Week 5 is upon us! This week we have a few players that have created a possible buy-low or sell-high window. First, the weekly refresh for those of you new to the weekly Target Report…

Weekly Refresh 

Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend. 

Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…

Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points). After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7  ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).

If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers. 

  • Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
  • I like you, but don’t love you range :  Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not. 
  • Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range. 
  • Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays. 

Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop. 

Arizona Cardinals

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeAndre Hopkins 21.9 % (wk3 18% – wk2 11% – wk1 25%) 96.2% (wk3 91% – wk2 96.7% – wk1 88.4%)
A.J. Green 18.8% (wk3 18% – wk2 16.7% – wk1 18.8%) 85.9% (wk3 79% – wk2 83.6% – wk1 79.7%)
Christian Kirk 3.1% (wk3 24% – wk2 11.1% – wk1 15.6%) 71.8% (wk3 57% – wk2 62.3% – wk1 56.5%)
Rondale Moore 9.4% (wk3 6% – k 22.2% – wk1 15.6%) 42.3% (wk3 34% – wk2 45.9% – wk1 29%)
Chase Edmonds 15.6% (wk3 24% – wk2 13.9% – wk1 12.5%) 66.7% (wk3 66% – wk2 63.9% – wk1 58%)
Maxx Williams 15.6% (wk3 9% – wk2 19.4% – wk1 3.1%) 57.7% (wk3 76% – wk2 73.8% – wk1 79.7)

Quick Hit: Murray finished week 4 tied for 19th in pass attempts (PATT) and is currently 19th on the season. AJ Green continues his strangle hold on the WR2 role in ARI, and is WR22 on the season. His usage keeps him a viable weekly flex player. Both Kirk and Moore put up duds this week. The production is just a reflection of the usage. Kirk has maintained a more consistent SS than Moore. Trust Kirk in a pinch start over Moore if necessary. Both are playing with fire in any lineup, as long as Hopkins and Green are healthy. Maxx Williams is worth a bench stash if you are desperate at TE. The decline in snaps is worrisome. We would like to see both TS and SS stabilize before fully trusting him in lineups. Edmonds is the RB1. Conner has played second fiddle to Edmonds in snaps all 4 weeks, averaging only 42.2% SS on the season. Conner’s value solely relies on red zone usage. He has recorded double the red zone attempts than Edmonds (14 JC – 7 CE), and has the touchdowns to show for it (JC 4  – CE 0).   

Atlanta Falcons

Player Target Share Snap Share
Calvin Ridley 31% (wk3 31% – wk2 20.8% – wk1 22.9%) 96.1% (wk3 95% – wk2 83.3% – wk1 84.7%)
Kyle Pitts 21.4% (wk3 8% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 22.9%) 72.4% (wk3 84% – wk2 79.2% – wk1 68.1%)
Mike Davis 4.8% (wk3 11% – wk2 14.5% – wk1 17.1%) 67.1% (wk3 60% – wk2 63.9% – wk1 75%)
Cordarrelle Patterson 14.3% (wk3 19% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 5.7) 30.3% (wk3 42% – wk2 33.3% – wk1 33.3%)
Russell Gage OUT (wk3 OUT – wk2 14.6% – wk1 5.7%) OUT  (wk3 OUT – wk2 52.8% – wk1 68.1%)
Olamide Zaccheaus 7.1% (wk3 17% – wk2 8% – wk1 0%) 80.3% (wks 69% – wk2 59%  – wk1 27%)

Quick Hit: Matt Ryan finished 4th in PATT (42) for week 4 and is currently 7th on the season. If you own Cordarrelle Patterson, sell high now! He is a high risk start on any given week. The TS is risky business and the snaps share screams unsustainable.   Despite Ryan’s high pass volume, Calvin Ridley is the only pass catcher that can be trusted near a starting lineup. The usage is there for Pitts. I would imagine better days are ahead for the rookie TE. Razzball’s own Rudy Gamble has Pitts finishing as TE8 this week with 10.65 PPR points. Potential buy-low candidate if you are in need of a TE.

Baltimore Ravens

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marquise Brown 13.5% (wk3 23% – wk2 38.5% – wk1 20%) 61.6% (wk3 67% – wk2 72.4% – wk1  69.1%)
Sammy Watkins 18.9% (wk3 23% – wk2 26.9% – wk1 26.7%) 72.6% (wk3 79% – wk2 92.1% – wk1 82.4%)
Mark Andrews 21.6% (wk3 23% – wk2 19.2% – wk1 16.7%) 63% (wk3 79% – wk2 75% – wk1 80.9%)
Ty’Son Williams OUT (wk3 3% – wk2 7.7% – wk1 13.3%) OUT (wk3 50% – wk2 48.7% – wk1 51.5%)

Quick Hit: Jackson finished 13th in PATT for week 4 (37) and ranks 21st on the season. Hollywood Brown finally cashed in on all of the air yards from week 3. Besides Mark Andrews, all BAL pass catchers hovered in the “risky business” range of usage. Sammy led again in snaps and targets, but has failed to cash in for fantasy managers. Jacksons running prowess, Rashod Batemon’s looming return, and Baltimore’s offensive tendency to spread the ball around make it difficult to trust any BAL WR on a week-to-week basis. James Proche and Devin Duvernay popped into double digit TS (JP 16.1% & DD 16.1%), but both failed to reach over 45% snap share. Rudy projects Brown to finish as a WR4 and Watkins outside of the top 50. The running backs are an afterthought in the passing game, but Latavius Murray emerged as the lead back in BAL (61.6% SS)…for now. 

Buffalo Bills

Player Target Share Snap Share
Stefon Diggs 33.3% (wk3 23% – wk2 24.2% – wk1 27.5%) 73.6% (wk3 75% – wk2 78.5% – wk1 92.9%)
Cole Beasley 6.7% (wk3 30% – wk2 12.1% – wk1 25.%) 50% (wk3 66% – wk2 60% – wk1 90.6%)
Emmanuel Sanders 20% (wk3 14% – wk2 18.1% – wk1 15.7%) 70.8% (wk3 80% – wk2 76.9% – wk1 92.9%)
Dawson Knox 26.7% (wk3 11% – wk2 9% – wk1 8%)  80.6% (wk3 78% – wk2 83% – wk1 56%)

Quick Hit: Josh Allen finished 24th in PATT for week 4, but is 9th on the season. We’ll save word count on Diggs, set-it and forget-it. Sanders is currently WR25 through 4 weeks, and the usage supports his case for weekly WR2/3 production. Beasley fell victim to a low passing day from Allen, as the Bills shut-out the Texans 40-0. Look for a bounce back from Cole this week. The Bills take on Mahomes and the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.  BUF @ KC has the highest projected point total for week 5 (56). Fire up your Bills this weekend. Dawson Knox continues to trend up in snaps and targets. Knox is Rudy’s projected TE11 this week. He should be rostered in more leagues. 

