Weekly Refresh 

Taking inventory of target share (TS) and snap share (SS) data is a critical tool to help with start-sit decisions, and provide a framework for buy-low/sell-high trade candidates. Every Wednesday the Target Report will highlight key TS/SS data and takeaways from the weekend. Keep in mind this is one data point to reference when making weekly lineup decisions. Utilizing all of Razzball’s tools will help complete the decisions making process each week. 

Success in fantasy football is built around opportunity, especially consistent opportunity. Don’t get caught up only chasing fantasy points. Peyton Manning focused more on what happened between endzones versus what transpired on the scoreboard. It is important not to overreact to a poor fantasy outing when the usage is still there. Or overreact to a fantasy explosion for a player that barely found the field or was barely targeted in the game. Trust the data and trust the process…

Exhibit-A: Antonio Brown created a fantasy frenzy following his opening night fantasy outing (23.7 PPR points) in week 1. After looking under the hood, Mike Evans and AB were nearly equal in targets (AB-7  ME-6). But Evans dominated AB in week 1 snap share, 93.8% to 64.%. This does not mean AB had zero chance of repeating or outperforming Evans in week 2. The numbers suggested Evans had a better chance of rebounding from week 1 than Antonio Brown had to repeat his performance (all things equal).

If you are new to target share (TS) data, below is a breakdown of my TS tiers. 

  • Set-it and forget-it : Target share > (greater than) 20%. Any pass catcher receiving over 20% TS should remain in lineups, even following an off-week in fantasy production. I consider any player over 25% TS an elite fantasy asset.
  • I like you, but don’t love you range:  Target share 15-19%. We should feel confident leaving these players in a 2nd or 3rd WR/RB or flex spot. Depending on the offense, this might be the highest range we see a player in a run-heavy scheme (i.e. week 1 Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns). 15% TS is my “Mason-Dixon line” when it comes to fantasy assets that I am interested in rostering or not. 
  • Risky Business: Target share 10-14%. You will see players in this range pop in fantasy production, but don’t be fooled into relying on consistent weekly production. These players are viable options when our rosters are thin with BYE weeks or have multiple players out with injuries. Low-end fantasy relevant TE’s usually fall in this range. 
  • Fool’s Gold: Target share < (less than) 10%. Leave these players on the waivers. Let your ill-informed league-mates waste precious waivers claims and FAAB $$ OR use these players as trade bait. We will not waste word count on these players in the weekly target report. We can have a player in this range produce for one week, but I would not trust them in any lineup. Only for the deepest of leagues or desperate of plays. 

Another data point referenced weekly in the Target Report is snap share (SS). This represents the percentage of offensive snaps the player was on the field. Taking note of SS trends will assist us in identifying players that are worth putting in waiver claims for or to drop. 

Arizona Cardinals

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeAndre Hopkins 13% (wk12 BYE – wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT) 74% (wk12 BYE – wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT)
A.J. Green 7% (wk12 BYE – wk11 16% – wk10 17.2%) 68% (wk12 BYE – wk11 69% – wk10 69.1%)
Christian Kirk 20% (wk12 BYE – wk11 11% – wk10 27.6%) 60% (wk12 BYE – wk11 73% – wk10 85.5%)
Rondale Moore 13% (wk12 BYE – wk11 25% – wk10 13.8%) 43% (wk12 BYE – wk11 39% – wk10 32.7%)
Zach Ertz 13% (wk12 BYE – wk11 20% – wk10 20.7%) 77% (wk12 BYE – wk11 76% – wk10 81.8%)
James Conner 13% (wk12 BYE – wk11 14% – wk10 13.8%) 91% (wk12 BYE – wk11 81% – wk10 81.8%)

Quick Hit: In his first game action since week 8Kyler Murray ranked 26th in week 13 PATT(15). The Cardinals are nearing full strength, as they head down the final stretch of the season. James Conner continues to operate as a bell-cow back with Chase Edmonds on IR. There is a chase Edmonds returns to action in week 14, but expect a limited role in his first game back. Conner is a set-it and forget-it RB1 until Edmonds returns from injury. Keep an eye on Edmonds’ practice activity this week. Kirk led the Cardinals’ receiving room with only 3 targets, while Kyler dominated the Bears with his feet. Murray’s low passing volume in week 13 left much to be desired for fantasy managers. The Cardinals will need to pass more in a competitive matchup against the Rams, which carries Vegas’ second-highest projected point total in week 14. Hopkins is an upside WR2 in his second game back. Christian Kirk averaged 13 PPR points per game in Kyler Murray’s first 8 starts this season. Kirk is an upside WR3/flex option this week. Moore’s low snap rate can’t be trusted in 12-team and smaller fantasy formats. AJ Green’s volatile target rate should keep him on waivers in most 12-team fantasy formats. It is hard to view Ertz as more than a two-TE league streaming option. He is the 3-4th receiving option for the Cardinals. Zach is a risky business option in single-TE leagues. 

