Weekly Refresh 

Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend. 

Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…

Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points) in week 1. After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7  ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).

If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers. 

  • Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
  • I like you, but don’t love you range:  Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not. 
  • Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range. 
  • Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays. 

Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop. 

Arizona Cardinals

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeAndre Hopkins 13.3% (wk5 29% – wk4 21.9% – wk3 18% ) 89.3% (wk5 92% – wk4 96.2% – wk3 91%)
A.J. Green 20% (wk5 6% – wk4 18.8% – wk3 18% ) 90.7% (wk5 80% – wk4 85.9% – wk3 79%)
Christian Kirk 26.7% (wk5 16% – wk4 3.1% – wk3 24%) 85.3% (wk5 54% – wk4 71.8% – wk3 57%)
Rondale Moore 13.3% (wk5 19% – wk4 9.4% – wk3 6%) 56% (wk5 48% – wk4 42.3% – wk3 34%)
Chase Edmonds 13.3% (wk5 13% – wk4 15.6% – wk3 24%) 37.3% (wk5 61% – wk4 66.7% – wk3 66%)

Quick Hit: Kyler Murray ranked 17th in week 6 pass attempts (PATT – 30) and is 20th for the season. Edmonds continues to dominate the passing work out of the Cardinals backfield, while Conner dominates the early-down and red zone touches. Chase’s snaps decreased drastically after carrying a questionable designation all week, look for his snaps to rebound moving forward as his shoulder gets in better shape. A down week in the target department for Hopkins, but his work in the red zone continues to be fruitful. Nuk leads the Cardinals with 10 red-zone targets on the season, which is t-4th in the NFL this year. Green continues his campaign as the WR2 in the offense and is currently WR35 in fantasy, he should continue to be viewed as a WR3/flex play. Rondale Moore did see his snaps marginally increase for the 4th week in a row, but he continues to trail DHop, AJG, and Kirk in snaps. The addition of Zach Ertz will only muddle the opportunity for Kirk and Moore. Possible sell high window for Kirk, or for Moore the next time he has a double-digit outing. 

Atlanta Falcons

Player Target Share Snap Share
Calvin Ridley BYE (wk5 OUT – wk4 31% – wk3 31%) BYE (wk5 OUTwk4 96.1% – wk3 95%)
Kyle Pitts BYE (wk5 22% – wk4 21.4% – wk3 8%) BYE (wk5 69% – wk4 72.4% – wk3 84%)
Mike Davis BYE (wk5 11% – wk4 4.8% – wk3 11% ) BYE (wk5 64% – wk4 67.1% – wk3 60%)
Cordarrelle Patterson BYE (wk20% – wk4 14.3% – wk3 19%) BYE (wk5 59% – wk4 30.3% – wk3 42%)
Russell Gage BYE (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT) BYE (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT)
Olamide Zaccheaus BYE (wk5 9% – wk4 7.1% – wk3 17%) BYE (wk5 85% – wk4 80.3% – wks 69% )

Quick Hit: I still believe Cordarrelle’s production is unsustainable, even though he continues to prove me wrong with his fantasy production. Both Ridley and Gage are expected to return, and Pitts is beginning to take off. Patterson’s targets are keeping him alive, but his snaps need to be monitored while the receiving room returns to full strength. 

Baltimore Ravens

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marquise Brown 18.5% (wk5 23% – wk4 13.5% -wk3 23%) 73.9% (wk5 90% – wk4 61.6% – wk3 67%)
Sammy Watkins OUT (wk5 7% – wk4 18.9% – wk3 23%) OUT (wk5 27% – wk4 72.6% – wk3 79%)
Mark Andrews 22.2% (wk5 30% – wk4 21.6% – wk3 23%) 53.6% (wk5 77% – wk4 63% – wk3 79%)
Devin Duvernay 11.1% (wk5 9% – wk4 16% – wk3 10%) 49.3% (wk5 88% – wk4 46% – wk3 57%)
Rashod Bateman 22.2% 65.2%

Quick Hit: Lamar Jackson ranked 22nd in week 6 PATT (27) and is 21st for the season. Ty’Son Williams was a healthy scratch for the 2nd time in two weeks, he can be dropped. This backfield is a fantasy cesspool and should be avoided on fantasy rosters. All three backs recorded less than 38% of the Ravens offensive snaps (37.7% Murray – 31.9% Bell – 30.4% Freeman). I will note that Freeman has looked the best of the 4 backs, even in his limited action. Neither of the backs are dominating the passing work nor receiving enough passing opportunities to be fantasy relevant. All three are touchdown-dependent fantasy options. Let your league-mates chase the double-digit outings from Murray and Freeman. In his first NFL regular-season action, rookie wideout Rashod Bateman led this receiving core in targets and trailed Marquise Brown by only 6 snaps. He is worth a bench stash for as long as Sammy Watkins is sidelined, but this passing game has failed to produce a consistent fantasy asset at the WR position all season (Caveat emptor). Mark Andrews is living his best life in BAL and thriving as the fantasy TE2 this season. 

Buffalo Bills

Player Target Share Snap Share
Stefon Diggs 23.4% (wk5 19% – wk4 33.3% – wk3 23%) 80.5% (wk5 74% – wk4 73.6% – wk3 75%)
Cole Beasley 19.1% (wk5 8% – wk4 6.7% – wk3 30%) 87% (wk5 39% – wk4 50% – wk3 66%)
Emmanuel Sanders 17% (wk5 19% – wk4 20% – wk3 14%) 92.2% (wk5 79% – wk4 70.8% – wk3 80%)
Dawson Knox 6.4% (wk5 15% – wk4 26.7% – wk3 11%)  79.2% (wk5 96% – wk4 80.6% – wk3 78%)

Quick Hit: Josh Allen ranked t-5th in week 6 PATT (47) and is 8th for the season. Zack Moss and Devin Singletary continue to limit each other’s upside, while Josh Allen continues to be the goal-line back in this offense. Devin did inch over double-digit TS in week 6 on MNF (10.6% TS), but recorded an uninspiring 16 yards on 5 targets. You might not have any better options at the RB position, but it will be hard to trust either in your lineups on a week-to-week basis. We won’t waste word count on Diggs, set-it and forget-it. Beasley’s fantasy production seems to correlate with a pass-heavy game script. Beasley took a back seat the previous weeks when the Bills dominated their opponents. On MNF against the Titans, the Bills had to keep their foot on the gas in a game that wasn’t decided until the final seconds of the contest. Beasley will get a boost in value if Knox is unable to return to the Bills lineup coming out of their week 7 BYE. Knox broke a bone in his hand but is not expected to miss much time. Emmanuel Sanders led the Bills WR group in snaps for the 2nd week in a row and 3rd time over the last four weeks. Sanders is currently the fantasy WR23 this season and should be viewed as a WR2/3 moving forward. 

