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Well, this is it, the last required information dump (hehe, dump) for the masses in preparation for your 2014 Fantasy Football Draft. And here it is, the auction values have been released. But I’m guessing you already knew that, because, of well, ^. For those of you who have never played in an auction draft, or for those of you who do nothing but make it rain when you here the words Jamaal and Charles in the same sentence, I’ll go over some pointers so as to facilitate moderate to heavy alcohol consumption without the fear of drafting David Wilson.

These strategies and values are based on a 12-team, $200.00 budget auction draft. 

– Make a list of targets, and find peace with the fact that you’ll land some, and you’ll lose out on others. You really like Ryan Mathews? Oh, that’s just me? Okay, well… you like Keenan Allen, right? Of course you do, why wouldn’t you? Well, guess what, me too! And you know what? I’ll probably outbid you on him. But that’s okay, because I deserve him and the rest of the Chargers roster. It’s also okay because right next to Allen’s name, you should have Victor Cruz‘s name as well. Always have a back-up to a back-up to a back-up on your target list, and make sure you use our values to decide whether or not you are getting value. For example, let’s say I won the bidding for Allen, but I got him at $30.00, $5.00 more than his stated value and too rich for your blood. (Who gives blood a checking account anyways?) And you see Cruz’s bidding start slowing down at $19.00… now’s the time to jump in.

– Related to making a list of targets above with values, try to plan out a budget for each position using those values. Use Excel, Google Sheets, pen and paper, dark wizardry, it doesn’t matter. Simply, just have a general sense of what you want to spend and how much. For example, you really want to try and land the underrated Cam Newton at $15.00? That’s very possible! And guess what, his value is at $18.00… so that’s potentially $3.00 you can add to your RB pool that allows you to go for a Reggie Bush ($22.00) instead of a Joique Bell ($19.00). No auction draft will go to plan, but if you have this list in front of you, do the math on the fly and see how you can mix and match when you win players at a value or vica versa, you’ll have a huge leg up on your league-mates, and you’ll be surprised how little money you leave on the table at the end.

– Don’t be afraid to overpay for “your” guys. We all have a few guys that we each personally believe in. I’m a huge Kendall Wright guy this season, even in Standard Scoring leagues, and if I have to pay, let’s say, $5.00 more than his value ($17.00), I’m okay with that. I’ll find value elsewhere. You could call it the ‘know when to play ‘em, know when to fold ‘em’ mentality, but in auctions, I’m very aggressive in getting ‘my guys’. Don’t let the market or the other owners dictate your team. That doesn’t mean go crazy and spend $80.00 on Petyon Manning (and that’s just for his forehead), bring a balanced approach, but if you truly believe in a guy, pay that extra money and know that you can find savings later in the draft.

– Throw a few names out there early that you want. There are a lot of strategy guides out there that tell you to never buy in the first hour, or don’t nominate a player you want. Okay, but you might miss out on really good early values when people are buying into what everyone has told them, just sitting there and waiting. Let’s say you throw out Zac Stacy as one of your early nominations… my bet is, not many people are going to enter into a bidding war, because they want to save their money and position for guys like Eddie Lacy and Montee Ball. Fantastic, that’s value right there, and you’ve essentially set the market.

– Alcohol. Drink it.

 

And now, I’m proud to present the 2014 Razzball Fantasy Football Auction Values.

Note: Again, a special thanks goes to Rudy Gamble, because without him, we wouldn’t have this. 

From Around The Web

  1. Matt says:
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    I started looking at the auction values and am a little confused. Aren’t the auction values tied into the projections? Some players have pretty big gaps between the two. (Kaep jumps 5 spots between projections and auction values; Eli drops 15). Is ADP factored in?…ECR?…voodoo?

    Thanks for your help!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      No, only the rankings are based on the projections. These auction values are based on what you can expect from a draft based on ADP’s right now. Obviously, auction drafts are different, as the market will usually gravitate to perceived value by the entire league. I wanted my numbers to reflect that.

