Weekly Refresh
Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend. Keep in mind this is one data point to reference when making weekly lineup decisions. Utilizing all of Razzball’s tools will help complete the decisions making process each week.
Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…
Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points) in week 1. After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7 ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).
If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers.
- Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
- I like you, but don’t love you range: Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not.
- Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range.
- Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays.
Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop.
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| DeAndre Hopkins | BYE (wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT – wk9 OUT) | BYE (wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT – wk9 OUT) |
| A.J. Green | BYE (wk11 16% – wk10 17.2% – wk9 OUT) | BYE (wk11 69% – wk10 69.1% – wk9 OUT) |
| Christian Kirk | BYE (wk11 11% – wk10 27.6% – wk9 23.1%) | BYE (wk11 73% – wk10 85.5% – wk9 95.7%) |
| Rondale Moore | BYE (wk11 25% – wk10 13.8% – wk9 19.2%) | BYE (wk11 39% – wk10 32.7% – wk9 81.4%) |
| Zach Ertz | BYE (wk11 20% – wk10 20.7% – wk9 19.2%) | BYE (wk11 76% – wk10 81.8% – wk9 80%) |
| James Conner | BYE (wk11 14% – wk10 13.8% – wk9 19.2%) | BYE (wk11 81% – wk10 81.8% – wk9 77.1%) |
Quick Hit: A couple of notes to revisit as the Cardinals come off their week 12 BYE…Eno Benjamin’s value is purely as a handcuff for James Conner managers, he holds little-to-no stand-alone value. Eno has failed to reach over 4% TS nor exceed 28% SS with Chase Edmonds on IR. The hope is for both Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins to return in week 13, keep an eye on practice activity for both players. If Hopkins returns to the lineup, all Cardinals pass catchers will slide down in the target pecking order. Moore had his first double-digit PPR game since week 5, he can’t be trusted in most 12-team and smaller formats. Kirk led Arizona in snaps during Hopkins’ absence. Christian and A.J. will jockey for the WR2 spot when Hopkins returns to action. Both will be WR3/4 – flex options, but it will be hard to rely on consistent weekly production with Arizona’s wide target distribution. Ertz recorded his third game in a row over 19% TS, and was 2nd in team targets week 10 and 11. He has entered the back-end TE1 conversation.
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Kyle Pitts | 21% (wk11 16% – wk10 25.9% – wk9 23.3%) | 78% (wk11 81% – wk10 61.1% – wk9 74.6%) |
| Mike Davis | 14% (wk11 13% – wk10 3.7% – wk9 6.7%) | 50% (wk11 48% – wk10 37% – wk9 55.9%) |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 10% (wk11 OUT – wk10 7.4% – wk9 20%) | 48% (wk11 OUT – wk10 27.8% – wk9 55.9%) |
| Russell Gage | 24% (wk11 25% – wk10 11.1% – wk9 26.7%) | 77% (wk11 74% – wk10 64.8% – wk9 81.4%) |
| Tajae Sharpe | 10% (wk11 13% – wk10 3.7% – wk9 3.3%) | 77% (wk11 69% – wk10 57.4% – wk9 79.7%) |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 7% (wk11 16% – wk10 25.9% – wk9 10%) | 50% (wk11 46% – wk10 42.6% – wk9 49.2%) |
Quick Hit: Matt Ryan ranked t-20th in week 12 PATT (29) and is 13th for the season. Patterson jumped back into his weekly fantasy RB2 with RB1 upside, highly efficient, role for the Falcons. CP’s return makes Mike Davis even more irrelevant than he already was, even though Davis recorded one more target and reception than CP in week 13…keep Davis on waivers. Finally Russell Gage is breathing some fantasy life into this WR core. RG has strung together two consecutive weeks of elite TS usage and has led this WR room in snaps for the fourth week in a row. Gage is beginning to flirt with weekly WR3 status for those fantasy managers desperate for WR depth. Keep the rest of the Falcons wideouts on waivers. Pitts is a bet on volume top 5 fantasy TE this week. He gets a juicy matchup against the Bucs secondary that was just torched by Jack Doyle and the Colts, for over 100 yds and a tuddie. Tampa is surrounding the 7th most fantasy points to the TE position.
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Marquise Brown | 31% (wk11 OUT – wk10 30.2% – wk9 29.3%) | 76% (OUT wk10 75.3% – wk9 81.6%) |
| Sammy Watkins | 3% (wk11 11% – wk10 7%) | 44% (wk11 74% – wk10 31.5%) |
| Mark Andrews | 31% (wk11 28% – wk10 18.6% – wk9 24.4%) | 69% (wk11 72% – wk10 78.1% – wk9 78.6%) |
| Rashod Bateman | 13% (wk11 17% – wk10 18.6% – wk9 19.5%) | 45% (wk11 70% – wk10 55.4% – wk9 66.3%) |
Quick Hit Lamar Jackson ranked t-13th in week 12 PATT(32) and is 20th for the season. The Ravens running back room continues to be an afterthought in the passing game, with not a single back reaching over 3% TS. Despite operating as the lead back for the Ravens, Freeman is merely a low-end RB3 streaming option. Hollywood Brown continues to operate as the undisputed WR1 for LJax, recording an elite-level TS in his last 4 games, and is a high upside WR2 in week 13. With Devin Duvernay and Sammy Watkins competing for targets, albeit minimal looks, Bateman’s weekly upside is limited. His snaps took a nose dive with Hollywood Brown back in action, after Marquise sat out in week 11. Bateman is waiver material in 10-team leagues and smaller 12-team formats. Andrews continues his set-it and forget-it fantasy campaign.
Buffalo Bills
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Stefon Diggs | 32% (wk11 15% – wk10 48.1% – wk9 17%) | 82% (wk11 78% – wk10 79.3% – wk9 88.1%) |
| Cole Beasley | 18% (wk11 13% – wk10 7.4% – wk9 23.4%) | 70% (wk11 58% – wk10 15.5% – wk9 67.2%) |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 11% (wk11 13% – wk10 7.4% – wk9 17%) | 77% (wk11 80 – wk10 60.3% – wk9 98.5%) |
| Zack Moss | OUT (wk10 0% – wk9 8.5%) | OUT (wk10 48.3% – wk9 28.4%) |
| Gabriel Davis | 11% (wk11 10% – wk10 11.1% – wk9 4.3%) | 42% (wk11 35% – wk10 51.7% – wk9 28.4%) |
| Devin Singletary | 4% (wk11 10% – wk10 3.7% – wk9 17%) | 68% (wk11 38% wk10 37.9% – wk9 71.6%) |
| Dawson Knox | 11% (wk11 25% – wk10 3.7%) | 91% (wk11 100% – wk10 84.5%) |
| Matt Breida | 7% (wk11 5% – wk10 11%) | 32% (wk11 33% – wk10 14%) |
Quick Hit: Josh Allen ranked 22 in week 12 PATT(28) and is 5th for the season. Devin Singletary will not go down without a fight, he’s held off Zack Moss and is doing his best to keep Matt Breida at bay. It was Breida that cashed in through the air, but both backs failed to receive enough passing work to be worth highlighting in the Target Report. Upside is limited regardless who is toting the rock at RB, Josh Allen is option 1a for the Bills when it comes to goal line rushes. Singletary is a low-upside RB3, and Breida is worth a bench stash for RB needy fantasy managers in larger 12-team formats. Breida’s snaps need to increase in order to trust him as a RB3/flex option moving forward. Diggs is a set-it and forget-it fantasy WR. Sanders continues to operate as the WR2 in snaps, but his inconsistent TS will make it hard to trust him on a weekly basis. Sanders has been relegated to a fantasy bench warmer, if not waiver material depending on the size of the league. He’s a WR4/5, while Beasley is a WR3/flex option. Beasley’s targets and snaps have increased for a third week in a row. Knox’ targets have bounced back to his pre-injury range, and is a weekly back end TE1.
