Weekly Refresh
Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend.
Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…
Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points) in week 1. After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7 ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).
If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers.
- Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
- I like you, but don’t love you range: Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not.
- Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range.
- Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays.
Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop.
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 32% (wk6 13.3% – wk5 29% – wk4 21.9%) | 83.1% (wk6 89.3% – wk5 92% – wk4 96.2%) |
| A.J. Green | 11% (wk6 20% – wk5 6% – wk4 18.8%) | 84.5% (wk6 90.7% 0 wk5 80% – wk4 85.9%) |
| Christian Kirk | 18% (wk6 26.7% – wk5 16% – wk4 3.1%) | 71.8% (wk6 85.3% – wk5 54% – wk4 71.8%) |
| Rondale Moore | 11% (wk6 13.3% – wk5 19% – wk4 9.4%) | 52.1% (wk6 56% – wk5 48% – wk4 42.3%) |
| Chase Edmonds | 11% (wk6 13.3% – wk5 13% – wk4 15.6%) | 69% (wk6 37.3% – wk5 61% – wk4 66.7%) |
| Zach Ertz | 18% | 49.3% |
Quick Hit: Kyler Murray ranked 21st in week 7 pass attempts (PATT – 28) and is 19th for the season. Edmonds continues to dominate the passing work out of the Cardinals backfield. Week 7 was the first week this season that Edmonds out-carried Conner on the ground (CE 15 carries – JC 10). Edmonds should continue to be viewed as a weekly RB2, and Conner is a touchdown-dependent RB3/Flex. D-Hop is a set-it and forget-it fantasy asset. AJG continues to be the 2nd, behind Hopkins, in snaps. Green has recorded over 11% TS every week this season except for one (week 5). With Ertz now in the picture, this becomes a four-headed monster after Hopkins. Moore took the biggest hit in production and usage, as his TS declined for the third week in a row. I would imagine Ertz’ snaps will only increase as he continues to learn the offense. Kirk, Green and Moore are relegated to ‘risky-business’ weekly spot starts for managers navigating BYE weeks and injuries (ranked in that order). Hard to fully trust Ertz as a set-it and forget-it TE with the low SS, but the TS is promising. If he can maintain similar TS and increase his snaps, he’ll enter the weekly TE1 conversation.
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Calvin Ridley | 25% (wk6 BYE – wk5 OUT – wk4 31%) | 73% (wk6 BYE – wk5 OUTwk4 96.1%) |
| Kyle Pitts | 20% (wk6 BYE – wk5 22% – wk4 21.4%) | 67% (wk6 BYE – wk5 69% – wk4 72.4%) |
| Mike Davis | 0% (wk6 BYE – wk5 11% – wk4 4.8%) | 64% (wk6 BYE – wk5 64% – wk4 67.1%) |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 13% (wk6 BYE – wk20% – wk4 14.3%) | 73% (wk6 BYE – wk5 59% – wk4 30.3%) |
| Russell Gage | 15% | 63% |
Quick Hit: Matt Ryan ranked t-2nd in week 7 PATT (40) and is 8th for the season. Cordarrelle Patterson operated as ATL’s “RB1” in week 7, after out-snapping Davis for the first time this season. No passing work and no red zone carries for Mike Davis, he can be dropped in most 12-team and smaller leagues. My summertime infatuation, Russell Gage, had no issue jumping right back into Atlanta’s WR2 role after returning from his multi-week injury. Ridley and Pitts remain the only true set-it and forget-it fantasy assets in this offense. Despite recording his lowest TS since week 2, Patterson is a weekly RB 1/2. Gage should be rostered in more leagues, but will be viewed as a risky business WR4, unless he can sustain over 15% TS and his snaps increase.
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Marquise Brown | 33% (wk6 18.5% – wk5 23% – wk4 13.5%) | 86% (wk6 73.9% – wk5 90% – wk4 61.6%) |
| Sammy Watkins | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 7% – wk4 18.9%) | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 27% – wk4 72.6%) |
| Mark Andrews | 17% (wk6 22.2% – wk5 30% – wk4 21.6%) | 68% (wk6 53.6% – wk5 77% – wk4 63%) |
| Devin Duvernay | 2% (wk6 11.1% – wk5 9% – wk4 16%) | 49% (wk6 49.3% – wk5 88% – wk4 46%) |
| Rashod Bateman | 14% (wk6 22.2%) | 63% (wk6 65.2%) |
Quick Hit: Lamar Jackson ranked 20th in week 7 PATT (31) and is 18th for the season. None of the BAL RBs are receiving enough passing work or separating themselves in this department to even register on the Target Report. Freeman continues to operate as the RB1, but only recorded a 40% SS. He’s a low-end BYE week/injury fill in. He served his purpose as a great spot start last week during “bye-mageddon,” but can be dropped if you need the roster spot. The Ravens are off this week on their BYE, and Freeman offers little long term upside to warrant holding during their BYE. Maybe try to dangle him as trade bait after his double digit PPR outing in week 7. Marquise Brown continues to operate as the WR1 for LJax, recording over 18% TS – 4 out of his last 5 games. If you missed last weeks Target Report, Bateman needs to be rostered in more leagues. With BAL on BYE, this presents a great opportunity to stash Bateman if he’s still available or any league-mates drop him in order to fill BYE week or injury holes. Andrews is thriving and we love to see it, set-it and forget-it.
Buffalo Bills
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Stefon Diggs | BYE (wk6 23.4% – wk5 19% – wk4 33.3%) | BYE (wk6 80.5% – wk5 74% – wk4 73.6%) |
| Cole Beasley | BYE (wk6 19.1% – wk5 8% – wk4 6.7%) | BYE (wk6 87% – wk5 39% – wk4 50%) |
| Emmanuel Sanders | BYE (wk6 17% – wk5 19% – wk4 20%) | BYE (wk6 92.2% – wk5 79% – wk4 70.8%) |
| Dawson Knox | BYE (wk6 6.4% – wk5 15% – wk4 26.7%) | BYE (wk6 79.2% – wk5 96% – wk4 80.6%) |
Quick Hit: Returning from their week 7 BYE, Josh Allen and the Bills look to get back in the win column after getting upset by the Tennesse Titans in week 6. A couple of notes to echo from last week… Zack Moss and Devin Singletary continue to limit each other’s upside, while Josh Allen continues to be the goal-line back in this offense. Devin did inch over double-digit TS in week 6 on MNF (10.6% TS), but recorded an uninspiring 16 yards on 5 targets. You might not have any better options at the RB position, but it will be hard to trust either in your lineups on a week-to-week basis. Beasley’s fantasy production seems to correlate with a pass-heavy game script. Beasley took a back seat weeks 4 & 5, when the Bills dominated their opponents. On MNF against the Titans, the Bills had to keep their foot on the gas in a game that wasn’t decided until the final seconds of the contest. Beasley will get a boost in value if Knox is unable to return to the Bills lineup coming out of their BYE. Knox broke a bone in his hand, but is not expected to miss extended time, monitor the practice reports this week. Emmanuel Sanders led the Bills WR group in snaps for the 2nd week in a row and 3rd time over the last four weeks. Prior to their week 7 BYE, Sanders was the PPR fantasy WR23. He should be viewed as a WR2/3 moving forward, in this pass-heavy offense.