      • Matt says:
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        @Jay:
        I understand the reasoning, but isn’t the point to compare Razzball’s values to ADP (or the values from the site you know your opponents are referencing) to find over- or under-valued players?

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Matt: It still does that, but the values are more reliant on what the consensus is. For example, Kendall Wright, based on his projections, is probably worth $30.00. Based on a generic market place, he should be going around $17.00. If I gave you an auction value of $30.00, there would be no savings. Obviously, these numbers are still geared towards who we like an don’t like, but again, auctions are so heavily affected by the market, basing it on projections would give you really bad numbers.

      • Rabbit says:
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        @Jay: Jay, I asked you the same question on the auction value page itself so you can ignore that one. I have to say that I agree with Matt that auction values based on your end-of-season projections would be more valuable. But we all get this site for free, so I don’t want to sound like I’m complaining.

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Rabbit: It’s fine, but I feel like if I did that, the values would not work. Use the projections with the auction values, and react to the context in the draft.

          • OT says:
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            @Jay:

            For baseball, you’d assign auction values based on projections not ADP, so why is it different for football? Is it just how the crowd drafts in football? Wouldn’t showing the biggest gaps in ADP$ and projection$ show you which players are being drafted too soon/too late?

            • Jay

              Jay says:
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              I’m not sure this is true. When I do auctions, I find values that are based on the general consensus of value. For example, I have Victor Cruz at $25.00. If I based it on my projections, he would probably be around $31.00. But based on consensus value, no one will pay that much, so why should you? He should be bought at proper value.

  2. Brad says:
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    1 point PPR can keep 3 of the following players from last year and each would replace a 4th, 5th, and 6th round draft pick respectively. Of my team from last year who should be my keepers?

    Russell Wilson, Sea QB
    DeMarco Murray, Dal RB
    Shane Vereen, NE RB
    Keenan Allen, SD WR
    Nate Burleson, Cle WR
    Jordan Cameron, Cle TE
    Le’Veon Bell, Pit RB
    Steve Smith, Bal WR
    Andre Ellington, Ari RB
    Josh McCown, TB QB
    Jay Cutler, Chi QB

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Murray, Allen, Bell (or Ellington… coin flip for me. Right now, leaning slightly Bell.)

  3. mguy31 says:
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    12 Team, standard scoring, redraft, 1 qb, 3 wr, 2 rb, 1 te flex, I had the 2nd pick. What do you think of the team I drafted?
    QB: Luck, Rivers
    RB’s: McCoy, Mathews, Chris Johnson
    WR’s: Alshon Jeffrey, Antonio Brown, Garcon, Reggie Wayne, Hartline
    TE’s: Rudolph, Reed
    K: Tucker
    Def: Pittsburgh (going to stream)

    One thing I missed out on was drafting RB depth but no one was really standing out.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      It’s a good team, no major weaknesses, and I love it when people say they are going to stream their defense. Your RB core is okay, some risk, but could provide huge production.

  4. Symptom of the Universe says:
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    12 team 1 QB/2 RB/2 WR/1 TE/1 FLEX RB/WR/TE 6 pt passing TD standard scoring no bonuses team I have:

    QB: McCown
    2 RB: AP and McCoy
    2 WR: Harvin and Wayne
    TE: Ertz
    FLEX: Gio Bernard ($18 keeper)

    Bench: Lamar Miller, Chris Ivory, Christine Sixteen Michael (gonna probably be on my roster all year so he can be a $10 keeper next year), Devonta Freeman, Mike Wallace, Kenny Britt.

    Just dropped my kicker and D to pick up Shorts and Mark Ingram as well. I’m high on McCown as a low 4000 25 TD guy, but would you still try to package something for Romo or even a higher end QB by end of preseason. Guy with Romo wants Gio and I refuse to budge on that. Which two players do you think I’ll end up having to drop for kicker and D before first game?

