders following his 6.8 PPR outing in week 2. Beasley will bounce back in games that are projected to be more competitive. Singletary did his best to show the coaching staff he deserves to continue leading this backfield. Zack Moss did eat into Singletary’s snaps, but lost a fumble and only averaged 3.2 ypc compared to Singletary’s 6.3 ypc. Moss’ 3 carries and 2 touchdowns inside the 10 yard-line is discouraging for Singletary managers. 

Carolina Panthers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Christian McCaffrey 15.8% (wk1 25.7%) 71.1% (wk1 89.1%)
DJ Moore 28.9% (wk1 22.9%) 88.2% (wk1 81.2%)
Terrace Marshall Jr 7.9% (wk1 17.1%) 51.3% (wk1 53.1%)
Robby Anderson 15.8% (wk1 8.6%) 73.3% (wk1 81.2%)

Quick Hit: No need to waste word count on CMC. DJ Moore continues to be the Alpha out of this receiving core (set-it and forget-it). Robby Anderson stans breathe a sigh of relief. A bounce back, in usage, following his discouraging week 1 is refreshing. Robby reached over my “Mason-Dixon line,” finishing with over 15% TS and 2nd on the team in offensive snaps (excluding Sam Darnold). Not fully confident firing him up in lineups, only one week removed from an 8.6% TS, but trending in the right direction. TE Dan Arnold reached over double-digit TS (10.5%), but I’m not trusting him near any lineup at this point. 

Chicago Bears

Player Target Share Snap Share
Allen Robinson 16.7% (wk1 27.5%) 80% (wk1 91.3%)
Darnell Mooney 33.3% (wk1 17.5%) 89.2% (wk1 100%)
David Montgomery 16.7% (wk1 2.5%) 80% (wk1 59.4%) 
Cole Kmet 4.2% (wk1 17%) 72.3% (wk1 73.9%)
Damien Williams 12.5% (wk1 12.5%) 23.1% (wk1 43.5%)
Marquise Goodwin 12.5% (wk1 10%) 47.7% (wk1 37.7%)

Quick Hit: At least the Bears did not have to puncture Andy Dalton’s lung to figure out a way to get Justin Fields on the field…Dalton is considered “week-to-week,” following his week 2 knee scare. The Bears offense will be one to monitor after Fields receives a full week of preparation.  Mooney led the Bears’ pass catchers in snaps for a second straight week and finished atop his team in fantasy points. Robinson should still be trusted in our lineups. I apologize to anyone that I recommended, with confidence, to start Kmet this week. The snaps remained consistent, and I’m not ready to bail on him yet. Maybe Kmet needs Dalton to be relevant. D-Will repeated his TS from week 1, but had a drastic drop in snaps – only a bench stash in deeper leagues. Goodwin finds himself on the report merely because of the double-digit TS, don’t waste a roster spot.

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Target Share Snap Share
Ja’Marr Chase 13.3% (wk1 25.9%) 92.7% (wk1 89.9%)
Tee Higgins 33.3% (wk1 18.5%)  90.9% (wk1 73.9%)
Joe Mixon 6.7% (wk1 14.8%) 83.6% (wk1 78.3%)
Tyler Boyd 30% (wk1 14.8%) 87.3% (wk1 73.9%)

Quick Hit: Burrow saved his day by two garbage time TD’s. JB carried a negative fantasy score well into the 2nd half of the game, only finding the end-zone in the final quarter. Luckily for fantasy purposes, garbage time does not discriminate against fantasy production. Granted, we do not want to rely on this type of production week-to-week. At least all three pass catchers recorded double digit fantasy points. We need to see how TS trend over the next couple of weeks. Don’t be surprised to see a weekly ‘wack-a-mole,’ regarding which wideout emerges on top of the stat sheet each week. All 3 WR’s fall into the “I like you, but don’t love you” range, until further notice. 

