Weekly Refresh 

Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend. 

Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…

Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points). After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7  ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).

If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers. 

  • Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
  • I like you, but don’t love you range :  Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not. 
  • Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range. 
  • Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays. 

Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop. 

Arizona Cardinals

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeAndre Hopkins 29% (wk4 21.9% – wk3 18% – wk2 11%) 92% (wk4 96.2% – wk3 91% – wk2 96.7%)
A.J. Green 6% (wk4 18.8% – wk3 18% – wk2 16.7%) 80% (wk4 85.9% – wk3 79% – wk2 83.6% )
Christian Kirk 16% (wk4 3.1% – wk3 24% – wk2 11.1%) 54% (wk4 71.8% – wk3 57% – wk2 62.3%)
Rondale Moore 19% (wk4 9.4% – wk3 6% – k 22.2%) 48% (wk4 42.3% – wk3 34% – wk2 45.9%)
Chase Edmonds 13% (wk4 15.6% – wk3 24% – wk2 13.9%) 61% (wk4 66.7% – wk3 66% – wk2 63.9%)

Quick Hit: Murray finished 22nd in pass attempts (PATT) for week 5 (31) and is t-19th for the season. Chase Edmonds continues to dominate the RB passing role and out-snapped Conner for the 5th straight week. Conner’s lone rushing TD is the only thing that separated the two from finishing with nearly identical fantasy outings. Both backs failed to get much going against a tough 49ers run-D (both averaged below 3.0 ypc), but it’s Edmonds passing work that will keep him fantasy relevant. It is hard to ignore Rondale Moore’s talent as he continues to flash every time he is given opportunity. Don’t be surprised to see his snaps steadily increase over the course of the season, which will support more consistent fantasy production. AJG held onto his normal SS, but recorded his lowest target share this season. Razzball’s own, Rudy Gamble, projects AJG, Kirk, and Moore outside of the top 50 fantasy WRs this week. Maxx Williams was beginning to emerge as a fantasy relevant TE, but he will miss the rest of the season after suffering a blow to the knee against San Fran. Do not be surprised if ARI makes a move for a tight end.

Atlanta Falcons

Player Target Share Snap Share
Calvin Ridley OUT (wk4 31% – wk3 31% – wk2 20.8%) OUT (wk4 96.1% – wk3 95% – wk2 83.3%)
Kyle Pitts 22% (wk4 21.4% – wk3 8% – wk2 12.5%) 69% (wk4 72.4% – wk3 84% – wk2 79.2%)
Mike Davis 11% (wk4 4.8% – wk3 11% – wk2 14.5%) 64% (wk4 67.1% – wk3 60% – wk2 63.9%)
Cordarrelle Patterson 20% (wk4 14.3% – wk3 19% – wk2 12.5%) 59% (wk4 30.3% – wk3 42% – wk2 33.3%)
Russell Gage OUT (wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT – wk2 14.6%) OUT (wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT – wk2 52.8%)
Olamide Zaccheaus 9% (wk4 7.1% – wk3 17% – wk2 8%) 85% (wk4 80.3% – wks 69% – wk2 59%)

Quick Hit: Matt Ryan finished 2nd in PATT (45) for week 4 and is 4th for the season. Cordarrelle Patterson doubled his SS from week 4 to week 5, with both Calvin Ridley (personal) and Russell Gage (ankle) inactive. Even with both pass catchers sidelined, CP was 5th in snaps behind Zaccheaus, Tajae Sharp (81% SS), Pitts, and Davis. Ridley is expected to return following Atlanta’s week 6 BYE and Gage will be back in action soon. Cordarrelle continues to prove me wrong and is a viable fantasy asset given his target share, but I will double down on him being a sell high candidate. Kyle Pitts was the primary beneficiary with ATL thin at wideout, posting a juicy stat line of 9 catches for 119 yards and a tuddie. We predicted better performances out of Pitts in last weeks Target Report. Expect him to continue developing as a more consistent fantasy option. Even though Hayden Hurst posted back-to-back double-digit TS, he is the 4-5th option in this offense. His snaps and targets are risky business, and he can’t be trusted near a starting lineup. Let your league-mates chase the 12 point PPR outing from week 5. 

Baltimore Ravens

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marquise Brown 23% (wk4 13.5% -wk3 23% – wk2 38.5%) 90% (wk4 61.6% – wk3 67% – wk2 72.4%)
Sammy Watkins 7% (wk4 18.9% – wk3 23% – wk2 26.9%) 27% (wk4 72.6% – wk3 79% – wk2 92.1%)
Mark Andrews 30% (wk4 21.6% – wk3 23% – wk2 19.2%) 77% (wk4 63% – wk3 79% – wk2 75%)
Ty’Son Williams 5% (wk4 OUT – wk3 3% – wk2 7.7%) 19% (wk4 OUT – wk3 50% – wk2 48.7%)
Devin Duvernay 9% (wk4 16% – wk3 10% – wk2 0%) 88% (wk4 46% – wk3 57% – wk2 51%)

Quick Hit: Jackson finished t-3rd in PATT for week 4 (43) and ranks 18th for the season. It was another full tilt come from behind performance by Jackson and Company in week 5. This backfield continues to be a running back-by-committee minefield and should be avoided in 12-man or smaller leagues. Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews continue to be the only fantasy relevant skill players in Baltimore. Sammy Watkins was on pace for a decent night, but exited early with a hamstring injury and failed to return to the game. Devin Duvernay’s usage was trending up prior to week 5, and he received an additional boost following Watkins early exit. Sammy was not a reliable fantasy option prior to week 5, neither will Duvernay if Sammy misses extended time. Mark Andrews finally had a blow up game, and his set-it and forget-it usage continues.  

Buffalo Bills

Player Target Share Snap Share
Stefon Diggs 19% (wk4 33.3% – wk3 23% – wk2 24.2% 74% (wk4 73.6% – wk3 75% – wk2 78.5%)
Cole Beasley 8% (wk4 6.7% – wk3 30% – wk2 12.1%) 39% (wk4 50% – wk3 66% – wk2 60%)
Emmanuel Sanders 19% (wk4 20% – wk3 14% – wk2 18.1%) 79% (wk4 70.8% – wk3 80% – wk2 76.9%)
Dawson Knox 15% (wk4 26.7% – wk3 11% – wk2 9%)  96% (wk4 80.6% – wk3 78% – wk2 83%)

Quick Hit: Josh Allen finished 27th in PATT for week 5 (26) and is t-10th for the season. A dominating win by the Bills, Mahomes and the Chiefs put up little fight on Sunday Night. The over hit, but Allen only needed 26 pass attempts to secure the victory. Heading this direction since week 2, Zack Moss officially secured the RB1 spot in week 5. Moss dominated in snaps and targets (15% TS – 74% SS), while Singletary took on a compressed secondary role (8% TS – 26%). Singletary is flirting with drop status in 10-team leagues, is merely a handcuff-dependent bench stash in 12-team leagues, and is in the desperation range of BYE week fill-ins. I predicted Beasley would have a better outing against KC, but he trended down in snaps for a 3rd straight week. This could be due to the low pass volume required in a lopsided victory, but Dawson Knox has emerged as Allens 3rd favorite option the last two week. Sanders is the PPR WR14 on the season and finished as the WR16 in week 5. He is a viable WR2/3 moving forward. Knox continues his TE1 campaign. His 96% SS in week 5 points to sustainable fantasy opportunities moving forward. Hopefully you grabbed him before it was too late. 