Atlanta Falcons

Player Target Share Snap Share
Kyle Pitts 17% (wk12 21% – wk11 16% – wk10 25.9%) 94% (wk12 78% – wk11 81% – wk10 61.1%)
Mike Davis 10% (wk12 14% – wk11 13% – wk10 3.7%)  54% (wk12 50% – wk11 48% – wk10 37%)
Cordarrelle Patterson 12% (wk12 10% – wk11 OUT – wk10 7.4%) 48% (wk12 48% – wk11 OUT – wk10 27.8%)
Russell Gage 29% (wk12 24% – wk11 25% – wk10 11.1%) 75% (wk12 77% – wk11 74% – wk10 64.8%)
Tajae Sharpe 12% (wk12 10% – wk11 13% – wk10 3.7%)  76% (wk12 77% – wk11 69% – wk10 57.4%)
Olamide Zaccheaus 12% (wk12 7% – wk11 16% – wk10 25.9%) 61% (wk12 50% – wk11 46% – wk10 42.6%)

Quick Hit: Matt Ryan ranked t-3rd in week 13 PATT (41) and is t-9th for the season. Despite trailing Mike Davis’ fantasy production in week 13, Cordarrelle Patterson still held onto his hybrid-RB1 role for the Falcons. CP handled the majority of carries and led Davis by 1 target. Mike Davis’ 16.9 PPR outing is fools gold, week 8 was his last double-digit PPR game. Mike is a low-end RB3/flex option against a Panthers defense surrendering the 2nd fewest fantasy points to running backs. Patterson projects as a high-end RB2, he is a focal point for Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense. Russell Gage strung together his third consecutive elite TS game. Gage is flirting with weekly WR3/flex status, after posting 18.2 PPR points in week 12 and 22 points in week 23. Keep the rest of the Falcons wideouts on waivers. Pitts is a bet on volume top 5 fantasy TE this week, he continues to operate as a primary receiving option for Matt Ryan

Baltimore Ravens

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marquise Brown 19% (wk12 31% – wk11 OUT – wk10 30.2%) 88% (wk12 76% – OUT wk10 75.3%)
Sammy Watkins 16% (wk12 3% – wk11 11% – wk10 7%) 47% (wk12 44% – wk11 74% – wk10 31.5%)
Mark Andrews 24% (wk12 31% – wk11 28% – wk10 18.6%) 68% (wk12 69% – wk11 72% – wk10 78.1%)
Rashod Bateman 3% (wk12 13% – wk11 17% – wk10 18.6%) 45% (wk12 45% – wk11 70% – wk10 55.4%)

Quick Hit Lamar Jackson ranked t-15th in week 13 PATT(37) and is 19th for the season. Week 13 was Devonta Freeman’s second double-digit TS game this season. Freeman led the Ravens receiving core in targets with 8, and only trailed Mark Andrews by one target. He has established himself as the Ravens RB1, and projects as a back-end RB2 against Cleveland in week 14. His weekly upside is limited with, arguably, the league’s most dynamic dual-threat QB under center. Hollywood Brown continues to operate as the undisputed WR1 for LJax, and is an upside WR2 this week. With Devin Duvernay and Sammy Watkins competing for targets, albeit minimal looks, Bateman’s fantasy value has gone down the drain. Bateman is waiver material in 12-team and smaller formats. Despite a down week, Andrews continues to operate as a set-it and forget-it fantasy TE. His 9 point PPR outing in week 13 was an end to a three-game streak over 15 PPR points. Look for a bounce-back this week against Cleveland. Andrews recorded, an elite, 10 targets in the Ravens week 12 matchup against the Browns – posting 4 catches for 65 yards and a tuddie (16.5 PPR points). 

Buffalo Bills

Player Target Share Snap Share
Stefon Diggs  23% (wk12 32% – wk11 15% – wk10 48.1%) 95% (wk12 82% – wk11 78% – wk10 79.3%)
Cole Beasley 10% (wk12 18% – wk11 13% – wk10 7.4%) 69% (wk12 70% – wk11 58% – wk10 15.5%)
Emmanuel Sanders 20%  (wk12 11% – wk11 13% – wk10 7.4%) 79% (wk12 77% – wk11 80 – wk10 60.3%)
Zack Moss 10% (wk12 OUT – wk10 0%) 41% (wk12 OUT – wk10 48.3%)
Gabriel Davis 13% (wk12 11% – wk11 10% – wk10 11.1%)  28% (wk12 42% – wk11 35% – wk10 51.7%)
Devin Singletary 0% (wk12 4% – wk11 10% – wk10 3.7%) 48% (wk12 68% – wk11 38% wk10 37.9%)
Dawson Knox 20% (wk12 11% – wk11 25% – wk10 3.7%) 97% (wk12 91% – wk11 100% – wk10 84.5%)
Matt Breida 3% (wk12 7% – wk11 5% – wk10 11%) 12% (wk12 32% – wk11 33% – wk10 14%)

Quick Hit: Josh Allen ranked t-19th in week 13 PATT(30) and is 6th for the season. Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, and Matt Breida operate as a, dreaded, running back by committee. It was Zack Moss that led in RB red zone carries and targets in week 13. Singletary projects as a low-end RB3/flex option, while Moss and Breida both project outside the top 40 RBs this week. Diggs is a set-it and forget-it fantasy WR. Sanders continues to operate as the WR2 in snaps behind Diggs, but his inconsistent TS will make it hard to trust him on a weekly basis. Both Sanders and Beasley are risky business WR3/WR4 options against the Bucs in week 14. Knox’ targets have bounced back to his pre-injury range, and he has re-entered the weekly TE1 conversation. 