Cleveland Browns

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jarvis Landry 4.8% (wk1 17.9%) 3.3% (wk1 86.4%)
David Njoku 14.3% (wk1 17.9%) 59% (wk1 59.5%)
Anthony Schwartz 4.8% (wk1 17.9%) 49.2% (wk1 52.5%)
Austin Hooper 23.8% (wk1 10.7%) 68.9% (wk1 64.4%)
Kareem Hunt 4.8% (wk1 10.7%) 37.7% (wk1 47.5%)
Harrison Bryant 19% (wk1 7.1%)  50.8% (wk1 32.2%) 

Quick Hit: Another run first and run heavy offense. Look for the Browns to lean heavy on the run game after Landry was placed on IR. The word on the street is Odell Beckham Jr will return in week 3 against the Bears. At what capacity? This is the biggest question for the Browns heading into the weekend. Hooper returned the most value following Landry’s departure. Hoop is the only CLE pass catcher I trust near a lineup at this point (led team in snaps and targets wk2). If OBJ is unable to sustain a full time role, due to nursing back from injury, Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones will be the WR’s to have on your watch list. DPJ received a lot of buzz in training camp, but we’ve seen Higgins in this spot before. Higgins had the biggest bump in SS last week (6.8% wk1 – 70.5% wk2), but failed to reach over double digit TS. DPJ led all CLE offensive skill players in week 2 snaps. 

Dallas Cowboys

Player Target Share Snap Share
Amari Cooper 18.5% (wk1 27.6%) 96.8% (wk1 89.2%)
CeeDee Lamb 33.3% (wk1 25.9%) 96.8% (wk1 73.5%)
Dalton Shultz 7.4% (wk1 10.3%) 72.6% (wk1 68.7%)
Blake Jarwin 14.8% (wk1 6.9%) 46.8% (wk1 57.8%) 
Tony Pollard 11.1% (wk1 6.9%) 33.9% (wk1 24.1) 

Quick Hit: After avoiding the staunch Bucs run-D in week 1, Dak and the Boys dipped into their running game against the Chargers. Leading the league in pass attempts week 1 (58), Dak fell to 25th in week 2 (27). Lamb continues to receive his “set-it and forget-it” usage. Amari Cooper left week 2 with a bruised rib and is questionable for week 2. Coop will get extended time to recover with their game on Monday Night against the Eagles. A rivalry game, don’t expect the Boys to show their hand too early regarding Amari’s availability. If he logs practices this week and suits up to play, start him. Jarwin see-sawed over Shultz this week, and it’ll be difficult to trust either TE on a weekly basis. Cedrick Wilson continues to be the name to watch as the WR3 in this offense. 

Denver Broncos

Player Target Share Snap Share
Noah Fant 17.7% (wk1 22.2%) 76.8% (wk1 77.3%)
Tim Patrick 11.8% (wk1 11.1%) 73.9% (wk1 69.7%)
KJ Hamler 8.8% (wk1 11.1%) 71% (wk1 36.4%)
Courtland Sutton 35.3% (wk1 8.3%) 76.8% (wk1 80.3%)

Quick Hit: Another ‘win’ from the week 1 Target Report. The bounce back from Courtland Sutton was an obvious call, and Tim Patrick emerged as the DEN receiver to roster following Jeudy’s move to the IR. Patrick is still considered “risky business” following his week 2 usage. Set-it and forget-it for Sutton. No debate against Fant in your lineups. Hamler was an afterthought in targets, but did see a huge boost in snaps from week 1 (watch list). 