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Chuba Hubbard | 13% (wk6 7.3% – wk5 16% – wk4 5.1%) | 52% (wk6 64.9% – wk5 65% – wk4 47.1%) |
| DJ Moore | 26% (wk6 31.7% – wk5 19% – wk4 30.8%) | 97% (wk6 91.9% – wk5 87% – wk4 84.3%) |
| Terrace Marshall Jr | OUT (wk6 4.9% – wk5 8% – wk4 7.8%) | OUT (wk6 31.3% – wk5 76% – wk4 71.4%) |
| Robby Anderson | 23% (wk6 26.8% – wk5 19% – wk4 28.2%) | 95% (wk6 86.5% – wk5 87% – wk4 84.3%) |
Quick Hit: Sam Darnold and PJ Walker combined for a total of 39 pass attempts (SD 25 – PW 14). Walker only completed 3 of his 14 pass attempts (21%), and Darnold finished with a 64% completion rate. While it looks like Darnold’s benching was simply a one-week message from head coach Matt Rhule, the leash is being held close and tight. CMC’s absence from this offense is apparent. Chuba Hubbard continues to operate as the RB1 for the Panthers, but his abysmal yards per carry (2.7) might create an opportunity for another back to enter the picture. Either by Royce Freeman or in free agency, CMC is eligible to return as early as week 9 (if healthy enough to do so). Hubbard recorded his lowest SS since week 4, but his usage (for now) should keep him in the weekly RB2 conversation. I’d sell Hubbard the next time he “pops” in fantasy production, might be too late though. DJ Moore continues to receive elite fantasy usage, keep him in your lineups despite the inconsistent QB play. Robby Anderson recorded his 4th week in a row over 19% TS, and 3rd week out of his last 4 over 23% TS. This is elite fantasy TS is keeping him on our rosters, but his staggering 37% catch rate is worst in the league for any fantasy-relevant wideout (by a wide margin). I can’t confidently suggest him as a buy-low candidate despite the healthy SS and TS. Terrace Marshall might be one to watch as he returns from his concussion that kept him out week 7.
Chicago Bears
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Allen Robinson | 13% (wk6 25.9% – wk5 24% – wk4 17.6%) | 94% (wk6 91.8% – wk5 83% – wk4 69%) |
| Darnell Mooney | 16% (wk6 29.6% – wk5 24% – wk4 41.2%) | 86% (wk6 93.4% – wk5 77% – wk4 70.7%) |
| Cole Kmet | 19% (wk6 18.5% – wk5 19% – wk4 17.6%) | 89% (wk6 78.7% – wk5 80% – wk4 98.3%) |
| Damien Williams | 3% (wk6 OUT – wk5 14% – wk4 11.8%) | 17% (wk6 OUT -wk5 48% – wk4 32.8%) |
| Khalil Herbert | 16% (wk6 11.1%) | 77% (wk6 88.5%) |
Quick Hit: Justin Fields ranked 17th in week 7 PATT (32) and is 31st for the season. Either Damien Williams is a COVID long-hauler and was working back into game shape OR Herbert is that dude. I believe that later, Herbert should remain in lineups until Montgomery returns. He was the first back to break 100 yards rushing against the league’s toughest run defense (TB). Fields and this offense continue to struggle, and that’s putting it nicely. Surely it can’t get worse? Either way, given the current state of the offense, fantasy managers cannot start Robinson or Mooney with any ounce of confidence. I believe Mooney is worth keeping on fantasy benches, as the only wideout to produce anything in this offense with Fields under center. Mooney is currently the WR46 in PPR formats and should be viewed as a weekly WR4/5. Despite the pre-season draft capital, Robinson is a drop candidate for managers that need the roster space. Robinson is currently the fantasy WR59 on the season. Both should be on put waivers in 10-team leagues, and in 12-team leagues with short benches. KMet should only be considered in two-TE leagues.
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Ja’Marr Chase | 26% (wk6 20.7% – wk5 26% – wk4 28.1) | 84% (wk6 79.2% – wk5 92% – wk4 79.3%) |
| Tee Higgins | 39% (wk6 20.7% – wk5 18% – wk4 OUT ) | 67% (wk6 56.9% – wk5 71% – wk4 OUT) |
| Joe Mixon | 0% (wk6 20.7% – wk5 3% – wk4 6.3%) | 54% (wk6 62.5% – wk5 29% – wk4 69%) |
| Tyler Boyd | 18% (wk6 10.3% – wk5 13% – wk4 34.4% ) | 71% (wk6 62.5% – wk5 83% – wk4 62.1%) |
| C.J. Uzomah | 8% (wk6 10.3% – wk5 5% – wk4 18.8%) | 83% (wk6 69.4% – wk5 85% – wk4 82.8%) |
Quick Hit: Joe Burrow ranked 4th in week 7 PATT (38) and is 24th for the season. Despite his 20.7% TS in week 6, Mixon failed to record a single target in week 7. Samaje Perine did little-to-nothing in the passing game as well, recording one target, but looked good on the ground after returning form the COVID list. As suggested in last week’s Target Report, Mixon managers should grab Samaje Perine as a premium handcuff. Perine is flirting with stand-alone weekly RB3/flex status. Rudy projects Mixon as the RB21 this week, with Perine RB34, in a favorable matchup against the Jets who were torched by the Pats run game in week 7. Chase continues to operate as a set-it and forget-it fantasy wideout, and is the front runner for rookie of the year. I would look to acquire Tee Higgins if you are looking for WR depth. Despite Chase’s fantasy explosion, it was Higgins who lead the Bengals in targets. Recording a staggering 39% TS, and finishing with 15 targets to Chase’s 10. Hopefully you sold high on Boyd when I suggested to do so a couple of weeks ago, he continues to operate as the 3rd option in this passing game. Uzomah popped again, despite recording an uninspiring 8% TS, caveat emptor. Uzomah has only recorded double-digit TS twice this season, one of those games Higgins was inactive. I recommend selling high on Uzomah. At best, he’ll continue to operate as the 3rd-4th receiving option in the offense. His 24.1 PPR outing is unsustainable.
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | 18.2% (wk6 28.6% – wk5 9% – wk4 21.2%) | 60.6% (wk6 54.2% – wk5 82% – wk4 79.5%) |
| Austin Hooper | 9.1% (wk6 10.7% – wk5 0% – wk4 15.2%) | 64.8% (wk6 74.6% – wk5 73% – wk4 71.8%) |
| Kareem Hunt | OUT (wk6 10.7% – wk5 19% – wk4 12.1%) | OUT (wk6 69.5% – wk5 45% – wk4 52.6%) |
| Donovan Peoples-Jones | OUT (wk6 17.9% – wk5 19% – wk4 0%) | OUT (wk6 78% – wk5 69% – wk4 60%) |
| David Njoku | 6.1% (wk6 7.1% – wk5 22% – wk4 6%) | 59.2% (wk6 44.1% – wk5 65% – wk4 68%) |
| Jarvis Landry | 24.2% | 53.5% |
| D’Ernest Johnson | 6.1% | 69% |
Quick Hit: Case Keenum ranked t-14th in week 7 PATT (33) and completed 63.6% of his passes (15th-best comp. % among week 7 starting QBs). Thursday night was the D’Ernest Johnson show, with Chubb and Hunt inactive. Demetric Felton led the RB receiving work, but only finished with 1 additional target over D’Ernest Johnson (9.1% TS for Felton). Nick Chubb is expected to return week 8, but Johnson should be held in most formats for as long as Hunt remains on IR. Keep Felton on waivers, he was on the field for only 31% of the Browns offensive snaps and recorded 2 carries. Monitor Chubb’s practice capacity over the course of the week to help us gage our comfort level with firing up D’Ernest Johnson against the Steelers. Keenum looked Landry’s way early and often, recording elite level TS, but CLE maintained their run first offensive identity. The Browns rode the wave of Thursday night darling – D’Ernest Johnson, touching the ball 24 times. OBJ is clearly working his way back to full health, and will be hard to trust in lineups until we see more life out of him on game day. Monitor Landry’s practice status this week. He limped off the field after twisting his leg late in the game, but is expected to be okay. Hopefully you followed my warning about not over-extending yourself adding Donovan Peoples-Jones. Not that I predicted the last-minute inactive, but he’ll be the 3rd-4th receiving option on a run-first team. I believe he is only worth rostering in larger formats, 14-team or large bench leagues. Both tight ends continue to be irrelevant and unreliable for fantasy purposes, let your league-mates chase any spikes in weekly fantasy production.