Carolina Panthers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chuba Hubbard BYE (wk12 3.2% – wk11 0% – wk10 0%) BYE (wk12 20% – wk11 2% – wk10 21.3%)
DJ Moore BYE (wk12 32.3% – wk11 26% – wk10 21.2%) BYE (wk12 96.4% – wk11 94% – wk10 78.7%)
Robby Anderson BYE (wk12 12.9% – wk11 22% – wk10 18.2%)  BYE (wk12 92.7% – wk11 92% – wk10 68%)
Ameer Abdullah BYE (wk12 19.4% – wk11 0% – wk10 12%) BYE (wk12 49.1% – wk11 16% – wk10 22%)

Quick Hit: The Panthers come out of their week 13 BYE with CMC and Sam Darnold on IR, and hope that Cam Newton can rekindle some of his “I’m back” magic. A few notes to revisit as Carolina heads into their week 14 matchup against the Falcons…Newton was benched late in week 12 against Miami after an extremely poor performance, but HC Matt Rhule already named Newton the starter for week 14. Carolina’s fantasy tree is limited to DJ Moore and Chuba Hubbard. Hopefully you were able to snag Hubbard during the BYE OR had a bench deep enough to hold him while CMC was back in action. He’ll be a popular streaming option against Atlanta. During weeks 3 – 8 (beginning when CMC got hurt),  Hubbard averaged 12.6 PPR fantasy points per game and 3.8 targets per game. Chuba gets a week 14 matchup against a Falcons team surrendering the 7th most fantasy points to running backs. With Cam Newton operating as the goal-line ‘back,’ Hubbard’s touchdown upside will be limited. Chuba’s fantasy production during weeks 3-8 did not rely heavily on touchdowns – only scoring 2 tuddies while operating as the starter. Ameer Abdullah emerged as the passing down back for the Panthers in recent weeks, but his snaps would need to increase and usage remain consistent to be worth rostering in 12-team formats. Ameer did record the biggest uptick in RB snaps following CMC’s exit in week 12, and has received over 12% TS in 4 out of his last 5 games. Abdullah is worth a stash for those in deeper fantasy formats that are desperate for running back depth. DJ Moore is the only CAR pass catcher worth spending word count. Following Darnold’s week 9 exit, Moore is averaging an elite 8 targets per game with Newton and PJ Walker operating under center. DJ is a, bet on volume, fringe WR1/2 this week against Atlanta. 

Chicago Bears

Player Target Share Snap Share
Darnell Mooney 17% (wk12 21% – wk11 47% – wk10 BYE) 96% (wk12 87% – wk11 93% – wk10 BYE)
Cole Kmet 17% (wk12 28% – wk11 6% – wk10 BYE) 73% (wk12 86% – wk11 91% – wk10 BYE)
David Montgomery 22% (wk12 8% – wk11 3% – wk10 BYE) 71% (wk12 84% – wk11 97% – wk10 BYE)
Jimmy Graham 2% (wk12 8% – wk11 9% – wk10 BYE) 28% (wk12 20% – wk11 21% – wk10 BYE)
Jakeem Grant 17% (wk12 10% – wk11 3%) 64% (wk12 27% – wk11 14%)

Quick Hit: In his third game subbing in for Justin Fields, Andy Dalton ranked t-3rd in week 13 PATT(41). Fields’ status is still in question heading into week 14. David Montgomery dominated the Bears’ backfield usage for the 4th game in a row. Monty gets a tough week 14 matchup against a hot Packers defense, but the usage projects him as an RB2. Mooney recorded his lowest target rate since week 7 but should have a bounce-back against Green Bay. Darnell posted 5 catches for 45 yards and a tuddie for 15.5 PPR points in his week 6 matchup against the Pack. He is a fringe WR2/3 flex option this week. Damiere Byrd and Jakheem Grant crept over 10% TS for the second time this season with Robinson and Goodwin sidelined. It was Grant that was able to cash in against Arizona. Unfortunately, the Bears passing game leaves much to be desired for reliable fantasy production. With Robinson and Goodwin possibly returning to action in week 14, keep the rest of this crew (outside of Mooney) on waivers. Cole Kmet is only an option in two-TE leagues. 

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Target Share Snap Share
Ja’Marr Chase 20% (wk12 12% – wk11 21% – wk10 BYE) 100% (wk12 76% – wk11 93% wk10 BYE)
Tee Higgins 35% (wk12 32% – wk11 10% – wk10 BYE) 82% (wk12 63% – wk11 81% – wk10 BYE)
Joe Mixon 3% (wk12 16% – wk11 0% – wk10 BYE) 68% (wk12 72% – wk11 73% wk10 BYE)
Tyler Boyd 18% (wk12 8% – wk11 28% – wk10 BYE) 78% (wk12 76% – wk11 71% – wk10 BYE)
C.J. Uzomah 15% (wk12 12% – wk11 10% – wk10 BYE) 90% (wk12 66% – wk11 74% – wk10 BYE)

Quick Hit: Joe Burrow ranked t-8th in week 13 PATT(40) and is 17th for the season. Despite falling in an early hole against the Chargers, neither Bengals RB was a factor in the passing game. Joe Mixon recorded his first single-digit PPR game since week 2, expect a bounce back from Mixon in week 14. Rudy projects Mixon as his RB11 this week against the 49ers. Mixon managers should grab Samaje Perine as insurance heading into the fantasy playoffs. Mixon exited week 13 with a shoulder injury, but was able to finish the game. Mixon’s availability is not a concern…yet. Perine has proven to be a premium handcuff. Barring any injury to Chase or Higgins, Tyler Boyd will continue to play third fiddle in the passing game. Chase and Higgins are high-end WR2’s, with weekly WR1 upside. It hard to project Boyd more than a risky business WR3/WR4, a low end flex option in 12 team leagues. Uzomah continues to jockey as the 4th receiving option in Cincinnati and is only valuable in two-TE fantasy leagues.