Carolina Panthers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chuba Hubbard 5.1% (wk3 14.7%) 47.1% (wk3 54.8%)
DJ Moore 30.8% (wk3 35.3% – wk2 28.9% – wk1 22.9%) 84.3% (wk3 74% – wk2 88.2% – wk1 81.2%)
Terrace Marshall Jr 7.8% (wk3 14.7% – wk2 7.9% – wk1 17.1%) 71.4% (wk3 61.6% – wk2 51.3% – wk1 53.1%)
Robby Anderson 28.2% (wk3 5.9% – wk2 15.8% – wk1 8.6%) 84.3% (wk3 64.4% – wk2 73.3% – wk1 81.2%)
     

Quick Hit: Sam Darnold finished 9th in PATT for week 4 (39) and is 11th on the season. DJ Moore is an elite fantasy asset, he shouldn’t leave your lineup any week. It was nice to see Robby Anderson reach over 20% TS and record over 80% SS for the 2nd time this season. He needs to sustain his usage for, at least, another week in order to trust him lineups. The Panthers get a juicy week 5 matchup against a PHI D that was just lit up by Mahomes and Co. Rudy has Robby finishing in the WR3 range this week (WR34). It is a risky play given his prior weeks usage, but the matchup is tempting. Rodney Smith took over the receiving role with CMC out. Smith recorded double digit TS (12.8%), but was hardly on the field (37% SS). Ian Thomas stepped up as the TE1 with Dan Arnold traded to JAX last week (7.8% TS – 62.9% SS). His usage needs to increase to be fantasy relevant. Tommy Tremble is an interesting dynasty stash. 

Chicago Bears

Player Target Share Snap Share
Allen Robinson 17.6% (wk3 30% – wk2 16.7% – wk1 27.5%) 69% (wk3 89% – wk2 80% – wk1 91.3%)
Darnell Mooney 41.2% (wk3 20% – wk2 33.3% – wk1 17.5%) 70.7% (wk3 98% – wk2 89.2% – wk1 100%)
David Montgomery 0% (wk3 20% – wk2 16.7% – wk1 2.5%) 62.1% (wk3 82% – wk2 80% – wk1 59.4%) 
Cole Kmet 17.6% (wk3 20% – wk2 4.2% – wk1 17%) 98.3% (wk3 96% – wk 72.3% – wk1 73.9%)
Damien Williams 11.8% (wk3 0% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 12.5%) 32.8% (wk3 1.6% – wk2 23.1% – wk1 43.5%)
Marquise Goodwin 11.8% (wk3 5% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 10%) 50% (wk3 % – wk2 47.7% – wk1 37.7%)

Quick Hit: Justin Fields finished towards the bottom of the league in PATT for the 2nd straight week (33rd in week 4). The low passing volume is disheartening for anyone rostering a Bears pass catcher. Mooney finally came through following his 3-week stretch of WR1 snaps and target share usage. His snaps dipped in week 4, but he still led all CHI wideouts. Kmet hit over my “mason-dixon” line of 15% TS, for a third week, and he led the team in snaps. His 17% TS might look attractive for most NFL teams, but it equates to only 3 targets when the QB records 17 PATT. Mooney and Robinson are low-upside WR3/4 plays. Damien Willams has remained on the Target Report all season because of the double-digit TS, and now has a real opportunity with Montgomery sidelined. Rudy projects Williams to finish as a top 20 RB this week against the Raiders. Despite being in a far lower skill-tier than Ekeler, Williams will have the same opportunity to gash the Raiders like Ekeler did on MNF. 

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Target Share Snap Share
Ja’Marr Chase 28.1% (wk3 28% – wk2 13.3% – wk1 25.9%) 79.3% (wk3 83% – wk2 92.7% – wk1 89.9%)
Tee Higgins OUT  (wk3 OUT – wk2 33.3% – wk1 18.5%) OUT  (wk3 OUT – wk2 90.9% – wk1 73.9%)
Joe Mixon 6.3% (wk3 6% – wk2 6.7% – wk1 14.8%) 69% (wk3 74% – wk2 83.6% – wk1 78.3%)
Tyler Boyd 34.4% (wk3 33% – wk2 30% – wk1 14.8%) 62.1% (wk3 79% – wk2 87.3% – wk1 73.9%)
C.J. Uzomah 18.8% (wk3 6% – wk2 7% – wk1 7%) 82.8% (wk3 72.2% – wk2 72.7% – 73.9%)

Quick Hit: Burrow finished 19th in PATT for week 4 and is 29th on the season (warning!). Boyd and Chase should remain in lineups. Tee Higgins is expected to practice this week, but his availability for week 5 is still in question. Even if he does suit up, don’t expect him to immediately jump back into the same usage from week 2. Chase played third fiddle the last time Higgins was in the lineup, but it was Boyd playing third fiddle in week 1. Chase and Boyd mangers need to take advantage of this time without Higgins, and use this small window as an opportunity to sell high on either Boyd or Chase. OR just hope the Bengals pass more, despite Zach Taylor’s offense ranking in the bottom of the league in pass attempts. Uzomah splashed on the scene following single digit TS the first 3 weeks of the season. We need to see his target share sustain before adding him to your roster in one TE leagues. 

Cleveland Browns

Player Target Share Snap Share
Odell Beckham Jr 21.2% (wk3 29%) 79.5% (wk3 64%) 
Austin Hooper 15.2% (wk3 10% – wk2 23.8% – wk1 10.7%) 71.8% (wk3 60% – wk2 68.9% – wk1 64.4%)
Kareem Hunt 12.1% (wk3 23% – wk2 4.8% – wk1 10.7%) 52.6% (wk3 41% – wk2 37.7% – wk1 47.5%)
Rashard Higgins 21.2% 52.6%

Quick Hit: Baker Mayfield finished 17th in PATT for week 4 (33) and is 26th on the season. It will be hard for Rashard Higgins to maintain weekly fantasy value. He is on the field for only half of Clevelands offensive snaps. OBJ is the only WR to trust in this low volume passing offense. Hooper can’t be trusted even though he’s maintained over double-digit TS every week this season. This offense can support two fantasy relevant RBs, but hardly gives enough for a one relevant WR. Sell high on OBJ following his next double digit outing and before Landry returns from IR. 