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Amari Cooper | BYE (wk6 15.7% – wk5 18% – wk4 13.6%) | BYE (wk6 87.6% – wk5 73% – wk4 47.5%) |
| CeeDee Lamb | BYE (wk6 21.6% – wk5 18% – wk4 22.7%) | BYE(wk6 86.5% – wk5 83% – wk4 80.3%) |
| Dalton Schultz | BYE (wk6 11.8% – wk5 24% – wk4 36.4%) | BYE (wk6 84.3% – wk5 73% – wk4 78.7%) |
| Blake Jarwin | BYE (wk6 3.9% – wk5 0% – wk4 13.6%) | BYE (wk6 52.8% – wk5 40% – wk4 54.1%) |
| Tony Pollard | BYE (wk6 5.9% – wk5 12% – wk4 0%) | BYE (wk6 289.2% – wk5 40% – wk4 29.5%) |
Quick Hit: The red-hot Dallas Cowboys return from their week 7 BYE, and all eyes will be on Dak Prescott’s practice availability. Also, Michael Gallup has a shot of returning to the lineup against Minnesota in week 8. A couple of notes worth re-visiting from last week…Zeke reached double-digit TS for the 2nd time this season and was back over 70% SS for the 5th time. Pollard has only reached double-digit TS one time over his last 4 games. He has taken a back seat while Zeke has been eating. If Prescott is hobbled at all, look for the Boys to continue leaning on the run game. Pollard’s, less than, 30% snap share for the 2nd time in three weeks is discouraging. Ceedee is a set-it and forget it fantasy asset, while Cooper should be viewed as a weekly Wr2/3. Gallup is a bench stash in larger formats. Schultz continues to support TE1 usage and production.
Denver Broncos
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Noah Fant | 21.2% (wk6 22.4% – wk5 11% – wk4 27%) | 90% (wk6 88.9% – wk5 98% – wk4 93.4%) |
| Tim Patrick | 15.2% (wk6 12.2% – wk5 24% – wk4 16.2%) | 94% (wk6 88.9% – wk5 97% – wk4 91.8%) |
| Courtland Sutton | 15.2% (wk6 28.6% – wk5 29% – wk4 21.6%) | 94% (wk6 87.7% – wk5 92% – wk4 95.1%) |
| Javonte Williams | 21.2% (wk6 6% – wk5 8% – wk4 8%) | 42% (wk6 47% – wk5 42% – wk4 51%) |
| Melvin Gordon | 9.1% (wk6 6% – wk5 5% – wk4 11%) | 58% (wk6 53% – wk5 61% – wk4 49%) |
Quick Hit: Bridgewater ranked t-14th in week 7 PATT (33) and is 15th for the season. Javonte tied TE Noah Fant for the team lead in targets (7), but still trailed Gordon in snaps and carries. Javonte will emerge as the lead fantasy back out of DEN, if he can maintain his receiving work and continue to be the more efficient runner. This was Javonte’s first double-digit TS outing since week 3. Melvin Gordon’s fantasy outing was saved by a red zone receiving tuddie. For now, this backfield is a low upside fantasy time share. Williams is a ‘buy’ candidate for rest of season upside. Courtland Sutton’s number 1 WR role in this offense will be tested with Jerry Jeudy’s week 8 return on deck. Tim Patrick should be traded the next time he pops in the stat column, if you can afford to keep him on your bench. I am signing off on dropping Patrick, despite the early season fantasy production. With Jeudy back, Patrick will be the 4th receiving option behind Sutton, Jeudy and TE Noah Fant. Fant remains a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE.
Detroit Lions
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| T.J. Hockenson | 24% (wk6 26.2% – wk5 9% – wk4 21%) | 77% (wk6 82.5% – wk5 82% – wk4 81.7% – wk3 84%) |
| D’Andre Swift | 27% (wk6 16.7% – wk5 17% – wk4 15.8%) | 73% (wk6 77.8% – wk5 75% – wk4 73.2%) |
| Jamaal Williams | 0% (wk6 4.8% – wk5 6% – wk4 0%) | 28% (wk6 30.2% – wk5 33% – wk4 29.6%) |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 0% (wk6 16.7% – wk5 23% – wk4 21%) | 61% (wk6 77.8% – wk5 70% – wk4 71.8%) |
| Kalif Raymond | 22% (wk6 16.7% – wk5 6% – wk4 16%) | 79% (wk6 88.9% – wk5 69% – wk4 74.6%) |
| KhaDarel Hodge | 3% (wk6 9.5% – wk5 14% – wk4 3%) | 46% (wk6 82.5% – wk5 66% – wk4 11%) |
Quick Hit: Goff ranked t-6th in week 7 PATT (36) and is 3rd for the season. It’s been a few weeks since we’ve seen Jamaal Williams show some juice in this offense. Despite his healthy 4.8 yards per carry, Williams did not record a single target. His fantasy value in PPR formats is solely tied to the health and availability of D’Andre Swift. Kalif Raymond emerged as the only start-able fantasy WR on this team. He led all pass catchers, including TJ Hockenson, in snaps for the 2nd straight week. He was Goff’s favorite WR to target, and displayed good connection with his QB. Raymond recorded over 16% TS share for the 4th time out of his last 5 games, and second game over 22% TS this season (wk3 32% TS). He can be viewed as a low-end PPR WR3 in a plus matchup against a bottom-dwelling Philly D. This offense continues to pass through Hockenson and Swift. Besides Raymond, no other WR recorded over 2 targets in highly competitive game against the Rams. St. Brown can be kept on waivers, despite the waiver hype he received the last couple of weeks following Cephus’ injury. Hock remains the #1 receiving option for DET, keep him in your lineups.