      • Jay

        Jay says:
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        Any time!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Maybe Britt and Ivory? The season is close, but a lot can happen… and I would keep Gio there. McCown should be okay here.

  5. Oppo Taco says:
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    Why are you so low on AJ green in your rankings? I have the 10th overall pick in .5PPR league and am considering him with my first pick. Other options would be demarco murray, montee ball, Brandon Marshall and marshawn lynch. Thinking of doubling down on AJ and then Julio. Thoughts? Thanks

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      I’d probably go Murray right there. I don’t think Dalton will throw as many attempts (598 last season, career high was 528), especially with Hue Jackson running the offense… he’s still a top-10 guy for me, but I don’t think we see gaudy numbers this year.

  6. QuikTrip Ashes says:
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    I’m assuming your values reflect end of the season value, right? The reason I ask is because I play in a 14 Team PPR league that has to play a rookie every week (flex position that can be QB/RB/WR/TE). With rookie contributions being unpredictable going into the season, my strategy going into the draft is to usually grab at least 1 guy who has the opportunity to contribute right out the gate and spend a late round flier(s) on players who aren’t guaranteed reps going into the season but can contribute if injuries arise (people like Mike James and Keenan Allen last year). Which rookies do you like going into the season for immediate contributions and who do you like for later contributions?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Unlike our rankings, these auction values are based on what you can expect from a draft based on the perceived value, not end of season projections. As for your strategy, it’s a good one. I like Sankey, but I think that cat is out of the bag on that one. Not a rookie, but I’m grabbing Dwayne Allen everywhere. Odell Beckham is a name I like, and I might try to sneak Gavin Escobar in there.

  7. Brian says:
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    Auction Keeper Question:

    8 team, 2 QB, 2WR, 2RB, 1 W/R/T, K, Def
    250 auction budget
    Can keep 5 of
    Brady 52, Cam 14, RGIII 0
    Andre Johnson 9, AJ Green 8, Torrey Smith 6, Crabtree 3, Coradelle 0
    Lacy 18, S. Jackson 32, Vereen 0, Gio Bernard 18
    Jimmy Graham 41

    Which 5?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Brian: RGIII, Green, Patterson, Lacy, Vereen.

  8. Big League Choo says:
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    would you Lose greg jennings for one of Stills/Mike Williams/Andre Holmes/Dwayne Allen?

    • Big League Choo says:
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      @Big League Choo: throw in K Thompkins/Dobson as well

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Big League Choo: I’d hold for now, but keep an eye on Stills and Allen. I really like them this season.

      • Steve Stevenson says:
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        @Jay: Granted, I’m no expert, I’m just the guy drinking on lunch break because work pissed him right off this morning, but I’d make the move for one of those two now. I’m assuming Jennings isn’t starting for you unless it’s a deep league, and he ain’t gonna be a difference maker for anyone this year.

  9. Bryce Krispie Treats says:
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    I see your highest auction values are from 50 to about 55 bucks (minus JCharles). If you look at yahoo prices, there are a number of guys that are in the 60’s. Is it unwise to pay that much for a player? Or would you recommend spreading your money out and going after a bunch of 30 dollar guys?

    I know its my team and I can do what I want, but what would your strategy be in this situation? My league tends to go nuts in the first round…

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Bryce Krispie Treats: Yeah, work against that grain. If your league goes crazy nuts in the first rounds, try not to compete with it. It’s okay to get in the 60’s, auction drafts are always so unique to each league… but I like get one or two expensive mainstays, and then grab value wherever and whenever I can.

      • Bryce Krispie Treats says:
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        @Jay:

        Which running back do you think has the most value for the money this year? I know you want to say mathews… but fight the urge… haha

        I plan on going lower on RB’s and higher on WR’s this year and have Joique Bell as a 3$ keeper.

        Thanks for the advice!