Carolina Panthers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chuba Hubbard 16% (wk4 5.1% – wk3 14.7%) 65% (wk4 47.1% – wk3 54.8%)
DJ Moore 19% (wk4 30.8% – wk3 35.3% – wk2 28.9%) 87% (wk4 84.3% – wk3 74% – wk2 88.2%)
Terrace Marshall Jr 8% (wk4 7.8% – wk3 14.7% – wk2 7.9%) 76% (wk4 71.4% – wk3 61.6% – wk2 51.3%)
Robby Anderson 19% (wk4 28.2% – wk3 5.9% – wk2 15.8%) 87% (wk4 84.3% – wk3 64.4% – wk2 73.3%)

Quick Hit: Sam Darnold finished 9th in PATT for week 4 (39) and is 11th on the season. In a game where the Panthers were favored to win, Darnold struggled against a desperate Eagles team and completed only 56% of his passes (28th amongst QBs that attempted over 20 PATT in week 5). RB Rodney Smith was an afterthought, even though he dominated the receiving work for Carolina in week 4 @ DAL. Chuba Hubbard yielded RB2 numbers (18.4 PPR points) against the Eagles and dominated the receiving work. This is promising for those who blew top wavier priority or FAAB $$$ on Hubbard. Chuba gets an attractive matchup against a Minnesota team that surrendered a top 10 RB outing to Deandre Swift last week (22.4 PPR points). If you have a panicking DJ Moore manager, I’d throw out a few trade offers following his abysmal 8.8 PPR points. Darnold and the Panthers have a get right game on deck, against the Minnesota Vikings in week 6. Robby Anderson accepted our week 5 Target Report challenge, he maintained a healthy TS and SS for a 2nd straight week. He has earned his spot on our bench for another week. Hard to trust him in lineups, unless you are severely thin at WR. Ian Thomas’ snaps remained flat from week 4 (63%), but he did see an increase in targets. Thomas reached into double-digit TS (14%) for the first time this season, along with his TE-mate Tommy Tremble (11%). Tremble has yet to reach over 40% SS, but his athletic ability continues to flash. Tremble screams dynasty buy. Thomas should be on TE watch lists in redraft. 

Chicago Bears

Player Target Share Snap Share
Allen Robinson 24% (wk4 17.6% – wk3 30% – wk2 16.7%) 83% (wk4 69% – wk3 89% – wk2 80%)
Darnell Mooney 24% (wk4 41.2% – wk3 20% – wk2 33.3%) 77% (wk4 70.7% – wk3 98% – wk2 89.2% )
David Montgomery OUT (wk4 0% – wk3 20% – wk2 16.7%) OUT (wk4 62.1% – wk3 82% – wk2 80%) 
Cole Kmet 19% (wk4 17.6% – wk3 20% – wk2 4.2%) 80% (wk4 98.3% – wk3 96% – wk2 72.3%)
Damien Williams 14% (wk4 11.8% – wk3 0% – wk2 12.5%) 48% (wk4 32.8% – wk3 1.6% – wk2 23.1%)
Marquise Goodwin 10% (wk4 11.8% – wk3 5% – wk2 12.5%) 38% (wk4 50% – wk3 % – wk2 47.7% )

Quick Hit: Justin Fields continues to finish at the bottom of the barrel in weekly pass attempts. Fields finished 31st with 20 PATT in week 5 and is 32nd in PATT over his last three starts. Damien Williams saved his day with a rushing touchdown and minimal receiving work, but was out-snapped and out-performed by rookie RB Khalil Herbert. Herbert led Williams in snaps (34 to 31), carries (18 to 16), yards (75 to 64), and had a slightly healthier ypc (4.2 KH – 4.0 DW). Both should be rostered for as long as David Montgomery is sidelined, this is a run first offense. For the first time this season, Allen Robinson recorded more snaps than Darnell Mooney. Unfortunately for all CHI pass catchers, Matt Nagy’s offense and Fields low passing volume is fantasy kryptonite. The target rates look tempting for Robinson, Mooney, and Kmet – but looks are deceiving when your QB only throws for 20 passes. Rudy Gamble projects Robinson as a WR3 this week and Mooney a WR4, hopefully you have better options. Do not waste your time with Cole Kmet

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Target Share Snap Share
Ja’Marr Chase 26% (wk4 28.1 – wk3 28% – wk2 13.3%) 92% (wk4 79.3% – wk3 83% – wk2 92.7%)
Tee Higgins 18%  (wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT – wk2 33.3% ) 71% (wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT – wk2 90.9%)
Joe Mixon 3% (wk4 6.3% – wk3 6% – wk2 6.7%) 29% (wk4 69% – wk3 74% – wk2 83.6%)
Tyler Boyd 13% (wk4 34.4% – wk3 33% – wk2 30%) 83% (wk4 62.1% – wk3 79% – wk2 87.3% )
C.J. Uzomah 5% (wk4 18.8% – wk3 6% – wk2 7%) 85% (wk4 82.8% – wk3 72.2% – wk2 72.7%)

Quick Hit: After ranking towards the bottom in PATT through the first four weeks of the season, Burrow finished t-9th in week 5 (38) and ranks 26th for the season. Samaje Perine was the RB1 for the Bengals last week, as Joe Mixon managed through his ankle injury. Perine dominated the passing work and looked good while doing it. Perine will have an uphill battle to find the field this week, after being placed on the COVID-19 list. This is great news for Joe Mixon managers. The practice report needs to be monitored closely for this RB group. Chris Evans is a name to watch if Mixon is limited for a 2nd week and Perine can’t get off the COVID list. Ja’Marr Chase continues his bid for offensive rookie of the year. His WR1 role did not dip following the return of Tee Higgins. Higgins role will continue to increase as he gets back to “full” strength. Boyd will have better outings moving forward, he maintained a healthy SS and dipped below 30% TS for the first time since week 1. A three headed monster at wideout does limit the week-to-week upside and consistency for both Boyd and Higgins. Rudy projects all three CIN WR in the top 30 this week, in a favorable matchup against the Detroit Lions. Uzomah took a back seat with Higgins back in action.

Cleveland Browns

Player Target Share Snap Share
Odell Beckham Jr 9% (wk4 21.2% – wk3 29%) 82% (wk4 79.5% – wk3 64%) 
Austin Hooper 0% (wk4 15.2% – wk3 10% – wk2 23.8%) 73% (wk4 71.8% – wk3 60% – wk2 68.9%)
Kareem Hunt 19% (wk4 12.1% – wk3 23% – wk2 4.8%) 45% (wk4 52.6% – wk3 41% – wk2 37.7%)
Rashard Higgins 16% (wk4 21.2% – wk3 6% – wk2 10%) 48% (wk4 52.6% – wk3 49% – wk2 72%)
Donovan Peoples-Jones 19% (wk4 0% – wk3 6% – wk2 5%) 69% (wk4 60% – wk3 65% – wk2 77%)
David Njoku 22% (wk4 6% – wk3 0% – wk2 14%) 65% (wk4 68% – wk3 62% – wk2 60%)

Quick Hit: Baker Mayfield finished 19th in PATT for week 5 (32) and is 26th on the season. My sentiment about this offense remains the same from last week. CLE can support two fantasy relevant RBs, but hardly gives enough for one relevant and consistent fantasy WR. Sell high on OBJ after his next double digit outing and before Landry returns from IR. Higgins and Peoples-Jones dominated the WR passing work against LAC, the Chargers took OBJ out of the game. Jarvis Landry was spotted running this week at practice, indicating his return is near. Hopefully you have better options to start at wideout. Higgins and DPJ’s TS and SS scream risky business, both should stay on waivers. Recent TS data indicated Hooper was the TE to keep on watch lists, but Njoku had other plans. David Njoku’s 22% TS came out of left field and will be hard to trust moving forward. Let your league-mates chase this passing offense. 