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Chuba Hubbard | 3.2% (wk11 0% – wk10 0% – wk9 6.1%) | 20% (wk11 2% – wk10 21.3% – wk9 16.9%) |
| DJ Moore | 32.3% (wk11 26% – wk10 21.2% – wk9 21.2%) | 96.4% (wk11 94% – wk10 78.7% – wk9 84.7%) |
| Robby Anderson | 12.9% (wk11 22% – wk10 18.2% – wk9 9.1%) | 92.7% (wk11 92% – wk10 68% – wk9 91.5%) |
| Ameer Abdullah | 19.4% (wk11 0% – wk10 12% – wk9 15%) | 49.1% (wk11 16% – wk10 22% – wk9 30%) |
Quick Hit: (BYE) Cam Newton(21) and PJ Walker(10) combined for 31 PATT, which ranks t-16th for week 12. The Panther’s head into their week 13 BYE with more questions than clarity regarding their quarterback position. Newton was benched late in their matchup against Miami after an extremely poor performance, but HC Matt Rhule already named Newton the starter for week 14. Hopefully the week off is enough time for Cam to rekindle his week 11 magic. Either way, Carolina’s fantasy tree is now limited to DJ Moore and Chuba Hubbard with CMC shutdown for their remainder of the season. Robby Anderson has reached double digit TS the last three weeks with Newton back in Carolina, but it’s hard to make a case for holding Anderson in 12-team and smaller fantasy formats through the week 13 BYE. Do not overbuy Hubbard, his fantasy value has dwindle since the last time he was operating as the lead back for Carolina. Cam Newton is the goal-line ‘back’ and Ameer Abdullah has emerged as the passing down back for the Panthers. Abdullah recorded the biggest uptick in RB snaps following CMC’s exit in week 12, and has received over 12% TS in 4 out of his last 5 games. Abdullah is not worth holding during the BYE, unless you are in an extremely large/deep fantasy format.
Chicago Bears
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Allen Robinson | OUT (wk11 OUT – wk10 BYE – wk9 21%) | OUT (wk11 OUT – wk10 BYE – wk9 77%) |
| Darnell Mooney | 21% (wk11 47% – wk10 BYE – wk9 21%) | 87% (wk11 93% – wk10 BYE – wk9 81%) |
| Cole Kmet | 28% (wk11 6% – wk10 BYE – wk9 28%) | 86% (wk11 91% – wk10 BYE – wk9 77%) |
| David Montgomery | 8% (wk11 3% – wk10 BYE – wk9 7%) | 84% (wk11 97% – wk10 BYE – wk9 85%) |
| Marquise Goodwin | 3% (wk11 24% – wk10 BYE – wk9 14%) | 46% (wk11 72% – wk10 BYE – wk9 52%) |
| Jimmy Graham | 8% (wk11 9% – wk10 BYE – wk9 10%) | 20% (wk11 21% – wk10 BYE – wk9 29%) |
Quick Hit: Andy Dalton ranked t-7th in week 12 PATT(39), subbing in for Justin Fields while he deals with multiple cracked ribs. The hope is for Fields to return to action in week 13, but the prognosis indicates it will be an uphill battle. Do not be surprised to see The Red Rocket back under center in week 13 against the Cardinals. David Montgomery showed no signs of being limited in his second game back from his 5-week stint on IR. Montgomery dominated carries and recorded the only RB targets for a third straight game. Khalil Herbert is not worth rostering in smaller fantasy formats, Montgomery managers need to take advantage of this opportunity to stash their handcuff for the fantasy playoffs. Herbert has proven to be a premium handcuff. Mooney continues to operate as the WR1, even before Robinson’s two game absence. Darnell has recorded over 20% TS every game this season except two, weeks 1 & 7. He’s a WR2 with WR1 upside against the Cardinals in week 13. Prior to week 12, Marquise Goodwin strung together 4 weeks of consecutive double digit TS outings. But his opportunity bottomed out in week 12, while Damiere Byrd and Jakheem Grant both creeped over 10% for the first time the season. The Bears passing game leaves much to be desired, outside of Mooney, for fantasy. With Allen Robinson’s status unclear for Sunday, keep these secondary wideouts for the Bears on waivers. Cole Kmet led the Bears in targets for the second time over his previous three games. His 14.5 PPR outing in week 12 is only his second double digit fantasy performance this season. But Kmet’s consistent target and snap rate will keep him on the weekly TE streaming radar.
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Ja’Marr Chase | 12% (wk11 21% – wk10 BYE – wk9 31%) | 76% (wk11 93% wk10 BYE – wk9 94.7%) |
| Tee Higgins | 32% (wk11 10% – wk10 BYE – wk9 19.1%) | 63% (wk11 81% – wk10 BYE – wk9 76%) |
| Joe Mixon | 16% (wk11 0% – wk10 BYE – wk9 11.9%) | 72% (wk11 73% wk10 BYE – wk9 62.7%) |
| Tyler Boyd | 8% (wk11 28% – wk10 BYE – wk9 4.8%) | 76% (wk11 71% – wk10 BYE – wk9 78.7%) |
| C.J. Uzomah | 12% (wk11 10% – wk10 BYE – wk9 11.9%) | 66% (wk11 74% – wk10 BYE – wk9 64%) |
Quick Hit: Joe Burrow ranked t-26th in week 12 PATT(24) and is t-21st for the season. Joe Mixon finished with an impressive 34 point PPR outing, only to be ousted for the overall RB1 in week 12 by Leonard Fournette’s 4 TD performance. Perine has no stand-alone value, with Mixon cooking as the Bengals bell cow back. Perine should only be rostered by Mixon managers as a handcuff. Barring any injury to Chase or Higgins, Tyler Boyd is merely BYE week or injury fill-in streaming option the rest of the way. It is hard to trust Boyd in starting lineups with Chase and Higgins operating as the 1st and 2nd option for Joe Burrow. Chase will continue to project as a weekly WR1 with Higgins not far behind as a weekly WR2. Boyd’s value has dwindled as his usage and production remains extremely volatile, he’s a weekly WR3/4. Uzomah continues to jockey as the 4th receiving option in Cincinnati and is only valuable in two-TE fantasy leagues.