Dallas Cowboys

Player Target Share Snap Share
Amari Cooper 13.6% (wk3 15% – wk2 18.5% – wk1 27.6%) 47.5% (wk3 86% – wk2 96.8% – wk1 89.2%)
CeeDee Lamb 22.7% (wk3 12% – wk2 33.3% – wk1 25.9%) 80.3% (wk3 86% – wk2 96.8% – wk1 73.5%)
Dalton Schultz 36.4% (wk3 27% – wk2 7.4% – wk1 10.3%) 78.7% (wk3 69% – wk2 76.2% – wk1 68.7%)
Blake Jarwin 13.6% (wk3 8% – wk2 14.8% – wk1 6.9%) 54.1% (wk3 56% – wk2 46.8% – wk1 57.8%) 
Tony Pollard 0% (wk3 4% – wk2 11.1% – wk1 6.9%) 29.5% (wk3 38% – wk2 33.9% – wk1 24.1) 

Quick Hit: Dak, shockingly, finished 29th in PATT for week 4 and is 20th on the season. Look for the passing offense, as a whole, to bounce back in week 5. NYG @ DAL carries the 3rd highest point total for the week (50). Dalton Schultz is the real deal following back-to-back weeks of over 25% TS. Dont’ chase Jarwin’s lone TD. Do not let Ceedee’s 3.3 PPR points discourage you from starting him this week, the usage is consistent. Cooper left early in the game with a hamstring scare, but provided a sigh of relief for fantasy managers. Cooper returned to the game and scored on a 35 yard TD pass from Prescott.  Keep an eye on Coopers practice activity throughout the week. His steady decline in targets is concerning, and might be a factor in Rudy’s low projection for Cooper in week 5 (WR49 – 10.76 PPR points). 

Denver Broncos

Player Target Share Snap Share
Noah Fant 27% (wk3 12% – wk2 17.7% – wk1 22.2%) 93.4% (wk3 87% – wk2 76.8% – wk1 77.3%)
Tim Patrick 16.2% (wk3 20% – wk2 11.8% – wk1 11.1%) 91.8% (wk3 76% – wk2 73.9% – wk1 69.7%)
Courtland Sutton 21.6% (wk3 20% – wk2 35.3% – wk1 8.3%) 95.1% (wk3 76% – wk2 76.8% – wk1 80.3%)

Quick Hit: First off, hopefully Bridgewater is able to recover from his concussion suffered in week 4 for his own health and well being. A far second, fantasy mangers are wishing for a speedy recovery. Drew Lock is a fantasy downer for every pass catcher in Denver. It will be hard to trust anyone outside of Fant, if Lock is under center in week 5 against PIT. The wasteland at TE is the only reason Fant would be considered. Sutton is the only wideout to trust week-to-week with Bridgewater under center. He would be risky business with Lock at helm. Patrick should be viewed as a WR3/4 with Bridgewater in lineups, and a bench warmer with Lock leading the charge. 

Detroit Lions

Player Target Share Snap Share
T.J. Hockenson 21.05% (wk3 6% – wk2 25% – wk1 17.5%) 81.7% (wk3 84% – wk2 93% – wk1 84.8%)
D’Andre Swift 15.8% (wk3 23% – wk2 13.9% – wk1 19.3%) 73.2% (wk3 56% – wk2 63.2% – wk1 68.5%)
Jamaal Williams 0% (wk3 6% – wk2 8.3% – wk1 15.8%) 29.6% (wk3 49% – wk2 38.6% – wk1 34.8%)
Quintez Cephus 13.2% (wk3 3% – wk2 19.4% – wk1 12.3%) 87.3% (wk3 71% – wk2 89.5% – wk1 34.8%)
Amon-Ra St. Brown 21% (wk3 3% – wk2 14% – wk1 7%) 71.8% (wk3 43% – wk2 60% – wk1 66%
Trinity Benson 7.9% (wk3 3% – wk2 8.3% – wk1 10.5%) 28.2% (wk3 38% – wk2 42.1% – wk1 53.3%)
Kalif Raymond 15.8% (wk3 32% – wk2 6% – wk1 7%) 74.6% (wk3 75% – wk2 63% – wk1 77%)

Quick Hit: Goff continues to grip it and rip it, finishing week 4 t-10th in PATT (38) and is 5th overall on the season. Hock and Swift are the only reliable fantasy options on this team. The Lions and Goff are spreading the ball around with a different WR leading in TS each week. Cephus and Raymond have recorded the most consistent SS, but it was rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown that recorded the biggest jump in snaps from week 3 to 4. Leave these wideouts on waivers, unless you are desperate.

Green Bay Packers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Devante Adams 30.6% (wk3 55% – wk2 33.3% – wk1 25%) 87.5% (wk3 89% – wk2 87.7% – wk170.2%)
Aaron Jones 11.1% (wk3 6% – wk2 22.2% – wk1 7.1%) 62.5% (wk3 73% – wk2 69.2% – wk1 49.1%)
Allan Lazard 8.3% (wk3 3% – wk2 0% – wk1 11%) 79.2% (wk3 67% – wk2 65% – wk1 68%)
Randall Cobb 16.7% (wk3 3% – wk2 11.1% – wk1 3.6%) 45.8% (wk3 33% – wk 18.5% – wk1 0%)
Robert Tonyan 19.4% (wk3 3% – wk2 11.1% – wk1 14.3%) 77.8% (wk3 73% – wk2 43.1% – wk1 49.1%)

Quick Hits: Rodgers finished 14th in PATT for week 4 (36) and is 21st on the season. Marquez Valdes-Scanlting wound up on the IR this week, and it looks like Cobb is ready to take back his slot role. I would not confidently put Cobb in lineups this week, but he should be rostered in more leagues as his role continues to develop. Lazard is not receiving enough targets on a weekly basis to warrant a roster spot. Monitor how the snaps and targets shake out with MVS out of the picture. Tonyan is borderline TE1/2, with his inconsistent TS limiting his upside. His snaps did increase for a 4th straight week, Rudy has him finishing this week as the TE14 (9.12 PPR points). 