Dallas Cowboys

Player Target Share Snap Share
Amari Cooper 18% (wk4 13.6% – wk3 15% – wk2 18.5%) 73% (wk4 47.5% – wk3 86% – wk2 96.8%)
CeeDee Lamb 18% (wk4 22.7% – wk3 12% – wk2 33.3% 83% (wk4 80.3% – wk3 86% – wk2 96.8%)
Dalton Schultz 24% (wk4 36.4% – wk3 27% – wk2 7.4%) 73% (wk4 78.7% – wk3 69% – wk2 76.2%)
Blake Jarwin 0% (wk4 13.6% – wk3 8% – wk2 14.8%) 40% (wk4 54.1% – wk3 56% – wk2 46.8%) 
Tony Pollard 12% (wk4 0% – wk3 4% – wk2 11.1%) 40% (wk4 29.5% – wk3 38% – wk2 33.9%) 

Quick Hit: Dak finished t-19th in PATT for week 5 and is 19th on the season. The Cowboys continue to be a fantasy powerhouse, supporting two relevant RBs and three pass catchers in Lamb, Cooper, and Schultz. It was nice to see Cooper bounce back in snaps, after managing through his hamstring injury that limited his snaps in week 4. Cooper, Lamb, and Schultz remain as set-it and forget-it fantasy assets.  WR Noah Brown emerged as the 3rd wideout in week 5 for the Cowboys, with Cedrick Wilson’s targets declining for a third straight week, but he is still the 4-5th pass catching option on this team. Baring any injury to the top dogs, neither Brown nor Wilson should be considered on fantasy rosters.  

Denver Broncos

Player Target Share Snap Share
Noah Fant 11% (wk4 27% – wk3 12% – wk2 17.7%) 98% (wk4 93.4% – wk3 87% – wk2 76.8% )
Tim Patrick 24% (wk4 16.2% – wk3 20% – wk2 11.8%) 97% (wk4 91.8% – wk3 76% – wk2 73.9%)
Courtland Sutton 29% (wk4 21.6% – wk3 20% – wk2 35.3%) 92% (wk4 95.1% – wk3 76% – wk2 76.8%)

Quick Hit: Bridgewater finished t-9th in week 5 PATT (38) and ranks t-25th on the season. Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon are nearly even in passing and rushing production this season. Both continue to limit each other’s weekly upside, and should be viewed as low-upside RB2/3 moving forward. Bridgewater was able to clear concussion protocol and was able to pick up where he left off. Sutton and Patrick’s fantasy value was brought back to life with Teddy’s return, and Drew Lock back on the bench. Their snaps and targets should keep them in the weekly WR2/3 conversation, with weekly WR1 upside. Let your league-mates chase Kendall Hinton’s TD and 10.5  PPR outing. Hinton has yet to reach above 9% TS and is the 4 pass catching option behind Sutton-Patrick-Fant. Jerry Jeudy is on track to return in the next 2-3 weeks, this will put a lid on Patricks week-to-week fantasy value. Sell high on Patrick if he puts together another double-digit fantasy outing and before Jeudy returns to action. Fant will have better days ahead and is a buy-low candidate at the TE position. 

Detroit Lions

Player Target Share Snap Share
T.J. Hockenson 9% (wk4 21% – wk3 6% – wk2 25%) 82% (wk4 81.7% – wk3 84% – wk2 93%)
D’Andre Swift 17% (wk4 15.8% – wk3 23% – wk2 13.9%) 75% (wk4 73.2% – wk3 56% – wk2 63.2%)
Jamaal Williams 6% (wk4 0% – wk3 6% – wk2 8.3%) 33% (wk4 29.6% – wk3 49% – wk2 38.6%)
Quintez Cephus 9% (wk4 13.2% – wk3 3% – wk2 19.4% ) 33% (wk4 87.3% – wk3 71% – wk2 89.5%)
Amon-Ra St. Brown 23% (wk4 21% – wk3 3% – wk2 14%) 70% (wk4 71.8% -wk3 43% – wk2 60%)
Trinity Benson 6% (wk4 7.9% – wk3 3% – wk2 8.3%) 31% (wk4 28.2% – wk3 38% – wk2 42.1%)
Kalif Raymond 6% (wk4 15.8% – wk3 32% – wk2 6%) 69% (wk4 74.6% – wk3 75% – wk2 63%)
KhaDarel Hodge 14% (wk4 3% – wk3 3%) 66% (wk4 11% – wk3 8%)

Quick Hit: Goff finished t-14th in week 5 PATT (35) and is 5th overall on the season. Jamaal Williams continues to take a back seat to Swift in the passing game, sucking out his perceived fantasy value from the summer. Quintez Cephus was placed on season ending IR after suffering a broken collarbone. Cephus’ absence will, slightly, help narrow the wide distribution of Goff’s targets. Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected to take on lead receiving duties moving forward. His snaps and targets were increasing even before Cephus’ week 5 injury. Take this as your warning, we have seen this WR room see-saw in usage and fantasy production every week this season. Do not over expose yourself to any DET pass catcher outside of Hockenson, but St. Brown is worth a bench stash for now. 

Green Bay Packers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Devante Adams 41% (wk4 30.6% – wk3 55% – wk2 33.3% ) 91% (wk4 87.5% – wk3 89% – wk2 87.7%)
Aaron Jones 13% (wk4 11.1% – wk3 6% – wk2 22.2%) 69% (wk4 62.5% – wk3 73% – wk2 69.2%)
Allan Lazard 5% (wk4 8.3% – wk3 3% – wk2 0%) 86% (wk4 79.2% – wk3 67% – wk2 65%)
Randall Cobb 8% (wk4 16.7% – wk3 3% – wk2 11.1%) 55% (wk4 45.8% – wk3 33% – wk 18.5%)
Robert Tonyan 5% (wk4 19.4% – wk3 3% – wk2 11.1% )

59% (wk4 77.8% – wk3 73% – wk2 43.1%)

Quick Hits: Rodgers finished t-7th in PATT for week 5 (39) and is 21st on the season. AJ Dillon slipped over double-digit TS (10%) for the first time this year, despite a decline in snaps (40% SS wk4 – 33% SS wk5). Matt LaFleur made a concerted effort to get Dillon involved in the passing game, and he passed the eye test every time he caught the ball. Packers beat reporter, Tom Silverstein, reported that LaFleur wishes he had given Dillon more work in the passing game against CIN. Grab him if any of your league-mates failed to put a claim in for him this week. Jones will maintain his lead RB role, but Dillon will continue to eat into Jones’ fantasy value if LaFleur walks the talk. This could be a possible sell high window for Jones managers, before Dillon eats away too much of the passing work. Last Sunday was the Devante Adams show, as he validates his first round draft price. No other pass catcher recording double-digit TS, but it was Cobb who received the largest % increase in snaps with MVS sidelined. If you have the room, Cobb is worth a bench stash as his role continues to develop. Tonyan can’t be trusted in lineups with his inconsistent week-to-week usage.