Carolina Panthers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chuba Hubbard 7.3% (wk5 16% – wk4 5.1% – wk3 14.7%) 64.9% (wk5 65% – wk4 47.1% – wk3 54.8%)
DJ Moore 31.7% (wk5 19% – wk4 30.8% – wk3 35.3%) 91.9% (wk5 87% – wk4 84.3% – wk3 74%)
Terrace Marshall Jr 4.9% (wk5 8% – wk4 7.8% – wk3 14.7%) 31.3% (wk5 76% – wk4 71.4% – wk3 61.6%)
Robby Anderson 26.8% (wk5 19% – wk4 28.2% – wk3 5.9%) 86.5% (wk5 87% – wk4 84.3% – wk3 64.4%)

Quick Hit: Sam Darnold ranked t-11th in week 6 PATT (41) and is 9th for the season. The Chuba Hubbard chapter will continue for at least a few more weeks. The Panthers placed McCaffrey on IR. This will keep CMC sidelined, at least, through week 9. After two “down” outings from Moore, a potential buy-low trade window has presented itself. DJ continues to put up elite fantasy TS usage, recording over 30% TS 3 out of the last 4 weeks. Robby ‘cement hands’ Anderson saved his day with a late-game TD, and his healthy TS usage continued for a third straight week. Darnold’s efficiency needs to improve and Anderson needs to improve on his catch rate in order to cash in on the usage. Terrace Marshall should only be rostered in dynasty leagues or extremely large formats. Neither TE, Thomas nor Tremble, are receiving enough work to be fantasy-relevant. 

Chicago Bears

Player Target Share Snap Share
Allen Robinson 25.9% (wk5 24% – wk4 17.6% – wk3 30%) 91.8% (wk5 83% – wk4 69% – wk3 89%)
Darnell Mooney 29.6% (wk5 24% – wk4 41.2% – wk3 20%) 93.4% (wk5 77% – wk4 70.7% – wk3 98% )
David Montgomery OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 0% – wk3 20%) OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 62.1% – wk3 82%) 
Cole Kmet 18.5% (wk5 19% – wk4 17.6% – wk3 20%) 78.7% (wk5 80% – wk4 98.3% – wk3 96%)
Damien Williams OUT (wk5 14% – wk4 11.8% – wk3 0%) OUT (wk5 48% – wk4 32.8% – wk3 1.6% )
Khalil Herbert 11.1% 88.5%

Quick Hit: Justin Fields had his first week where he did not finish last or near the bottom in pass attempts. Still, Fields ranked t-22nd in week 6 PATT (27) and is 32nd for the season. Hopefully you read last week’s Target Report and grabbed Khalil Herbert while he was still free. Herbert operated as the bell-cow on Sunday and looked good while doing it. He needs to be rostered in every league for as long as Montgomery is out. Damien Williams missed week 6 because of COVID, and should return following back-to-back negative test. Damien will most likely limit the receiving upside for Herbert, but I believe Herbert will continue to be fantasy relevant even when Williams returns. Herbert led Williams in snaps, carries, yards, and yards per carry in week 5 when the consensus thought Damien would dominate the workload with Montgomery out. Mooney continues to operate as the WR1 in this offense. The Bears offense needs to sustain enough passing volume in order to trust Robinson and Mooney for consistent fantasy production. Both should be viewed as a WR3/4 until we see more consistent passing volume out of Fields. Kmet continues to be fantasy irrelevant. The same sentiment from last week, the target rates look attractive for Robinson, Mooney, and Kmet – but looks are deceiving when your QB is at the bottom of the league in pass attempts.

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Target Share Snap Share
Ja’Marr Chase 20.7% (wk5 26% – wk4 28.1 – wk3 28%) 79.2% (wk5 92% – wk4 79.3% – wk3 83%)
Tee Higgins 20.7%  (wk5 18% – wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT ) 56.9% (wk5 71% – wk4 OUT – wk3 OUT)
Joe Mixon 20.7% (wk5 3% – wk4 6.3% – wk3 6%) 62.5% (wk5 29% – wk4 69% – wk3 74%)
Tyler Boyd 10.3% (wk5 13% – wk4 34.4% – wk3 33% ) 62.5% (wk5 83% – wk4 62.1% – wk3 79%)
C.J. Uzomah 10.3% (wk5 5% – wk4 18.8% – wk3 6%) 69.4% (wk5 85% – wk4 82.8% – wk3 72.2%)

Quick Hit: Joe Burrow ranked 18th in week 6 PATT (29) and is 24th for the season. Joe Mixon’s ankle injury seems to be in the rearview morrow, as he returned to a lead dog workload in week 6. Mixon managers should consider grabbing Samaje Perine as a premium handcuff. Perine was sent to waivers by fantasy managers while he was inactive in week 6 due to COVID.  Ja’Marr continues his bid for offensive rookie of the year and is receiving praise for his downfield block on Mixon’s receiving TD. Hopefully, you took my advice and sold high on Boyd before it was too late. Higgins continues to trend towards his pre-injury TS usage, but it looks as if Higgins and Boyd are eating into each other’s snaps. Try to sell high on their next double-digit fantasy outing. With the Bengals operating a 3 headed monster at wideout and Mixon’s ability in the passing game, Uzomah is merely a two-TE league option. If you rostered Uzomah following his wk4 explosion, now is a great time to sell high following his double-digit fantasy outing in week 6. He can’t be trusted in one-TE leagues. 

Cleveland Browns

Player Target Share Snap Share
Odell Beckham Jr 28.6% (wk5 9% – wk4 21.2% – wk3 29%) 54.2% (wk5 82% – wk4 79.5% – wk3 64%) 
Austin Hooper 10.7% (wk5 0% – wk4 15.2% – wk3 10%) 74.6% (wk5 73% – wk4 71.8% – wk3 60%)
Kareem Hunt 10.7% (wk5 19% – wk4 12.1% – wk3 23%) 69.5% (wk5 45% – wk4 52.6% – wk3 41%)
Rashard Higgins 10.7% (wk5 16% – wk4 21.2% – wk3 6%) 62.7% (wk5 48% – wk4 52.6% – wk3 49%)
Donovan Peoples-Jones 17.9% (wk5 19% – wk4 0% – wk3 6%) 78% (wk5 69% – wk4 60% – wk3 65%)
David Njoku 7.1% (wk5 22% – wk4 6% – wk3 0%) 44.1% (wk5 65% – wk4 68% – wk3 62%)

Quick Hit: Baker Mayfield ranked 20th in week 6 PATT (28) and is 25th for the season. Both Demetric Felton and D’Ernest Johnson finished with identical snaps (12 snaps – 20.3% SS), which sheds little light on what will transpire in week 7. With Hunt on IR (calf), and Chubb still working his way back from his own calf injury, this backfield is one to avoid if you can. All reports point to Johnson handling the early-down/goal-line work and Felton operating as the passing/change of pace back. Both can be considered a bench stash for RB desperate fantasy managers. Cleveland’s offensive identity will be put to test with both backs out and Baker Mayfield dealing with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. OBJ briefly exited week 6 with his own shoulder injury but was able to return in the second half. We need to monitor his status heading into Thursday night. Peoples-Jones has appeared on the Target Report a few times this season, so it’s not a surprise to see him pop in the fantasy column. He’ll be an intriguing DFS play on Thursday night, and a viable BYE week/injury spot start if OBJ can’t suit up. Do not overspend for DPJ, he is only a 1-2 game rental with Jarvis Landry’s return looming. Rumors of OBJ’s future in Cleveland is in question, making DPJ an intriguing dynasty buy. As suggested in last week’s Report, Njoku’s production was fools gold and should be left for your league-mates to chase. This run-first offense does not lend itself to more than 1-2 viable pass-catching fantasy options. Hooper nor Njoku can be trusted in fantasy lineups. 