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Austin Hooper | 8.1% (wk11 24% – wk10 15.2% – wk9 9.5%) | 90% (wk11 65% – wk10 62.7% – wk9 72.9%) |
| David Njoku | 13.5% (wk11 14% – wk10 12.1% – wk9 14.3%) | 71.7% (wk11 64% – wk10 59.3% – wk9 72.9%) |
| Jarvis Landry | 27% (wk11 28% – wk10 15.2% – wk9 23.8%) | 93.3% (wk11 65% – wk10 79.7% – wk9 66.7%) |
| Donovan Peoples-Jones | 13.5% (wk11 OUT – wk10 15.2% – wk9 14.3%) | 75% (wk11 OUT – wk10 84.7% – wk9 60.4%) |
Quick Hit: (BYE) Baker Mayfield ranked 10th in week 12 PATT(37) and is 23rd for the season. Chubb reached 10% TS and only his second game the season recording double-digit TS, while no other Browns running back exceeded a single target in week 12. Hunt failed to record more than 1 target in his first game back in action, but look for his role to trend back to his early season usage as he gets back into “game shape.” With Chubb and Hunt working their way back to full strength, D’Ernest Johnson is not worth holding as the Browns head into their week 13 BYE. Jarvis Landry is the only CLE pass catcher worth rostering through the Browns BYE. Despite reaching over 13% TS in his last three games, Peoples-Jones has only 1 double digit PPR game. It’s hard to make a case for holding DPJ on rosters in most 12-team and smaller fantasy leagues, but he’s worth a stash in deeper 12-team and larger formats.Njoku and Hooper continue to be ‘fools gold’ fantasy assets in single-TE leagues. Both jockey weekly for who will lead in production, and are low end streaming options at the TE position. Hopefully you have better options to consider…
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Amari Cooper | OUT (wk11 OUT – wk10 11.8% – wk9 13%) | OUT (wk11 OUT – wk10 66.2% – wk9 60%) |
| CeeDee Lamb | OUT (wk11 9% – wk10 20.5% – wk9 23%) | OUT (wk11 55% – wk10 41.6% – wk9 73%) |
| Dalton Schultz | 15% (wk11 19% – wk10 5.9% – wk9 13%) | 99% (wk11 100% – wk10 66.2% – wk9 98%) |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 17% (wk11 14% – wk10 8.9% – wk9 8%) | 65% (wk11 70% – wk10 49.4% – wk9 55%) |
| Tony Pollard | 9% (wk11 5% – wk10 20.5% – wk9 5%) | 43% (wk11 33% – wk10 32% – wk9 40%) |
| Michael Gallup | 17% (wk11 23% – wk10 14.7%) | 99% (wk11 95% – wk10 53.2%) |
Quick Hit: Dak Prescott ranked 1st in week 12 PATT (47) and is 14th for the season. The Cowboys running back duo, of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, has failed to surpass 82 yards on the ground in any game since their week 7 BYE. Dallas is without both of their o-line coaches and RT Terence Steel heading into their week 13 matchup on Thursday Night against the Saints, because of the COVID outbreak that continues to haunt the Cowboys. Combine that with a matchup against a Saints defense that is surrendering the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, fantasy managers should lower expectations for both RBs. Luckily for Zeke managers, he was able to log a full practice after reports warning the Boys considered shutting Zeke down for a game or two. With Zeke expected to take on a full work load, Rudy projects Zeke as a RB2 and Pollard RB3/Flex option. Amari Cooper struggles to make it back from his bout with COVID, paving the way for Ceedee Lamb to operate as the lone WR1 for DAk. He’s a high upside WR1. Gallup is the only other Dallas WR worth firing up on Thursday Night, and is a high end WR2 if Cooper remains on the COVID list for TNF. Dalton Schultz continues to operate as a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE1.
Denver Broncos
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Noah Fant | 16% (wk11 BYE – wk10 17% – wk9 OUT) | 85% (wk11 BYE – wk10 75.9% – wk9 OUT) |
| Tim Patrick | 12% (wk11 BYE – wk10 17% – wk9 18%) | 81% (wk11 BYE – wk10 91.4% – wk9 62%) |
| Courtland Sutton | 12% (wk11 BYE – wk10 8% – wk9 7%) | 73% (wk11 BYE – wk10 94.8% – wk9 84%) |
| Jerry Jeudy | 12% (wk11 BYE – wk10 25% – wk9 29%) | 56% (wk11 BYE – wk10 77.6% – wk9 61%) |
| Javonte Williams | 16% (wk11 BYE – wk10 8% – wk9 0%) | 58% (wk11 BYE – wk10 56.9% – wk9 48%) |
| Melvin Gordon | 8% (wk11 BYE – wk10 11% – wk9 11%) | 42% (wk11 BYE – wk10 43.1% – wk9 53%) |
Quick Hit: Bridgewater ranked 30th in week 12 PATT(18) and is 21st for the season. Drew Lock came into the game during the second quarter, while Teddy attended to a lower body injury, and attempted an additional 7 PATT. Teddy was able to tough it out and finish the second half, but monitor his availability heading into a divisional matchup against the Chiefs. Lock would be a major downgrade to all Broncos pass catchers. Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams continue to split snaps and touches almost evenly on a week-to-week basis. Their season-long stats are almost identical in total yardage and touches. Gordon led in carries, barely, for third week in a row. And Williams has led in targets 3 out of their last 5 games. Despite limiting each other’s upside, both backs should be viewed as RB2/3 options with weekly RB1 upside. Javonte’s snaps have steadily increased over the last 5 weeks, while Gordons have slightly declined across the same span of games. Rank Williams ahead of Gordon for rest of season. In a game dominated by the Broncos defense and run game, the passing game took a back seat in week 12. All three wideouts tied in targets, but it was Jeudy that recorded the largest percentage dip in snaps. Look for the passing game to get a boost in week 13. The Broncos will look to keep pace with Mahomes and Co in primetime on Sunday Night Football. The wide distribution of targets limits the overall upside for each Broncos wideout, but rank them as follows – Jeudy/Patrick/Sutton. All three are back end WR3/4 options this week, with Jeudy holding the most upside. Tim Patrick has only one double-digit PPR outing over his last 5 games, and three total for the season. Sutton has zero double-digit PPR outings over the same span of 5 games, and three for the season. Jeudy is only one game removed from two consecutive weeks over 25% TS, he’s a WR3/flex option this week. Despite the recent decline in production, Fant still projects as a back end TE1 in week 13 against the Chiefs. Fant has reached over 15% TS in his last 5 games, you’ll be hard pressed to find a waiver TE with better usage.
Detroit Lions
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| T.J. Hockenson | 12% (wk11 35% – wk10 4% – wk9 BYE) | 76% (wk11 88% – wk10 94.4% – wk9 BYE) |
| D’Andre Swift | 12% (wk11 17% – wk10 24% – wk9 BYE) | 20% (wk11 73% – wk10 93% – wk9 BYE) |
| Jamaal Williams | 20% (wk11 0% – wk10 OUT – wk9 BYE) | 63% (wk11 27% – wk10 OUT -wk9 BYE) |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 16% (wk11 17% – wk10 24% – wk9 BYE) | 98% (wk11 85% – wk10 60.6% – wk9 BYE) |
| Kalif Raymond | 16% (wk11 4% – wk10 24% – wk9 BYE) | 80% (wk11 71% – wk10 66.2% – wk9 BYE) |
| Josh Reynolds | 20% (wk11 13%) | 90% (wk11 88%) |
Quick Hit: Goff ranked 25th in week 12 PATT(25) and is 18th for the season. Jamaal Williams needs to be rostered in every format with D’Andre Swift likely to miss week 13. Rookie RB Jermar Jefferson recorded consecutive double-digit fantasy outings in week 8 & 10 when Jamaal Williams was sidelined. With Swift likely out, Jermar Jefferson is worth consideration in larger fantasy formats. Amon-Ra has trended up in snaps for the third week in a row, and first game over 90% SS this season. St. Brown has established himself as the WR1 for the Lions, but Goff’s tendencies to spread the ball around makes this receiving core unreliable for fantasy purposes. Raymond’s production has become more volatile with the recent emergence of Josh Reynolds. All three DET wideouts are projected outside of the top 40 WRs in week 13, they are waiver material and risky business streaming options for those managers desperate at the WR position. Hockenson remains a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE. His 4% TS in week 10 was high lowest of the season and an outlier. Hock is a back end TE1 this week against the Vikings secondary.