Cleveland Browns

Player Target Share Snap Share
Austin Hooper BYE (wk12 8.1% – wk11 24% – wk10 15.2%) BYE (wk12 90% – wk11 65% – wk10 62.7% – wk9 72.9%)
David Njoku  BYE (wk12 13.5% – wk11 14% – wk10 12.1%) BYE (wk12 71.7% – wk11 64% – wk10 59.3%)
Jarvis Landry BYE (wk12 27% – wk11 28% – wk10 15.2%) BYE (wk12 93.3% – wk11 65% – wk10 79.7%)
Donovan Peoples-Jones BYE (wk12 13.5% – wk11 OUT – wk10 15.2%) BYE (wk12 75% – wk11 OUT – wk10 84.7%)

Quick Hit: A few notes to revisit as the Browns come out of their week 13 BYE…Chubb reached 10% TS in week 12, while no other Browns running back exceeded a single target. It was only Chubb’s second double-digit TS game this season. Hunt failed to record more than 1 target in his first game back from injury, but look for his role to trend towards his early-season usage. With Chubb and Hunt working their way back to full strength, D’Ernest Johnson is not worth rostering in 12-team and smaller fantasy formats. Jarvis Landry is the only CLE pass catcher worth discussing. Jarvis has recorded elite-level TS in 5 out of his last 6 games. Despite operating as the undisputed WR1 for Baker, the Browns’ run-first tendencies limit the overall upside for Landry – limiting him to the weekly WR2/3 conversation. Despite reaching over 13% TS in his last three games, Donovan Peoples-Jones has 1 double-digit PPR game to show for it. It is hard to make a case for holding DPJ on rosters in 12-team and smaller leagues. The run-first Browns have failed to support more than 1 relevant pass catcher on any given week. DPJ is a risky business stash for WR-needy teams in deeper formats. Njoku and Hooper continue to be ‘fools gold’ fantasy assets in single-TE leagues. Over their last 7 games combined, Njoku and Hooper have only two double-digit PPR games since week 6. Both will enter the week 14 streaming conversation for their matchup against Baltimore. The Ravens are surrendering the 4th most fantasy points to the TE position. Njoku tied for the team lead in targets and scored a tuddie against the Ravens in week 12, but is likely to miss week 14 on the COVID list. Both project outside the top 12 fantasy TE’s this week, but Hooper makes a case for an interesting streaming and DFS option given the matchup and Njoku’s status. 

Dallas Cowboys

Player Target Share Snap Share
Amari Cooper 5% (wk12 OUT – wk11 OUT – wk10 11.8%) 34.3% (wk12 OUT – wk11 OUT – wk10 66.2%)
CeeDee Lamb  32.5% (wk12 OUT – wk11 9% – wk10 20.5%) 88.6% (wk12 OUT – wk11 55% – wk10 41.6%)
Dalton Schultz 12.5% (wk12 15% – wk11 19% – wk10 5.9%) 95.7% (wk12 99% – wk11 100% – wk10 66.2%)
Ezekiel Elliott 7.5% (wk12 17% – wk11 14% – wk10 8.9%) 64.3% (wk12 65% – wk11 70% – wk10 49.4%)
Tony Pollard 10% (wk12 9% – wk11 5% – wk10 20.5%) 40% (wk12 43% – wk11 33% – wk10 32%) 
Michael Gallup 22.5% (wk12 17% – wk11 23% – wk10 14.7%) 91.4% (wk12 99% – wk11 95% – wk10 53.2%)

Quick Hit: Dak Prescott ranked t-8th in week 13 PATT (40) and is 11th for the season. It was a quiet day for both backs, against a stout Saints run D, until Pollard ripped off a 58 yard TD run late in the 3rd quarter. Elliot’s snaps remained relatively consistent, despite chatter of Zeke being hampered by a bruised knee. His targets did take a dip after back-to-back weeks over 14% TS. Thursday Night was Zeke’s first single-digit PPR outing since week 1. Unless Zeke is unable to make it through practice this week, he’ll be a  RB2 against Washington. The Cowboys have too much money invested in Zeke to “bench” him if he is healthy enough to play, despite the poor production in recent weeks. Pollard’s TD run accounted for 11.8 of his 15.4 PPR points, saving fantasy managers that decided to roll the dice with Tony against the Saints. He’ll continue to project as a risky business RB3/flex option with Zeke in the picture. Pollard’s passing work has failed to establish any consistent trend. Ceedee Lamb is a set-it and forget-it fantasy wideout. Cooper was clearly limited in his first game back from COVID. I expect Coop’s role to trend closer to his week 9 and 10 usage rates. Cooper is a back-end WR2 against Washington. Michael Gallup is averaging 11.7 PPR points since returning to action in week 10, but has benefited from absences by Lamb (wk12) and Cooper (wk11 & 12). With Amari another week removed from his bout with COVID, Gallup is a WR3/flex option against WFT. Dalton Schultz caught all 5 of his targets on TNF, and looked like he was in good rhythm with QB Dak Prescott. He will continue to project as a weekly TE1.