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Devante Adams | 20% (wk6 21.7% – wk5 41% – wk4 30.6%) | 86% (wk6 84.7% – wk5 91% – wk4 87.5%) |
| Aaron Jones | 14% (wk6 17.4% – wk5 13% – wk4 11.1%) | 73% (wk6 59.3% – wk5 69% – wk4 62.5%) |
| Allan Lazard | 17% (wk6 21.7% – wk5 5% – wk4 8.3%) | 91% (wk6 84.7% – wk5 86% – wk4 79.2%) |
| Randall Cobb | 11% (wk6 0% – wk5 8% – wk4 16.7%) | 63% (wk6 39% – wk5 55% – wk4 45.8%) |
| Robert Tonyan | 14% (wk6 13% – wk5 5% – wk4 19.4%) |
68% (wk6 62.7% – wk5 59% – wk4 77.8%) |
Quick Hits: Aaron Rodgers ranked t-9th in week 7 PATT (35) and is 20th for the season. Despite all of the coach talk the last couple of weeks, Dillon took a back seat in week 7. Only recording 2 targets and 3 carries, the inconsistent usage should keep him on your bench for as long Jones is healthy. It looks like the Packers will be without stud wideout Devante Adams and Allan Lazard due to COVID, with a very small window that Adams is able to clear the COVID protocol on a short week. The practice reports need to be closely monitored for Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s availability for Thursday night. He could be walking into a great spot-start opportunity with Lazard out and Adams most likely out on the COVID list. Cobb will be an interesting flier for DFS purposes, along with Robert Tonyan. Be warned, Tonyan has received double-digit TS the last few weeks, but failed to turn it into consistent fantasy production. The Cardinals have given up the fewest amount of fantasy points to the TE position. Aaron Jones has the most to gain with the bevy of COVID designations, look for the Packers to lean on the run game against Arizona. But, the Packers might not have the luxury of leaning on the running against the red hot, undefeated, Cardinals. The Cards have surrendered the 6th fewest fantasy points to the running back position. Arizona’s high-powered offense should be able to put a few tuddies on the board against Green Bay, most likely forcing the Pack to abandon the run game and toss the ball. Cobb and MVS are interesting waiver adds for managers in need of a weekly spot start. Rodgers will have to put on his MVP cape in order to shine in this one.
Houston Texans
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Brandin Cooks | 22% (wk6 30.2% – wk5 17% – wk4 33%) | 95% (wk6 90.7% – wk5 85% – wk4 87.2% ) |
| Chris Conley | 0% (wk6 4.7% – wk5 14% – wk4 5%) | 48% (wk6 42.7% – wk5 92% – wk4 87%) |
| David Johnson | 19% (wk6 4.7% – wk5 21% – wk4 19%) | 54% (wk6 42.7% – wk5 53% – wk4 57%) |
| Chris Moore | 0% (wk6 11.6% – wk5 17%) | 23% (wk6 65.3% – wk5 63%) |
| Nico Collins | 16% (wk6 14%) | 63% (wk6 57.3%) |
| Danny Amendola | 16% | 42% |
Quick Hits: Davis Mills ranked t-17th in week 7 PATT (32) and is 27th for the season. David Johnson was back to dominating the receiving work for this backfield. DJ remains the only viable fantasy RB on this team, and is a low-end weekly RB3 – at best. DJ has led this backfield in targets every week and in snaps except two (wk2 & wk5). Brandin Cooks fantasy output stands to gain the biggest boost from the return of Tyrod Taylor. TT is expected to return to practice this week and should be ready to start in the next 1-2 weeks. The elite usage has held for Cooks, but the output has been inconsistent with Mills under center. This is a potential buy-low window for Cooks, following his 7.1 PPR outing in week 7, and before Taylor returns. There is still potential for Cooks to get traded to a better situation before the trade deadline. For now, no other HOU skill player is relevant for fantasy purposes. Collins and Amendola are merely watch-list material. Moore was an afterthought with Amendola back in action.
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Nyheim Hines | 12% (wk6 10%- wk5 3% – wk4 6.3%) | 28% (wk6 22.9% – wk5 38% – wk4 31%) |
| Jonathan Taylor | 12% (wk6 10% – wk5 11% – wk4 9.4%) | 70% (wk6 64.6% – wk5 52% – wk4 50.7%) |
| Zach Pascal | 23% (wk6 5% – wk5 14% – wk4 15.6%) | 85% (wk6 85.4% – wk5 86% – wk4 81.7%) |
| Michael Pittman Jr | 15% (wk6 15% – wk5 20% – wk4 25%) | 93% (wk6 95.8% – wk5 88% – wk4 85.9%) |
| Jack Doyle | 4% (wk6 5% – wk5 3% – wk4 3.1%) | 75% (wk6 64.6% – wk5 72% – wk4 29.6%) |
| Parris Campbell | OUT (wk6 5% – wk5 17% – wk4 9.4%) | OUT (wk6 10.4% – wk5 55% – wk4 43.7%) |
| T.Y. Hilton | OUT (wk6 20%) | OUT (wk6 50%) |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 12% (wk6 15% – wk5 11% – wk4 16%) | 64% (wk6 50% – wk5 45% – wk4 69%) |
Quick Hit: Wentz ranked 24th in week 7 PATT (26) and is 22nd for the season. Wentz continues to show flashes of his 2017 MVP form, even in poor weather conditions on Sunday Night Football and against a good 49ers defense. Carson should be rostered in more fantasy leagues. JT is paying off his late-first/early-second round ADP from the pre-season, nothing more needs to be said here – besides set-it and forget-it. Hines will continue to be irrelevant, with his second consecutive week below 30% SS. He did drop a wide-open sideline pass that would have ended up in the end zone, only giving false hope for those fantasy managers still rostering him. Hines is waiver material for as long as JT is 100%. I suggested buying Pascal in last weeks Target Report following the injuries to Campbell and Hilton. Zach led the Colts in targets in week 7, and only trailed Michael Pittman in snaps. Unless Hilton is active for week 9, Pascal needs to be rostered in more leagues. Keep an eye on the Colts practice reports. Alie-Cox is a touchdown-dependent fantasy TE, and should only be considered in 2-TE leagues.
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Marvin Jones Jr. | BYE (wk6 24.4% – wk5 15% – wk4 12.5%) | BYE (wk6 86.4% – wk5 94% – wk4 92.9%) |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | BYE (wk6 24.4% – wk5 9% – wk4 29.2%) | BYE (wk6 78.8% – wk5 74% – wk4 75%) |
| James Robinson | BYE (wk6 9.8% – wk5 3% – wk4 8.3%) | BYE (wk6 84.8% – wk5 69% – wk4 94.6%) |
| Tavon Austin | BYE (wk6 2.4% – wk5 15% – wk4 12.5%) | BYE (wk6 25.8% – wk5 34% – wk4 73.2%) |
| Dan Arnold | BYE (wk6 12.2% – wk5 24% – wk4 8%) | BYE (wk6 62.1% – wk5 74% – wk4 32%) |
| James Agnew | BYE (wk6 14.6% – wk5 24%) | BYE (wk6 59.1% – wk5 64%) |
Quick Hit: The Jaguars return from their week 7 BYE. Here are a few notes from week 6 worth refreshing heading into week 8. James Robinson continues to operate as the bell cow in the offense, with no real threat in the passing game nor on the ground. Marvin Jones finished week 6 as the WR9 and is WR29 for the season. Jones should continue to be viewed as a WR2/3 with weekly WR1 upside moving forward. In DJ Chark’s absence, Shenault and Agnew are duking it out for the WR2 spot in JAX. Agnews production and TS should garner some bench interest, in larger formats, coming out their week 7 BYE. Shenault has recorded the 2nd most snaps behind Jones and should be viewed as low-end WR3/Flex play moving forward.