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Davante Adams | 20% (wk11 24% – wk10 30% – wk9 41%) | 97.6% (wk11 88% – wk10 94.6% – wk9 92%) |
| Aaron Jones | 2.2% (wk11 OUT – wk10 16% – wk9 6%) | 48.8% (wk11 OUT – wk10 45.9% – wk9 63%) |
| Allan Lazard | 13.3% (wk11 OUT – wk10 11% – wk9 3%) | 64.6% (wk11 OUT – wk10 59.5% – wk9 84%) |
| Randall Cobb | 11.1% (wk11 6% – wk10 11% – wk9 15%) | 23.2% (wk11 76% – wk10 67.6% – wk9 53%) |
| AJ Dillon | 11.1% (wk11 18% – wk10 5% – wk9 12%) | 51.2% (wk11 75% – wk10 48.6% – wk9 38%) |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 20% (wk11 30% – wk10 5%) | 69.5% (wk11 81% – wk10 66.2% – wk9 54%) |
Quick Hits: (BYE) Aaron Rodgers ranked 2nd in week 12 PATT(45) and is 15th for the season. AJ Dillon is taking advantage of his opportunity acting as the lead back for GB over the last few weeks, but AJ recorded nearly a 25 percentage point decrease in snaps with Aaron Jones back in action. Dillon did dominate the passing work, and recorded his 3rd game out of his last 4 with a double digit TS. He’ll continue to be a viable RB3/flex option with upside until we see Jones get back to “full strength.” Luckily for Jones, Aaron gets the week 13 BYE to get healthy. Do not be surprised to see the backfield operate close to a 50-50 or 60-40 SS coming out of the BYE. Adams continues to operate as a set-it and forget-it WR. Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the only other GB WR worth making a case for holding over the Packers’ week 13 BYE. MVS recorded his second game in a row over 20% TS, but we need to see the trend hold for at least another week – or two – before we can trust the usage. Prior to week 11, you have to look all the way back to week 1 to find a game MVS reached over 20% TS. He’s only worth a bench stash for WR desperate managers in 12-team and larger fantasy leagues. Unfortunately, Randall Cobb was unable to finish the game due to a groin injury after a fast start to the contest. Both Cobb and Lazard are extremely risky business spot starts moving forward, keep them on waivers through their BYE. The Packers TE room became fantasy irrelevant ever since Tonyan went on IR. Cobbs snaps, targets, and red zone usage have benefited the most since Tonyan’s absence. But the groin injury and battling to be the third-fourth receiving option for Rodgers should keep Cobb on waivers in most 12-team and smaller fantasy formats.
Houston Texans
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Brandin Cooks | 19% (wk11 13% – wk10 BYE – wk9 30%) | 82% (wk11 83% – -wk10 BYE – wk9 97%) |
| David Johnson | 12% (wk11 17% – wk10 BYE – wk9 11%) | 39% (wk11 55% – wk10 BYE – wk9 45%) |
| Nico Collins | 19% (wk11 8% – wk10 BYE – wk9 7%) | 65% (wk11 59% – wk10 BYE – wk9 70%) |
| Rex Burkhead | 12% (wk11 0% – wk10 BYE – wk9 0%) | 61% (wk11 42% – wk10 BYE – wk9 30%) |
Quick Hits: In his third game back in action, Tyrod Taylor ranked t-23rd in week 12 PATT(26). In 12-team and smaller leagues, Brandin Cooks is the only fantasy asset out of Houston worth discussing and rostering. Regardless of who is tossing the rock, Cooks is a bet on volume WR2/3 with weekly WR1 upside on a team that is expected to be playing from behind in most – if not all – of their contest. Only in 14-team or super deep bench leagues are David Johnson, Rex Burkhead, Nico Collins, and TE Brevin Jordan worth discussing. Rookies Nico Collins and Brevin Jordan are interesting ‘buy’ candidates in dynasty leagues. Brevin Jordan needs his snaps o increase and targets to sustain before he can register on any single-TE fantasy league’s radar.
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Nyheim Hines | 9% (wk11 0% – wk10 12% – wk9 20%) | 36% (wk11 19% – wk10 28.1% – wk9 45.2%) |
| Jonathan Taylor | 11% (wk11 15% – wk10 24% wk9 6.7%) | 71% (wk11 83% – wk10 84.4% – wk9 69.4%) |
| Zach Pascal | 16% (wk11 5% – wk10 6% – wk9 23.3%) | 93% (wk11 78% – wk10 89.1% – wk9 83.9%) |
| Michael PittmanJr | 23% (wk11 25% – wk10 15% – wk9 20%) | 94% (wk11 75% – wk10 87.5% – wk9 85.5%) |
| Jack Doyle | 16% (wk11 25% – wk10 15% – wk9 6.7%) | 61% (wk11 74% – wk10 57.8% – wk9 67.7%) |
| T.Y. Hilton | 11% (wk11 10% – wk10 15% – wk9 OUT) | 61% (wk11 41% – wk10 60.9% – wk9 OUT) |
Quick Hit: Wentz ranked t-3rd in week 12 PATT(44) and is t-8th for the season. Jonathan Taylor positioned himself to be the 1.01 in fantasy drafts for 2022. He’s a set-it and forget-it, bell cow, running back and gets a juicy matchup against the Texans in week 13. Rudy projects JT as his overall RB1 this week. It’ll be hard to trust Hines for more than a RB4, as his role has diminished over the last four weeks. Do not overreact the Pittmans’ 9 point PPR outing, the snaps and targets are still elite level usage rates. Keep him in your lineups this week as borderline WR1/2. Pascal should be left on waivers in 12-team and smaller formats with Hilton back in action. Hilton is risky business and should only be considered by WR desperate managers in 12-team and larger leagues. Ashton Dulin’s 13.2 PPR outing in week 12 is fools good, all of his production game on a single 62 yard TD reception. Let your league-mates chase the fantasy box score. In recent weeks, Doyle has emerged as the TE1 for Wentz. Moe Alie-Cos finds himself off the weekly Target Report. Do not overreact to Doyle’s 20 point outing though, it is his first double digit PPR game since back in week 2. Jack is a low end streaming option, for two-TE leagues, in a Colts offense that won’t need to pass much to put the Texans away in week 13.
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Marvin Jones Jr. | 17% (wk11 24%- wk10 17% – wk9 18%) | 99% (wk11 91% – wk10 84.8% – wk9 84%) |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 21% (wk11 20% – wk10 23% – wk9 14%) | 74% (wk11 63% – wk10 77.3% – wk9 79%) |
| James Robinson | 10% (wk11 12% – wk10 14% – wk9 OUT) | 53% (wk11 63% – wk10 59.1% – wk9 OUT) |
| Laquon Treadwell | 19% (wk11 12%) | 88% (wk11 72%) |
Quick Hit: Trevor Lawrence ranked 5th in week 12 PATT (42) and is t-8th for the season. James Robinson is the only relevant Jaguars fantasy asset in 10-team leagues. Despite healthy target rates, Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault fail to produce anything that warrants starting either of them in 12-team and smaller fantasy formats. You have to look all the way back to week 6 to find both Jones’ and Shenault’s last double digit fantasy game….yikes! Keep them both on waivers. Laquon Treadwell has emerged as the Jamaal Agnew replacement, reaching double-digit TS in his last two game and a healthy snap rate. He should only be considered in 14-team and larger fantasy formats. The Jags TE room becomes fantasy irrelevant with Dan Arnold on season-ending IR.