Houston Texans

Player Target Share Snap Share
Brandin Cooks 33.3% (wk3 39.3% – wk2 48.3% – wk1 21.2%) 87.2% (wk3 94.5% – wk2 91.8% – wk1 78.2%)
Anthony Miller 23.8% (wk3 21.4%) 74.5% (wk3 63.6%)
Jordan Akins 4.8% (wk3 17.9% – wk2 7% – wk1 6%) 38.3%% (wk3 61.8% – wk2 63% – wk1 60%)

Quick Hits: Davis Mills finished 30th in PATT for week 4 (21) and looked every bit of a rookie QB with hardly any college starting experience. The Texans laid a big fat goose egg against Buffalo (40-0), and fantasy managers should be worried going forward. The usage is there for Cooks, but it will be hard to trust him following what Mills produced last Sunday. Trade Cooks the next time he puts up a decent stat line. The Texans have a brutal stretch of matchups the next 5 weeks, with week 10 being their next attractive matchup (@ TEN). Sell, Sell, Sell…if you can. 

Indianapolis Colts

Player Target Share Snap Share
Nyheim Hines 6.3% (wk3 16% – wk2 5.5% – wk1 21.1%) 31% (wk3 56% – wk2 37.3% – wk1 44.7%)
Jonathan Taylor 9.4% (wk3 8% – wk2 2.9% – wk1 8.9%) 50.7% (wk3 48% – wk2 44.8% – wk1 55.3%)
Zach Pascal 15.6% (wk3 19% – wk2 16.7% – wk1 13.2%) 81.7% (wk3 89% – wk2 91% – wk1 90.8%)
Michael Pittman Jr 25% (wk3 32% – wk2 33.3% – wk1 10.5%) 85.9% (wk3 93% – wk2 89.6% – wk1 97.4%)
Jack Doyle 3.1% (wk3 5% – wk2 22.2% – wk1 10.5%) 29.6% (wk3 57% – wk2 74.6% – wk1 59.2%)
Parris Campbell 9.4% (wk3 11% – wk2 0% – wk1 8%) 43.7% (wk3 80% – wk2 0% – wk3 61%)
Mo Alie-Cox 16% (wk3 5% – wk2 6% – wk1 5%) 69% (wk3 46% – wk2 42% – wk1 52%)

Quick Hit: Wentz finished t-19th in PATT for week 4 and is 17th on the season. Pittman is the bonafide #1 receiving option in this offense, and should be viewed as solid WR2/3 any given week. Pascal is a risky business flex play for mangers decimated with injuries or looking to fill upcoming BYE weeks. Mo Alie-Cox’ role is one to monitor over the coming weeks. Doyle has done very little as a pass catcher this season, and it looks like Frank Reich decided to press the MAC button in week 4. Parris Campbell’s snaps fell off the map this week, and he is the 4th/5th option in the passing attack.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marvin Jones Jr. 12.5% (wk3 24% – wk2 33.3% – wk1 17.6%) 92.9% (wk3 97% – wk2 87.5% – wk1 90.5%)
Laviska Shenault Jr. 29.2% (wk3 12% – wk2 21.2% – wk1 17.6%) 75% (wk3 65% – wk2 80.4% – wk1 70.3%)
James Robinson 8.3% (wk3 18% – wk2 9.1% – wk1 11.8%) 94.6% (wk3 59% – wk2 73.2% – wk1 63.5%)
Tavon Austin 12.5% 73.2%

Quick Hit: Trevor Lawrence finished 25th in week 4 PATT (24) and is 14th for the season. I immediately regretted my suggestion from last week, that Shenault was flirting with drop status, following DJ Chark’s broken ankle on TNF. Shenault was Trevor’s favorite target early and often, as JAX tried to maintain a lead against the Bengals. Marvin Jones came into week 4 leading the team in snaps and targets, but burned a lot of fantasy mangers last week. Even following Chark’s exit, Shenaults snaps stayed inline with his average for the season (72%). Tavon Austin received the biggest boost in snaps and surprisingly showed he has some juice left in the tank. JAX has a plus matchup against a TEN defense allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to WRs. Both Shenault and Jones are flex plays this weekend. 

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Target Share Snap Share
Tyreek Hill 40% (wk3 16% – wk2 12.9% – wk1 41.6%) 80.6% (wk3 73% – wk2 98% – wk1 72.3%)
Travis Kelce 20% (wk3 25% – wk2 25.8% – wk1 19.4%) 88.1% (wk3 87% – wk2 86.3% – wk1 84.6%)
Mecole Hardman 10% (wk3 9% – wk2 25.8% – wk1 8.3%)  52.2% (wk3 65% – wk2 78.4% – wk1 69.2%)
Demarcus Robinson 0% (wk3 5% – wk2 12.9% – wk1 5.5%) 67.2% (wk3 72% – wk2 58.5% -wk1 73.8%)

Quick Hit: Mahomes finished 23rd in week 4 PATT (30) and is 15th for the season. We still can’t trust anyone in this pass catching group outside of Hill and Kelce. Despite a down day in fantasy production, Kelce still recorded a healthy 20% TS. Look for the offensive production to continue this week against BUF. Vegas has this game as the highest projected point total in week 5.

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Keenan Allen 28% (wk3 32% – wk2 19.5% – wk1 27.7%) 88% (wk3 83% – wk2 91.5% – wk1 82.7%)
Mike Williams 10% (wk3 24% – wk2 24.4% – wk1 25.5%) 85% (wk3 73% – wk2 76.1% – wk1 75.3%)
Jared Cook 18% (wk3 8% – wk2 12.2% – wk1 17%) 52% (wk3 70% – wk2 59.2% – wk1 58%)
Austin Ekeler 13% (wk3 16% – wk2 22% – wk1 0%) 60% (wk3 74% – wk2 63.4% – wk1 58%) 

Quick Hit: Herbert finished t-10th in week 4 PATT (38) and is 4th on the season. This week is the perfect opportunity to put in a trade offer to Mike Williams managers. See if you can get a bite following his 2.1 PPR outing. It was clear the TE’s were a focal point of the Chargers offensive game plan against the Raiders. Don’t chase Parham’s TD (8% TS – 52% SS). Jared Cook’s snaps continue to hover just north of 50%, making his week-to-week production hard to trust. Unfortunately, you might not have any better option at the TE position. 