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Tyreek Hill | 18% (wk6 25.5% – wk5 24% – wk4 40%) | 72% (wk6 57.3% – wk5 85% – wk4 80.6%) |
| Travis Kelce | 24% (wk6 23.4% – wk5 19% – wk4 20%) | 74% (wk6 81.7% – wk5 87% – wk4 88.1%) |
| Mecole Hardman | 10% (wk6 10.6% – wk5 22% – wk4 10%) | 68% (wk6 59.8% – wk5 69% – wk4 52.2%) |
| Demarcus Robinson | 8% (wk6 12.8% – wk5 4% – wk4 0%) | 79% (wk6 69.5% – wk5 76% – wk4 67.2%) |
| Byron Pringle | 12% (wk6 6% – wk5 4% – wk4 7%) | 47% (wk6 39% – wk5 30% – wk4 25%) |
Quick Hit: Patrick Mahomes ranked t-9th in week 7 PATT (35) and is 2nd for the season. Everyone is scratching their heads trying to figure out what is going on with the Kansas City Chiefs. They’ll look to get right against an underrated and hard-coached New York Giants team. Darrel Williams should have a bounce-back game against a Giants defense that is surrendering the 10th most fantasy points to the RB position. For as long as they are healthy, despite the poor play from Mahomes, Hill and Kelce should remain in lineups. Pringle leapfrogged both Hardman and Robinson as the third passing option for Mahomes in week 7. But it was Robinson that led all KC skill players in snaps. No other KC pass catcher, outside of Hill/Kelce, is worth rostering. Pringle and Robinson are watch-list candidates for now. If they are able to sustain any level of consistent usage, and are able to continue leading Hardman for the 3rd option in this offense, they could turn into bench material in larger formats.
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Darren Waller | OUT (wk6 18.5% – wk5 22.9% – wk4 21%) | OUT (wk6 82.1% – wk5 95.5% – wk4 93%) |
| Henry Ruggs | 12% (wk6 15% – wk5 8.6% – wk4 18%) | 71% (wk6 66.1% – wk5 83.6% – wk4 80.7%) |
| Hunter Renfrow | 24% (wk6 18.5% – wk5 22.9% – wk4 24%) | 55% (wk6 57.1% – wk5 74.6% – wk4 66.7%) |
| Bryan Edwards | 12% (wk6 14.8% – wk5 14.3% – wk4 12%) | 89% (wk6 76.8% – wk5 76.1% – wk4 89.5%) |
| Josh Jacobs | 9% (wk6 3.7% – wk5 14.3% – wk4 15%) | 36% (wk6 64.3% – wk5 68.7%) |
| Kenyan Drake | 9% (wk6 7.4% – wk5 2.9% – wk4 0%) | 39% (wk6 21.4% – wk5 17.9% – wk4 35.1%) |
| Foster Moreau | 18% | 100% |
Quick Hit: Carr ranked t-12th in week 7 PATT (34) and is 4th for the season. Kenyan Drake’s week 6 production (21.3 PPR points) was not just a flash in the pan. But, he was helped by Josh Jacob’s early exit against the Eagles. Jacobs was unable to return after halftime, but is reported to have missed any major injury. His availability needs to be monitored following the Raiders week 7 BYE. Drake should be rostered coming out of their BYE, and Peyton Barber should garner some adds – if Jacobs is unable to suit up in week 9. The BYE week could not have come at a better time for Jacobs. Edwards finally yielded fantasy production, recording double-digit fantasy points for the first time in 5 weeks. Edwards is not worth holding onto during the BYE. Neither is Ruggs, he continues to be a boom-bust fantasy option. Renfrow is the only Raiders WR to consider holding on your bench while LV is on BYE. He is not worth risking another fantasy managers stashing him. Waller is another beneficiary of the Raiders week 8 BYE. Raiders head coach stated that Waller is day-to-day with his ankle injury and avoided any serious injury. Moreau should be added and held for any TE desperate fantasy manager with bench space. His 100% SS and 18% TS will keep him as a fantasy TE1 if Waller is unable to return to action in week 9.
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Keenan Allen | BYE (wk6 12.8% – wk5 20.9% – wk4 28%) | BYE (wk6 91.1% – wk5 90.7% – wk4 88%) |
| Mike Williams | BYE (wk6 12.8% – wk5 37.2% – wk4 10%) | BYE (wk6 35.7% – wk5 77.3% – wk4 85%) |
| Jared Cook | BYE (wk6 18% – wk5 7% – wk4 18%) | BYE (wk6 64.3% – wk5 66.7% – wk4 52%) |
| Austin Ekeler | BYE (wk6 18% – wk5 11.6% – wk4 13%) | BYE (wk6 60.7% – wk5 70.7% – wk4 60%) |
Quick Hit: A few notes to keep in mind as the Chargers return from their week 7 BYE… Ekeler continues to be the only fantasy-relevant RB for the Chargers. It was an uncharacteristic week 6 performance from the Chargers, Williams saw a drastic decline in his snaps after spending the majority of the 4th quarter on the bench. The game was seemingly out of hand, and there was no reason to risk any serious injury to their star-wideout. Jalen Guyton received the biggest increase in snaps and would be the next man up if Williams were to miss an extended period of time. Williams was not on the injury report following the game and should be good to go in week 8. It’s been a while since we’ve been able to call the Ravens D shutdown, but the corners played lights out. Herbert struggled to get into a rhythm throughout the whole game. Expect a bounce-back from the Bolts moving forward, with matchups against the Eagles and Vikings in weeks 9 and 10.
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Cooper Kupp | 32% (wk6 42.9% – wk5 27% – wk4 31.7%) | 98% (wk6 83.3% – wk5 88.1% – wk4 95.6%) |
| Robert Woods | 15% (wk6 17.9% – wk5 37.8% – wk4 14.6%) | 98% (wk6 87.9% – wk5 98.5% – wk4 95.6%) |
| Van Jefferson | 17% (wk6 14.3% – wk5 10.8% – wk4 14.6%) | 95% (wk6 63.6% – wk5 58.2% – wk4 67.6%) |
| Tyler Higbee | 20% (wk6 17.9% – wk5 5.4% – wk4 14.6%) | 100% (wk6 100% – wk5 83.6% – wk4 79.4%) |
| Darrell Henderson Jr. | 15% (wk6 10.7% – wk5 2.7% – wk4 14.6%) | 89% (wk6 81.8% – wk5 65.7% – wk4 89.7%) |
| DeSean Jackson | 2% (wk6 3.6% – wk5 8.1% – wk4 7.3%) | 6% (wk6 24.2% – wk5 29.9% – wk4 32.4%) |
Quick Hit: Stafford ranked 1st in week 7 PATT (41) and is t-10th for the season. Despite a plus matchup against the Lions run defense, Darrell Henderson and the Rams were forced to abandon the run game. The Lions pulled out all of the stops against the Rams, with two fake punts and onside kick in the first half, dominating time of position early in this game. The Lions came out swinging with an early lead, forcing Stafford to put the ball in the air. Look for a bounce back performance out of Hendo, in a favorable matchup against the Texans. The Rams are 14 point favorite against the bottom dwelling Houston Texans. We’ll save word count on Kupp. Woods should continue to be viewed as a weekly WR2/3. Jefferson’s value seems to be tied to the competitiveness of each game, and the Rams necessity to pass the ball. Look for Jefferson to take a back seat in a game where the Rams are expected to blow out the Texans. Rudy projects Kupp as his week 8 WR1, Woods WR28, and Jefferson WR65. Higbee continues his weekly TE1 campaign, keep him in lineups.