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Tyreek Hill | BYE (wk11 30% – wk10 20% – wk9 30%) | BYE (wk11 81% – wk10 73.7% – wk9 83%) |
| Travis Kelce | BYe (wk11 22% – wk10 20% – wk9 22%) | BYE (wk11 87% – wk10 76.3% – wk9 86%) |
| Mecole Hardman | BYE (wk11 8% – wk10 6% – wk9 16%) | BYE (wk11 18% – wk10 31.6% – wk9 65% – wk8 49% – wk7 68%) |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | BYE (wk11 5%) | BYE (wk11 47%) |
| Darrel Williams | BYE (wk11 8% – wk10 18% – wk9 11%) | BYE (wk11 53% – wk10 59.2% – wk9 54%) |
Quick Hit: A few notes to revisit as the Chiefs come off their week 12 BYE…Darrel Williams led both RB snaps and targets in Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s first game back in action. Both backs failed to reach double-digit TS, and it was Williams’ first game in single-digit TS since week 7. Hang onto Williams until we see how the Chiefs decide to deploy both backs with CEH getting back into “game shape.” No other KC WR, outside of Tyreek Hill, has established themselves as the true WR2 in this offense. Josh Gordon’s slight emergence in the offense has diluted the opportunity behind Hill even more. Keep the stable of wideouts on waivers. Travis Kelce remains the overall TE1 even after spending week 12 on BYE, set-it and forget-it.
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Darren Waller | 13% (wk11 30% – wk10 20% – wk9 24%) | 24% (wk11 94% – wk10 90.7% – wk9 88%) |
| Hunter Renfrow | 23% (wk11 15% – wk10 26% – wk9 20%) | 74% (wk11 72% – wk10 72.2% – wk9 65%) |
| Bryan Edwards | 3% (wk11 0% – wk10 11% – wk9 9%) | 72% (wk11 83% – wk10 79.6% – wk9 93%) |
| Josh Jacobs | 10% (wk11 26% – wk10 14% – wk9 9%) | 66% (wk11 66% – wk10 57.4% – wk9 49%) |
| Kenyan Drake | 5% (wk11 7% – wk10 9% – wk9 17%) | 18% (wk11 32% – wk10 31.5% – wk9 45%) |
| Foster Moreau | 13% (wk11 7% – wk10 0% – wk9 0%) | 89% (wk11 36% – wk10 38.9% – wk9 32%) |
| Zay Jones | 18% (wk11 7% – wk10 9% – wk9 9%) | 69% (wk11 72% – wk10 85.2% – wk9 96%) |
| DeSean Jackson | 10% | 48% |
Quick Hit: Derek Carr ranked t-7th in week 12 PATT (39) and is 4th overall for the season. With Josh Jacobs operating as the bell cow back, Kenyan Drake has been relegated to a small supplemental role for the Raiders in recent weeks. Drake has only one double digit TS game over the last 7 weeks (wk 9). He’s a fools gold RB streaming option with Jacobs at full strength. Renfrow continues to be the only LV WR we can trust in our fantasy lineups. Hunter will get an additional boost in usage with TE Darren Waller doubtful for week 13. DeSean Jackson’s fantasy production will be vintage DJax boom-bust, risky business, moving forward – until his snaps and targets drastically increase…buyer beware. I was hopeful for Edwards following Ruggs’ release, but his and Zay Jones’ usage is too volatile to trust near a fantasy lineup. Foster Moreau catapults into the weekly TE1 streaming conversation for as long as Waller is sidelined with his “IT band” injury. Moreau posted a healthy 6 receptions on 6 targets for 60 yards and a tuddie the last time filling in for Waller.
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Keenan Allen | 23% (wk11 32% – wk10 32% – wk9 34%) | 87% (wk11 82%- wk10 93.2% – wk9 91%) |
| Mike Williams | 18% (wk11 15% – wk10 18% – wk9 13%) | 87% (wk11 79% – wk10 93.2% – wk9 84%) |
| Jared Cook | 11% (wk11 12% – wk10 9% – wk9 11%) | 53% (wk11 50% – wk10 57.6% – wk9 43%) |
| Austin Ekeler | 18% (wk11 17% – wk10 18% – wk9 8%) | 69% (wk11 70% – wk10 71.2% – wk9 68%) |
Quick Hit: Justin Herbert ranked t-3rd in week 12 PATT (44) and is 3rd for the season. The Chargers fantasy tree is tight and narrow, leaving little to decipher when it comes to analyzing start/sit decisions. Ekeler continues to operate as the only fantasy-relevant RB for the Chargers, set it and forget-it. Keenan Allen has posted double digit PPR points in every game this season, set-it and forget-it. Mike Williams came crashing back down to earth following his 20 point outing in week 11. Mike’s healthy snap rate and consistent targets will continue to project him in the WR2/3 range, but his inconsistent production has proven to be risky business. Jared Cook’s declining snap and target rates will continue to keep him out of weekly TE1 projections. He is a low-end, touchdown dependent, TE streaming option.
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Cooper Kupp | 26% (wk11 BYE – wk10 31% – wk9 27%) | 100% (wk11 BYE – wk10 100% – wk9 100%) |
| Van Jefferson | 23% (wk11 BYE – wk10 17% – wk9 15%) | 98.4% (wk11 BYE – wk10 94.5% – wk9 96%) |
| Tyler Higbee | 13% (wk11 BYE – wk10 12% – wk9 21%) | 100% (wk11 BYE – wk10 98.2% – wk9 97%) |
| Darrell Henderson | 10% (wk11 BYE – wk10 14% – wk9 8%) | 80.6% (wk11 BYE – wk10 74.5% – wk9 60%) |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | 26% | 98.4% |
Quick Hit : Stafford ranked 9th in week 12 PATT (38) and is 7th for the season. Unfortunately, the BYE was not enough for Stafford and the Rams to get back on track. Hopefully a matchup against a bottom dwelling Jaguars is the correct formula to get the Rams heading in the right direction down the final stretch of the season. Darrel Henderson is the only relevant LAR fantasy back, for as long as Hendo suits up healthy on Sunday’s. Sony Michel’s value is purely as a handcuff. Hendo is reported to be dealing with a quad injury, but it is not expected to keep him out for week 13. Monitor the practice report, DH managers need to snag Michel for insurance. Hendo projects in the top 10 this week against Jacksonville, if he is able to suit up. We will continue to save word count on Kupp, set-it and forget-it. Beckham delivered in his first “real” game as a Ram, tying Kupp for the lead in targets and leading in fantasy points (19.1). We need to monitor how Jefferson and Beckham’s usage shakes out over the next couple of weeks. Beckham is a WR3/flex option and Jefferson is a WR3/4 this week. If Hendo is healthy, expect the Rams to lean on the run game against the Jags. The Rams have been playing catch up in most of their recent games, I do not believe we’ll see the high passing volume from the Rams this week against Jacksonville. Both Beckham and Jefferson are risky business starts. Higbee is a borderline TE1/2 option this week.