Dallas Cowboys

Player Target Share Snap Share
Amari Cooper 15.7% (wk5 18% – wk4 13.6% – wk3 15%) 87.6% (wk5 73% – wk4 47.5% – wk3 86%)
CeeDee Lamb 21.6% (wk5 18% – wk4 22.7% – wk3 12%) 86.5% (wk5 83% – wk4 80.3% – wk3 86%)
Dalton Schultz 11.8% (wk5 24% – wk4 36.4% – wk3 27%) 84.3% (wk5 73% – wk4 78.7% – wk3 69%)
Blake Jarwin 3.9% (wk5 0% – wk4 13.6% – wk3 8%) 52.8% (wk5 40% – wk4 54.1% – wk3 56%) 
Tony Pollard 5.9% (wk5 12% – wk4 0% – wk3 4%) 29.2% (wk5 40% – wk4 29.5% – wk3 38%) 

Quick Hit: Dak ranked t-1st in week 6 PATT (51) and is t-10th for the season. Zeke reached double-digit TS for the 2nd time this season and was back over 70% SS for the 5th time. Pollard has only reached over double-digit TS one time over his last 4 games. He has taken a back seat while Zeke has been eating. The less than 30% snap share for the 2nd time in three weeks is discouraging as well. Ceedee is the WR1-A in this offense, while Cooper has slid into the WR1-B spot. Ceedee is a set-it and forget it fantasy asset, while Cooper should be viewed as a weekly Wr2/3. Cedrick Wilson’s window is coming to a close with Michael Gallup expected to return following the Cowboys’ week 7 BYE. Gallup is a bench stash in larger formats. Schultz continues to support TE1 usage and production.

Denver Broncos

Player Target Share Snap Share
Noah Fant 22.4% (wk5 11% – wk4 27% – wk3 12%) 88.9% (wk5 98% – wk4 93.4% – wk3 87%)
Tim Patrick 12.2% (wk5 24% – wk4 16.2% – wk3 20%) 88.9% (wk5 97% – wk4 91.8% – wk3 76%)
Courtland Sutton 28.6% (wk5 29% – wk4 21.6% – wk3 20%) 87.7% (wk5 92% – wk4 95.1% – wk3 76%)

Quick Hit: Bridgewater ranked 3rd in week 6 PATT (49) and is t-18th for the season. Neither Gordon nor Williams have separated as the lone receiving back, both continue to limit each other’s upside. Sutton is a set-it and forget-it WR2 with weekly WR1 upside. Tim Patrick continues his WR3 campaign by recording his 5th game, in six weeks, over 12 PPR points. He has become a viable weekly flex option until Jeudy returns. Kendall Hinton crept over double-digit TS (10.2%) for the first time this season but should be left on waivers in 12-man or smaller leagues. Fant is the TE7 on the season and should not leave your starting lineup. Jeudy is unlikely to return to action this week, but he will be back in the mix in 1-2 weeks. Patrick has the most to lose from his return. 

Detroit Lions

Player Target Share Snap Share
T.J. Hockenson 26.2% (wk5 9% – wk4 21% – wk3 6%) 82.5% (wk5 82% – wk4 81.7% – wk3 84%)
D’Andre Swift 16.7% (wk5 17% – wk4 15.8% – wk3 23%) 77.8% (wk5 75% – wk4 73.2% – wk3 56%)
Jamaal Williams 4.8% (wk5 6% – wk4 0% – wk3 6%) 30.2% (wk5 33% – wk4 29.6% – wk3 49%)
Amon-Ra St. Brown 16.7% (wk5 23% – wk4 21% – wk3 3%) 77.8% (wk5 70% – wk4 71.8% -wk3 43%)
Kalif Raymond 16.7% (wk5 6% – wk4 15.8% – wk3 32%) 88.9% (wk5 69% – wk4 74.6% – wk3 75%)
KhaDarel Hodge 9.5% (wk5 14% – wk4 3% – wk3 3%) 82.5% (wk5 66% – wk4 11% – wk3 8%)

Quick Hit: Goff ranked t-9th in week 6 PATT (42) and is 5th for the season. D’Andre Swift continues to prevent any wind from reaching Williams’ fantasy sail. Jamaal has taken a back seat to Swift on the ground and through the air. Williams has not recorded double-digit TS since week 1 of the season. Over the last three weeks, his snaps continue to hover around 30%. J-Willy is ‘unrosterable’ in most fantasy formats. This offense continues to funnel through Swift and TJ Hockenson. Those two are the only DET skill players that can be trusted near a lineup. The week 6 fla-waiver of the week – rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown recorded over 15% TS, but was 4th in snaps behind Hock, Raymond, and Hodge. The yards per target for each of the 3 wideouts was abysmal, with Raymond leading the group (5.3 Y/T). Raymond and St. Brown should only be considered as a desperation spot start for teams ravaged with injuries or BYEs. Let your league-mates play wack-a-mole on which DET WR will pop in fantasy production each week. 

Green Bay Packers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Devante Adams 21.7% (wk5 41% – wk4 30.6% – wk3 55%) 84.7% (wk5 91% – wk4 87.5% – wk3 89%)
Aaron Jones 17.4% (wk5 13% – wk4 11.1% – wk3 6%) 59.3% (wk5 69% – wk4 62.5% – wk3 73%)
Allan Lazard 21.7% (wk5 5% – wk4 8.3% – wk3 3%) 84.7% (wk5 86% – wk4 79.2% – wk3 67%)
Randall Cobb 0% (wk5 8% – wk4 16.7% – wk3 3%) 39% (wk5 55% – wk4 45.8% – wk3 33%)
Robert Tonyan 13% (wk5 5% – wk4 19.4% – wk3 3%)

62.7% (wk5 59% – wk4 77.8% – wk3 73%)