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Target Share | Snap share |
| DeVante Parker | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 OUT – wk4 30%) | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 OUT – wk4 90.4%) |
| Jaylen Waddle | 20% (wk6 27.7% – wk5 15% – wk4 13.3%) | 84% (wk6 92.9% – wk5 80% – wk4 78.8%) |
| Myles Gaskin | 10% (wk6 12.8% – wk5 26% – wk4 0%) | 63% (wk6 35.7% – wk5 69% – wk4 23.1%) |
| Mike Gesicki | 20% (wk6 19% – wk5 18% – wk4 20%) | 82% (wk6 70% – wk5 78% – wk4 69.2%) |
| Preston Williams | 10% (wk6 OUT – wk5 13%) | 41% (wk6 OUT – wk5 74%) |
| Mack Hollins | 8% (wk6 10.6%) | 53% (wk6 97.1%) |
Quick Hit: Tua ranked t-2nd in week 7 PATT (40) and finished with an 80% completion rate, which is 2nd best among starting QBs in week 7. Tua did his best to lead a heroic comeback for the Dolphins, only to be ousted by Matty Ice and kicker Younghoe Koo in the finals seconds of their contest. We hope a speedy recovery for Brown’s physical health, but Gaskin was finally freed following Malcolm’s early exit. Gaskin should remain in the weekly RB2 conversation for as long as Malcolm Brown is on IR. The tea leaves point to an extended absence for Brown, the Dolphins signed RB Duke Johnson to the practice squad this week. Salvon Ahmed remains in the picture and will limit Gaskin from reaching his full potential. Ahmed’s usage does not warrant a roster spot at this point. Tua will be forced to pass at a high clip for a second week in a row. The Dolphins are +14 point road underdogs against the, AFC East-leading, Buffalo Bills. Waddle continues his elite fantasy usage, but the potential week-8 return of Devante Parker is a downer for Waddle managers. The Bills will pose a tough matchup for the Dolphins, and we’ll be relying on garbage time fantasy production for any MIA pass catcher. Garbage time is always risky business, regardless of usage. Waddle should be viewed as a WR4 against a Bills defense surrendering the 2nd fewest fantasy points to the WR position. Parker is a WR4/5 if he is able to return to action. Barring injury, I do not see a scenario where Gesicki is not in a starting lineup. Despite the tough matchup, the TE position is barren, and Gesicki continues to receive the snaps and targets to be a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE.
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Adam Thielen | BYE (wk6 27.1% – wk5 9% – wk4 21.1%) | BYE (wk6 97.8% – wk5 93% – wk4 98.5%) |
| Justin Jefferson | BYE (wk6 29.2% – wk5 24% – wk4 18.4%) | BYE (wk6 94.4% – wk5 90% – wk4 88.1%) |
| K.J. Osborn | BYE (wk6 14.6% – wk5 12% – wk4 18.4% ) | BYE (wk6 53.9% – wk5 60% – wk4 62.7%) |
| Dalvin Cook | BYE (wk6 4.2% – wk5 OUT – wk4 15.8%) | BYE (wk6 74.2% – wk5 OUT – wk4 49.3%) |
| Tyler Conklin | BYE (wk6 10.4% – wk5 9% – wk4 15.8%) | BYE (wk6 85.4% – wk5 75% – wk4 85.1%) |
Quick Hit: A few notes worth repeating as Minnesota returns from their week 7 BYE. Dalvin Cook is back into his bell-cow role, and is coming off an extra week of rest with the BYE. Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen continue to receive elite fantasy usage and are set-it and forget-it fantasy assets. KJ Osborn’s production will be dependent on the competitive balance of each game. Against Carolina, the game was back and forth and needed OT to determine a winner. If Cousins continues to rank top 5 in weekly pass attempts, Osborn can be a relevant WR3/4 in larger PPR leagues. Despite finding the end zone in week 6, TE Chris Herndon was only on the field for 27% of the Vikings’ offensive snaps. Conklin is still the TE to roster out of Minnesota, if desperate for a spot start.
New England Patriots
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Jakobi Meyers | 17% (wk6 28.6% – wk5 16.7% – wk4 30%) | 78% (wk6 63% – wk5 90.6% – wk4 94.9%) |
| Nelson Agholor | 12% (wk6 14.3% – wk5 13.3% – wk4 12.5%) | 57% (wk6 59.3% – wk5 67.2% – wk4 72.9%) |
| Jonnu Smith | 12% (wk6 9.5% – wk5 6.7% – wk4 12.5%) | 22% (wk6 72.2% – wk5 62.5% – wk4 47.5%) |
| Hunter Henry | 10% (wk6 9.5% – wk5 26.7% – wk4 12.5%) | 79% (wk6 68.5% – wk5 62.5% – wk4 67.8%) |
| Kendrick Bourne | 10% (wk6 9.5% – wk5 10% – wk4 12.5%) | 54% (wk6 46.3% – wk5 50% – wk4 61%) |
| Brandon Bolden | 17% (wk6 5% – wk5 13% – wk4 14%) | 28% (wk6 21 – wk5 38 – wk4 32%) |
Quick Hit: Mac Jones ranked t-6th in week 7 PATT (36) and is 6th for the season. Week 7 was the “2021 Running Back Open” for the Patriots backfield. Pats ran away with this game early, with little to no fight from the Jets. Do not overspend on Bolden or JJ Taylor. Yes, Bolden resumed his role as the James White receiving back for the Pats. But, he was a fantasy non-factor the previous two weeks in tightly contested matchups against the Cowboys and Texans. His 28% SS screams unsustainable fantasy production. He’s still worth a bench stash for teams desperate for RB depth, but don’t waste top FAAB $$ or number 1 waiver priority trying to pick him up. Let your leagues mates chase Bolden’s fantasy points. He’s no more than a low-end weekly RB3/4. Harris should be viewed as back end RB2/3, with weekly RB1 upside. His lack of receiving work is his only downside. The WR room is a mess to confidently bet on for week-to-week fantasy production. Meyers continues to dominate WR snaps and target share, he’s a weekly WR3/flex play. Bourne continues to show up in the fantasy points column, but his TS screams risky business – along with his SS. Henry continues to be the TE to roster in NE, and will receive an additional boost in value with Smith sidelined. Smith was getting peppered with targets early in the contest, but was unable to finish the game after suffering a shoulder injury. His status will need to be monitored heading into week 8.
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Adam Trautman | 9% (wk6 BYE – wk5 6.7% – wk4 3.8% – wk3%) | 88% (wk6 BYE – wk5 85.7% – wk4 57.4% – wk3 82%) |
| Alvin Kamara | 31% (wk6 BYE – wk5 26.7% – wk4 0% – wk3 19%) | 84% (wk6 BYE – wk5 87.5% – wk4 86.8% – wk3 84%) |
| Juwan Johnson | 3% (wk6 BYE – wk5 3.3% – wk4 11.5% – wk3 5%) | 27% (wk6 BYE – wk5 10.7% – wk4 20.6% – wk3 13%) |
| Marquez Callaway | 20% (wk6 BYE – wk5 26.7% – wk4 7.7% – wk3 24%) | 93% (wk6 BYE – wk5 82.1% – wk4 82.4% – wk3 61%) |
| Kenny Stills | 9% (wk6 BYE – wk5 16.7% – wk4 3.8% – wk3 14%) | 44% (wk6 BYE – wk5 71.4% – wk4 25% – wk3 47%) |
| Tre-Quan Smith | 9% | 56% |
Quick Hit: Jameis Winston ranked t-9th in week 7 PATT (35) and is 29th for the season. Let’s save word count on Alvin Kamara, set-it and forget-it. Tre-Quan Smith returned to action and Michael Thomas is nearing his return. Callaway failed to capitalize on his window of opportunity as the WR1 in this offense. Jameis and this offense’s tendency to spread the ball around makes it difficult to roster any Saints pass-catcher nor confidently start them. Thomas is worth a stash if he happens to be sitting on waivers in your league.