Houston Texans

Player Target Share Snap Share
Brandin Cooks 17% (wk4 33% – wk3 39.3% – wk2 48.3%) 85% (wk4 87.2% – wk3 94.5% – wk2 91.8% )
Chris Conley 14% (wk4 5% – wk3 4% – wk2 7%) 92% (wk4 87% – wk3 89% – wk2 92%)
David Johnson 21% (wk4 19% – wk3 0% – wk2 7%) 53% (wk4 57% – wk3 38% – wk2 43%)
Chris Moore 17% 63%

Quick Hits: Davis Mills finished 25th in PATT for week 5 (29). Mills impressed with a 72.4 completion %, and threw for 3 TD and 0 INTs. Mills did this against a Pats D that shutdown the NY Jets prized first round rookie QB, Zach Wilson, back in week 2. Johnson continues to be the only fantasy relevant HOU RB because of his work in the passing game. Expect a better outing from Cooks heading into a plus matchup against IND. The Colts were torched through the air, for 442 yards, by Lamar Jackson on Monday night. The looming return of Danny Amendola only muddles the opportunity for Moore and Conley, both finished as top-24 PPR WRs last week. If Davis is able to keep up his efficiency, the second pass catcher behind Cooks could be in the conversation for a BYE week fill-in.

Indianapolis Colts

Player Target Share Snap Share
Nyheim Hines 3% (wk4 6.3% – wk3 16% – wk2 5.5% ) 38% (wk4 31% – wk3 56% – wk2 37.3%)
Jonathan Taylor 11% (wk4 9.4% – wk3 8% – wk2 2.9%) 52% (wk4 50.7% – wk3 48% – wk2 44.8%)
Zach Pascal 14% (wk4 15.6% – wk3 19% – wk2 16.7%) 86% (wk4 81.7% – wk3 89% – wk2 91%)
Michael PittmanJr 20% (wk4 25% – wk3 32% – wk2 33.3%) 88% (wk4 85.9% – wk3 93% – wk2 89.6%)
Jack Doyle 3% (wk4 3.1% – wk3 5% – wk2 22.2%) 72% (wk4 29.6% – wk3 57% – wk2 74.6%)
Parris Campbell 17% (wk4 9.4% – wk3 11% – wk2 0%) 55% (wk4 43.7% – wk3 80% – wk2 0%)
Mo Alie-Cox 11% (wk4 16% – wk3 5% – wk2 6%) 45% (wk4 69% – wk3 46% – wk2 42%)

Quick Hit: Wentz finished t-14th in PATT for week 5 (35) and ranks t-14th on the season. Hines’ role continues to diminish with Taylor dominating both carries and targets. Hines should be relegated to a desperation RB play or BYE week fill in. It seemed as if Frank Reich forced Parris Campbell into the game-plan to start the game, but eventually Pittman took over. Parris Campbell and Zach Pascal will continue to limit each other on a week-to-week basis. Both should remain on waivers in 12-team or smaller leagues. Mo Alie-Cox recorded double-digit TS for a second week, but his snaps reverted back to his familiar 40-50% range. Keep MAC on your watchlist, but stay away from this TE group for now. 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marvin Jones Jr. 15% (wk4 12.5% – wk3 24% – wk2 33.3%) 94% (wk4 92.9% – wk3 97% – wk2 87.5%)
Laviska ShenaultJr. 9% (wk4 29.2% – wk3 12% – wk2 21.2%) 74% (wk4 75% – wk3 65% – wk2 80.4%)
James Robinson 3% (wk4 8.3% – wk3 18% – wk2 9.1%) 69% (wk4 94.6% – wk3 59% – wk2 73.2%)
Tavon Austin 15% (wk4 12.5%) 34% (wk4 73.2%)
Dan Arnold 24% (wk4 8%) 74% (wk4 32%)
James Agnew 24% 64%

Quick Hit: Trevor Lawrence finished 18th in week 5 PATT (33) and is 13th for the season. James Robinson is a bell cow in the offense, with no real threat in the passing game or on the ground. JRob has 18 targets this season and Carlos Hyde is the next back with only 4. Tavon Austin’s 10 point PPR outing was less of a surprise, after his 2nd week over 12% TS, but who is James Agnew? Marvin Jones is due for a bounce back game, but temper expectations for any JAC pass catcher. Trevor Lawrence is spreading the ball around and not forcing targets to a single player. Laviska dipped below double-digit TS for the first time this season. Expect him to regress closer to his norm, he is averaging 17% TS this season. Agnew will need to repeat similar usage in order to be worth a bench spot, keep him as a watch list candidate for now. Dan Arnold finished t-2nd in team snaps and tied Agnew for the most JAC targets in week 5. Arnold can be considered a low-end TE streaming option. Rudy projects Arnold as a top-12 fantasy TE this week. 

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Target Share Snap Share
Tyreek Hill 24% (wk4 40% -wk3 16% – wk2 12.9%) 85% (wk4 80.6% – wk3 73% – wk2 98%)
Travis Kelce 19% (wk4 20% – wk3 25% – wk2 25.8%) 87% (wk4 88.1% – wk3 87% – wk2 86.3%)
Mecole Hardman 22% (wk4 10% – wk3 9% – wk2 25.8%)  69% (wk4 52.2% – wk3 65% – wk2 78.4%)
Demarcus Robinson 4% (wk4 0% – wk3 5% – wk2 12.9%) 76% (wk4 67.2% – wk3 72% – wk2 58.5%)

Quick Hit: Mahomes finished 1st in week 5 PATT (54) and ranks t-6th for the season. Darrell Williams is an obvious top add this week, but is unlikely to become a fantasy bell cow, with Edwards-Helaire on IR. Jerick McKinnon should be considered in 12-team leagues for RB needy managers that missed out on DWill, he is a speculative bench stash until this backfield usage shakes out. Mecole Hardman increased his target share for the third straight week, and looked good in prime time. I’m not ready to recommend starting him with confidence, but he is worthy of a bench stash. We need to see if he can repeat similar usage this week. No need to waste word count on Hill and Kelce, keep them in your lineups.

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Target Share Snap Share
Darren Waller 22.9% (wk4 21% – wk3 16% – wk2 18.9%)  95.5% (wk4 93% – wk3 80% – wk2 92.4%)
Henry Ruggs 8.6% (wk4 18% – wk3 16% – wk2 18.9%) 83.6% (wk4 80.7% – wk3 58% – wk2 66.7%)
Hunter Renfrow 22.9% (wk4 24% – wk3 14% – wk2 18.9%) 74.6% (wk4 66.7% – wk3 52% – wk2 43.9%)
Bryan Edwards 14.3% (wk4 12% – wk3 12% – wk2 8.1%) 76.1% (wk4 89.5% – wk3 76% – wk2 74.2%)
Josh Jacobs 14.3% (wk4 15%) 68.7% (wk4 63%)
Kenyan Drake 2.9% (wk4 0% – wk3 14% – wk2 16.2%) 17.9% (wk4 35.1% – wk3 43% – wk2 71.2%)

Quick Hit: Carr finished t-14th in week 5 PATT (35) and ranks 3rd for the season. Josh Jacobs ankle injury is clearly in the rear view mirror, dominating RB targets and snaps. Drake is an afterthought with Jacobs back in action. Hunter Renfrow’s targets and snaps increased for a fourth week in a row. His target share remained above 22% for a 2nd straight week. Let’s hope the change in head coach does not torpedo Renfrow’s fantasy value. It is a weekly crap shoot outside of Renfrow and Waller. It is difficult to argue that Edwards or Ruggs should be on any bench in 12-man or smaller leagues. 