Denver Broncos

Player Target Share Snap Share
Noah Fant 10% (wk12 16% – wk11 BYE – wk10 17%) 76% (wk12 85% – wk11 BYE – wk10 75.9%)
Tim Patrick 13% (wk12 12% – wk11 BYE – wk10 17%) 88% (wk12 81% – wk11 BYE – wk10 91.4%)
Courtland Sutton 15% (wk12 12% – wk11 BYE – wk10 8%) 89% (wk12 73% – wk11 BYE – wk10 94.8%)
Jerry Jeudy 15% (wk12 12% – wk11 BYE – wk10 25%) 74% (wk12 56% – wk11 BYE – wk10 77.6%)
Javonte Williams 23% (wk12 16% – wk11 BYE – wk10 8%) 79% (wk12 58% – wk11 BYE – wk10 56.9%)
Melvin Gordon OUT (wk12 8% – wk11 BYE – wk10 11%) OUT (wk12 42% – wk11 BYE – wk10 43.1%)

Quick Hit: TeddyBridgewater ranked t-8th in week 13 PATT(40) and is t-17th for the season. Javonte Williams is a second round draft hit for the Denver Broncos. Williams had no issues operating as the bell cow back for the Broncos with Melvin Gordon ruled out. JW will be a weekly RB1 for as long as Gordon is sidelined with his hip injury. Keep an eye on the Broncos practice reports this week. Regardless of Gordon’s availability – Javonte’s snaps have steadily increased over the previous 5 weeks, while Gordons have slightly declined across the same span of games. Williams will rank as a high upside RB2 when Gordon returns to action. Melvin is a RB3/flex option when healthy. The fairly even distribution of targets limits the overall upside of each Broncos wideout, but rank them as follows – Jeudy/Sutton/Patrick. Jeudy has the highest weekly upside, and is a WR3/flex option in week 14 against Detroit. Courtland Sutton’s lack of production keeps him in the WR4 range. Week 7 was Sutton’s last double-digit fantasy outing. Tim Patrick has only one double-digit PPR outing over his last 6 games, and three total for the season. Patrick is waiver material in 12-team and smaller leagues. Noah Fant’s steady decline in usage and production is frustrating for a TE that ranked in the top 10 at the position the first half of the season. Given the current fantasy TE landscape, Fant still projects as a back end TE1 in week 14. Fant has reached over 15% TS in 5 out of his last 6 games, you’ll be hard-pressed to find a waiver TE with better usage.

Detroit Lions

Player Target Share Snap Share
T.J. Hockenson 20% (wk12 12% – wk11 35% – wk10 4%) 85% (wk12 76% – wk11 88% – wk10 94.4%)
D’Andre Swift OUT (wk12 12% – wk11 17% – wk10 24%) OUT (wk12 20% – wk11 73% – wk10 93%)
Jamaal Williams 2%  (wk12 20% – wk11 0% – wk10 OUT) 47% (wk12 63% – wk11 27% – wk10 OUT)
Amon-Ra St. Brown  29% (wk12 16% – wk11 17% – wk10 24%) 96% (wk12 98% – wk11 85% – wk10 60.6%)
Kalif Raymond 5% (wk12 16% – wk11 4% – wk10 24%) 49% (wk12 80% – wk11 71% – wk10 66.2%)
Josh Reynolds 17% (wk12 20% – wk11 13%) 83% (wk12 90% – wk11 88%)

Quick Hit: Goff ranked t-3rd in week 13 PATT(41) and is 13th for the season. How can you not be happy for the Lions after locking up their first win in the Dan Campbell era? Jamaal Williams failed to deliver, despite a favorable matchup and D’Andre Swift sidelined. Williams did dominate the running back snaps, but the Lions backs were non-existent in the passing game. Williams will enter the RB3/flex conversation again, if Swift is unable to play in week 14. The lack of passing work makes Jamaal a risky business option. Rookie wideout, Amon-Ra St. Brown recorded his second game over 90% SS. St. Brown has established himself as the WR1 for the Lions. But, St.Brown projects outside the top 50 fantasy WRs this week against Denver. Josh Reynolds emerged as the second wideout for the Lions, leap-frogging mid-season streamer Kalif Raymond. Goff’s tendencies to spread the ball around makes this receiving core unreliable for fantasy purposes. Reynolds should only be considered in the deepest of fantasy formats. Hockenson is a set-it and forget-it TE1. 

Green Bay Packers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Davante Adams BYE (wk12 20% – wk11 24% – wk10 30%) BYE (wk12 97.6% – wk11 88% – wk10 94.6%)
Aaron Jones  BYE (wk12 2.2% – wk11 OUT – wk10 16%) BYE (wk12 48.8% – wk11 OUT – wk10 45.9%)
Allan Lazard BYE(wk12 13.3% – wk11 OUT – wk10 11%)  BYE (wk12 64.6% – wk11 OUT – wk10 59.5%)
Randall Cobb BYE (wk12 11.1% – wk11 6% – wk10 11%) BYE (wk12 23.2% – wk11 76% – wk10 67.6%)
AJ Dillon BYE (wk12 11.1% – wk11 18% – wk10 5%) BYE (wk12 51.2% – wk11 75% – wk10 48.6%)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling BYE (wk12 20% – wk11 30% – wk10 5%) BYE (wk12 69.5% – wk11 81% – wk10 66.2%)

Quick Hits: A few notes to revisit as the Packers come out of their week 13 BYE… AJ Dillon took advantage of his opportunity to act as the lead back for GB over the last few weeks. But AJ recorded nearly a 25 percentage point decrease in snaps with Aaron Jones back in action. Dillon did dominate the passing work, and recorded his 3rd game out of his last 4 with a double-digit TS. Dillon will continue to be a viable RB3/flex option with upside until we see Jones get back to “full strength.” Luckily for Jones, he had the week 13 BYE to get healthy. Do not be surprised to see the backfield operate close to a 50-50 or 60-40 SS coming out of the BYE. Davante Adams continues to operate as a set-it and forget-it WR. Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the only other GB WR worth making a case for fantasy rosters. MVS recorded his second game in a row over a 20% TS, but we need to see the trend hold for at least another week – or two – before we can trust the usage. Prior to week 11, you have to look back to week 1 to find a game MVS reached over 20% TS. He’s only worth a bench stash for WR desperate managers in deeper formats. After a fast start to their week 12 matchup, Randall Cobb was unable to finish the game due to a groin injury. His availability for week 14 needs to be monitored. Inconsistent target and snap rates keep both Cobb and Lazard as risky business spot starts moving forward. The Packers TE room became fantasy irrelevant ever since Robert Tonyan went on IR. Cobbs snaps, targets, and red zone usage have benefited the most since Tonyan’s absence. But, his groin injury and battling to be the third-fourth receiving option for Rodgers should keep Cobb on waivers in most 12-team and smaller formats.