New York Giants
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Sterling Shepard | OUT (wk6 27.5% – wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT) | OUT (wk6 90.7% – wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT) |
| Darius Slayton | 26% | 61% |
| Kenny Golladay | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 7.9% – wk4 17.5%) | OUT(wk6 OUT – wk5 35.3% – wk4 92.1%) |
| Evan Engram | 24% (wk6 9.8% – wk5 10.5% – wk4 15%) | 61% (wk6 73.3% – wk5 73.5% – wk4 68.3%) |
| Kadarius Toney | OUT (wk6 5.9% – wk5 34.2% – wk4 22.5%) | OUT (wk6 8% – wk5 54.4% – wk4 77.8%) |
| Devontae Booker | 9% (wk6 7.8% – wk5 10.5%) | 82% (wk6 72% – wk5 88.2%) |
| Dante Pettis | 15% (wk6 21.6%) | 49% (wk6 61.3%) |
Quick Hit: Daniel Jones ranked t-14th in week 7 PATT (33) and is t-10th for the season. Danny Dimes is an intriguing streaming option at QB this week. Jones takes on a Kansas City Chiefs defense that is surrendering the 2nd most fantasy points to the QB position. Devontae Booker served us well during Barkley’s absence, but his time is coming to an end. Saquon is rumored to return to practice this week, and his initial 2-3 week timeline would put him on track to return this week. Or at least that is what we can assume since the Giants never placed Barkley on IR. If Barkley is unable to make it back on the field, Booker has a favorable matchup. If Barkley is able to record any full practice, and suits up on Sunday, I would be comfortable starting him against one of the worst defenses in the league. Darius Slayton returned to action and operated as the WR1 for Danny Dimes. Pettis continues to take advantage of the Giants injuries at wideout, but Toney and the crew are all expected to trickle back into the lineup soon. Pettis’ 49% SS screams trap for any manager chasing his 15 point week 7 PPR outing. Toney needs to be rostered in more leagues, he has a good chance of returning this week or the following. Keep an eye on the practice reports out of New York leading up to week 8. Slayton will enter the week 8 flex range, with WR1 upside, if the Giants do not return any wideout from injury. Engram is a back end TE1 this week.
New York Jets
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Jamison Crowder | 14% (wk6 BYE – wk5 18.8%) | 81% (wk6 BYE – wk5 60.7% – wk4 62.3%) |
| Corey Davis | 14% (wk6 BYE – wk5 21.9% – wk4 20.6%) | 73% (wk6 BYE – wk5 80.4% – wk4 82%) |
| Keelan Cole | 5% (wk6 BYE – wk5 9.4% – wk4 12%) | 41% (wk6 BYE – wk5 55.4% – wk4 59%) |
| Elijah Moore | 14% (wk6 BYE – wk5 6.3% – wk4 OUT) | 58% (wk6 BYE – wk5 41.1% – wk4 OUT) |
| Michael Carter | 21% (wk6 OUT – wk5 9% – wk4 9%) | 73% (wk6 OUT – wk5 53% – wk4 51%) |
Quick Hits: Mike White and Zach Wilson combined for a total of 42 PATT, which was good for 1st overall in week 7 pass attempts (32 by MW & 10 ZW). Zack Wilson is sidelined for a few weeks with a knee injury. Mike White will operate as the QB1, for now. The Jets acquired Joe Flacco from the Eagles on Monday. Michael Carter’s value continues to trend up, expect the Jets to continue to lean on the run game with Wilson sidelined. I’m good with dropping every Jets pass catcher with the unknown at QB. Davis is the only wideout I would suggest keeping on a bench, just to see how the usage and production plays out with White under center. White was able to connect with Davis in the end zone last week against the Patriots. This is an equally bleak, if not worse, fantasy situation as the Bears.
Philadelphia Eagles
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| DeVonta Smith | 26% (wk6 15.4% – wk5 22% – wk4 20.8%) | 88% (wk6 98.1% – wk5 94% – wk4 91.9% – wk3 98%) |
| Jalen Reagor | 6% (wk6 11.5% – wk5 14% – wk4 2.1%) | 82% (wk6 82.7% – wk5 71% – wk4 70.3%) |
| Dallas Goedert | 15% (wk6 OUT – wk5 8% – wk4 10.4%) | 94% (wk6 OUT – wk5 68% – wk4 74.3%) |
| Miles Sanders | 3% (wk6 15.4% – wk5 14% – wk4 6.3%) | % (wk6 82.7% – wk5 76% – wk4 63.5%) |
| Quez Watkins | 12% (wk6 19.2%) | 74% (wk6 76.9%) |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 24% (wk6 7.7% – wk5 8% – wk4 16.7%) | 51% (wk6 23.2% – wk5 24% – wk4 39.2%) |
| Boston Scott | 6% | 34% |
Quick Hit: Jalen Hurts ranked 12th in week 7 PATT (34) and is 9th for the season. Hurts continues to be the king of garbage time fantasy QB production. Miles Sanders is expected to miss a couple of weeks, if not longer, pending the diagnosis of the x-ray on his ankle. Boston Scott should slide into the early down role for the Birds, which isn’t saying much given Sanders usage to this point in the season. Gainwell stands to benefit the most from Sanders’ absence. He should be rostered in all leagues, until Sanders returns. Despite any bias, DeVonta Smith continues to scream ‘buy-low trade target.’ He is receiving elite fantasy targets share, week 7 was his third week out of his last 4 over 20% TS, and his snaps point to sustainable usage. Keep in mind, the Eagles have one of the easiest remaining strength of schedules. If you believe the Eagles are a bad football team (they are!), then we can project Hurts and this offense in a lot of passing situations. The inconsistent TS between Reagor and Watkins make them un-roster-able for fantasy. With Ertz gone – my pre-season bold prediction that both Ertz and Goedert will finish as fantasy TE1 has a clear-er path to reality. Goedert should be viewed as a weekly TE1 the rest of the way.
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Diontae Johnson | BYE (wk6 32.5% – wk5 8% – wk4 32.5%) | BYE (wk6 92% – wk5 92% – wk4 91.7%) |
| Chase Claypool | BYE (wk6 17.5% – wk5 24% – wk4 OUT) | BYE (wk6 84% – wk5 55% – wk4 OUT) |
| Najee Harris | BYE (wk6 29.2% – wk5 20% – wk4 17.5%) | BYE (wk6 84% – wk5 80% – wk4 80%) |
| Pat Freiermuth | BYE (wk6 17.5%) | BYE (wk6 60%) |
| James Washington | BYE (wk6 OUT – wk5 OUT – wk4 13%) | BYE (wk6 10.7% – wk5 OUT – wk4 81.7%) |
Quick Hit: A couple of PIT notes to refresh on coming out of their week 7 BYE. We won’t waste word count on Najee Harris, set-it and forget-it. DJ and Claypool are the only viable fantasy options at wideout for the Steelers. Given the current state of the TE position, Pat Freiermuth needs to be rostered in most fantasy formats. It looks like the rookie TE has benefited the most from JuJu’s absence.