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Keenan Allen 20.9% (wk4 28% – wk3 32% – wk2 19.5%) 90.7% (wk4 88% – wk3 83% – wk2 91.5%)
Mike Williams 37.2% (wk4 10% – wk3 24% – wk2 24.4%) 77.3% (wk4 85% – wk3 73% – wk2 76.1%)
Jared Cook 7% (wk4 18% – wk3 8% – wk2 12.2%) 66.7% (wk4 52% – wk3 70% – wk2 59.2%)
Austin Ekeler 11.6% (wk4 13% – wk3 16% – wk2 22% ) 70.7% (wk4 60% – wk3 74% – wk2 63.4%) 

Quick Hit: Herbert finished t-3rd in week 5 PATT (43) and ranks 2nd for the season. The Chargers have a three headed fantasy monster with Williams-Ekeler-Allen, there should be no reason to leave them out of lineups. Donald Parham Jr found the end zone for a second week in a row, but his TS and SS point to unsustainable fantasy production (4.7% TS – 55% SS). Let your league-mates chase his box score. Cook had a down week, but is still the TE1 in this high powered offense. Rudy projects a bounce back from Cook this week, projecting a TE11 finish. 

Los Angeles Rams

Player Target Share Snap Share
Cooper Kupp 27% (wk4 31.7% – wk3 32% – wk2 36.7% ) 88.1% (wk4 95.6% – wk3 82% – wk2 100%)
Robert Woods  37.8% (wk4 14.6% – wk3 16% – wk2 30%) 98.5% (wk4 95.6% – wk3 88% – wk2 98.3%)
Van Jefferson 10.8% (wk4 14.6% – wk3 16% – wk2 10%) 58.2% (wk4 67.6% – wk3 77% – wk2 91.5%)
Tyler Higbee 5.4% (wk4 14.6% – wk3 13% – wk2 3.3%) 83.6% (wk4 79.4% – wk3 75% – wk2 100%)
Darrell HendersonJr. 2.7%  (wk4 14.6% – wk3 OUT – wk2 16.7%) 65.7% (wk4 89.7% – wk3 OUT wk2 67.8%)
DeSean Jackson 8.1% (wk4 7.3% – wk3 13% – wk2 0%) 29.9% (wk4 32.4% – wk3 32% – wk2 5%)

Quick Hit: Stafford finished t-11th in week 5 PATT (37) and ranks 16th on the season. Both Henderson and Michel were non-factors in the passing game in week 5. Bobby Trees rewarded fantasy mangers that stuck with him in week 5. Woods and Kupp both recorded an elite fantasy target share, and should stay in lineups moving forward. We warned about Van Jefferson last week. Van trended down in targets and snaps for a third straight week. He will have better weeks ahead, but it will be risky business and hard to predict on any given week. Jefferson will need an injury to Kupp or Woods to become a viable weekly fantasy starter. DJax continues his boom-bust campaign, keep him on waivers. Higbee is an extremely low-end fantasy tight end as the 3rd-4th receiving option on this offense. Too many mouths to feed to support consistent fantasy production for Higbee. 

Miami Dolphins

Player Target Share Snap share
DeVante Parker OUT (wk4 30% – wk3 14% – wk2 20.5%) OUT (wk4 90.4% – wk3 77% – wk2 74.3%)
Jaylen Waddle 15% (wk4 13.3% – wk3 27% – wk2 18.2%) 80% (wk4 78.8% – wk3 88% – wk2 63.5%)
Myles Gaskin 26% (wk4 0% – wk3 12% – wk2 11.4%) 69% (wk4 23.1% – wk3 52% – wk2 60.8%)
Mike Gesicki 18% (wk4 20% – wk3 24% – wk2 13.6%) 78% (wk4 69.2% – wk3 66% – wk2 63.5%) 
Preston Williams 13% 74%

Quick Hit: Jacoby Brissett finished t-7th in week 5 PATT (39) and ranks 23rd for the season. I’m still scratching my head over Gaskin’s week 4 usage, but he was back in good standing with the Dolphins in week 5. He dominated RB snaps and led all MIA skill players in targets – Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed were non-factors. Waddle stepped in as the lead wideout, with Parker inactive, and led this team in offensive snaps. He should have a better outing against the bottom tier Jaguars. Preston Williams can be considered in deeper formats for as long as Parker is sidelined with a hamstring injury. 5 weeks into the season and Mike Gesicki is the fantasy TE10, he is a weekly TE1. 

Minnesota Vikings

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Thielen 9% (wk4 21.1% – wk3 24% – wk2 21.9%) 93% (wk4 98.5% – wk3 96% – wk2 100%)
Justin Jefferson 24% (wk4 18.4% – wk3 29% – wk2 31.3%) 90% (wk4 88.1% – wk3 83% – wk2 86.9%)
K.J. Osborn 12% (wk4 18.4% – wk3 5% – wk2 18.8% ) 60% (wk4 62.7% – wk3 59% – wk2 59%)
Dalvin Cook OUT  (wk4 15.8% – wk3 OUT – wk2 9.4%) OUT (wk4 49.3% – wk3 OUT – wk2 77%)
Tyler Conklin 9% (wk4 15.8% – wk3 21% – wk2 12.5%) 75% (wk4 85.1% – wk3 72% -wk2 80.3%)

Quick Hit: Kirk Cousins finished 17th in week 5 PATT (34) and ranks 8th for the season. Alexander Mattison remains a weekly RB1 for as long as Cook is sidelined. Even when Cook returns, Mattison has proven to be a premium handcuff. Justin Jefferson continues to be a set-it and forget-it fantasy asset. Adam Thielen will have better days ahead. Do not be discouraged by the 9%, he still led the team in snaps and was a focal point for Cousins as they marched down the field for the game winning field goal. Osborn’s snaps and Minnesota rushing tendencies make him irrelevant in most fantasy formats. Conklin is not a reliable fantasy TE.