Quick Hits: Aaron Rodgers ranked 26th in week 6 PATT (23) and is 23rd for the season. LeFleur walked the talk by giving AJ Dillon his largest SS of the season (42.5%), but he failed to record a single target. He only recorded 11 carries, which was his lowest over the last three weeks. Dillon might be relevant in a faster-paced game script or in games where GB is required to throw the ball more. Unfortunately for Dillon, week 6 against the slow-paced Bears was not one of them. Dillon deserves to stay on fantasy benches, but he can’t be trusted in lineups…yet. Jones’ health and Dillon’s passing usage will be the biggest factors to monitor regarding his fantasy value. With Marque Valdes-Scantling on IR, Allan Lazard has emerged as the WR2 for Rodgers. Lazard needs to sustain a similar TS/SS usage for at least another week before we can fully trust him in our lineups, but he’s worth a bench stash. The Packers take on the Washington Football team in week 7. The WFT is surrendering the 2nd most fantasy points to WRs. Lazard isn’t the worst dart throw option for fantasy managers desperate at the WR position. Cobb was an afterthought on Sunday and his fantasy window will come to a close as soon as MVS returns from IR. There is a chance Scantling is activated as soon as next week. No need to waste a bench spot on Cobb. Robert Tonyan is not a reliable fantasy option given his inconsistent TS. Mercedes Lewis’ presence, albeit minimal, is enough to suck any value out of Tonyan. Last week, Lewis recorded more snaps (67.8% SS) than Tonyan (62.7%) for the first time this season. Tonyan’s 13% TS is fools gold. 

Houston Texans

Player Target Share Snap Share
Brandin Cooks 30.2% (wk5 17% – wk4 33% – wk3 39.3%) 90.7% (wk5 85% – wk4 87.2% – wk3 94.5% )
Chris Conley 4.7% (wk5 14% – wk4 5% – wk3 4%) 42.7% (wk5 92% – wk4 87% – wk3 89%)
David Johnson 4.7% (wk5 21% – wk4 19% – wk3 0%) 42.7% (wk5 53% – wk4 57% – wk3 38%)
Chris Moore 11.6% (wk5 17%) 65.3% (wk5 63%)
Nico Collins 14% 57.3%

Quick Hits: Davis Mills ranked 8th in week 6 PATT (43) and is 28th for the season. Mills followed up his impressive 72.4 completion % from week 5 with 67.4% in week 6, and attempted 14 more passes. Unfortunately, his TD:INT rate flipped in week 6. Mills recorded 2 INTs and failed to find the end zone. After taking a stranglehold on the RB passing work the previous two weeks, David Johnson only recorded 2 targets in week 6. Mills threw for his most pass attempts on the season, and all three backs finished the contest with the exact same amount of targets (2). Don’t waste your time on this backfield. Ingram continues to serve as the early-down and red zone back, his non-existent pass work limits any upside in PPR formats. Nico Collins’ return put a lid on any momentum Chris Moore had at repeating his week 5 fantasy production. Until Tyrod Taylor returns from IR, Brandin Cooks is the only HOU fantasy asset worth rostering in 12-person leagues or smaller. Nico Collins is worth a bench stash in larger formats. The rookie wideout receiver created a lot of buzz coming out of training camp and pre-season. 

Indianapolis Colts

Player Target Share Snap Share
Nyheim Hines 10% (wk5 3% – wk4 6.3% – wk3 16%) 22.9% (wk5 38% – wk4 31% – wk3 56%)
Jonathan Taylor 10% (wk5 11% – wk4 9.4% – wk3 8%) 64.6% (wk5 52% – wk4 50.7% – wk3 48%)
Zach Pascal 5% (wk5 14% – wk4 15.6% – wk3 19%) 85.4% (wk5 86% – wk4 81.7% – wk3 89%)
Michael PittmanJr 15% (wk5 20% – wk4 25% – wk3 32%) 95.8% (wk5 88% – wk4 85.9% – wk3 93%)
Jack Doyle 5% (wk5 3% – wk4 3.1% – wk3 5%) 64.6% (wk5 72% – wk4 29.6% – wk3 57%)
Parris Campbell 5% (wk5 17% – wk4 9.4% – wk3 11%) 10.4% (wk5 55% – wk4 43.7% – wk3 80%)
T.Y. Hilton 20% 50%
Mo Alie-Cox 15% (wk5 11% – wk4 16% – wk3 5%) 50% (wk5 45% – wk4 69% – wk3 46%)

Quick Hit: Wentz ranked 28th in week 6 PATT (20) and is 22nd for the season. The offense didn’t need to pass much after leading the contest from the opening quarter. Regardless, Nyheim Hines’ has taken a back seat while Jonathan Taylor continues to be a top 5 fantasy RB. Hines can be dropped in most fantasy formats. Wentz fell in love with the veteran wideout early and often, T.Y. quickly emerged as the WR1 after returning from injury.  Pittman seemed to be in the rearview mirror early in this game, with TY back and Pittman connecting on a 51-yard TD early in the contest. Luckily for Pittman managers, Campbell suffered a potential season-ending foot injury and was already placed on IR. T.Y Hilton did not leave the game unscathed either, and the IND coaching staff are taking his quad injury “day by day.” Hilton needs to be stashed in more leagues, and Pascal might become relevant if Hilton were to miss any additional time. This is the third week in a row now where MO Alie-Cox hit over double-digit target share. His snaps make him irrelevant in one-TE leagues, and he should only be viewed as a desperation BYE week fill-in at the TE position. 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marvin Jones Jr. 24.4% (wk5 15% – wk4 12.5% – wk3 24%) 86.4% (wk5 94% – wk4 92.9% – wk3 97%)
Laviska ShenaultJr. 24.4% (wk5 9% – wk4 29.2% – wk3 12%) 78.8% (wk5 74% – wk4 75% – wk3 65%)
James Robinson 9.8% (wk5 3% – wk4 8.3% – wk3 18%) 84.8% (wk5 69% – wk4 94.6% – wk3 59%)
Tavon Austin 2.4% (wk5 15% – wk4 12.5%) 25.8% (wk5 34% – wk4 73.2%)
Dan Arnold 12.2% (wk5 24% – wk4 8%) 62.1% (wk5 74% – wk4 32%)
James Agnew 14.6% (wk5 24%) 59.1% (wk5 64%)

Quick Hit: Trevor Lawrence ranked t-11th in week 6 PATT (41) and is t-10th for the season. James Robinson continues to operate as the bell cow in the offense, with no real threat in the passing game nor on the ground. Marvin Jones finished week 6 as the WR9 and is WR29 for the season. Jones should continue to be viewed as a WR2/3 with weekly WR1 upside moving forward. In DJ Chark’s absence, Shenault and Agnew are duking it out for the WR2 spot in JAX. Agnews production and TS should garner some bench interest coming out of Jacksonville’s week 7 BYE. Shenault has recorded the 2nd most snaps behind Jones and should be viewed as WR3/Flex play moving forward. 