Detroit Lions

Player Target Share Snap Share
T.J. Hockenson 25% (wk1 17.5%) 93% (wk1 84.8%)
D’Andre Swift 13.9% (wk1 19.3%) 63.2% (wk1 68.5%)
Jamaal Williams 8.3% (wk1 15.8%) 38.6% (wk1 34.8%)
Quintez Cephus 19.4% (wk1 12.3%) 89.5% (wk1 34.8%)
Trinity Benson 8.3% (wk1 10.5%) 42.1% (wk1 53.3%)

Quick Hit: Cephus led all DET wideouts in week 1 TS, but trailed in snaps. On MNF, Cephus established himself as the WR1 in Detroit. He led all DET WR in TS and SS in week 2. Quintez was mentioned in my pre-season target article (Target(s), Don’t tell your wife we like to shop here), and he should be a top waiver add this week. Rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown got a lot of looks in garbage time on Monday night, reaching over double digit target share (13.9%). His 59.6% SS should keep him on waivers, but he is a name to watch.  Hard to trust Jamaal Williams after a decline in targets, paired with below 40% SS. 

Green Bay Packers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Devante Adams 33.3% (wk1 25%) 87.7% (wk170.2%)
Aaron Jones 22.2% (7.1%) 69.2% (wk1 49.1%)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 14.8% (wk1 25%) 66.2% (wk1 63.2%)
Randall Cobb 11.1% (wk1 3.6%) 18.5% (wk1 %)
Robert Tonyan 11.1% (wk1 14.3%) 43.1% (wk1 49.1%)

Quick Hits: It came as a shock to no one that Rodgers would bounce back from their abysmal week 1 performance. Adams and Jones corrected course and should remain as ‘set-it and forget-it’ players. MVS pops his head again as a waiver wire target. It’s only a matter of time that he pops in fantasy production for a week, risky business. Cobb received a lot of action late in the game, he need snaps to increase drastically before adding him to any fantasy roster. Tonyan will continue to frustrate fantasy owners on a week-to-week basis. Double-digit target share, but unsustainable fantasy production given his below 50% SS. 

Houston Texans

Player Target Share Snap Share
Brandin Cooks 48.3% (wk1 21.2%) 91.8% (wk1 78.2%)
Pharaoh Brown  3.4% (wk1 15.2%) 62.3% (wk1 75.6%)
Danny Amendola 3.4% (wk1 15.2%) 19.7% (wk1 21.8%)
David Johnson 6.9% (wk1 12.1%) 42.6% (wk1 78.%)

Quick Hits: It wasn’t a needle in the chest this time, but Tyrod finds himself on the IR once again. Cooks has yielded a great return for his draftees so far this season, but rookie Davis Mills is a cause for concern to Cooks’ weekly ceiling. Not that Tyrod was elite at QB, but experience is important in NFL. Cooks’ will continue to pace this team in usage, and hopefully Mills can get him the ball. Davis targeted Cooks on 9 of his 18 pass attempts (50%) and found him in the end-zone for a two yards TD. Until we see a full game out of Mills, Cooks is on the low end of my “I like you, but don’t love you.” On the season, David Johnson leads this backfield in snaps – Mark Ingram leads in carries, and Lindsay in TD’s. Can’t trust any of them. Anthony Miller is a name to watch, following the news that Nico Collins was sent to IR and Amendola will miss a few weeks.

Indianapolis Colts

Player Target Share Snap Share
Nyheim Hines 5.5% (wk1 21.1%) 37.3% (wk1 44.7%)
Jonathan Taylor 2.9% (wk1 8.9%) 44.8% (wk1 55.3%)
Zach Pascal 16.7% (wk1 13.2%) 91% (wk1 90.8%)
Michael Pittman Jr 33.3% (wk1 10.5%) 89.6% (wk1 97.4%)
Jack Doyle 22.2% (wk1 10.5%) 74.6% (wk1 59.2%)

Quick Hit: Surprise! Carson Wentz find himself injured, and most likely to miss at least one week. It is hard to trust any IND pass catcher in a starting lineup this week. After the elite TS numbers last week, Pittman is the only WR worth debating a start with Jacob Eason under center. Pascal is worthy of a bench stash for WR needy rosters following a heavy snap count and double-digit TS, for a second week in a row. Doyle’s usage increased in both targets and snaps, this is encouraging for TE needy teams. Be careful this week. 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Target Share Snap Share
DJ Chark Jr. 12.1% (wk1 17.6%) 80.4% (wk1 83.8%)
Marvin Jones Jr. 33.3% (wk1 17.6%) 87.5% (wk1 90.5%)
Laviska Shenault Jr. 21.2% (wk1 17.6%) 80.4% (wk1 70.3%)
James Robinson 9.1% (wk1 11.8%) 73.2% (wk1 63.5%)