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          How did you know… Actually, I think Zac Stacy is being really underrated. I like Leveon Bell, and I think everyone is sleeping on Ahmad Bradshaw. I’m stealing him everywhere.

  10. Cram It says:
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    Just what the guy who wants to stroll into a live draft without studying needed. Is there a printable version so I can just pull this out of my pocket? I’m not tech savvy and copy and pasting into Word is sloppy.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Cram It: If you want, send me your google acct to jay@razzball.com and I’d be happy to share the google doc with you. Probably way more printer friendly.

  11. J-MoneyIV says:
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    Morning Jay.

    No question today. Just wanted to let you know the columns in all your ranking tables are shifted to the right one place for ECR and ADP. Noticied it when I was getting updates to prep for my first draft tomorrow.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @J-MoneyIV: Weird, nice catch. I’ll let the FantasyPros people know. Unfortunately, I have no direct control over that.

  12. Junkie Brewster says:
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    Thanks for this, Jay, not too many experts take the time to put auction content together even though it’s obviously the best format.

    I’m in a 12-team $200 league where everybody gets one keeper. Have to pick mine and I’m stumped between a few options. Which do you like best?

    Forte for $44
    Graham for $32
    Gronk for $14
    Harvin for $1

    Thanks again!

    • Junkie Brewster says:
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      @Junkie Brewster: btw, it’s standard scoring, not PPR.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      I love the fact of being able to play with the entire universe, as opposed being dictated in a snake draft. Out of that group, I’d go with Graham, best combo there in terms of value and production.

      • Junkie Brewster says:
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        @Jay: Thanks for the input, that’s where I’m leaning too, Gronk definitely might be the best value but he’s way riskier and it doesn’t look like anything will get resolved about his status before my draft.

  13. Alex L. says:
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    Hey Jay! Could I get your opinion on my team? My league is a 12 team, redraft, .5 PPR league, with an IDP. Thanks!

    QB – Andrew Luck
    RB – Andre Ellington
    RB – Rashad Jennings
    WR – Calvin Johnson
    WR – A.J. Green
    Flex – Pierre Garcon
    TE – Dennis Pitta
    IDP – Robert Quinn
    DEF – Baltimore Ravens
    K – Matt Bryant
    BENCH – RB Shane Vereen
    BENCH – RB Steven Jackson
    BENCH – RB Lamar Miller
    BENCH – RB Maurice Jones-Drew
    BENCH – WR Kelvin Benjamin
    BENCH – WR Justin Hunter
    BENCH – WR Markus Wheaton
    BENCH – TE Charles Clay

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      It’s a good team. There’s certainly risk at the RB position, but I think your bench is strong enough to carry it through. Love the Clay pick up. And you WR core is ridiculous.

      • Alex L. says:
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        @Jay: Thanks! I’m banking on at least two of my RBs making it through the stretch.

  14. Steve Stevenson says:
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    Foster owner in a 10-tm dynasty with 9 bench spots. Would you grab Grimes, Blue or neither in the rookie/FA draft?

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @Steve Stevenson: Hey Steve, Jay asked me if I could help out with some of these questions while he is on the road with Nick!

      Grimes is def the guy to own as the Foster handcuff. He’s not too exciting of an own in most 10 team leagues simply cuz you could prolly find lesser starters or RBBC guys on waivers over Grimes, who would only be relevant if Foster was hurt. That being said, 9 bench spots seems deep enough where he should be rosterable.

  15. Jeff P says:
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    I’m going in to a Yahoo Pro league auction with the following strategy (it’s a a standard 1 qb, 2Rb, 3wr, TE, D, K league). I am thinking of spending most of the money on two top RBs, and Graham. That should cost about $170-$180. $1 for bench players, QB, K, DEF, leaves $10-$20 for starting WRs. I like Maclin ($3.3), Edelman ($3.2), Kendall Wright ($2.2) and Terrance Williams ($2.2), Eric Decker and Mike Wallace at $2 are also good candidates.