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Target Share Snap Share
Tyreek Hill 25.5% (wk5 24% – wk4 40% -wk3 16%) 57.3% (wk5 85% – wk4 80.6% – wk3 73%)
Travis Kelce 23.4% (wk5 19% – wk4 20% – wk3 25%) 81.7% (wk5 87% – wk4 88.1% – wk3 87%)
Mecole Hardman 10.6% (wk5 22% – wk4 10% – wk3 9%)  59.8% (wk5 69% – wk4 52.2% – wk3 65%)
Demarcus Robinson 12.8% (wk5 4% – wk4 0% – wk3 5%) 69.5% (wk5 76% – wk4 67.2% – wk3 72%)

Quick Hit: Patrick Mahomes ranked t-5th in week 6 PATT (47) and is 3rd for the season. Both Darrel Williams and Jerick McKinnon finished with 4 targets for the Chiefs in their first game without Edwards-Helaire. It was Williams that dominated McKinnon in snaps, 72% to 28% SS in week 6, and operated as the RB1. Unless Williams’ usage and production take a nosedive, McKinnon can be left on waivers in most fantasy formats. Tyreek Hill continues to be bothered by his quad injury, his snap share dipped below 60% for the first time the season. He managed to finish the game, but his status needs to be monitored heading into their matchup against a decimated Titans secondary. It was Demarcus Robinson’s turn to operate as the WR2 this week, with Hardman slipping to third in WR snaps. Both could be considered WR3/flex options if Hill is inactive this week. If Hill is active, both are end of bench stashes in larger formats. We do not need to waste word count on Travis Kelce. You would have to be in a 14-team or larger league, or extremely deep format to consider Josh Gordon as a bench stash. He only recorded 11.9% SS in week 6 and would need to surpass Robinson or Hardman to be on the radar in 12-team or smaller leagues. 

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Target Share Snap Share
Darren Waller 18.5% (wk5 22.9% – wk4 21% – wk3 16%)  82.1% (wk5 95.5% – wk4 93% – wk3 80%)
Henry Ruggs 15% (wk5 8.6% – wk4 18% – wk3 16%) 66.1% (wk5 83.6% – wk4 80.7% – wk3 58%)
Hunter Renfrow 18.5% (wk5 22.9% – wk4 24% – wk3 14%) 57.1% (wk5 74.6% – wk4 66.7% – wk3 52%)
Bryan Edwards 14.8% (wk5 14.3% – wk4 12% – wk3 12%) 76.8% (wk5 76.1% – wk4 89.5% – wk3 76%)
Josh Jacobs 3.7% (wk5 14.3% – wk4 15%) 64.3% (wk5 68.7% – wk4 63%)
Kenyan Drake 7.4% (wk5 2.9% – wk4 0% – wk3 14%) 21.4% (wk5 17.9% – wk4 35.1% – wk3 43%)

Quick Hit: Carr ranked t-22nd in week 6 PATT (27) and is 7th for the season. Sell high on Kenyan Drake following is 21.3 PPR performance. His day was made by two touchdowns (12 points), while only recording 2 targets and 4 rushing attempts. Sure, Drake could see a slight boost in usage under the new coaching regime, but don’t expect a similar output moving forward. Drake was only on the field for 21% of the team’s offensive snaps, recorded less than 8% TS, and carried the ball four times. Do not waste high FAAB $$ or top waiver priority on him. I repeat, sell now. Hunter Renfrow tied for the team lead in targets but finished 3rd in WR fantasy production (6.6 PPR points). Renfrow saw a significant dip in his snaps but should continue to be rostered in PPR formats given his target volume. Edwards does not warrant a roster spot in 12-team leagues, he is the 3rd-4th passing option on this team. Ruggs remains relevant due to his high yards per target (24.2), and his consistent TS over the last 5 weeks. He has reached over 15% TS 4 times over his last 5 games. Waller has yet to explode, again, following his week-1 26 point fantasy outing against the Ravens. Yet, He continues to lead his team in targets and snaps. This is a potential buy-low window for Waller, but it might be difficult to find a willing trade partner in a bleak TE market. 

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Keenan Allen 12.8% (wk5 20.9% – wk4 28% – wk3 32%) 91.1% (wk5 90.7% – wk4 88% – wk3 83%)
Mike Williams 12.8% (wk5 37.2% – wk4 10% – wk3 24%) 35.7% (wk5 77.3% – wk4 85% – wk3 73%)
Jared Cook 18% (wk5 7% – wk4 18% – wk3 8%) 64.3% (wk5 66.7% – wk4 52% – wk3 70%)
Austin Ekeler 18% (wk5 11.6% – wk4 13% – wk3 16%) 60.7% (wk5 70.7% – wk4 60% – wk3 74%) 

Quick Hit: Justin Herbert ranked t-14th in week 6 PATT (39) and is 2nd for the season. Ekeler continues to be the only fantasy-relevant RB for the Chargers. An uncharacteristic week 6 performance out of the Chargers, and it is one to forget heading into their week 7 BYE. Williams saw a drastic decline in his snaps after spending the majority of the 4th quarter on the bench. The game was seemingly out of hand, and there was no reason to risk any serious injury to their star-wideout. Jalen Guyton received the biggest increase in snaps and would be the next man up if Williams were to miss an extended period of time. Williams was not on the injury report following the game and should be good to go in week 8. It’s been a while since we’ve been able to call the Ravens D shutdown, but the corners played lights out. Herbert struggled to get into a rhythm throughout the whole game. We can’t expect the 2nd year QB to be perfect in his sophomore campaign, despite his hot start. Expect a bounce-back moving forward, with matchups on deck against the Eagles and Vikings in weeks 9 and 10. 

Los Angeles Rams

Player Target Share Snap Share
Cooper Kupp 42.9% (wk5 27% – wk4 31.7% – wk3 32% ) 83.3% (wk5 88.1% – wk4 95.6% – wk3 82%)
Robert Woods  17.9% (wk5 37.8% – wk4 14.6% – wk3 16%) 87.9% (wk5 98.5% – wk4 95.6% – wk3 88%)
Van Jefferson 14.3% (wk5 10.8% – wk4 14.6% – wk3 16%) 63.6% (wk5 58.2% – wk4 67.6% – wk3 77%)
Tyler Higbee 17.9% (wk5 5.4% – wk4 14.6% – wk3 13%) 100% (wk5 83.6% – wk4 79.4% – wk3 75%)
Darrell HendersonJr. 10.7%  (wk5 2.7% – wk4 14.6% – wk3 OUT) 81.8% (wk5 65.7% – wk4 89.7% – wk3 OUT)
DeSean Jackson 3.6% (wk5 8.1% – wk4 7.3% – wk3 13%) 24.2% (wk5 29.9% – wk4 32.4% – wk3 32%)

Quick Hit: Stafford ranked t-20th in week 5 PATT (28) and is 17th for the season. Henderson was the only Rams RB to receive any passing work. Michel did increase his carries, but this was in the 2nd half when the game was out of reach. Michel only serves as a handcuff stash for Henderson managers. This passing game is pretty straightforward. Kupp is a set-it and forget-it fantasy asset. Woods is a weekly WR2/3 flex play with WR1 upside on one of the league’s most potent offenses. Van Jefferson is only a deeper league grab. Higbee is a buy-low fantasy TE. He was on the field for 100% of the Rams offensive snaps, was tied for 2nd in team targets, and led the team in red-zone targets in week 6. Higbee continues to get a lot of work in and around the red zone. He trails only Kupp in RZ targets for this team (12 CK – 9 TH – 7 RW). Expect a bounce back from Tyler in the coming weeks.