Quick Hit: Look for Trevor Lawrence to show up in the top 12 pass attempts for week 3. The Jags take on the high flying-fast paced Cardinals offense this Sunday. Marvin Jones reached set-it and forget-it status following his week 2 performance. Jones and Lawrence displayed growing chemistry in training camp/pre-season and it has carried over into the regular season. I fear a back-and-forth in fantasy production between Chark and Shenault. Both burned fantasy managers in week 2. Do not be surprised to see league-mates bail on either wideouts when making waiver claims this week. Given the usage, both are worth a bench spot for at least one more week in most formats. Shenault over Chark if I had to choose. 

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Target Share Snap Share
Tyreek Hill 12.9% (wk1 41.6%) 98% (wk1 72.3%)
Travis Kelce 25.8% (wk1 19.4%) 86.3% (wk1 84.6%)
Mecole Hardman 25.8% (wk1 8.3%)  78.4% (wk1 69.2%)
Demarcus Robinson 12.9% (wk1 5.5%) 58.5% (wk1 73.8%)

Quick Hit: We’ll spare the word count for Hill and Kelce. Don’t overreact to the 5.9 fantasy outing from Hill. We can’t expect 41.6% TS on a weekly basis. Hardman got his chance with Baltimore deciding to completely eliminate Hill from the game. It worked for the Ravens, BAL kept the game close and were able to leave with a huge win on SNF. Don’t chase Pringles’ double digit fantasy outing. It’ll be a toss up between Hardman and Robinson on a weekly basis. Both fall in the “risky business” range for me. Hardman clearly ahead of Robinson.  

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Keenan Allen 19.5% (wk1 27.7%) 91.5% (wk1 82.7%)
Mike Williams 24.4% (wk1 25.5%) 76.1% (wk1 75.3%)
Jared Cook 12.2% (wk1 17%) 59.2% (wk1 58%)
Austin Ekeler 22% (wk1 0%) 63.4% (wk1 58%) 

Quick Hit: Mike Williams and Keenan Allen should remain in all lineups until further notice. Cook would have reached double digit fantasy points if his 4th quarter TD wasn’t called back due to an offensive penalty. It’s hard to trust a guy (Cook) that is 4th in the pecking order for targets on his team.

Los Angeles Rams

Player Target Share Snap Share
Cooper Kupp 36.7% (wk1 38.5%) 100% (wk1 94.2%)
Robert Woods  30% (wk1 15.4%) 98.3% (wk1 76.9%)
Van Jefferson 10% (wk1 11.5%) 91.5% (wk1 69.2%)
Tyler Higbee 3.3% (wk1 23.1%) 100% (wk1 100%)
Darrell Henderson Jr. 16.7% (wk1 3.8%) 67.8% (wk1 94.2%)

Quick Hit: I’m excited to see the battle between Cooper Kupp and Tyler Lockett for WR1 this year. Barring injury, my money is on Kupp. Woods owners should be encouraged with the elite level target share in week 2, along with a strong SS. Woods is someone I would consider a “buy-low” candidate. Kupp has missed time due to injury over the years and is being used at an extremely high rate. Van left a lot of folks chasing his week 1 production, but we warned of inconsistent production on the week 1 Target Report. Higbee was on the field for 100% of the Rams snaps. Expect a bounce back in targets this week and production. How high can we expect? You might be forced to start him with few options at the TE position, could be worse.