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @Jeff P: Hi Jeff, Jay asked me to fill in for him tonight…

      It’s not the worst strategy, but also not one I love either. In auctions I prefer to have a more well rounded team than top heavy. Youd have to be pretty sure you could land those WR for that price. Based on Fantasy Pros auction prices, I see T Will as $8, Maclin as $11 and Wright as $11

  16. herschel says:
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    @Jay: PPR keeper league where we are only allowed to keep one keeper drafted in the 6th round or later (losing a pick in the round of the keeper). my only option for this year is ty hilton in the 6th. worth keeping him or just go in with no keepers (which about half the league does)?

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @herschel: Hi, Herschel. Filling for Jay tonight.

      I dont have a problem with keeping TY there. I like him a lot and his value is pretty good there for years to come. Prolly wouldnt get anyone better in the the 6th next year

  17. Toe Knee Arm Ass says:
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    Hi Jay I have a te question. 8team ppr idp league. I have Olsen as my starter looking for a backup I have Walker. I am not sold on Locker being that good. Just curious on your opinion on who you like better. Ertz, Eifert, L Green, H Miller, Rivera, or Cook with Bradford back just wondering if he is just a 1 game wonder. I read your ratings after I drafted was surprised at how high you guys rate Olsen. thanks

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @Toe Knee Arm Ass: Hi, multiple body parts guy… filling in for Jay here.

      I dont know how Jay feels, but I personally LOVE Olsen. In fact, I have him 5th in my TE rankings. He joins Graham as the only tight ends who will likely be the #1 targets for their QB this year.

      As for your backup choices, the first 4 you mentioned are ALL better options than Walker. Walker really isnt that gifted of a tight end (slow, not too athletic) and fared much better last year when Fitzpatrick was at QB, not Locker.

      If Im grabbing any of those 4 guys, its Green, who has been running plays in the slot. Lots of upside there. Ertz would be my 2nd choice. Kelly loves to use his tight ends in that offense.

      Cook is a physical specimen but like you said, seems to be highly overrated because of one big game more than a year ago

      • Toe Knee says:
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        @SethDaSportsMan: The name was for the baseball side its a spin off of Tony Armas sr and jr who played big parts in bosox history.

  18. Rags says:
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    How would your 1PPR auction values change in a league that’s 14 team, with 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 2Flex, and 3IDP?

    RB values goes up relative to others because there are fewer of them spread over more teams?

    Are top values driven up because replacement value is lower? Or does that value get spread out to worse players because it’s harder to find people getting playing time?

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @Rags: Hi Rags, Im filling in for Jay tonight.

      You are correct, the top values will likely be inflated, but that only makes the “worse” players easier to grab, and for lesser prices.

      Dont break the bank on the top guys, once the 2nd-3rd tier WR are being auctioned, youll be able to get them at great prices

  19. B says:
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    Auction Keeper Question:

    8 team, 2 QB, 2WR, 2RB, 1 W/R/T, K, Def
    250 auction budget
    Can keep 5 of
    Brady 52, Cam 14, RGIII 0
    Andre Johnson 9, AJ Green 8, Torrey Smith 6, Crabtree 3, Coradelle 0
    Lacy 18, S. Jackson 32, Vereen 0, Gio Bernard 18
    Jimmy Graham 41

    Which 5?

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @B: Hi B, I’m filling for Jay tonight….

      Ill take Graham, Cam, AJG, Lacy, Cordarrelle

      • Lucky says:
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        Wham bam thank you, ma’am, my quostiens are answered!

  20. Harry Pubiak says:
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    Not sure if you’re checking the actual value page so I’ll leave it here, too. Thanks!