Miami Dolphins

Player Target Share Snap share
DeVante Parker OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 30% – wk3 14%) OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 90.4% – wk3 77%)
Jaylen Waddle 27.7% (wk5 15% – wk4 13.3% – wk3 27%) 92.9% (wk5 80% – wk4 78.8% – wk3 88%)
Myles Gaskin 12.8% (wk5 26% – wk4 0% – wk3 12%) 35.7% (wk5 69% – wk4 23.1% – wk3 52%)
Mike Gesicki 19% (wk5 18% – wk4 20% – wk3 24%) 70% (wk5 78% – wk4 69.2% – wk3 66%) 
Preston Williams OUT (wk5 13%) OUT (wk5 74%)
Mack Hollins 10.6% 97.1% 

Quick Hit: In his first action since week 2, Tua ranked t-5th in week 6 PATT (47). Im scratching my head at Gaskins usage from week 5 to 6. Myles seemed to be relegated to a change of pace/3rd down back for the Dolphins, despite showing his explosion and elusiveness in week 5. He did lead all MIA RBs in targets last week, but his snaps dipped to an un-trustworthy range for fantasy lineups. If the inconsistent RB usage continues, it will be hard to trust any of these backs near a starting lineup on any given week. Gaskin serves as a high-risk high-reward BYE week or injury fill-in. Jaylen Waddle will continue to be in the weekly WR2/3 flex range for as long as either Parker or Williams are sidelined. The practice report needs to be monitored closely for the status of Parker and Williams heading into a favorable matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. Mike Gesicki is a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE, and should not leave a fantasy lineup anytime soon. Mack Hollins is only worth a conversation in deeper leagues if Parker and Williams were both to miss more time. 

Minnesota Vikings

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Thielen 27.1% (wk5 9% – wk4 21.1% – wk3 24%) 97.8% (wk5 93% – wk4 98.5% – wk3 96%)
Justin Jefferson 29.2% (wk5 24% – wk4 18.4% – wk3 29%) 94.4% (wk5 90% – wk4 88.1% – wk3 83%)
K.J. Osborn 14.6% (wk5 12% – wk4 18.4% – wk3 5% ) 53.9% (wk5 60% – wk4 62.7% – wk3 59%)
Dalvin Cook 4.2%  (wk5 OUT – wk4 15.8% – wk3 OUT) 74.2%  (wk5 OUT – wk4 49.3% – wk3 OUT)
Tyler Conklin 10.4% (wk5 9% – wk4 15.8% – wk3 21%) 85.4% (wk5 75% – wk4 85.1% – wk3 72%)

Quick Hit: Kirk Cousins ranked 4th in week 6 PATT (48) and is 4th for the season. Dalvin Cook had no issue sliding back into his bell cow role, and luckily avoided any setbacks. Their week 7 BYE arrives at a good time, allowing Cook another week to get back to full strength. JJ and Thielen continue to both receive elite fantasy usage and are set-it and forget-it fantasy assets. KJ Osborn’s production will be dependent on the competitiveness of each game. Against Carolina, the game was back and forth and needed OT to determine a winner. If Cousins continues to rank top 5 in weekly pass attempts, Osborn can be a relevant WR3/4 in PPR leagues.  Despite finding the end zone, TE Chris Herndon was only on the field for 27% of the Vikings’ offensive snaps. Conklin is still the TE to roster in Minnesota. 

New England Patriots

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jakobi Meyers 28.6% (wk5 16.7% – wk4 30% – wk3 27%) 63% (wk5 90.6% – wk4 94.9% – wk3 96%)
Nelson Agholor 14.3% (wk5 13.3% – wk4 12.5% – wk3 16%) 59.3% (wk5 67.2% – wk4 72.9% – wk3 81%)
Jonnu Smith 9.5% (wk5 6.7% – wk4 12.5% – wk3 12%) 72.2% (wk5 62.5% – wk4 47.5% – wk3 42%)
Hunter Henry 9.5% (wk5 26.7% – wk4 12.5% – wk3 12%)  68.5% (wk5 62.5% – wk4 67.8% – wk3 72%)
Kendrick Bourne 9.5% (wk5 10% – wk4 12.5% – wk3 16%) 46.3% (wk5 50% – wk4 61% – wk3 76%)

Quick Hit: Mac Jones ranked t-27th in week 6 PATT (21) and is 12th for the season. Rookie RB Rhamondre Stevenson passed Brandon Bolden as the receiving back in week 6. Stevenson lead the Pats RBs with 3 targets and inflated his fantasy production with a 1-yard rushing TD. His 33.3% snaps share warns of inconsistent fantasy production. A serious injury would need to occur to Damien Harris for Stevenson to hold stand-alone fantasy value given his current usage. Harris has been banged up the last couple of weeks, making Stevenson an interesting handcuff stash. Let your league-mates chase Kendrick Bourne’s 14.5 PPR outing. KB was on the field for less than 50% of the Pats offensive snaps and recorded only 1 catch on 2 targets. His production came on a long bomb from Mac Jones for a 75 yard tuddie. Jakobi Meyers continues to lead this WR group in targets and snaps. Week 7 presents a favorable matchup against the bottom-dwelling Jets. Hunter Henry’s TD production continues for a third week in a row. Henry saw a dip in targets, after recording three straight weeks of increasing target share. Look for Henry to have a bounce-back in targets this week.

New Orleans Saints

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Trautman BYE (wk5 6.7% – wk4 3.8% – wk3%) BYE (wk5 85.7% – wk4 57.4% – wk3 82%)
Alvin Kamara BYE (wk5 26.7% – wk4 0% – wk3 19%) BYE (wk5 87.5% – wk4 86.8% – wk3 84%)
Juwan Johnson BYE (wk5 3.3% – wk4 11.5% – wk3 5%) BYE (wk5 10.7% – wk4 20.6% – wk3 13%)
Marquez Callaway BYE (wk5 26.7% – wk4 7.7% – wk3 24%) BYE (wk5 82.1% – wk4 82.4% – wk3 61%)
Deonte Harris BYE (wk5 3.3% – wk4 30.8% – wk3 14%) BYE (wk5 3.6% – wk4 48.5% – wk3 31% )
Kenny Stills BYE (wk5 16.7% – wk4 3.8% – wk3 14%) BYE (wk5 71.4% – wk4 25% – wk3 47%)

Quick Hit: The Saints are returning from their week 7 BYE. Callaway deserves a bench spot in most 12-team and larger leagues. Tre’Quan Smith’s availability should be monitored. He was designated to return from the IR, meaning he will be activated sometime over the next 21 days. 