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Target Share | Snap share |
| Jaylen Waddle | 32% (wk11 26% – wk10 16.7% – wk9 23%) | 74% (wk11 76%- wk10 88.4% – wk9 88%) |
| Myles Gaskin | 6% (wk11 12% – wk10 5.6% – wk9 14%) | 50% (wk11 74% – wk10 60.9% – wk9 73%) |
| Mike Gesicki | 10% (wk11 18% – wk10 19.4% – wk9 19%) | 80% (wk11 71% – wk10 81.2% – wk9 80%) |
| Albert Wilson | 19% (wk11 12%- wk10 14% – wk9 5%) | 47% (wk11 53%- wk10 55.1% – wk9 22.7%) |
| Duram Smythe | 16% (wk11 15% – wk10 3% – wk9 5%) | 89% (wk11 71% – wk10 61% – wk9 61%) |
Quick Hit: Tua Tagovailoa ranked t-16th in week 12 PATT(31), in a 33-10 win over the Carolina Panthers. Gaskin managers need to be concerned of Phillip Lindsay’s immediate presence in the offense, following his arrival from Houston. Gaskin recorded a significant decrease in snaps, luckily for MG managers Lindsay failed to record a single target. Gaskin projects as a fringe RB1/2 this week against a Giants team that will be without starting QB Daniel Jones. Lindsay is only worth an add in extremely deep 12-14 team and larger fantasy formats. Phillip was on the field for only 20% of the Dolphins snaps. Waddle is the only fantasy relevant Dolphins wideout, and is a set-it and forget-it WR2 with weekly WR1 upside. Wilson has carved out a small role for himself in the offense, but it is not enough to consider rostering him in 12-team and smaller leagues. The recent emergence of Durham Smythe has forced Mike Gesicki to slide down into a weekly fringe TE1/2. Smythe’s recent string of double-digit TS is not enough to put him on streaming radar in single-TE leagues….yet.
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Adam Thielen | 21% (wk11 29% – wk10 19% – wk9 25%) | 98% (wk11 97% – wk10 89.9% – wk9 87%) |
| Justin Jefferson | 27% (wk11 29% – wk10 30% – wk9 18%) | 94% (wk11 93% – wk10 75.9% – wk9 78%) |
| K.J. Osborn | 6% (wk11 11%- wk10 3% – wk9 7%) | 56% (wk11 53% – wk10 51.9% – wk9 47%) |
| Dalvin Cook | 21% (wk11 11% – wk10 14% – wk9 11%) | 54% (wk11 78% – wk10 82.3% – wk9 78%) |
| Tyler Conklin | 9% (wk11 9%- wk10 14% – wk9 25%) | 81% (wk11 82% – wk10 84.8% – wk9 85%) |
Quick Hit: Kirk Cousins ranked t-13th in week 12 PATT (32) and is 6th for the season. Alexander Mattison was the top waiver priority for week 13, with Cook’s immediate availability in serious question after suffering a shoulder injury in week 12. Mattison is a fully capable replacement for Cook and should be fired up as a RB2 with RB1 upside this week against Detroit. In an offense that ranks top 6 in passing volume, Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen are set-it and forget-it fantasy wideouts. Tyler Conklin‘s recent slip in usage has him just outside of the weekly TE1 conversation. It is hard to project Conklin higher than a top-end TE2 with Jefferson and Thielen operating as the clear cut 1st and 2nd options for Cousins. Rudy projects Conklin as his TE15 this week.
New England Patriots
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Jakobi Meyers | 25% (wk11 23% – wk10 15.4% – wk9 22.2%) | 87% (wk11 89% – wk10 71.6% – wk9 88.7%) |
| Nelson Agholor | 9% (wk11 19% – wk10 15.4% – wk9 0%) | 83% (wk11 78% – wk10 70.1% – wk9 87.1%) |
| Jonnu Smith | 13% (wk11 8% – wk10 OUT – wk9 11.1%) | 57% (wk11 52% – wk10 OUT – wk9 45.2%) |
| Hunter Henry | 16% (wk11 12% – wk10 15.4% – wk9 16.7%) | 68% (wk11 51% – wk10 82.1% – wk9 56.5%) |
| Kendrick Bourne | 19% (wk11 15% – wk10 15.4% – wk9 22.2%) | 55% (wk11 46% – wk10 43.3% – wk9 53.2%) |
| Brandon Bolden | 13% (wk11 8% – wk10 11.5% – wk9 11.1%) | 32% (wk11 27%- wk10 26.9% – wk9 46.8%) |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 3% (wk11 4% – wk10 19.2% – wk9 11%) | 33% (wk11 35% – wk10 55.4% – wk9 27%) |
| Damien Harris | 4% (wk11 3% – wk10 OUT – wk9 6%) | 37% (wk11 40% – wk10 OUT – wk9 39%) |
Quick Hit: Mac Jones ranked t-13th in week 12 PATT (32) and is 12th for the season. Damien Harris has 7 tuddies over his last 8 games, and has 6 double-digit fantasy outings out of his last 7 games. Unfortunately his snaps have taken a nose dive with all three Pats RBs healthy. Bolden is the only back recording any level of consistent receiving work, but his snaps make him risky business and only relevant in deeper 12-team or larger fantasy formats. It is tough to make a case for hanging on to Stevenson in 12-team and smaller fantasy formats, with the trio of backs healthy. But he is a premium handcuff that has shown to produce when either Harris or Bolden are inactive. He is worth keeping as a bench warmer for those managers desperate for RB depth. Meyers recorded his second game this season over 90 yards, and 2nd game in three weeks over 14 PPR points. He continues to record the most consistent target and snap rate of all the Pats wideouts, but the wide distribution of targets from Mac Jones keeps Meyer’s in the weekly WR3/4 conversation. Bourne continues to flash, with two games out of his last three over 23 PPR points. His low slap rate will limit him to a borderline fools-gold/risky business play. But the steady 3-week climb in snaps and targets, should put him on the radar in 12-team and larger fantasy formats. Agholor cannot be trusted near fantasy lineups, keep him on waivers. With Jonnu Smith back in action, both he and Henry will continue to limit each others upside. Both are irrelevant in single-TE leagues.
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Alvin Kamara | OUT (wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT – wk9 16.3%) | OUT (wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT – wk9 68.4%) |
| Marquez Callaway | 13% (wk11 10% – wk10 11% – wk9 14%) | 60% (wk11 78% – wk10 77.6% – wk9 78.9%) |
| Tre’Quan Smith | 17% (wk11 20% – wk10 19% – wk9 9.3%) | 79% (wk11 97% – wk10 91% – wk9 80.3%) |
| Deonte Harris | 17% (wk11 13% – wk10 11% – wk9 18.6%) |
40% (wk11 42% – wk10 38.8% – wk9 30.3%) |
| Mark Ingram | OUT (wk11 20% – wk10 19% – wk9 11.6%) | OUT (wk11 73% – wk10 85.1% – wk9 34.2%) |
Quick Hit: Trevor Siemian ranked t-20th in week 12 PATT (29), and is expected to lose his starting job this week. TY Montgomery did record a team high 23% TS, with Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram sidelined in week 12. Both backs are expected to return to action on Thursday Night, keep Ty Montgomery on waivers. The rumbling on the streets in New Orleans point to Taysom Hill getting the nod at QB following the failed Trevor Siemien experiment. Tre’Quan Smith has emerged as the lead wideout for the Saints, but the NO passing game and offense as a whole is too volatile to trust near fantasy lineups. Tre’Quan Smith is the highest projected Saints WR and is only worth consideration in deep 12-team or larger fantasy leagues. Rudy projects him outside the top 40 WRs for week 13. The Saints TE room became irrelevant for fantasy when Adam Trautman was sent to IR, look elsewhere for streaming options.