    Hello! What do you think of this 12-team Mock Auction I just did? I was going off my .5PPR rankings, but the draft did not specify (ESPN)

    Brady
    Stacy, Vereen, P. Thomas, B. Pierce, F. Jackson, C. Michael, C. Hyde
    D. Thomas, B. Marshall, M. Floyd, K. Wright, M. Wheaton
    Olsen
    Rams
    Gostkowski

    There was a major run on RB early and I decided to let it play out without me. Thomas/Marshall cost me $88, while I only spent $1 on my QB. Thoughts?

    • SethDaSportsMan

      SethDaSportsMan says:
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      @Harry Pubiak: haha cant stop cracking up at your user name. Well done. Im filling in for Jay tonight…

      I like that team and like the strategy you used on those 2 WR. Your RBs are gonna give you some fits (Michael, Hyde, Pierce dont even have guaranteed “jobs”), but Vereen and Thomas are upgrade because its a PPR league.

      Mocks are getting tougher and tougher to do these days because, like you said, the settings are specified so everyone is drafting differently

      • Harry Pubiak says:
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        @SethDaSportsMan:

        Thanks, Seth! Yeah, I’ll probably still have this FF handle in fifty years. I have a huge feeling about Stacy this year, and if even one of Lynch/Gore/Rice goes down/beats a woman, I’d be set.

        I agree about mocks. Even bench sizes make a huge difference.

  21. stumanji says:
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    Is you auction value list available in an Excel export like the Top 200 rankings?

    Thanks.

    • stumanji says:
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      @stumanji: Nevemind, just did some copy & paste.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @stumanji: Alright, however, if you need, I can share a Google Doc with you that easily pastes into excel. Just email me at jay@razzball.com with your gmail acct if needed.

  22. Comatose says:
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    THanks for all you guys do over here. Many of us lurkers are silently appreciative. I’m looking for feedback on my newly drafted 12-teamer:

    QB – RGIII
    RB – DeMarco
    RB – Mathews
    WR – Dez
    WR – Alshon
    WR- Wallace
    TE – Ebron
    K- Dawson
    D – Stream (Steelers Week 1)
    BN – Rivers
    BN – Randle
    BN – Lamar Miller
    BN – Khiry Robinson
    BN – Cordarelle
    BN – Odell
    BN – Marquise
    BN- Streater

    I realize TE is an issue and I’ll look to trade one of my WRs for Olsen or Gates, who are both backups on their respective teams. What would be a fair offer for either of those two?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Comatose: I would trade Odell, trying to play on his rookie hype. I’d usually say Lamar Miller, but with DeMarco and Mathews, you need depth there. Overall though, the team is okay. Ebron could surprise as well.

  23. frankgrimes says:
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    Two things I would add to this.
    1 Leave yourself money at the back end of the auction.
    There will be hella values late and you don’t want to be stuck
    hoping you get your guy for $1 then someone quickly says $2.
    2 Don’t always start the bid at $1 for the guys you really are targeting.
    It makes a huge difference when someone has to say $12 as opposed
    to $2 when the you have the player valued at that price anyhow.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @frankgrimes: I agree with one, yes. Two can be tricky, because if you start with too high a bid, you could be leaving value on the table. In most cases, it serves as a time saver, as it makes no sense to start Megatrons bidding at a buck.

  24. SMLV1 says:
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    Guy in my league dropped C.J. Spiller to pick up Fred Jackson…..Should I drop MJD and pick up Spiller?

    Also, Still on Board to drop Bowe for Britt? or hold?

    10 team Y! standard redraft.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @SMLV1: I would get Spiller in a heartbeat. And yeah, I like Britt more than Bowe for upside.

  25. Tarman Got Him says:
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    I drafted second team.

    You like my first and I love my first.

    My second I made some mistakes, had the 5th pick, 10 team standard. I literally had 5 straight picks where the guy before me drafted who I needed. I am not thrilled but the team isn’t that bad TBH.