Los Angeles Rams

Player Target Share Snap Share
Cooper Kupp 31.7% (wk3 32% – wk2 36.7% – wk1 38.5%) 95.6% (wk3 82% – wk2 100% – wk1 94.2%)
Robert Woods  14.6% (wk3 16% – wk2 30% – wk1 15.4%) 95.6% (wk3 88% – wk2 98.3% – wk1 76.9%)
Van Jefferson 14.6% (wk3 16% – wk2 10% – wk1 11.5%) 67.6% (wk3 77% – wk2 91.5% – wk1 69.2%)
Tyler Higbee 14.6% (wk3 13% – wk2 3.3% – wk1 23.1%) 79.4% (wk3 75% – wk2 100% – wk1 100%)
Darrell Henderson Jr. 14.6%  (wk3 OUT – wk2 16.7% – wk1 3.8%) 89.7% (wk3 OUT wk2 67.8% – wk1 94.2%)
DeSean Jackson 7.3% (wk3 13% – wk2 0% – wk1 8) 32.4% (wk3 32% – wk2 5% – wk1 27%)

Quick Hit: Stafford finished 5th in week4 PATT (41) and is 18th on the season.  Van Jefferson continues to pump out stat lines that we all hope from Robert Woods. It was nice to see Woods find the end-zone, saving another disastrous day for the 2020 overall WR12. Van Jefferson is worth the add if you have room on your bench ,but take note of the risky SS. Jefferson is still 3rd in the pecking order on this offense. He is currently third in WR targets for the Rams this season (VJ 18 – RW 25 – CK 46) and snaps (VJ 186 – RW 220 – CK 226). Higbee’s usage keeps him in the back end TE1 conversation. Henderson resumed his role as the RB1 in this offense, Michel took a back seat and added another fumble to his resume. 

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Target Share Snap Share
Darren Waller 21% (wk3 16% – wk2 18.9% – wk1 19%)  93% (wk3 80% – wk2 92.4% – wk1 94.2%)
Henry Ruggs 18% (wk3 16% – wk2 18.9% – wk1 8.9%) 80.7% (wk3 58% – wk2 66.7% – wk1 65.1%)
Hunter Renfrow 24% (wk3 14% – wk2 18.9% – wk1 16%) 66.7% (wk3 52% – wk2 43.9% – wk1 54.7%)
Bryan Edwards 12% (wk3 12% – wk2 8.1% – wk1 8.9%) 89.5% (wk3 76% – wk2 74.2% – wk1 66.3%)
Kenyan Drake 0% (wk3 14% – wk2 16.2% – wk1 8.9%) 35.1% (wk3 43% – wk2 71.2% – wk1 47.7%)

Quick Hit: Carr finished 15th in week 4 PATT (34) and is 2nd on the season. This was clearly Carr’s worst game this year. At least it was a bounce back for Waller, as he remains a set it and forget it fantasy TE. Renfrow should be rostered in more leagues, but should be viewed as a WR3/4 – BYE week or injury fill in. Renfrow continues to trail both Ruggs and Edwards in snaps, meaning some down weeks are in store. The steady increase in snaps from week 1 and his usage in the red zone are promising. Ruggs should have a bounce back incoming, Carr missed him on a number of throws Monday night. Ruggs continues to get separation down the field, and will continue to be boom-bust for fantasy mangers. Apparently Edwards’ snaps don’t mean much, it is difficult to lobby for rostering him in 12-man leagues.  

Miami Dolphins

Player Target Share Snap share
DeVante Parker 30% (wk3 14% – wk2 20.5% – wk1 25.9%) 90.4% (wk3 77% – wk2 74.3% – wk1 83.3%)
Jaylen Waddle 13.3% (wk3 27% – wk2 18.2% – wk1 22.2%) 78.8% (wk3 88% – wk2 63.5% – wk1 79.6%)
Myles Gaskin 0% (wk3 12% – wk2 11.4% – wk1 18.5%) 23.1% (wk3 52% – wk2 60.8% – wk1 53.7%)
Mike Gesicki 20% (wk3 24% – wk2 13.6% – wk1 7.4%) 69.2% (wk3 66% – wk2 63.5% – wk1 38.9%) 

Quick Hit: Jacoby Brissett finished t-22nd in week 4 PATT.  DeVante Parker remains a weekly WR2 in this offense, regardless of who is tossing the rock. Gesicki continues to flourish with Brissett under center, posting a TE7 finish last week (TE3 in wk3). Waddle was a let down following his week 3 usage, he declined in both TS and SS. I expect better numbers from him this week, as MIA should be playing from behind against the defending SB champs. Don’t expect much out of this backfield in the passing game. Gaskin recorded 0 targets after leading the team in targets and receiving yards for the season. Ahmed led in week 4 targets with 2, and did absolutely nothing with them. Malcolm Brown led in week 4 snaps and carries, but failed to do anything with it. Gaskin should stay on your bench, as the best back in this backfield, the other 2 should stay on waivers. 

Minnesota Vikings

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Thielen 21.1% (wk4 24% – wk2 21.9% – wk1 20.4%) 98.5% (wk3 96% – wk2 100% – wk1 94%)
Justin Jefferson 18.4% (wk3 29% – wk2 31.3% – wk1 18.4%) 88.1% (wk3 83% – wk2 86.9% – wk1 91.6%)
K.J. Osborn 18.4% (wk3 5% – wk2 18.8% – wk1 18.4%) 62.7% (wk3 59% – wk2 59% – wk1 80.7%)
Dalvin Cook 15.8%  (wk3 OUT – wk2 9.4% – wk1 14.3%) 49.3% (wk3 OUT – wk2 77% – wk1 71.1%)
Tyler Conklin 15.8% (wk3 21% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 8.2%) 85.1% (wk3 72% -wk2 80.3% – wk1 71.1%)

Quick Hit: Kirk Cousins finished t-10th in week 4 PATT and is 8th on the season.  Cousins struggled against a Cleveland defense that has been on fire in recent weeks. Expect a bounce back from both Kirk and Thielen as they take on the bottom dwelling Detroit Lions in week 5. Dalvin Cooks practice activity needs to be closely monitored this week. It seems like he finished the game without further injuring his ankle, but it was obvious he was not 100%. Cook still led Mattison in SS (Mattison 34.3% SS), but trailed Mattison by 1 carry. Hopefully Cook is able to log a full practice, or two, with a matchup against a DET D that is allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to RBs this season. 

New England Patriots

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jakobi Meyers 30% (wk3 27% – wk2 20% – wk1 23.1%) 94.9% (wk3 96% – wk2 89.7% – wk1 98.7%)
Nelson Agholor 12.5% (wk3 16% – wk2 10% – wk1 18%) 72.9% (wk3 81% – wk2 86.2% – wk1 85.3%)
Brandon Bolden 15% 32.2%
Jonnu Smith 12.5% (wk3 12% – wk2 16.7% – wk1 12.8%) 47.5% (wk3 42% – wk2 50% – wk1 73.3%)
Hunter Henry 12.5% (wk3 12% – wk2 13.3% – wk1 7.7%)  67.8% (wk 72% – wk2 81% – wk1 72%)
Kendrick Bourne 12.5% (wk3 16% – wk2 10% – wk1 8%) 61% (wk3 76% – wk2 54% – wk1 44%)

Quick Hit: Mac Jones finished t-6th in week 4 PATT (40) and is 6th on the season. Meyers continues to receive elite fantasy usage and is a top 15 WR play this week against Houston. Agholor and Bourne continue to eat into each others opportunity. Things only get murkier with N’Keal Harry back in the mix. It’s hard to trust any pass catcher outside of Meyers, but Bourne has popped the last two weeks. Bolden established himself as the heir to James White’s passing work. JJ Taylor did not do himself any favors by fumbling the ball in his first game action this season. Henry continues to dominate snaps and is the TE to trust if you are forced to choose one. 