New York Giants
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Kenny Golladay | 23% (wk11 5% – wk10 BYE – wk9 10%) | 77% (wk11 76% – wk10 BYE – wk9 55.4%) |
| Darius Slayton | 13% (wk11 18% – wk10 BYE – wk9 5%) | 73% (wk11 59% – wk10 BYE – wk9 55.4%) |
| Evan Engram | 20% (wk11 13% – wk10 BYE – wk9 15%) | 90% (wk11 90% – wk10 BYE – wk9 82.1% – wk8 80%) |
| Kadarius Toney | OUT (wk11 31% – wk10 BYE – wk9 5%) | OUT (wk11 60% – wk10 BYE – wk9 55.4%) |
| Saquon Barkley | 17% (wk11 15%) | 87% (wk11 62%) |
Quick Hit: Daniel Jones ranked 19th in week 12 PATT(30) and is 17th for the season. Saquon Barkley’s week 12 SS and second week over 15% TS indicates SB is ready to take on a full workload. He is a RB2 play this week against Miami. Barkley managers need to scoop up Booker, if league-mates bail on him now that his production and snaps have bottomed out with Barkley back in action. Daniel Jones is doubtful for Sunday’s game against Miami. I do not know who to trust at wideout for the Giants this week. Shepard has a chance of returning to action in week 13, and Toney will need to find the practice field this week in order to play. Golladay recorded elite level TS, but was only able to haul in 3 of his 7 targets for 8 PPR points. Rudy projects Golladay outside of the top 50 fantasy WRs this week. Hopefully you can afford to keep any Giants wideouts on your bench this week (or waivers), with Mike Glennon expected to start and a matchup against a Miami defense that has been tough in recent weeks. If Shepard is able to suit up and be a full go, he is a WR2/3 streaming option this week. Downgrade Engram to a fringe TE1/2 with Glennon under center.
New York Jets
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Jamison Crowder | 4% (wk11 18% – wk10 13% – wk9 13.5%) | 50% (wk11 68% – wk10 83.1% – wk9 79.2%) |
| Corey Davis | OUT (wk11 18%- wk10 15% – wk9 OUT) | OUT (wk11 93% – wk10 84.4% – wk9 OUT) |
| Keelan Cole | 8% (wk11 3% – wk10 11% – wk9 15.4%) | 97% (wk11 22%- wk10 41.6% – wk9 49.4%) |
| Elijah Moore | 33% (wk11 28% – wk10 13% – wk9 15.4%) | 89% (wk11 80% – wk10 55.8% – wk9 59.7%) |
| Ty Johnson | 4% (wk11 3% – wk10 17% – wk9 5.8%) | 35% (wk11 33% – wk10 32.5% – wk9 41.6%) |
| Tevin Coleman | 13% (wk11 3% – wk10 6%) | 45% (wk11 33% – wk10 45%) |
| Ryan Griffin | 17% (wk11 10% – wk10 4% – wk9 13.5%) | 85% (wk11 78% – wk10 71.4% – wk9 62.3%) |
Quick Hits: Zach Wilson ranked t-26th in week 12 PATT (24) in his first game back in action since week 7. Ty Johnson’s snaps have failed to rise with Michael Carter sidelined. Tevin Coleman and Austin Waller have entered the conversation making all Jets RBs waiver material in most 12-team and smaller fantasy formats. RB desperate managers in larger formats can consider Coleman as a RB3/Flex streaming option this week against Philly. Tevin has operated as the RB1 for the Jets since Carter was sent to IR. Elijah Moore is the only Jets wideout worth spending word count on. The rookie wideout has dominated the Jets targets in recent weeks, posting double digit fantasy outings in 5 out of his last 6 games. Moore is a WR3/Flex play this week. Outside of Moore, the inconsistent and diluted WR targets make all pass catching options for the Jets a risky business proposition for fantasy managers. Keenan Cole will miss week 13 on the COVID list, Denzel Mims was activated from the COVID list, and Corey Davis has a long shot of playing this week. Let your league-mates play with that fire. Ryan Griffin has posted 3 double-digit TS games in 3 out of his last 4 games. He gets a matchup against an Eagles defense surrendering the most fantasy point to opposing TE’s. Griffin is a dart throw streaming option in deeper fantasy formats.
Philadelphia Eagles
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| DeVonta Smith | 13% (wk11 25% – wk10 26% – wk9 35%) | 91% (wk11 92% – wk10 84.4% – wk9 77%) |
| Jalen Reagor | 23% (wk11 13% – wk10 9% – wk9 6%) | 67% (wk11 71% – wk10 78.1% – wk9 51%) |
| Dallas Goedert | 10% (wk11 33% – wk10 9% – wk9 35%) | 96% (wk11 96%- wk10 20.3% – wk9 93%) |
| Quez Watkins | 16% (wk11 4% – wk10 26% – wk9 18%) | 82% (wk11 82% – wk10 89.1% – wk9 96%) |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 13% (wk11 0% – wk10 4% – wk9 0%) | 16% (wk11 0%- wk10 31.2% – wk9 19%) |
| Boston Scott | 10% (wk11 8% – wk10 9% – wk9 0%) | 51% (wk11 37% – wk10 31.2% – wk9 44%) |
| Miles Sanders | 3% (wk11 4%) | 46% (wk11 33%) |
Quick Hit: Jalen Hurts ranked t-16th in week 12 PATT (31) and is 19th for the season. Sanders’ lack of usage in the passing game limits his weekly projections in the RB3 range, but Miles would receive a boost if Boston Scott is unable to overcome his “non-covid” illness for week 13 against the Jets. Jordan Howard is doubtful for another week. Kenny Gainwell would enter the RB3/4 streaming option in larger PPR formats if Scott is unable to get well. Devonta Smith continues to be the only fantasy WR for this Eagles team that we can rely on consistent usage. Unfortunately, Smith is dealing with his own “non-covid” illness this week and his status needs be monitored. View Smith as a WR3/flex option if he is able to suit up. Former first rounder Jalen Reagor recorded his largest TS of the season, but failed to do anything with it – hauling in only 2 passes on 7 targets and dropping two potential game winning TDs. I wouldn’t trust neither Reagor nor Watkins as streaming options if Smith is unable to suit up. With questionable designations around multiple Philly skill players, expect a big bounce back game from Goedert this week. Despite a down game in week 12, he is a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE1 against the Jets.
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Diontae Johnson | 34% (wk11 30% – wk10 26% – wk9 20%) | 98% (wk11 91% – wk10 85.1% – wk9 90%) |
| Chase Claypool | 20% (wk11 20% – wk10 OUT – wk9 17%) | 98% (wk11 91% – wk10 OUT – wk9 81%) |
| Najee Harris | 12% (wk11 14% – wk10 8% – wk9 10%) | 58% (wk11 75% – wk10 87.4% – wk9 82%) |
| Pat Freiermuth | 10% (wk11 16% – wk10 18% – wk9 20%) | 76% (wk11 57% – wk10 62.1% – wk9 71%) |
Quick Hit: Ben Roethlisberger ranked 6th in week 12 PATT (41). Najee Harris recorded his first single-digit fantasy performance since, all the way back in, week 1. The game got out of hand quickly for Ben against the Bengals, forcing the Steelers to abandon their run first tendencies. Harris projects as a back-end RB1 this week against the Ravens. Diontae Johnson is on a tear since PITs week 7 BYE, ripping off 5 games in a row of elite TS, he is a top 5 fantasy wideout for week 12. Claypool is an upside WR3/flex option after recording back-to-back games of 20% TS. Pat Freiermuth has 5 double digit fantasy outings out of his last 6 games. Despite the declining target rate in recent weeks, Pat is a back end TE1 against a Ravens defense surrounding the 4th most fantasy points to opposing TEs.