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Target Share Snap Share
Darren Waller 18.9% (wk1 19%)  92.4% (wk1 94.2%)
Henry Ruggs 18.9% (wk1 8.9%) 66.7% (wk1 65.1%)
Hunter Renfrow 18.9% (wk1 16%) 43.9% (wk1 54.7%)
Bryan Edwards 8.1% (wk1 8.9%) 74.2% (wk1 66.3%)
Kenyan Drake 16.2% (wk1 8.9%) 71.2% (wk1 47.7%)

Quick Hit: We need another week or two to figure out who we trust from this receiving corp. Renfrow is turning into a great low-end PPR plug-in, but the snap share puts him in the risky business range. Waller is the unquestioned leader and stud on this team. Figuring it out between Edwards and Ruggs will be the trick. My money is on Ruggs moving forward, considering his 1st round draft capital and Crimson Tide pedigree. Carr popped up with an injury scare (ankle). Gruden feels that Carr should be able to suit up for week 3. Regardless, LV has one of the better backup QB situations in the league with Marcus Mariota

Miami Dolphins

Player Target Share Snap share
DeVante Parker 20.5% (wk1 25.9%) 74.3% (wk1 83.3%)
Jaylen Waddle 18.2% (wk1 22.2%) 63.5% (wk1 79.6%)
Myles Gaskin 11.4% (wk1 18.5%) 60.8% (wk1 53.7%)
Albert Wilson 13.6% (wk1 7.4%) 55.4% (wk1 40.7%)
Mike Gesicki 13.6% (wk1 7.4%) 63.5% (wk1 38.9%) 

Quick Hit: Yikes! Another QB with an early season injury. Fortunately for Tua X-rays on his ribs were negative, and he is considered day-to-day. Keep all MIA pass catchers on the bench until we know the official week 3 status for Tua. Hopefully you have more attractive options to consider even with a favorable matchup against LV. Parker and Waddle would be flex plays if Tua is able to log a full practice by the end of the week. Both are risky business with Brissett at the helm. Expect that to be a slow pace, clock draining game anyways. Wilson did pop on the week 2 Target Report with double digit TS, but his SS should keep him on waivers. Look for MIA to lean even more on the run if Tua misses a game. 

Minnesota Vikings

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Thielen 21.9% (wk1 20.4%) 100% (wk1 94%)
Justin Jefferson 31.3% (wk1 18.4%) 86.9% (wk1 91.6%)
K.J. Osborn 18.8% (wk1 18.4%) 59% (wk1 80.7%)
Dalvin Cook 9.4% (wk1 14.3%) 77% (wk1 71.1%)
Tyler Conklin 12.5% (wk1 8.2%) 80.3% (wk1 71.1%)

Quick Hit: K.J. Osborn is the overall PPR WR19 on the season. He is still hard to trust in our lineups with the significant drop in snaps from week 1 to week 2. He can be a viable BYE week plug-in when the time comes. Thielen and Jefferson keep their ‘set-it and forget-it’ status. Make sure to grab Alexander Mattison off waivers if you can, Cook exited multiples time in the 2nd half last week. He’s dealing with a minor ankle sprain heading into week 3. Mattison is a premium handcuff. 

New England Patriots

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jakobi Meyers 20% (wk1 23.1%) 89.7% (wk1 98.7%)
Nelson Agholor 10% (wk1 18%) 86.2% (wk1 85.3%)
James White 20% (wk1 17.9%) 50% (wk1 37.3%)
Jonnu Smith 16.7% (wk1 12.8%) 50% (wk1 73.3%)
Hunter Henry 13.3% (wk1 7.7%)  81% (wk1 72%)

Quick Hit: This was a defensive domination from the Patriots against the Jets. Mac Jones did not need to pass the ball much, dropping from 10th in pass attempts in week one to 21st in week 2. You were forewarned last week about the potential back-and-forth between Smith and Henry. Hard to trust either at this point. Keep Meyers and Agholor stashed on your bench, better days are ahead when the Patriots are forced to pass the ball more. 