New Orleans Saints

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Trautman 3.8% (wk3% – wk2 0% -wk1 28.6%) 57.4% (wk3 82% – wk2 52.2% – wk1 82.3%)
Alvin Kamara 0% (wk3 19% – wk2 27.3% – wk1 19%) 86.8% (wk3 84% – wk2 84.1% – wk1 72.6%)
Juwan Johnson 11.5% (wk3 5% – wk2 13.6% – wk1 14.3%) 20.6% (wk3 13% – wk2 40.9% – wk1 19.4%)
Marquez Callaway 7.7% (wk3 24% – wk2 18.2% – wk1 9.5%) 82.4% (wk3 61% – wk2 72.7% – wk1 96.8%)
Deonte Harris 30.8% (wk3 14% -wk2 9% – wk1 10%) 48.5% (wk3 31% – wk2 48% – wk1 44%)
Kenny Stills 3.8% (wk3 14%) 25% (wk3 47%)

Quick Hit: Winston finished 26th in week 4 PATT and is 30th on the season. Taysom Hill continues to get his rushing work, and tossed 3 pass attempts last Sunday just to keep the defenses honest. Ty Montgomery popped on the scene with 50% SS & 11.5% TS. Tony Jones was carted off the field, which opened the window for Montgomery to get in on the action. It is not worth rostering any skill player in NO, other than Alvin Kamara. The offense is not very fruitful for fantasy with Brees at the broadcast desk.

New York Giants

Player Target Share Snap Share
Sterling Shepard OUT (wk3 9% – wk2 31.3% – wk1 24.3%) OUT(wk3 34% – wk2 92.8% – wk1 95.1%)
Darius Slayton OUT (wk3 -wk2 18.8% – wk1 18.9%) OUT (wk3 13% – wk2 56.5% – wk1 70.5%)
Kenny Golladay 17.5% (wk3 14% – wk2 25% – wk1 16.2%) 92.1%(wk3 69% – wk2 84.1% – wk1 85.2%)
Saquon Barkley 15% (wk3 20% – wk2 9% – wk1 8%) 88.9% (wk3 86% – wk2 84% – wk1 48%)
Evan Engram 15% (wk3 17%) 68.3% (wk3 56%)
Kadarius Toney 22.5% (wk3 9% – wk2 0% – wk1 5%) 77.8% (wk3 66% – wk2 28% – wk1 8%)

Quick Hit: Danny Dimes finished t-6th in week 4 PATT (40) and is 13th on the season. Monitor the status of Shepard and Slayton heading into week 5. Kadarius Toney should be rostered in every league if Shepard is to miss another week. Golladay was the big winner from Shep and Salyton being inactive. John Ross was a surprise after recently getting activated to the Giants roster. He did record 10% TS, but was only on the field for 44% of the teams snaps. His role would diminish if Slayton were to return to the lineup.

New York Jets

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jamison Crowder 26.5% 62.3%
Corey Davis 20.6% (wk3 29% – wk2 15.2% – wk1 18.9%) 82% (wk3 94% – wk2 72.6% – wk1 89.2%)
Keelan Cole 12% (wk3 6% -wk2 0% – wk1 0%) 59% (wk3 50% – wk2 22% -wk1 0%)
Elijah Moore OUT (wk3 17% – wk2 24.2% – wk1 10.8%) OUT (wk3 48% – wk2 78.1% – wk1 86.2%)

Quick Hits: Zach Wilson finished 15th in week 4 PATT and is 16th on the season. We predicted a bounce back for Davis this week and he delivered a healthy stat line for fantasy managers. Jamison Crowder picked up like he hasn’t missed a game, leading the Jets in targets (9) and finishing with 19 PPR points. Both should be viewed as WR3/Flex plays with upside in a plus matchup against the Falcons. Keelan Cole showed up in the stat sheet, but don’t waste your time here. NYJ won’t be able to consistently support more than 1-2 fantasy relevant players on any given week. 

Philadelphia Eagles

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeVonta Smith 20.8% (wk3 15% – wk2 30.4% – wk1 22.9%) 91.9% (wk3 98% – wk2 84.5% – wk1 87.3%)
Jalen Reagor 2.1% (wk3 21% – wk2 21.7% – wk1 17.1%) 70.3% (wk3 86% – wk2 72.4% – wk1 70.4%)
Dallas Goedert 10.4% (wk3 10% – wk2 8.7% – wk1 4.3%) 74.3% (wk3 59% – wk2 65.5% – wk1 73.2%)
Miles Sanders 6.3% (wk3 10% – wk2 8.7% – wk1 14.3%) 63.5% (wk3 60% – wk2 67.2% – wk1 66.2%)
Zach Ertz 16.7% (wk3 18% – wk2 8% – wk1 6%) 50% (wk3 52% – wk2 66% – wk1 59%)
Kenneth Gainwell 16.7% (wk3 10% – wk2 13% – wk1 9%) 39.2% (wk3 31% – wk2 34% -wk1 36%)

Quick Hit: Jalen Hurts finished 2nd in week 4 PATT and is 12th on the season. Hurts remains a top fantasy QB despite matchup, because of his rushing upside. Unfortunately, the same can’t be said for the Heisman. After posting 19 PPR points in week 1, Smith failed to produce in tough matchups weeks 2-3. He  popped again last week in a favorable matchup against the Chiefs. The Birds head south to Carolina and take on a Panthers defense that is allowing the 5th fewest fantasy points to the WR position. Temper expectations this week for Philly pass catchers. Rudy has Smith finishing in the WR3 range this week. Kenneth Gainwell needs to be rostered in more leagues. The snaps are worrisome for Gainwell’s production, but I expect those numbers to increase as he continues to outperform Sanders. 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Diontae Johnson 32.5%  (wk3 OUT – wk2 30% – wk1 31.3%) 91.7% (wk3 OUT – wk2 87.5% – wk175.9%)
JuJu Smith-Schuster 20% (wk3 7% – wk2 17.5% – wk1 25%) 95% (wk3 40% – wk2 96.4% – wk1 91.4%)
Chase Claypool OUT (wk3 26% – wk2 22.5% – wk1 15.6%) OUT  (wk3 92% – wk2 76.8% – wk1 67.2%)
Najee Harris 17.5% (wk3 33% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 9.3%)  80% (wk3 95% – wk2 94.6% – wk1 100%)
James Washington 13% (wk3 9% – wk2 3% – wk1 6%) 81.7% (wk3 80% – wk2 21% – wk1 26%)