New England Patriots

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jakobi Meyers 16.7% (wk4 30% – wk3 27% – wk2 20%) 90.6% (wk4 94.9% – wk3 96% – wk2 89.7%)
Nelson Agholor 13.3% (wk4 12.5% – wk3 16% – wk2 10%) 67.2% (wk4 72.9% – wk3 81% – wk2 86.2%)
Brandon Bolden 13.3% (wk4 15%) 37.5% (wk4 32.2%)
Jonnu Smith 6.7% (wk4 12.5% – wk3 12% – wk2 16.7%) 62.5% (wk4 47.5% – wk3 42% – wk2 50%)
Hunter Henry 26.7% (wk4 12.5% – wk3 12% – wk2 13.3%)  62.5% (wk4 67.8% – wk3 72% – wk2 81%)
Kendrick Bourne 10% (wk4 12.5% – wk3 16% – wk2 10%) 50% (wk4 61% – wk3 76% – wk2 54%)

Quick Hit: Mac Jones finished t-23rd in week 5 PATT (30) and ranks 9th for the season. For the 5th straight week, Jakobi Meyers led this WR group in snaps and targets. Unfortunately, Meyers failed to produce in the fantasy column. Meyers did drop a deep ball from Jones that could have led to a touchdown, this would have completely changed his outlook heading into week 6. The steady emergence of Kendrick Bourne has diluted the opportunity for both Meyers and Nelson Agholor. N’Keal Harry increased in snaps and targets for a second straight week (34.4% wk5 SS – 25.2% wk4 SS / 6.7% wk5 TS – 2% wk4 TS), but is not fantasy relevant. At this point in the season, Meyers is the only WR that can be trusted in lineups. Expect a better outing from Meyers in week 6. Mac Jones will be passing a lot in attempt to keep up with the red hot Cowboys. Hunter Henry evenly split snaps with Jonnu Smith, but continues to dominate targets. Henry led all NE pass catchers in week 5 targets (8) and finished as a top 5 fantasy tight end (TE 4). Brandon Bolden maintained his ‘James White’ role for a second straight week, no other NE RB recorded a single target in week 5. 

New Orleans Saints

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Trautman 6.7% (wk4 3.8% – wk3% – wk2 0%) 85.7% (wk4 57.4% – wk3 82% – wk2 52.2%)
Alvin Kamara 26.7% (wk4 0% – wk3 19% – wk2 27.3%) 87.5% (wk4 86.8% – wk3 84% – wk2 84.1%)
Juwan Johnson 3.3% (wk4 11.5% – wk3 5% – wk2 13.6%) 10.7% (wk4 20.6% – wk3 13% – wk2 40.9%)
Marquez Callaway 26.7% (wk4 7.7% – wk3 24% – wk2 18.2%) 82.1% (wk4 82.4% – wk3 61% – wk2 72.7%)
Deonte Harris 3.3% (wk4 30.8% – wk3 14% -wk2 9%) 3.6% (wk4 48.5% – wk3 31% – wk2 48% )
Kenny Stills 16.7% (wk4 3.8% – wk3 14%) 71.4% (wk4 25% – wk3 47%)

Quick Hit: Winston finished t-23rd in week 5 PATT (30) and ranks 30th for the season. Taysom Hill exited the game on a cart with a, reported, concussion. Kamara and Winston’s fantasy value would get a boost if Hill misses any time. It was nice to see Kamara lead the team in targets, after a goose egg in targets last week. Following a dramatic dip in targets in week 4, Marquez Callaway recorded an elite fantasy target share in week 5. Callaway reached over 18% TS for the third time in four weeks. He continues to be Winston’s preferred pass catcher outside of Kamara. Harris made the most of his single target and catch for a 75-yard touchdown, don’t chase the fantasy points. He did nothing else after leaving the game with a hamstring injury. Stills emerged as the #2 wideout for the Saints. The looming return of Michael Thomas and Tre’Quan Smith limit the long term fantasy upside for any wideout on this team. Callaway is the only WR worth considering on fantasy rosters. Trautman continues to dominate TE snaps, but his lack of targets should keep him on waivers. Johnson is useless. The Saints are one of four teams on BYE in week 6.

New York Giants

Player Target Share Snap Share
Sterling Shepard OUT (wk4 OUT – wk3 9% – wk2 31.3%) OUT (wk4 OUT -wk3 34% – wk2 92.8%)
Darius Slayton OUT (wk4 OUT – wk3 -wk2 18.8%) OUT (wk4 OUT – wk3 13% – wk2 56.5%)
Kenny Golladay 7.9% (wk4 17.5% – wk3 14% – wk2 25%) 35.3%(wk4 92.1% – wk3 69% – wk2 84.1%)
Saquon Barkley 2.6% (wk4 15% – wk3 20% – wk2 9%) 8.8% (wk4 88.9% – wk3 86% – wk2 84%)
Evan Engram 10.5% (wk4 15% – wk3 17%) 73.5% (wk4 68.3% – wk3 56%)
Kadarius Toney 34.2% (wk4 22.5% – wk3 9% – wk2 0%) 54.4% (wk4 77.8% – wk3 66% – wk2 28%)
Devontae Booker 10.5% 88.2%
John Ross  13.2% (wk4 10%) 60.3% (wk4 44%)

Quick Hit: Danny Dimes completed 13 PATT and Mike Glennon completed 25. A combined total of 38, which was good for QB 9 in week 5 pass attempts. The Giants did everything they could to hand that win to the Cowboys, with an unfortunate run of injuries to key players. Danny Dimes stumbled off the field following a hard hit to the head trying to run it in at the goal line. He will need to clear concussion protocol if he wants to find the field this week. It appears Barkley avoided a serious injury to his ankle. He will miss week 6, at minimum, and is considered week-to-week. Booker had no issues running as the lead back and will be a top waiver add. Similar to CMC/Hubbard, Booker is only a short-term rental and expectations should be tempered. The Giants have tough matchups on deck against the Rams and Panthers. Kadarius Toney was ejected in the 4th quarter of Sundays game, but showed us why he was a first round pick. My message from last week remains, Toney should be rostered in every league even after picking up a minor ankle injury that has a chance to keep him out week 6. Mike Glennon had no issues targeting Toney early and often. Add another NYG wideout to the injured list. Luckily for Kenny Golladay managers, KG avoided serious damage to his knee. He is expected to miss, at least, one week. The Giants practice reports need to be monitored closely this week to see who will suit up at wideout. John Ross continues to fill Darius Slayton’s role as the field stretcher. He will likely see an increase in targets and snaps, for a third straight week, given the bevy of WR injuries. In need of a TE? Engram’s production continues to trend up, but has yet to splash in the fantasy column. The increase in usage and decimation of the Giants receiving core presents a buy-low trade window. 

New York Jets

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jamison Crowder 18.8% (wk4 26.5%) 60.7% (wk4 62.3%)
Corey Davis 21.9% (wk4 20.6% – wk3 29% – wk2 15.2%) 80.4% (wk4 82% – wk3 94% – wk2 72.6%)
Keelan Cole 9.4% (wk4 12% – wk3 6% -wk2 0%) 55.4% (wk4 59% – wk3 50% – wk2 22%)
Elijah Moore 6.3%  (wk4 OUT – wk3 17% – wk2 24.2%) 41.1% (wk4 OUT – wk3 48% – wk2 78.1%)

Quick Hits: Zach Wilson finished t-19th in week 5 PATT (32) and ranks 17th for the season. Michael Carter and Ty Johnson recorded 3 targets each (9.4% TS), but it was Carter who led in RB snaps (MC 51.8% SS – TJ 39.3% SS). Rushing touchdowns saved both from recording another abysmal fantasy outing. Both are extremely low upside BYE week fill-ins. Zach Wilsons rookie struggles continued in a favorable matchup against the Falcons. Corey Davis is the only viable fantasy option, with Crowder making a case for weekly flex consideration after a 2nd week of healthy targets. Moore is merely a deep league stash, but his snaps need to bounce back to his early season rate to be worth the stash. The Jets are on BYE following their trip across the pond and return to action with a trip to Foxborough. NYJ recorded only 6 points agains the Patriots in week 3. 