Houston Texans

Player Target Share Snap Share
Brandin Cooks 22% (wk12 19% – wk11 13% – wk10 BYE) 83% (wk12 82% – wk11 83% –  -wk10 BYE) 
David Johnson OUT (wk12 12% – wk11 17% – wk10 BYE) OUT (wk12 39% – wk11 55% – wk10 BYE)
Nico Collins 4% (wk12 19% – wk11 8% – wk10 BYE) 62% (wk12 65% – wk11 59% – wk10 BYE)
Rex Burkhead 7% (wk12 12% – wk11 0% – wk10 BYE) 46% (wk12 61% – wk11 42% – wk10 BYE)

Quick Hits: Tyrod Taylor and Davis Mills combined for a total of 11 completions and 27 total PATT in week 13. It will be the Davis Mills show again, Tyrod Taylor is week-to-week with his wrist injury. Poke my eyes out having to write about the Texans’ fantasy situation for another week! In 12-team and smaller leagues, Brandin Cooks is the only fantasy asset out of Houston worth discussing and rostering. Cooks averaged 13.5 PPR points and 8.2 targets/pg in the 6 games Davis Mills started this year (weeks 3-8). It is not a sexy start, but Brandin is a volume-driven fringe WR2/3 flex option against Seattle. Burkhead will peak his head on RB flex/streaming articles this week, with a matchup against a Seahawks defense allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing RBs. That’s a fire I’m willing to let my league-mates play with, not to mention DJ is likely back after sitting out week 13 with an illness. Keep the rest of this Texans team on waivers. 

Indianapolis Colts

Player Target Share Snap Share
Nyheim Hines 18.2% (wk12 9% – wk11 0% – wk10 12%) 19.4% (wk12 36% – wk11 19% – wk10 28.1%)
Jonathan Taylor 0% (wk12 11% – wk11 15% – wk10 24%) 76.4% (wk12 71% – wk11 83%  – wk10 84.4%)
Zach Pascal 13.6% (wk12 16% – wk11 5% – wk10 6%) 75% (wk12 93% – wk11 78% – wk10 89.1%)
Michael Pittman Jr 36.4% (wk12 23% – wk11 25% – wk10 15%) 75% (wk12 94% – wk11 75% – wk10 87.5%)
Jack Doyle 4.6% (wk12 16% – wk11 25% – wk10 15%) 58.3% (wk12 61% – wk11 74% – wk10 57.8%)
T.Y. Hilton 9.1% (wk12 11% – wk11 10% – wk10 15%) 44.4% (wk12 61% – wk11 41% – wk10 60.9%)

Quick Hit (BYE): Wentz ranked 25th in week 13 PATT(22) and is t-9th for the season. The Colts head into their week 14 BYE after rattling off wins in 4 out of their last 5 games. Jonathan Taylor is a league-winning, set-it and forget-it, fantasy RB. After dipping below a 20% snap rate, Hines can be left on waivers during the BYE. As expected, Pittman had a bounce back game against the Texans. He should be viewed as a high end WR2 the rest of the way. Pascal should be left on waivers in 12-team and smaller formats with Hilton back in action and the Colts low volume passing offense. Hilton’s low snap rate does not warrant an add in most fantasy formats. Ashton Dulin’s two game TD streak is fools good, all of his production has come from his lone target in each game. Let your league-mates chase the fantasy box score. In recent weeks, Doyle has emerged as the TE1 for Wentz. Moe Alie-Cos finds himself off the weekly Target Report. But, I warned about overreacting to Doyle’s 20 point outing in week 12. It was his first double digit PPR game since week 2. His fantasy production came back down to earth in week 13, only recording one target from Carson Wentz. Doyle has reached over 3 targets in only 2 games this season (wk 2 & 12), he is barely on the radar in two-TE leagues. Keep JD on waivers. 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Target Share Snap Share
Marvin Jones Jr. 11% (wk12 17% – wk11 24%- wk10 17%) 83% (wk12 99% – wk11 91% – wk10 84.8%)
Laviska Shenault Jr. 18% (wk12 21% – wk11 20% – wk10 23%) 53% (wk12 74% – wk11 63% – wk10 77.3%)
James Robinson 14% (wk12 10% – wk11 12% – wk10 14%) 44% (wk12 53% – wk11 63% – wk10 59.1%)
Laquon Treadwell 18% (wk12 19% – wk11 12%) 93% (wk12 88% – wk11 72%)

Quick Hit: Trevor Lawrence ranked 23rd in week 13 PATT (28) and is 8th for the season. James Robinson was clearly limited by his nagging foot injury. Being placed in Urban Meyer’s dog house after fumbling did not help his case either. Robinson was not banged up enough to be ruled out, and will limit Hyde’s upside as a streaming RB. Regardless of who “starts,’ this backfield cannot be trusted in fantasy lineups on one of the league’s worst teams. The Jags get a week 14 matchup against a Titans defense surrendering the 4th fewest fantasy points to running backs, sit both Robinson/Hyde this week. Quietly, Laquon Treadwell has emerged as the lead wideout for the Jags since being activated in week 11. His usage is not enough to consider in 12-team or small leagues. But he makes case for deeper formats, or a punt option in DFS this week. Despite a healthy target rate for Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault, both fail produce anything that warrants starting either of them in 12-team or smaller fantasy leagues. You have to look all the way back to week 6 to find both Jones’ and Shenault’s last double digit fantasy game….yikes! Keep them both on waivers. James O’Shaughnessy has crept into the two-TE league streaming conversation, after recording his second consecutive double-digit TS game (21% wk13 TS – 14% wk12TS). Keep him on waivers in single-TE leagues. 