San Francisco 49ers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Deebo Samuel | 15% (wk11 9% – wk10 26% – wk9 23%) | 66% (wk11 80% – wk10 72.1% – wk9 92%) |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 23% (wk11 32% – wk10 21% – wk9 20%) | 90% (wk11 93% – wk10 89.7% – wk9 93%) |
| Elijah Mitchell | 23% (wk11 OUT – wk10 0% – wk9 13%) | 70% (wk11 OUT – wk10 52.9% – wk9 66%) |
| George Kittle | 8% (wk11 18% – wk10 37% – wk9 20%) | 93% (wk11 83% – wk10 76.5% – wk9 73%) |
Quick Hit: Jimmy G ranked t-23rd in week 12 PATT (XX) and is 21st for the season. Elijah Mitchell is back to his lead back duties for the 49ers after missing week 11. He should be viewed as a high-end RB2 with weekly RB1 upside. Deebo Samuel seems to have avoided a serious long-term injury, but his availability for the next two weeks is doubtful (groin). Aiyuk’s usage has been trending up in recent weeks, and he will have an opportunity to operate as the WR1 for San Fran with Deebo sidelined. Expect Shanahan to lean on the run game and Kittle, but Aiyuk is a WR2 with WR1 upside against the Seahawks. Jauan Jennings will get votes as a streaming option this week in 14-team and larger fantasy formats. He projects outside the top 50 WRs for week 12.
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| DK Metcalf | 13% (wk11 31% – wk10 20% – wk9 BYE) | 96% (wk11 92% – wk10 73.8% – wk9 BYE) |
| Tyler Lockett | 16% (wk11 19% – wk10 20% – wk9 BYE) | 100% (wk11 92% – wk10 95.1% – wk9 BYE) |
| Gerald Everett | 29% (wk11 15% – wk10 20% – wk9 BYE) | 80% (wk11 86% – wk10 75.4% – wk9 BYE) |
Quick Hit: Russell Wilson ranked t-16th in week 12 PATT (31). Yikes, can someone explain to me what is happening in Seattle. Probably a lot of sleepless nights for Wilson and the ‘Hawks…The running game has been non-existent in the passing game, keeping all backs off the Target Report. Deejay Dallas did lead the team in RB SS (61%) and TS (16%), but he projects outside the top 70 RBs this week. He’s only worth a stash in the larger fantasy formats. We have to trust the process and keep firing up Metcalf and Lockett as upside WR2’s, hoping Wilson is able to get back in his groove. You would have to have a stacked WR roster to consider benching either wideout. TE Gerald Everett’s targets and snaps have stabilized into a healthy range over the last couple of weeks, putting him in the fringe TE1/2 streaming conversation. He should be rostered in most fantasy formats.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Chris Godwin | 15% (wk11 13% – wk10 24% – wk9 BYE) | 97% (wk11 78% – wk10 95.8% – wk9 BYE) |
| Leonard Fournette | 24% (wk11 13% – wk10 26% – wk9 BYE) | 81% (wk11 58% – wk10 64.6% – wk9 BYE) |
| Mike Evans | 15% (wk11 23% – wk10 9% – wk9 BYE) | 99% (wk11 81% – wk10 64.6% – wk9 BYE) |
| Rob Gronkowski | 29% (wk11 17%) | 82% (wk11 58%) |
Quick Hit: Tom Brady ranked 12th in week 12 PATT (34) and is 4th overall for the season. Leonard Fournette continues to operate as the undisputed RB1 in this offense, dominating both the ground and receiving work – set-it and forget-it. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin continue to operate as set-it and forget-it fantasy WRs, despite a ‘down’ for the Bucs passing game. Both should be viewed as high upside WR2 this week against a Falcons defense surrendering the 10th most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. Gronk is back to his early season usage, and projects as the overall TE2 against Atlanta.
Tennesse Titans
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| A.J. Brown | OUT (wk11 17% – wk10 15% – wk9 40.7%) | OUT (wk11 53% – wk10 81.7% 0 wk9 77.6%) |
| Geoff Swaim | 4.8% (wk11 OUT – wk10 19% – wk9 15%) | 73% (wk11 – wk10 66.7% – wk9 72.4%) |
| Dontrell Hillard | 9.5% (wk11 19%) | 50.8% (wk11 64%) |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 23.8% (wk11 15% – wk10 4% – wk9 4%) | 82.5% (wk11 68% – wk10 36% – wk9 38%) |
Quick Hit: (BYE) Ryan Tannehill ranked XXX in week 12 PATT (21) and is XXX for the season. Both Dontrell Hilliard and D’Onta Foreman rewarded fantasy managers that, either by choice or force, decided to fire up either back as a streaming option in week 12. The Titans coaching staff have held true to their running identity, despite King Henry on IR. Both backs will continue to RB3/flex options, with Hilliard ranking slightly ahead due to his role in the passing game. Both are worth holding through the Titans BYE week for those managers desperate at the RB position. For now, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has emerged as the primary wideout for Tannehill with both Julio Jones and AJ Brown on IR. In a low volume passing offense, he’s a risky business WR3/4 and only a bench stash for those WR needy fantasy mangers in 12-team and larger formats while the Titans are on BYE. This Tennessee offense has struggled to produce a reliable secondary fantasy pass catching option all season, we’ll save word count on any other TEN pass catcher.
Washington Football Team
| Player | Target Share | Snap Share |
| Terry McLaurin | 30% (wk11 32% – wk10 25% – wk9 BYE) | 92% (wk11 94% – wk10 95.9% – wk9 BYE) |
| JD McKissic | 14% (wk11 9% – wk10 13% – wk9 BYE) | 40% (wk11 47% – wk10 38.4% – wk9 BYE) |
| DeAndre Carter | 14% (wk11 14% – wk10 19% – wk9 BYE) | 73% (wk11 76% – wk10 67.1% – wk9 BYE) |
| Logan Thomas | 17% | 80% |
Quick Hit: Taylor Heinicke ranked 11th in week 12 PATT (35) and is 15th for the season. Antonio Gibson’s shin issue seems to be well behind him. AG dominated the ground and passing work (20% TS) in week 12. Gibby will get an additional boost in usage with McKissic doubtful for week 13. Gibson is a back end RB1 against Vegas. McLaurin continues his set-it and forget-it WR2 campaign, and should get a bounce back in week 12 against the Raiders. Deandre Carter’s usage has remained consistent since the Football Team’s week 9 BYE, and he has 3 tuddies in last 4 games. Despite the healthy usage, Carter is not worth rostering in most 12-team and smaller fantasy formats. He projects outside the top 100 WRs, but is a streaming option in larger fantasy formats. Logan Thomas started to warm up down the stretch on MNF, but he needs at least another week over 15% TS before we can consider him a weekly TE1 option. He’s worth a bench spot for those managers lacking TE production, and can be viewed as a high end TE2 this week.