Quick Hit: Ben finished 6th in week 4 PATT and is 2nd on the season. Despite the high pass volume, it seems as father time is starting to set on Big Ben. He picked up another injury this week (hip). Keep an eye on his practice activity this week. Diontae Johnson and Najee Harris continue to be the only trust worthy fantasy assets. Washington was the beneficiary of Claypool’s absence, while JuJu continues to put up fantasy duds despite a healthy target share. 

Seattle Seahawks

Player Target Share Snap Share
DK Metcalf 34.8% (wk3 28.1% – wk2 35.5% – wk1 21.7%) 82.1% (wk3 89% – wk2 94.4% – wk1 92.6%)
Tyler Lockett 21.7% (wk3 12.5% – wk2 35.5% – wk1 21.7%) 85.7% (wk3 92% – wk2 92.6% – wk1 85.2%)
Chris Carson 4.4% (wk3 6.3% – wk2 0% – wk1 13%) 44.6% (wk3 43% – wk2 63% – wk1 77.8%)
Freddy Swain 17.4% (wk3 6.2% – wk2 16.1% – wk1 4.3%) 44.6% (wk3 85% – wk2 75.9% – wk1 42.6%) 
Gerald Everett OUT (wk3 15.6% – wk2 6% – wk1 9%) OUT (wk3 79% – wk2 80% – wk1 72%)

Quick Hit: Russ finished 26th in PATT for week 4 (23) and is 28th on the season. What happened to letting Russ cook? Lockett and Metcalf maintain their set-it and forget-it usage, but we need to monitor Lockett’s health. Tyler has been dealing with a hip issue since week 3. Freddy Swain is not seeing enough snaps, yet, to roster in most 12-team leagues. If Lockett or Metcalf were to miss anytime, Swain would be atop all of the waiver wire articles. Chris Carson’s neck injury needs more attention. Alex Collins is the obvious add. Deejay Dallas is someone to watch in deeper leagues, if Carson happens to miss time. Dissly hopped into the TE1 role for SEA (82.1% SS), with Everett out, but did absolutely nothing to warrant a roster spot. 

San Francisco 49ers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Deebo Samuel 29.3% (wk3 25% – wk2 26.7% – wk1 46.2%) 89.5% (wk3 90% – wk2 70% – wk1 83.6%)
George Kittle 26.8% (wk3 23% – wk2 13.3% – wk1 19.2%) 92.1% (wk3 100% – wk2 100% – wk1 94.5%)
Brandon Aiyuk 7.3% (wk3 15% – wk2 7% – wk1 0%) 67.1% (wk3 86% – wk2 54% – wk1 47%)
Kyle Juszczyk 9.8% (wk3 10% – wk2 10% – wk1 4%) 81.6% (wk3 69% – wk2 59% – wk1 36%)
Mohamed Sanu 12.2% (wk3 15% – wk2 3% – wk1 4%) 51.3% (wk3 64% – wk2 29% – wk1 36%) 

Quick Hit: Garoppolo and Lance combined for a total of 41 PATT, good for t-5th in week 4. Deebo is an elite fantasy asset, and potential league winner given his August ADP. Kittle will see better days. Aiyuk’s snaps and targets came back down to earth, after trending up for three consecutive weeks. Keep him on your bench to see if his usage rebounds and stabilizes. Sanu’s snaps are too low. He is not worth a roster spot as the 3rd/4th option in this passing game, even after two weeks of double digit TS. Hopefully we get to see Elijah Mitchell back on the field this week, take a peak to see if any of your league mangers left him on waivers. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chris Godwin 11.6% (wk3 12.7% – wk2 13.9% – wk1 28%) 93.6% (wk3 96% – wk2 88.9% – wk1 98.5%)
Rob Gronkowski OUT (wk3 12.7% – wk2 13.9% – wk1 16%) OUT (wk3 62% – wk2 81% – wk1 87.7%)
Antonio Brown  25.6% (wk3 OUT – wk2 8.3% – wk1 14%) 51.3%  (wk3 OUT – wk2 44.4% – wk1 64.6%)
Leonard Fournette 11.6% (wk3 5.5% – wk2 11.1% – wk1 14%) 82.1% (wk3 36% – wk2 49.2% – wk1 64.6%)
Mike Evans 27.9% (wk3 18.2% – wk2 25% – wk1 12%) 88.5% (wk3 84% – wk2 73% – wk1 93.8%)
Giovani Bernard OUT (wk3 18.2% – wk2 6% – wk1 6%) OUT (wk3 45% – wk2 10% – wk1 26%)

Quick Hit:  Brady finished 3rd in week 4 PATT (43) and is 1st overall on the season. Mike Evans and Godwin should continue to stay in weekly lineups despite “down” weeks. Antonio Brown resumed his role following his week 3 absence. The boost in TS is attractive, but the snaps should keep him in the WR3/4 range with upside on a pass happy offense. Cameron Brate slipped into the Gronk role (64.1% SS), but failed to do much with his 14% TS. We’ll see if we get a bounce back in week 5, with Gronk most likely out again. OJ Howard led Brate slightly in snaps (65.4% SS), but only recorded 1 target. Brate is merely a dart throw TE play in DFS for his projected low ownership. He should not be trusted in redraft formats. RoJo got no love with Gio Bernard out. Fournette is Rudy’s RB15 for week 5. 