Philadelphia Eagles

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeVonta Smith 22% (wk4 20.8% – wk3 15% – wk2 30.4%) 94% (wk4 91.9% – wk3 98% – wk2 84.5%)
Jalen Reagor 14% (wk4 2.1% – wk3 21% – wk2 21.7% ) 71% (wk4 70.3% – wk3 86% – wk2 72.4%)
Dallas Goedert 8% (wk4 10.4% – wk3 10% – wk2 8.7%) 68% (wk4 74.3% – wk3 59% – wk2 65.5%)
Miles Sanders 14% (wk4 6.3% – wk3 10% – wk2 8.7%) 76% (wk4 63.5% – wk3 60% – wk2 67.2%)
Zach Ertz 16% (wk4 16.7% – wk3 18% – wk2 8%) 61% (wk4 50% – wk3 52% – wk2 66%)
Kenneth Gainwell 8% (wk4 16.7% – wk3 10% – wk2 13%) 24% (wk4 39.2% – wk3 31% – wk2 34% )

Quick Hit: Jalen Hurts finished t-11th in week 5 PATT (37) and ranks 12th on the season. Leading up to week 5, Gainwell’s snaps indicated his fantasy output was unsustainable. The bottom fell out in week 5, as Gainwell dipped below 30% SS and single-digit TS. Kenny is a desperation BYE week fill in. Smith continues to receive elite fantasy usage, keep him in your lineups. Reagor and Watkins will only continue to limit each others weekly fantasy value. Despite recording 80% SS, Quez Watkins only recorded 8% TS. Both Reagor and Watkins should remain on waivers. With the Birds playing on a short week, Goedert is unlikely to get off the COVID-19 reserve list. Ertz is a great streaming option at TE this week.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Diontae Johnson 8%  (wk4 32.5% – wk3 OUT – wk2 30%) 92% (wk4 91.7% – wk3 OUT – wk2 87.5%)
Chase Claypool 24% (wk4 OUT wk3 26% – wk2 22.5%) 55%  (wk4 OUT – wk3 92% – wk2 76.8%)
Najee Harris 20% (wk4 17.5% – wk3 33% – wk2 12.5%)  80% (wk4 80% – wk3 95% – wk2 94.6%)
James Washington OUT (wk4 13% – wk3 9% – wk2 3%) OUT (wk4 81.7% – wk3 80% – wk2 21%)

Quick Hit: Ben finished 28th in week 5 PATT (25) and ranks t-6th on the season. Najee is the RB4 through 5 weeks, and is a weekly fantasy RB1. Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool’s fantasy value receive a huge boost with JuJu out the remainder of the season. DJ should be viewed as a weekly WR1/2, and Claypool in the WR2/3 range with weekly WR1 upside. The Steelers signed Anthony Miller with JuJu out and Washington dealing with a groin injury. Outside of the top three options, no other PIT skill player warrant a fantasy roster spot.

Seattle Seahawks

Player Target Share Snap Share
DK Metcalf 15% (wk4 34.8% – wk3 28.1% – wk2 35.5%) 74% (wk4 82.1% 0 wk3 89% – wk2 94.4%)
Tyler Lockett 30% (wk4 21.7% – wk3 12.5% – wk2 35.5%) 86% (wk4 85.7% – wk3 92% – wk2 92.6%)
Chris Carson OUT (wk4 4.4% – wk3 6.3% – wk2 0%) OUT (wk4 44.6% – wk3 43% – wk2 63%)
Freddy Swain 9% (wk4 17.4% – wk3 6.2% – wk2 16.1%) 62% (wk4 44.6% – wk3 85% – wk2 75.9%) 

Quick Hit: Russ is expected to be out until week 10. This torpedos the fantasy value for all SEA skill players. In the small sample, Geno Smith looked some-what serviceable. I’m willing to ride with Metcalf and Lockett this week, after Geno gets a full week of preparation, but their upside is extremely limited. Rudy projects both wideouts in the WR3 range this week. Alex Collins stepped into the RB1 role with Carsons sidelined, and his availability is in question again for week 6. I’m hesitant to trust Collins in lineups with Geno starting, I worry about his ability to sustain drives, and he has a tough matchup upcoming against PITT. Swain and TE Dissly can’t be trusted near a roster until we see what Geno can do under center. 

San Francisco 49ers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Deebo Samuel 31% (wk4 29.3% – wk3 25% – wk2 26.7%) 86% (wk4 89.5% – wk3 90% – wk2 70%)
Brandon Aiyuk 14% (wk4 7.3% – wk3 15% – wk2 7%) 71% (wk4 67.1% – wk3 86% – wk2 54%)
Kyle Juszczyk 14% (wk4 9.8% – wk3 10% – wk2 10%) 65% (wk4 81.6% – wk3 69% – wk2 59%)
Mohamed Sanu 10% (wk4 12.2% – wk3 15% – wk2 3%) 46% (wk4 51.3% – wk3 64% – wk2 29%) 

Quick Hit: Lance finished t-25th in week 5 PATT (29). Trey Sermon took a back seat to Elijah Mitchell, recording 3% SS to Mitchells 68% in week 5. He can be dropped in most formats. With Kittle on short term IR, another fantasy relevant pass catcher outside of Samuel should emerge. We’ll have to wait until after San Fran’s week 6 BYE to find out. Aiyuk is the leading candidate and should be stashed on fantasy rosters.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chris Godwin 24% (wk4 11.6% – wk3 12.7% – wk2 13.9%) 69% (wk4 93.6% – k3 96% – wk2 88.9%)
Rob Gronkowski OUT (wk4 OUT – wk3 12.7% – wk2 13.9%) OUT (wk4 OUT wk3 62% – wk2 81% )
Antonio Brown  18%  (wk4 25.6% – wk3 OUT – wk2 8.3%) 57%  (wk4 51.3% –  wk3 OUT – wk2 44.4%)
Leonard Fournette 11%  (wk4 11.6% – wk3 5.5% – wk2 11.1%) 62% (wk4 82.1% – wk3 36% – wk2 49.2%)
Mike Evans 18%  (wk4 27.9% – wk3 18.2% – wk2 25%) 78% (wk4 88.5% – wk3 84% – wk2 73%)
Giovani Bernard 4% (wk4 OUT wk3 18.2% – wk2 6%) 23% (wk4 OUT wk3 45% – wk2 10%)

Quick Hit:  Brady finished t-5th in week 5 PATT (41) and ranks 1st overall for the season. Leonard Fournette is a weekly RB1. RoJo is waiver material, and Bernard should be on watch lists as he gets back to full strength. Bernard will need to return to double-digit TS for at least two weeks before we can trust him near a starting lineup. Don’t overreact to Bernards 11.5 PPR outing in week 5. If Brady continues to lead the league in pass attempts, all three TB wideouts can maintain weekly fantasy value. Fire up all three this week against PHI, Rudy projects the trio to finishing inside the top 24 fantasy scoring WRs. Gronkowski is expected to miss a third straight week. Brate and Howard have done little to become fantasy relevant with Gronk sidelined. 