    Even though he’s gonna have a good season, I regretfully drafted Ryan in like round 6 because it came down to 2 seconds and I hesitated trying to put together he best pick as to where I took a 2nd QB in this league in round 15… Phillip Rivers, could I Waited 9 rounds.

    QB – Ryan
    WR – Jeffrey
    WR – Garçon
    WR – Crabtree
    RB – Lacy
    RB – A Morris
    TE – Clay
    B – Joquie Bell
    B – Lamar Miller
    B – Woodhead
    B – Hartline
    B – Kendall Wright
    B – Rivers
    K – Dawson
    DEF – ARI

    Thank you!!!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Tarman Got Him: Yeah, this is a pretty good team. WR core is strong, RB core is strong, and your bench is okay. I wouldn’t necessarily keep 2 QB’s though.

      • Tarman Got Him says:
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        @Jay: Thanks! I eouldnt either but after lady season with Ryan I wanted to have a backup in case of injury or something like that.

  26. Ron says:
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    Trade question for 12 team .5PPR 2 keeper:
    Here are the overall picks I have: #1, #2, #37, #47, #50, #61, #77, #85 etc.,
    Here are the players available: Charles, McCoy, Peterson, Manning, Megatron, Demaryius, Dez, AJ Green, Graham, etc.,

    I’m giving up these in a trade: #2, #37, #77

    On face value alone, which of these trade options would you prefer in a 12-team .5PPR 2 keeper league?

    A: Overall pick #5, #29, #84
    B: Overall pick #8, #32, #56 and Jordy (costs a 5th so #56 would be used to keep him)
    C: Overall pick #7, #31, #66

    OR
    would you say simply stand pat with #1 and #2 overall even though I don’t have a round 2 or round 3 pick?

    I will add that currently I have Crabtree (costs a 12th) and Stacy (cost a 10th) as keepers but can change that if I get Jordy.

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Ron: I would actually stand pat and take that top-5 talent all day long.

      • Ron says:
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        @Jay: Cool. Then the million dollar question is…with Crabtree and Stacy as keepers who should go #1 and #2?

        We only required to start 1RB, 2 WR and 2 Flex (WR./RB and WR/TE).

        On one hand since there is potential to start 4 WRs makes me want to draft Charles and then Megatron to pair with Stacy and Crabtree
        But…
        On the other hand there is the thought of grabbing Charles and McCoy and leaving WR1 duties to the likes of Crabtree, Roddy/Wright/Patterson/Wayne

        Which route you think is best? Or do you see a better route altogether?

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Ron: I would go Charles and Megatron.

  27. Ron says:
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    I see you have Graham ranked one spot higher than Demaryius in .5PPR rankings. Would you draft them the same way given the opportunity?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Ron: Definitely. And just to note, the system FantasyPros provides does not allow a custom ranking of half-PPR values, which is unfortunate. I would have liked to rearrange it in my own list, but that would cause a domino effect in terms of ECR and accuracy tests. It’s… disappointing.

  28. Ron says:
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    Would you trade Stacy for Alshon in .5PPR keeper?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Ron: Depends on the rest of your roster, but I’m fine holding.

  29. Hans says:
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    Need some draft pick trade advice. 14 team standard league…would you rather have your first 7 picks as

    5, 24, 38, 47, 62, 79, 88

    Or

    22, 24, 26, 38, 41, 62, 79

    Essentially was offered my 5, 47, 88 for his 22, 26, 41

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Hans: I like the first option, high end talent is essential in deep leagues.

  30. stophittindabong says:
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    so i have le’veon in a keeper, and him and blount just got busted for pot, and le’veon with a DUI…. great.

    do i move on from him? tough. i had him for the minimum keeper value.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      No, it’s his first offense, I doubt he see’s any issues from it. It’s Blount’s second offense, so that might affect his status.

      • stophittindabong says:
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        @Jay: i can understand a slap on the wrist for possession, but a DUI is serious and is often not taken lightly.

        hope you’re right though. do you think he gets any suspension? game or two? thanks.