New York Giants

Player Target Share Snap Share
Sterling Shepard 27.5% (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT – wk3 9%) 90.7% (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT -wk3 34%)
Darius Slayton OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT – wk3) OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT – wk3 13%)
Kenny Golladay OUT (wk5 7.9% – wk4 17.5% – wk3 14%) OUT(wk5 35.3% – wk4 92.1% – wk3 69%)
Evan Engram 9.8% (wk5 10.5% – wk4 15% – wk3 17%) 73.3% (wk5 73.5% – wk4 68.3% – wk3 56%)
Kadarius Toney 5.9% (wk5 34.2% – wk4 22.5% – wk3 9%) 8% (wk5 54.4% – wk4 77.8% – wk3 66%)
Devontae Booker 7.8% (wk5 10.5%) 72% (wk5 88.2%)
Dante Pettis 21.6% 61.3%

Quick Hit: Daniel Jones ranked t-1st in week 6 PATT (51) and is t-13th for the season. Devontae Booker handled the lead role with Barkley sidelined. No other Giants RB recorded over 20% SS, despite Elijah Penny finding pay-dirt. Booker will continue to be a low-end fantasy RB for as long as Saquon is sidelined. This receiving room is a mess with a bevy of injuries. Shepard stepped back into his WR1 role and is a weekly WR2/3 for as long as he stays healthy. Dante Pettis seems to be the next man up with Slayton/Golladay/Toney all sidelined with injuries. Unfortunately for Toney, he will miss a minimum of one week as he tries to get his ankle healthy. I would hang on to Toney if he is only expected to miss 1-2 games but would consider dropping him if he is out longer than 3 weeks. 

New York Jets

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jamison Crowder BYE (wk5 18.8% – wk4 26.5%) BYE (wk5 60.7% – wk4 62.3%)
Corey Davis BYE (wk5 21.9% – wk4 20.6% – wk3 29%) BYE (wk5 80.4% – wk4 82% – wk3 94%)
Keelan Cole BYE (wk5 9.4% – wk4 12% – wk3 6%) BYE (wk5 55.4% – wk4 59% – wk3 50%)
Elijah Moore BYE  (wk5 6.3% – wk4 OUT – wk3 17%) BYE (wk5 41.1% – wk4 OUT – wk3 48%)

Quick Hits: The Jets are returning from their week 6 BYE. Crowder and Davis are the only fantasy assets I’m interested in rostering from the New York Jets. They get a tough matchup against a Pats DST that completely kept Zach Wilson out of the end zone earlier in the season. 

Philadelphia Eagles

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeVonta Smith 15.4% (wk5 22% – wk4 20.8% – wk3 15%) 98.1% (wk5 94% – wk4 91.9% – wk3 98%)
Jalen Reagor 11.5% (wk5 14% – wk4 2.1% – wk3 21%) 82.7% (wk5 71% – wk4 70.3% – wk3 86%)
Dallas Goedert OUT (wk5 8% – wk4 10.4% – wk3 10%) OUT (wk5 68% – wk4 74.3% – wk3 59%)
Miles Sanders 15.4% (wk5 14% – wk4 6.3% – wk3 10%) 82.7% (wk5 76% – wk4 63.5% – wk3 60%)
Zach Ertz 23.1% (wk5 16% – wk4 16.7% – wk3 18%) 88.5% (wk5 61% – wk4 50% – wk3 52%)
Quez Watkins 19.2% 76.9%
Kenneth Gainwell 7.7% (wk5 8% – wk4 16.7% – wk3 10%) 23.1% (wk5 24% – wk4 39.2% – wk3 31% )

Quick Hit: Jalen Hurts ranked 25th in week 6 PATT (26) and is t-13th for the season. Despite reaching double-digit TS for the 3rd time out of his last 4 games, Miles Sanders cannot be trusted in fantasy lineups until we see his overall usage increase. The Eagles finally started to let Sanders loose towards the end of the game last Thursday night, but I do not trust the coaching staff to confidently put him in my starting lineup. I do expect better days ahead, so don’t bail on him completely and keep him on your bench.  Watkins continues to slowly inch toward surpassing Reagor in both TS and SS, this week he did surpass him in targets. Smith is the only wideout I’m comfortable firing up in fantasy lineups. He should be viewed as a back-end WR2/3 flex play. Dallas Goedert will return from the COVID list with his main competition for snaps and targets shipped off to Arizona. Fire up Goedert with confidence when he returns. 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Diontae Johnson 32.5%  (wk5 8% – wk4 32.5% – wk3 OUT) 92% (wk5 92% – wk4 91.7% – wk3 OUT)
Chase Claypool 17.5% (wk5 24% – wk4 OUT wk3 26%) 84%  (wk5 55% – wk4 OUT – wk3 92%)
Najee Harris 29.2% (wk5 20% – wk4 17.5% – wk3 33%)  84% (wk5 80% – wk4 80% – wk3 95%)
Pat Freiermuth 17.5% 60%
James Washington (wk5 OUT – wk4 13% – wk3 9%) 10.7 (wk5 OUT – wk4 81.7% – wk3 80%)

Quick Hit: Ben ranked 13th in week 6 PATT (40) and is 6th for the season. We’ll spare word count on Najee Harris, set-it, and forget-it. DJ and Claypool are the only viable fantasy options at wideout for the Steelers. Given the current state of the TE position, Pat Freiermuth needs to be rostered in most fantasy formats. Stash him this week for free, while the Steelers are on their week 7 BYE.

Seattle Seahawks

Player Target Share Snap Share
DK Metcalf 21.8% (wk5 15% – wk4 34.8% – wk3 28.1%) 75.4% (wk5 74% – wk4 82.1% 0 wk3 89%)
Tyler Lockett 21.8% (wk5 30% – wk4 21.7% – wk3 12.5%) 89.2% (wk5 86% – wk4 85.7% – wk3 92%)
Alex Collins 3.1% 60%
Deejay Dallas 15.6% 33.8%

Quick Hit: Geno Smith ranked 16th in week 6 PATT (32) and finished with a surprisingly impressive 71.9% completion rate, which was 6th best among starting QBs last week. Deejay took charge of the passing work for this RB room. Rashaad Penny is expected to be activated from the IR this week, limiting any upside for both Collins and Dallas. If Penny is able to practice in full this week, I would be weary of starting any SEA RB. We need to see how the RB usage shakes out with Penny back in action. The ‘Hawks have a tough matchup against the Saints this week. New Orleans has given up the 8th fewest fantasy points to the running back position. Metcalf and Lockett are the only receiving options we can rely on for fantasy production. Geno does limit the overall upside for the offense, but I still view Metcalf and Lockett as weekly WR2/3 with WR1 upside. 