Tennesse Titans

Player Target Share Snap Share
A.J. Brown 27% (wk4 OUT – wk3 7.5% – wk2 22.5%) 64% (wk4 OUT wk3 11.8% – wk2 84.1%)
Julio Jones OUT (wk4 OUT wk3 14.8% – wk2 20%) OUT (wk4 OUT wk3 50% – wk2 75%)
Chester Rogers 5% (wk4 12.2% – wk3 7.4% – wk2 12.5%) 48% (wk4 OUT wk3 41.2% – wk2 43.2%)
Derrick Henry 0% (wk4 4.1% – wk3 11.1% – wk2 15%) 77% (wk4 OUT wk3 72.1% – wk2 76.1%)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine OUT (wk4 16.3% – wk3 14.8% – wk2 3%) OUT (wk4 81% – wk3 77.9% – wk2 18.2%)
Josh Reynolds 5% (wk4 18.4%)  28% (wk4 78%)

Quick Hit: Ryan Tannehill finished 30th in week 5 PATT (22) and ranks t-14th for the season. It was nice to get Brown back in action and pick up his connection with Tannehill. Expect a better outing for AJB moving forward. The Titans didn’t need to pass much in a lopsided win against the Jags. The rest of the receiving core is like trying to crack the Da Vinci code, and we wasted are time trying to crack it the last two weeks. Marcus Johnson came out of no where with 24% an 75% SS. 22 pass attempts from Tannehill is hard to support one pass catching fantasy asset. When Jones returns it will only continue to muddle the wideout room. AJB and Henry are the only fantasy assets worth rostering. 

Washington Football Team 

Player Target Share Snap Share
Terry McLaurin 27% (wk4 39.4% – wk3 29.2% – wk2 30.4%) 85% (wk4 97% – wk3 96.3% – wk2 100%)
Dyami Brown OUT (wk4 6.1% – wk3 8.3% – wk2 13%) OUT (wk4 41.8% – wk3 64.8% – wk2 87.3%)
Adam Humphries 12% (wk4 3% – wk3 16.7% – wk2 17.4%) 62% (wk4 67.2% – wk3 63% – wk2 70.4%)
JD McKissic 10% (wk4 15.2% – wk3 8.3% – wk2 13%) 41% (wk4 40.3% – wk3 46.3% – wk2 43.7%)
DeAndre Carter 20% 71%
Ricky Seals-Jones 20% 100%

Quick Hit: Taylor Heinicke finished t-5th in week 5 PATT (41) and ranks 22nd for the season. JD’s SS and TS remained relatively the same in week 5. The risky business usage failed to produce in the fantasy column, even in a week where Heinicke passed the ball 41 times. He’ll continue to be a weekly PPR streamer as we head into BYE weeks. The WFT get a juicy matchup against a Chiefs defense that is hemorrhaging fantasy production to the WR position. McLaurin is Rudy’s projected WR13 this week. The Curtis Samuel fantasy life was short lived, he is week-to-week with a groin injury and isn’t expected to play this week. Dyami Browns availability will be one to monitor this week. Journeyman, DeAndre Carter, was the biggest beneficiary of Brown and Curtis’ absence. If you like playing with fire, Carter is a sneaky streaming option if Brown is unable to suit up. Humphries is a deeper league option this week. Rick Seals-Jones played every offensive snap for the Football Team and should be rostered more leagues with Logan Thomas on Ir. Seals-Jones is back end TE1 this week against KC

  1. JC says:
    (link)

    1. Would you trade away Claypool for Damien Harris given my team below in 1/2 PPR league? With JuJu out, Clay looks like a decent flex but RBs hard to find.

    2. Doubtful that I get Devontae or Toney but of course will put a claim in from the 8th position in our 12 teamer. If I whiff, am I grabbing any of the others in place of Latavius, Chuba or ?

    Kyler
    A Jones, Carson
    Mike Williams, Adams
    Flex: Claypool
    Hock

    Bench: OBJ, Mike Carter, Latavius, Chuba, Dillion, Jakobi
    WW: Booker, Toney, Renfrow, Patrick, Hunter, Arnold

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      With JuJu out for the season, claypool is an appreciating asset. I do agree you need to make a move for RB. in half PPR – Rudys trade analyzer has the team receiving Damien Harris as the winning side of this trade (138 points to 111 rest of season). my only concern for Harris is this is his 2nd/3rd week carrying an injury designation, and he didn’t practice yesterday. Booker is a great spot start for as long as Barkley is sidelined. i would pick him up immediately, lat murray doesn’t need to be rostered IMO. decent flex depth on the WW with Renfrow, Patrick, and Toney.

  2. Comatose says:
    (link)

    PPR league, in a vacuum, would you trade James Robinson and AB for DHop?

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
      (link)

      is it a Dyson? or Shark?… not for AB.I would for DHop, depending on roster need.. we have those guys about even in PPR points ROS. thanks for the comment.

  3. whatsayyou says:
    (link)

    just want to say thanks

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
      (link)

      thank you for reading and the comment!

  4. JC says:
    (link)

    Surprisingly I got Toney off the WW. I have to drop one of these players in my 12 teamer, 1/2 PPR league. Context: 4-1 in second place so I can be patient with an eye toward building for a strong finish. My team:
    Kyler
    A Jones, Carson
    Adams, Mike Will
    Flex: Claypool or Damien Harris
    Hock
    Cards
    IR: Jeff Wilson
    Bench: Latavius, Mike Carter, Chuba, Dillon, Jakobi, Toney

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      thanks again for the comments and the read. i mentioned this in my reply to your other comment, im good with dropping Lat Murray. low upside for Lat Murray with Ljax, Ty Will, and D.Freeman all getting action. good luck!

  5. Mantis Tobaggan says:
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    parker’s still out of practice, and has to leave on a flight to get to england earlier than normally would’ve allowed MIA to jerk us around for. gaskin’s gon GET them targets (waddle/gesicki too)

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      i’m all about it!. thanks for reading and the comment

  6. Chase says:
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    Again, this is in my rotation of material to read before setting line ups, thank you for providing this info.

    Question :

    Godwin or Amari Cooper?

    Amari has been bailed out of bad days by TDs the last two weeks. Leaning Godwin here

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      Yes, i’m going Godwin here. Rudy’s projection echos the same message, by a decent margin. I think Evans gets the Darius Slay coverage this week since Evans plays outside the majority of the time. Gronk is still sidelined, so Godwin should get his fair share of looks in the middle. DAL get’s a matchup against NE patriots where i think the game script will lean more run vs pass. DAL has been cooking on the ground lately and i feel that narrative continues. i agree with you, Amari has been surviving by TDs.

      • Chase says:
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        All good points, thanks!

  7. Sagacious Sally says:
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    10 Team PPR League 1QB

    Rodgers
    Lamb, DJ, Shepard, Renfroe, Parker, ARob
    C-Mac, Henderson, Swift/Williams, Pollard
    Fant

    Trade Offer: C-Mac and ARob for Barkley/Booker, CEH/D. Williams and Gronk

    Yes 5 for 2 Got to do this, right?

    • Sagacious Sally says:
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      DJ=Diontae Johnson

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        Do you feel like your lacking RB depth? Idk if I’d give up CMC with him nearing return. I rather have him than al 4 of those backs. I do believe Arob is expendable but your RB group is decent..just need to wait 1-2 more weeks for CMC to get back. Feel like Henderson and Swift can get you there. Hope that helps..and the end of the day go with your gut. Thanks for the read and comment

        • Nic Romero

          Nic Romero says:
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          Well..now CMC is back on IR

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