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Target Share Snap Share
Tyreek Hill 17% (wk12 BYE – wk11 30% – wk10 20%) 88% (wk12 BYE – wk11 81% – wk10 73.7%)
Travis Kelce 28% (wk12 BYE – wk11 22% – wk10 20%) 77% (wk12 BYE – wk11 87% – wk10 76.3%)
Mecole Hardman 3% (wk12 BYE – wk11 8% – wk10 6%)  16% (wk12 BYE – wk11 18% – wk10 31.6%)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 10% (wk12 BYE – wk11 5%) 51% (wk12 BYE – wk11 47%)
Darrel Williams 10% (wk12 BYE – wk11 8% – wk10 18%) 46% (wk12 BYE – wk11 53% – wk10 59.2%)

Quick Hit: Patrick Mahomes ranked 22nd in week 13 PATT(29) and is 2nd for the season. Clyde Edwards-Helaire surpassed Williams in snaps for the first time since returning from injury and tied Darrel in targets. Expect these numbers to continue to trend in favor of CEH. Williams will likely maintain a small role, but not enough to start with confidence in 12-team and smaller formats. He’s a premium handcuff for CEH managers and is a low upside RB3/flex option in deeper formats. No other KC WR, outside of Tyreek Hill, has established themselves as a reliable WR2 in this offense. It was Byron Pringle’s turn at WR2 duties (14% TS & 72% SS), and he posted an uninspiring 2.4 PPR points. Keep the stable of wideouts on waivers. Travis Kelce is on track to repeat as the overall TE1 for another season, set-it and forget-it. 

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Target Share Snap Share
Darren Waller OUT (wk12 13% – wk11 30% – wk10 20%)  OUT (wk12 24% – wk11 94% – wk10 90.7%)
Hunter Renfrow 26% (wk12 23% – wk11 15% – wk10 26%) 93% (wk12 74% – wk11 72%  – wk10 72.2%)
Bryan Edwards 13% (wk12 3% – wk11 0% – wk10 11%) 69% (wk12 72% – wk11 83% – wk10 79.6%)
Josh Jacobs 24% (wk12 10% – wk11 26% – wk10 14%) 86% (wk12 66% – wk11 66% – wk10 57.4%)
Kenyan Drake 5% (wk12 5% – wk11 7% – wk10 9%) 12% (wk12 18% – wk11 32% – wk10 31.5%)
Foster Moreau 8% (wk12 13% – wk11 7% – wk10 0%) 86% (wk12 89% – wk11 36% – wk10 38.9%)
Zay Jones 13% (wk12 18% – wk11 7% – wk10 9%) 88% (wk12 69% – wk11 72% – wk10 85.2%) 
DeSean Jackson 3%(wk12 10%) 41% (wk12 48%)

Quick Hit: Derek Carr ranked 12th in week 13 PATT (38) and is 4th overall for the season. Josh Jacobs will be a bell cow back the rest of the way. Kenyan Drake suffered a broken ankle in week 13 and is done for the season. Despite a top 5 passing volume offense, Carr and the Raiders have failed to produce reliable fantasy pass catchers outside of Renfrow and Waller(when healthy). Renfrow is the only LV WR we can trust starting in fantasy lineups. Hunter will continue to get an additional boost in usage if TE Darren Waller is sidelined another week. Renfrow is a set-it and forget-it WR1. Keep the rest of the Raiders wideouts on waivers. Foster Moreau let many fantasy managers down after recording one catch on a measly 3 targets, while starting in place of an injured Waller. Despite fruitful efforts from Moreau in previous spot starts, it will be hard to trust Moreau as a streaming option single-TE leagues – if Waller is out another week. Darren is considered day-to-day, which gives him a chance of suiting up in week 14. Keep an eye on Waller’s practice activity. 

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Keenan Allen 23% (wk12 23% – wk11 32% – wk10 32%) 84% (wk12 87% – wk11 82%- wk10 93.2%)
Mike Williams 20% (wk12 18% – wk11 15% – wk10 18%) 89% (wk12 87% – wk11 79% – wk10 93.2%)
Jared Cook 11% (wk12 11% – wk11 12% – wk10 9%) 56% (wk12 53% – wk11 50% – wk10 57.6%)
Austin Ekeler 14% (wk12 18% – wk11  17% – wk10 18%) 75% (wk12 69% – wk11 70% – wk10 71.2%) 

Quick Hit: Justin Herbert ranked 17th in week 13 PATT (35) and is 3rd for the season. The Chargers fantasy tree is tight and narrow, leaving little to decipher when it comes to analyzing start/sit decisions. Ekeler continues to operate as the only fantasy-relevant RB for the Chargers, set it and forget-it. Keenan Allen has posted double digit PPR points in every game this season, set-it and forget-it. Mike Williams had a nice bounce back game against the Bengals. Big Mike’s healthy snap rate and consistent targets will continue to project him in the WR2 range, but his inconsistent production has proven to be risky business. The three fantasy-relevant Chargers skill players get an upgrade this week, they have a juicy matchup on deck against the Giants. New York is starting a QB, in Jake Fromm, that has yet to attempt an NFL pass. Expect plenty of opportunities for the Chargers offense. Let your league-mates chase Guyton’s 18.99 PPR outing. This was Jalen’s first double digit fantasy game of the season, and he only recorded a 55% snap rate. His 11% TS was his first double digit TS since week 6, keep him on waivers. Jared Cook’s declining target rate and low snap rate will continue to keep him out of weekly TE1 projections. He is a low-end, touchdown dependent, TE streaming option. 