San Francisco 49ers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Deebo Samuel BYE (wk5 31% – wk4 29.3% – wk3 25%) BYE (wk5 86% – wk4 89.5% – wk3 90%)
Brandon Aiyuk BYE (wk5 14% – wk4 7.3% – wk3 15%) BYE (wk5 71% – wk4 67.1% – wk3 86%)
Kyle Juszczyk BYE (wk5 14% – wk4 9.8% – wk3 10%) BYE (wk5 65% – wk4 81.6% – wk3 69%)
Mohamed Sanu BYE (wk5 10% – wk4 12.2% – wk3 15%) BYE (wk5 46% – wk4 51.3% – wk3 64%) 

Quick Hit:  Trey Sermon took a back seat to Elijah Mitchell, recording 3% SS to Mitchells 68% in week 5. Sermon isn’t worth a roster spot in most 12-team leagues or smaller. With Kittle on short-term IR, another fantasy-relevant pass-catcher outside of Samuel should emerge. Aiyuk is the leading candidate and should be stashed on fantasy rosters if there is room on your bench. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chris Godwin 11.9% (wk5 24% – wk4 11.6% – wk3 12.7%) 90.7% (wk5 69% – wk4 93.6% – wk3 96%)
Rob Gronkowski OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT – wk3 12.7%) OUT (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT wk3 62%)
Antonio Brown  31%  (wk5 18% – wk4 25.6% – wk3 OUT) 49.3%  (wk5 57% – wk4 51.3% –  wk3 OUT)
Leonard Fournette 14.3%  (wk5 11% – wk4 11.6% – wk3 5.5%) 62.7% (wk5 62% – wk4 82.1% – wk3 36%)
Mike Evans 9.5%  (wk5 18% – wk4 27.9% – wk3 18.2%) 93.3% (wk5 78% – wk4 88.5% – wk3 84%)
O.J. Howard 16.7% 65.3%
Giovani Bernard 4.8% (wk5 4% – wk4 OUT wk3 18.2%) 16% (wk5 23% – wk4 OUT wk3 45%)

Quick Hit: Brady ranked t-9th in week 6 PATT (42) and is 1st overall for the season. Leonard Fournette is a weekly RB1. RoJo and Bernard continue to be waiver material with regular-season-Lenny rolling. Antonio Brown continues to receive elite target share usage despite playing significantly fewer snaps than Evans and Godwin. AB did leave in the middle of last week’s matchup with a minor injury but was able to return to action and finish the game. Despite a down week in fantasy production from both Godwin and Evans, expect better days ahead. This is a possible buy-low window for both of the wideouts. They continue to receive a healthy snap share and are on an offense that leads the league in pass attempts. OJ Howard deserves TE streaming consideration if Gronkowski is unable to return to action. 

Tennesse Titans

Player Target Share Snap Share
A.J. Brown 31% (wk5 27% – wk4 OUT – wk3 7.5%) 79.2% (wk5 64% – wk4 OUT wk3 11.8%)
Julio Jones 17.2% (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT wk3 14.8%) 66% (wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT wk3 50%)
Derrick Henry 10.3% (wk5 0% – wk4 4.1% – wk3 11.1%) 81.1% (wk5 77% – wk4 OUT wk3 72.1%)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 10.3% (wk5 OUT – wk4 16.3% – wk3 14.8%) 54.7% (wk5 OUT – wk4 81% – wk3 77.9%)

Quick Hit: Ryan Tannehill ranked t-18th in week 6 PATT (29) and is 16th for the season. Derrick Henry is a bell cow, nothing more needs to be said. Jones was off to a promising start after missing his previous two games, unfortunately, JJ found himself with another injury designation. He is considered day-to-day, but his practice availability needs to be monitored coming off a short week. It was nice to see AJ Brown and Tannehill find some of the magic they displayed last season. He should be viewed as a WR2 moving forward, with weekly WR1 upside as long as Jones is sidelined. We’ve played this game before, no other pass catcher outside of Brown or Jones can be trusted near our fantasy lineups – even with Jones potentially sidelined. The Titans TE are irrelevant for fantasy. 

Washington Football Team 

Player Target Share Snap Share
Terry McLaurin 20.5% (wk5 27% – wk4 39.4% – wk3 29.2%) 94.9% (wk5 85% – wk4 97% – wk3 96.3%)
Dyami Brown 15.4% (wk5 OUT – wk4 6.1% – wk3 8.3%) 79.7%  (wk5 OUT – wk4 41.8% – wk3 64.8%)
Adam Humphries 5.1% (wk5 12% – wk4 3% – wk3 16.7%) 52.5% (wk5 62% – wk4 67.2% – wk3 63%)
JD McKissic 25.6% (wk5 10% – wk4 15.2% – wk3 8.3%) 61% (wk5 41% – wk4 40.3% – wk3 46.3%)
DeAndre Carter 2.6% (wk5 20%) 20.3% (wk5 71%)
Ricky Seals-Jones 15.4% (wk5 20%) 100% (wk5 100%)

Quick Hit: Taylor Heinicke ranked t-14th in week 6 PATT (39) and is t-18th for the season. Gibson managers should be concerned about his availability for week 7, and possibly longer. Gibby underwent an MRI on his shin and no results have been communicated at the time of me finishing this article on Tuesday, keep an eye on his availability. JD Mckissic had no issue sliding into the RB1 role for the WFT and he should be rostered in every format. Expect better days ahead for McLaurin, he finished a 5th straight week over 20% TS. Despite a favorable matchup, Heinicke failed to get much going against the Chiefs. The volume will keep McLaurin fantasy-relevant, but it will be difficult to trust any other WR on the Football Team. Seals-Jones needs to be rostered in every 12-team format for as long as Logan Thomas is sidelined, RSJ was on the field for 100% of WFT offensive snaps for a second straight week. I do not believe his usage and production are a flash in the pan.

5 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
OldMilwaukeePounders
OldMilwaukeePounders
1 year ago

Hey Nic!

First, I wanted to say that these articles are really insightful and a must read each week! Thanks for your work on them!

Second, what are your thoughts on adding DPJ at the expense of a RoJo or Rondale Moore? I lost Toney for this week & my flex options are: Khalil Herbert, Robby Anderson, Rondale, RoJo, Aiyuk, Penny, Jaret Patterson. Do you prefer DPJ over my more expendable options like RoJo or Moore?

Thanks!

OldMilwaukeePounders
OldMilwaukeePounders
1 year ago
Reply to  Nic Romero

Hey Nic!

I ended up going DPJ over RoJo and holding Moore. In part I went this route because RoJo, while worth it for the handcuff situation alone, is off in my most important bye week as far as RBs go (week 9). So, I figure that I can always drop DPJ and put a small claim back on RoJo today if I’m not going to play him anyway.

Would you give any consideration to starting DPJ at my 2nd FLEX knowing what we know now? OBJ likely OUT, Landry IN.

The choice would be between: Khalil, Rondale, Robby Anderson, Aiyuk, Penny, Patterson, DPJ. Penny and Patterson are kinda wildcards here until Collins & Gibson’s status is known.

Thanks for the detailed reply, man!

Combo722
Combo722
1 year ago

I also really enjoy these articles. Keep up the good work!