New Orleans Saints

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Trautman 0% (wk1 28.6%) 52.2% (wk1 82.3%)
Alvin Kamara 27.3% (wk1 19%) 84.1% (wk1 72.6%)
Juwan Johnson 13.6% (wk1 14.3%) 40.9% (wk1 19.4%)
Marquez Callaway 18.2% (wk1 9.5%) 72.7% (wk1 96.8%)

Quick Hit: What a let down from Trautman following his healthy week 1 usage. Does Carolina have a good defense? It’s difficult to explain the drastic swing in results out of New Orleans from week 1 to week 2, besides a below average receiving core and Jameis Winston. Famous Jameis has the ability to finish as QB1 any given week, but is just as likely to throw more INTs than TDs the following week. Hard to trust any pass catcher in our lineups heading into week 3.

New York Giants

Player Target Share Snap Share
Sterling Shepard  31.3%(wk1 24.3%) 92.8%(wk1 95.1%)
Darius Slayton 18.8%(wk1 18.9%) 56.5%(wk1 70.5%)
Kenny Golladay 25%(wk1 16.2%) 84.1%(wk1 85.2%)

Quick Hit: If he was not in your lineups last week, Shepard should be left in going forward. Danny Dimes actually put together a respectable football outing. Darius Slayton is a risky business flex play given his decrease in snaps, even though he dropped a wide open touchdown which would have put him over 21 fantasy points. Golladay is still looking to get on the same page with Daniel Jones. The snaps and targets indicate he should remain in our lineups. It is hard to trust him until we see some production between the two, hopefully you have better options until then. Shepard is the only G-Men I’m confident starting in a lineup. 

New York Jets

Player Target Share Snap Share
Corey Davis 15.2% (wk1 18.9%) 72.6% (wk1 89.2%)
Braxton Berrios 33.3% (wk1 18.9%) 58.9% (wk1 56.9%)
Elijah Moore 24.2% (wk1 10.8%) 78.1% (wk1 86.2%)

Quick Hits: Someone pull the defensive stats on Bill Belichick against rookie QBs. Surprising to see Berrios lead the team in targets for a second straight week. NE’s game plan was to remove Davis from the game, and they succeeded. I expect Davis to get back on track, but wait a week as NYJ take on a talented DEN defense in week 3. 

Philadelphia Eagles

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeVonta Smith 30.4% (wk1 22.9%) 84.5% (wk1 87.3%)
Jalen Reagor 21.7% (wk1 17.1%) 72.4% (wk1 70.4%)
Dallas Goedert 8.7% (wk1 4.3%) 65.5% (wk1 73.2%)
Miles Sanders 8.7% (wk1 14.3%) 67.2% (wk1 66.2%)

Quick Hit: Don’t bail on DeVonta Smith following a monster 30% TS. Hurts looks Smiths way, early and often. Reagor was a 1st round pick just a season ago, and is getting the looks in this offense. Put him on the WR3/flex range. Kenneth Gainwell creeped into double-digit TS (13%), but only recorded 32.8% SS. We would need a serious injury to Sanders, before feeling comfortable starting Gainwell on a weekly basis. Goedert should see a boost this week following Ertz’ visit to the COVID list.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Diontae Johnson 30% (wk1 31.3%) 87.5% (wk175.9%)
JuJu Smith-Schuster 17.5% (wk1 25%) 96.4% (wk1 91.4%)
Chase Claypool 22.5% (wk1 15.6%) 76.8% (wk1 67.2%)
Najee Harris 12.5% (wk1 9.3%)  94.6% (wk1 100%)

Quick Hit: Big Ben was 4th in week 2 pass attempts (40). JuJu continues to lead this group in snaps for a 2nd straight week, but Diontae Johnson is getting the elite level target share. DJ had an injury scare that needs to be monitored heading into week 3. TE Pat Freiermuth reached 10% TS, and might turn into a TE sleeper if his snaps continue to increase. Claypool received over 20% TS and an increase in snaps from week 1. Chase and JuJu remain in the “I like you, but don’t love you range.”