Tennesse Titans

Player Target Share Snap Share
A.J. Brown OUT (wl3 7.5% – wk2 22.5% – wk1 22.9%) OUT (wk3 11.8% – wk2 84.1% – wk1 81.2%)
Julio Jones OUT (wk3 14.8% – wk2 20% – wk1 17.1%) OUT (wk3 50% – wk2 75% – wk1 78.1%)
Chester Rogers 12.2% (wk3 7.4% – wk2 12.5% – wk1 17.1%) 66% (wk3 41.2% – wk2 43.2% – wk1 60.9%)
Derrick Henry 4.1% (wk3 11.1% – wk2 15% – wk1 11.4%) 59% (wk3 72.1% – wk2 76.1% – wk1 62.5%)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 16.3% (wk3 14.8% – wk2 3% – wk1 6%) 81% (wk3 77.9% – wk2 18.2% – wk1 37.5%)
Josh Reynolds 18.4% 78%
Jeremy McNichols 24.5% 40%

Quick Hit: Ryan Tannehill finished first overall in week 4 PATT (49) and is 10th overall on the season. Despite all of the chatter in favor of Westbrook-Ikhine leading up to week 4, Josh Reynolds and Jeremy McNichols were the biggest beneficiaries of Brown and Jones’ absence. Reynolds is the more interesting cog if AJB & JJ were to miss another week. Westbrook-Ikhine did lead TEN skill players in snaps and should be on your watch list if AJB/JJ were to miss an extended period of time. Another week down and another TEN TE finished with the most snaps at the position. Stay away from this position group. 

Washington Football Team 

Player Target Share Snap Share
Terry McLaurin 39.4% (wk3 29.2% – wk2 30.4% – wk1 19%) 97% (wk3 96.3% – wk2 100% – wk1 100%)
Dyami Brown 6.1% (wk3 8.3% – wk2 13% – wk1 19%) 41.8%(wk3 64.8% – wk2 87.3% – wk1 92.7%)
Logan Thomas 0% (wk3 16.7% – wk2 15% – wk1 14.3%) 7.5%(wk3 100% – wk2 100% – wk1 100%)
Adam Humphries 3% (wk3 16.7% – wk2 17.4% – wk1 9.5%) 67.2% (wk3 63% – wk2 70.4% – wk1 60%)
JD McKissic 15.2% (wk3 8.3% – wk2 13% – wk1 4.8%) 40.3% (wk3 46.3% – wk2 43.7% – wk1 36.4%)
Curtis Samuel 12.1% 37.3%

Quick Hit: Taylor Heinicke finished t-17th in week 4 PATT (33) and is tied for 24th on the season (keep in mind he did not start until week 2). Unlike the Mills-Cooks connection, McLaurin and Heinicke have proven to sustain reliable fantasy output…so far. They’ll both be tested against New Orleans in week 5. Luckily for fantasy managers, New Orleans has surrendered the 8th most fantasy point to the WR position this year. Rudy projects Mclaurin to finish as WR13 this week. Logan Thomas will be sidelined for a minimum of one week with a hamstring injury. Ricky Seals-Jones received this biggest uptick in snaps following Thomas’ early exit (92.5% SS – 12.5% TS). Seals isn’t worth an add in most fantasy formats, unless Thomas is expected to miss extended time and Seals-Jones usage sustains. Gibson continues to record single digit TS (wk4 6%), while McKissic dominates the passing down/hurry role for WFT. The limited snaps for JD cap his weekly ceiling, but in PPR formats he’s a weekly RB3/4. Curtis Samuels’ snaps need to increase drastically before trusting him near a lineup. The double digit TS and below 40% SS, screams boom-or-bust (think DJax).  

 

16 Comments
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packers2018
packers2018
1 year ago

Good stuff. Thank you.

JC
JC
1 year ago

Pick top two in order (Jakobi, Renfrow, or AJG) for best chance to emerge as a starter long term in a 12 teamer?

Jolt In Flow
Jolt In Flow
1 year ago
Reply to  JC

I don’t know about you, but this looks like some juicy commentary ftom Nic, “Meyers continues to receive elite fantasy usage and is a top 15 WR play this week against Houston.” Combine that with the fact that Meyers is Jones’ first trusted WR target since joining the NFL and that’s a match made in heaven. There’s always something magical about the first of anything. That goes for Jones being Meyers’ first QB that really trusts him as a number 1 WR.

Good luck whatever order you choose.

Jolt

JC
JC
1 year ago
Reply to  Nic Romero

I have Adams and Mike Will starting at WR now. So Jakobi is next up over Claypool and OBJ I imagine. Flex could be Jakobi, Latavius or Chuba this week.

inavacuum
inavacuum
1 year ago

great content! Thanks

what do you think of doing large trades?

Have an offer to trade the following:
Give: Dak Prescott, Miles Sanders, Gainwell, latavius murray
get: Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields, Darnell Mooney, David Montgomery

Its a superflex league where you can start 2 qb’s.

inavacuum
inavacuum
1 year ago
Reply to  Nic Romero

I agree, the bears offense is not something I want to buy a lot of , which is ironic considering the trade. There is (of course) more to the story.

-> it is a superflex keeper league, players can be kept for 3 years, so cheap running qb’s can be foundational pieces (thinking maybe fields- he’s $4 to keep)

-> my other rb’s are: Saquon Barkley, Swift, le’veon bell, khalil herbert, jeff wilson jr… as i type it out, I feel like I would be too weak at RB after the deal. maybe I drop latavius murray from the mix? who do I add?

-> my existing wr’s: dj moore, golladay, rondale moore, rashod bateman, will fuller

The reason to do the deal would be to get 3 qb’s instead of 2 for bye weeks. My current qb’s are Dak and Herbert. also darnell Mooney may be an improvement over Golladay?

as I type everything out I’m starting to sour on it

Thanks!

Chase
Chase
1 year ago

Are we sure Cole Beasley just had an off day? His snap share has decreased weekly. Playing Cole in PPR leagues is tempting but there is a big dud risk here. Should the order
Be
1.) Diggs
2.) Sanders
3.) Knox
4.) Beasley

Rudy Gamble
Admin
1 year ago
Reply to  Chase

Knox is just a red zone guy. Very boom/bust. Bills have played some bad teams so could be they were resting Beasley some.

Chase
Chase
1 year ago
Reply to  Nic Romero

Hahaha hey I just pick the players, I don’t play the games. Thanks for the input y’all!

Johnny Sweeptheleg
Johnny Sweeptheleg
1 year ago

6 point QB league, full PPR. I drafted Tannehill and that’s been a bust so far. I now have him, DJones and Trey Lance. I want to drop at least 1, which one would you suggest?

I also have Bateman in the IR slot, Josh Gordon and Marlon Mack – waiting to see what those guys do (and if Mack gets traded). Would you drop any of those guys?

Last question, at RB I have Carter, Perine, Montegomery, Dillon, and Murray. If Carson doesn’t play tonight, should I grab and start Collins? Same question(s) as above, who to drop?

I need to drop at least one person as I currently do not have a kicker – going to grab Succup.

Thanks!

Johnny Sweeptheleg
Johnny Sweeptheleg
1 year ago

what say you, boss?