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @stophittindabong: I doubt the DUI gets handled that quickly. Let’s let things play out.

  31. John Gibbons' Speech Coach says:
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    Hey Jay,

    I have my draft tomorrow. It’s a 14 team CBS league PPR, 3 WR, Start 12 players with a minimum of 4 bench players and maximum 11. I’m new to the league and taking over as an expansion team.

    Here is the starting roster I have and the spots left to fill.

    qb- rodgers
    rb- AP
    rb- D’Angelo Williams
    wr-Edelman
    wr-Maclin
    wr-
    te-
    flex-
    k-
    dl-
    db-

    I don’t have much to spend. I have about $110 left of $260 to spend. I’m thinking of going after a stud top receiver that is left (marshall, green, andre) and maybe a 10-15 WR and RB and just picking the bottom of the barrel for TE and IDP players.

    What do you think…I’d love some help with strategy. There are really no good RB’s left and because it’s a 3 wr league I’m thinking of loading up there

    Mike

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @John Gibbons’ Speech Coach: Just curious, but are you forced to keep Williams?

      I’d probably get a top tier receiver and find value from there, yeah.

      • Mike says:
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        At this point, I have to keep him. He was dirt cheap and figured why not as an insurance rb on the bench. Is he that bad that I should look to move him ASAP?

        Should I go hard after green or Marshall or save some $ and be happy with Cruz or Cobb?

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Mike: Naw, it’s fine, just was curious about his salary. Marshall is the choice there, but I think you should try and grab Cruz, could be huge in PPR this season.

          • Mike says:
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            Thanks so much!

            Last question…since it’s a super deep keeper league with 14 teams and 3wr do you have any late late wr sleepers I could target.

            • Jay

              Jay says:
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              @Mike: I like Kelvin Benjamin this season. Also, our draft kit has a few names as well.

  32. Yaomiiiing says:
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    As always great work Jay. Just wanna pick your brain. Which 5 would you keep at these respective rounds in a 2QB/PPR league?

    Rd 2 – Jimmy Graham
    Rd 3 – Brandon Marshall
    Rd 5 – Gio
    Rd 6 – Doug Martin
    Rd 8 – Josh Gordon
    Rd 10 – Le’Veon Bell
    Rd 16 – Randall Cobb
    Rd 22 – Keenan Allen
    Rd 22- Julius Thomas
    Rd 22 – Kaepernick

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Thanks!

      Graham, Martin, Bell, Allen, Thomas

  33. vinnie says:
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    Jay, I need your opinion on my league.

    I am running an 8 team auction league with deep rosters (16 rounds) on Yahoo.

    2QB, 5WR, 3RB, 2TE, 2DEF, 4 BENCH

    How much should I allocate for budgets? Yahoo standard is 200, I initially thought 250.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @vinnie: Buy QB’s and make sure they are good ones. No later than tier 3 for both of them. Mix and match value… in this format, I would aim for an Aaron Rodgers at full price, then try to get value with a Philip Rivers. Use 3 of those WR slots for high upside plays, like Kenny Stills, Kelvim Benjamin, etc., where ever you can get value. For TE, I’m buying Kelce and Dwayne Allen, should be cheap and could be difference makers.

  34. Mike says:
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    In some of the first comments, you urge us not to confuse your projected values with your auction values (For example, you listed Kendall Wright as having a $17 auction value but your projected stats for him give him a $30 value.
    Can you give us a list of your players whose projected values best exceed their auction values? I, for one, would love to know.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Mike: That was sort of a guestimate to give an example. I believe you can find that out by checking out my rankings, and comparing that to league context. Though, you bring up a good point, and I might do a complete value breakdown next season before drafts happen.

      • Mike says:
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        @Jay:

        Holy Harvin that was fast. Thanks for the response!

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Mike: I do what I can!

Comments are closed.