Seattle Seahawks

Player Target Share Snap Share
DK Metcalf 35.5% (wk1 21.7%) 94.4% (wk1 92.6%)
Tyler Lockett 35.5% (wk1 21.7%) 92.6% (wk1 85.2%)
Chris Carson 0% (wk1 13%) 63% (wk1 77.8%)
Freddy Swain 16.1% (wk1 4.3%) 75.9% (wk1 42.6%) 

Quick Hit: DK is trending towards a great buy-low candidate. Elite level TS and over 90% SS. Strike now, before he blows up in the fantasy column. Freddy Swain is another hot waiver add this week. Can he sustain the weekly usage? Stash him on your bench for now, if you have the room.

San Francisco 49ers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Deebo Samuel 26.7% (wk1 46.2%) 70% (wk1 83.6%)
George Kittle 13.3% (wk1 19.2%) 100% (wk1 94.5%)
Trent Sheffield 10% (wk1 11.5%) 34.3% (wk1 49.1%)

Quick Hit: Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are the only two pass catchers worthy of staying in our weekly lineups out of San Fran. A slew of injuries to the running back room only muddles what to do with them. Elijah Mitchell seems to be the least injured, and Sermon will get back once he clears confusion protocol. Keep both on your roster. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chris Godwin 13.9% (wk1 28%) 88.9% (wk1 98.5%)
Rob Gronkowski 13.9% (wk1 16%) 81% (wk1 87.7%)
Antonio Brown  8.3% (wk1 14%) 44.4% (wk1 64.6%)
Leonard Fournette 11.1% (wk1 14%) 49.2% (wk1 64.6%)
Mike Evans 25% (wk1 12%) 73% (wk1 93.8%)

Quick Hit: Evans, Godwin and Gronkowski should be left in your fantasy lineups on a weekly basis. Following his low SS in week 1, Antonio Brown was a trap waiting to happen. Brown will have his weeks, but trusting him week-to-week will be difficult. He will flirt with ‘risky business’ and low end WR2/3-Flex play.

Tennesse Titans

Player Target Share Snap Share
A.J. Brown 22.5% (wk1 22.9%) 84.1% (wk1 81.2%)
Julio Jones 20% (wk1 17.1%) 75% (wk1 78.1%)
Chester Rogers 12.5% (wk1 17.1%) 43.2% (wk1 60.9%)
Derrick Henry 15% (wk1 11.4%) 76.1% (wk1 62.5%)

Quick Hit: Me soo Henry! 15% target share for DH, and he was pegged as a non-pass-catching back. It was nice to see the passing game get back on track, but this offense runs through the ground game. My biggest fear with Jones coming to TEN, was the ability to sustain both AJ Brown and Jones on a weekly basis. Hard to sit either given the targets and snaps. Give this team a couple of more weeks as they get acclimated to their new offensive coordinator. 

Washington Football Team 

Player Target Share Snap Share
Terry McLaurin 30.4%(wk1 19%) 100%(wk1 100%)
Dyami Brown 13%(wk1 19%) 87.3%(wk1 92.7%)
Logan Thomas 15%(wk1 14.3%) 100%(wk1 100%)
Adam Humphries 17.4% (wk1 9.5%) 70.4% (wk1 60%)
JD McKissic 13% (wk1 4.8%) 43.7% (wk1 36.4%)

Quick Hit: McLaurin investors rested easy following the week 2 Thursday Night Football game, between the NY Giants and Football Team. Heinicke proved to be serviceable, and the ability to feed Terry. Brown continues to be a watch list candidate and waiver add in deeper leagues. The biggest takeaway from this game was JD McKissic’s usage. Gibson managers should be worried after JD dominated snaps/usage in the hurry up offense, two minute drill, passing downs, and red-zone. This is discouraging after Gibson dominated receiving work in week 1. Gibson did lead McKissic in SS (60.6% to 43.7%). Don’t overreact to one week, Gibson should be fine. I rather have McKissic over ATL’s Cordarrelle Patterson