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| DK Metcalf | 23% (wk6 21.8% – wk5 15% – wk4 34.8%) | 82% (wk6 75.4% – wk5 74% – wk4 82.1%) |
| Tyler Lockett | 14% (wk6 21.8% – wk5 30% – wk4 21.7%) | 86% (wk6 89.2% – wk5 86% – wk4 85.7%) |
| Alex Collins | 5% (wk6 3.1%) | 39% (wk6 60%) |
| Rashaad Penny | 0% | 36% |
| Freddie Swain | 27% (wk6 9% – wk5 9% – wk 4 17%) | 77% (wk6 78% – wk5 62% – wk4 45%) |
Quick Hit: Geno Smith ranked 26th in week 7 PATT (22). The bottom fell out from his impressive 71.9% completion rate in week 6, to a back-up worthy 54% in week 7. The weather conditions in Seattle did no favors for Geno, nor did the questionable play calling in the final quarter of the game. Neither SEA RB is garnering enough receiving work to discuss in the weekly target report. Penny is still an interesting bench stash in larger formats. Metcalf saved his two-catch day, with an impressive 84 yard receiving TD. It will be hard to trust firing up Metcalf or Lockett as anything more than a low end WR2/3 for as long as Smith is under center. Swain only has deep league appeal, but is an interesting dynasty buy.
San Francisco 49ers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Deebo Samuel | 41% (wk6 BYE – wk5 31% – wk4 29.3%) | 87% (wk6 BYE – wk5 86% – wk4 89.5%) |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 4% (wk6 BYE – wk5 14% – wk4 7.3%) | 73% (wk6 BYE – wk5 71% – wk4 67.1%) |
| Mohamed Sanu | 4% (wk6 BYE – wk5 10% – wk4 12.2%) | 51% (wk6 BYE – wk5 46% – wk4 51.3%) |
| Elijah Mitchell | 0% | 67% (wk6 BYE – wk5 68% – wk4 OUT) |
| JaMycal Hasty | 22% | 35% |
Quick Hit: Jimmy G ranked 22nd in week 7 PATT (27). Kyle Shanahan did name Jimmy the starting QB for week 8. Jimmy has an opportunity to prove that it was just the monsoon that consumed Levi Stadium on Sunday night for his poor performance in week 7. The running game was alive again with Elijah Mitchel back in action. JaMycal Hasty did dominate the receiving work late in the game, but he is merely a watch-list candidate for now. Deebo Samuel continues to be the only pass catcher worthy of a spot on fantasy rosters.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Chris Godwin | 28% (wk6 11.9% – wk5 24% – wk4 11.6%) | 84% (wk6 90.7% – wk5 69% – wk4 93.6%) |
| Rob Gronkowski | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT) | OUT (wk6 OUT – wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT ) |
| Antonio Brown | OUT (wk6 31% – wk5 18% – wk4 25.6%) | OUT (wk6 49.3% – wk5 57% – wk4 51.3%) |
| Leonard Fournette | 10% (wk6 14.3% – wk5 11% – wk4 11.6%) | 53% (wk6 62.7% – wk5 62% – wk4 82.1%) |
| Mike Evans | 26% (wk6 9.5% – wk5 18% – wk4 27.9%) | 77% (wk6 93.3% – wk5 78% – wk4 88.5%) |
| O.J. Howard | 8% (wk6 16.7%) | 51% (wk6 65.3%) |
| Giovani Bernard | 8% (wk6 4.8% – wk5 4% – wk4 OUT ) | 15% (wk6 16% – wk5 23% – wk4 OUT) |
Quick Hit: Brady ranked t-6th in week 7 PATT (36) and remains 1st overall for the season. Leonard Fournette continues to operate as the undisputed RB1 in this offense, dominating both the ground and receiving work. RoJo and Bernard are waiver material with regular-season-Lenny rolling. Antonio Brown will need to find the practice field this week, in some capacity, to have a chance of suiting up in week 8 against the Saints. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are set-it and forget-it fantasy assets. I suggested, in last weeks Target Report, a potential buy-low window for both wideouts following their down week 7. That window how now closed. OJ Howard nor Cameron Brate can be trusted in season-long fantasy lineups. Gronk should be returning to the active roster soon, but he’ll need to practice this week to have a chance of returning against the Saints.
Tennesse Titans
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| A.J. Brown | 32% (wk6 31% – wk5 27% – wk4 OUT) | 62% (wk6 79.2% – wk5 64% – wk4 OUT) |
| Julio Jones | 14% (wk6 17.2% – wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT) | 43% (wk6 66% – wk5 OUT – wk4 OUT) |
| Derrick Henry | 74% (wk6 10.3% – wk5 0% – wk4 4.1%) | 74% (wk6 81.1% – wk5 77% – wk4 OUT) |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 0% (wk6 10.3% – wk5 OUT – wk4 16.3%) | 43% (wk6 54.7% – wk5 OUT – wk4 81%) |
Quick Hit: Ryan Tannehill ranked t-22nd in week 7 PATT (27) and is 17th for the season. Derrick Henry continues to operate as THE fantasy bell cow, nothing more needs to be said. AJ Brown and Tannehill continue to dip into their 2020 mojo. AJB has entered the weekly WR1 conversation, even with Jones back in action. With Brown back at “full” strength and Jones working his way back from his injury, no other TEN pass catcher should be rostered. The Titans are a run first team, and can only support 1 (maybe 2) fantasy relevant pass catchers. Jones’ snaps will need to increase before we can trust him in a staring lineup, keep him on the bench for now.
Washington Football Team
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Terry McLaurin | 32% (wk6 20.5% – wk5 27% – wk4 39.4%) | 92% (wk6 94.9% – wk5 85% – wk4 97%) |
| Dyami Brown | 0% (wk6 15.4% – wk5 OUT – wk4 6.1%) | 14% (wk6 79.7% – wk5 OUT – wk4 41.8%) |
| Adam Humphries | 11% (wk6 5.1% – wk5 12% – wk4 3%) | 69% (wk6 52.5% – wk5 62% – wk4 67.2%) |
| JD McKissic | 16% (wk6 25.6% – wk5 10% – wk4 15.2%) | 64% (wk6 61% – wk5 41% – wk4 40.3%) |
| DeAndre Carter | 3% (wk6 2.6% – wk5 20%) | 54% (wk6 20.3% – wk5 71%) |
| Ricky Seals-Jones | 19% (wk6 15.4% – wk5 20%) | 100% (wk6 100% – wk5 100%) |
Quick Hit: Taylor Heinicke ranked 5th in week 7 PATT (37) and is t-13th for the season. Gibson had no issues coming back from injury, but McKissic dominated the pass catching work for the 6th straight week. Both have an interesting matchup this week against Denver. The Broncos have surrendered the 9th fewest fantasy points to the running back position this season, but DEN was torched on the ground by a bunch of 2nd and 3rd strong offensive players for the Browns last Thursday night. Rudy projects Gibson as a back end RB2, and McKissic outside of the top 40 RBs this week. McLaurin continues to flourish as the WR1 in this offense, maintaining his elite TS and over 90% SS. Say it with me, set-it and forget-it. Humphries is only a watch list candidate in larger formats. Ricky Seals-Jones continues his 3-week streak of 100% SS and over 15% TS for the Football Team. He continues to operate as a weekly back-end fantasy TE1, keep him in your lineup.