Los Angeles Rams

Player Target Share Snap Share
Cooper Kupp 26% (wk12 26% – wk11 BYE – wk10 31%) 94% (wk12 100% – wk11 BYE – wk10 100%)
Van Jefferson 21% (wk12 23% – wk11 BYE – wk10 17%) 78% (wk12 98.4% – wk11 BYE – wk10 94.5%)
Tyler Higbee 16% (wk12 13% – wk11 BYE – wk10 12%) 93% (wk12 100% – wk11 BYE – wk10 98.2%)
Darrell Henderson  OUT (wk12 10% – wk11 BYE – wk10 14%) OUT (wk12 80.6% – wk11 BYE – wk10 74.5%)
Odell Beckham Jr. 13% (wk12 26%) 53% (wk12 98.4%)
Sony Michel 11% 97%

Quick Hit: Stafford ranked t-12th in week 13 PATT (38) and is 7th for the season. Michel will be the top waiver add this week after posting 21.9 PPR points, with Henderson failing to record a snap due to a quad injury. Outside of the injury, Hendo’s recent struggles should keep Michel on the fantasy radar moving forward. Michel will project as a top 10 fantasy back if Henderson slides back into a complementary role. The ambiguity heading into their week 14 matchup against Arizona makes it a headache for fantasy managers. Keep a close eye on Hendo’s practice activity and Rams beat reports regarding his expected role in the offense moving forward. We will continue to save word count on Kupp, set-it and forget-it. Van Jefferson has maintained a healthy role in the offense even with Beckham three weeks into his LA stint and Woods on IR. Both OBJ and Jefferson project as upside WR3/flex options this week against the Cardinals. I view OBJ as more boom-bust, and Jefferson with the ‘safer’ floor. Van is averaging 7.3 targets per game over his last six games, and 8 targets per game since Woods went down and Beckham arrived in LA. Higbee is a back-end TE1 this week. Rams @ Cardinals carries Vegas’ second-highest projected point total. 

Miami Dolphins

Player Target Share Snap share
Jaylen Waddle 26.8% (wk12 32% – wk11 26% – wk10 16.7%) 76.8% (wk12 74% – wk11 76%- wk10 88.4%)
Myles Gaskin 4.9% (wk12 6% – wk11 12% – wk10 5.6%) 63.8% (wk12 50% – wk11 74% – wk10 60.9%)
Mike Gesicki 26.8% (wk12 10% – wk11 18% – wk10 19.4%) 66.7% (wk12 80% – wk11 71% – wk10 81.2%) 
Albert Wilson 19.5% (wk12 19% – wk11 12%- wk10 14%) 58% (wk12 47% – wk11 53%- wk10 55.1%)
Duram Smythe 2.4% (wk12 16% – wk11 15% – wk10 3%) 60.9% (wk12 89% – wk11 71% – wk10 61%)
DeVante Parker 12.2% 71%

Quick Hit (BYE): Tua Tagovailoa ranked t-3rd in week 13 PATT(41), with an impressive 73.2% completion rate. Gaskin is the only MIA RB worth holding while the Dolphins are on their week 14 BYE. Waddle is averaging 19.35 PPR points over his last 4 games, and is currently the overall fantasy WR10 for the season. He is a set-it and forget-it WR2, with weekly WR1 upside. Albert Wilson continues to carve out a consistent role for himself, averaging a 16% target rate over his last 4 games, but his upside is limited with DeVante Parker back in the mix. Wilson is not worth rostering in 12-team and smaller fantasy formats, given his consistently low snap rate. On the other hand – Parker is worth a bench stash, through the Dolphins BYE, for WR needy managers in 12-team and larger formats. DeVante is averaging 12.5 PPR points over the six games he played in this year. Durham Smythe‘s snaps took the biggest hit with Parker active. Smythe had a nice two-week run over 15% TS, but the bottom fell out in week 13. Despite the 28% decrease in Durham’s snap rate, Mike Gesicki’s snap rate dipped below 70% for the first time since week 4. The healthy TS for Mikey G will keep him in the weekly TE1 conversation going out of the BYE. 

Minnesota Vikings

Player Target Share Snap Share
Adam Thielen 5% (wk12 21% – wk11 29% – wk10 19%) 8% (wk12 98% – wk11 97% – wk10 89.9%)
Justin Jefferson 34% (wk12 27% –  29% – wk10 30%) 95% (wk12 94% – wk11 93% – wk10 75.9%)
K.J. Osborn 17% (wk12 6% – wk11 11%- wk10 3%) 96% (wk12 56% – wk11 53% – wk10 51.9%)
Dalvin Cook OUT (wk12 21% – wk11 11% – wk10 14%) OUT (wk12 54% – wk11 78% – wk10 82.3%)
Tyler Conklin 22% (wk12 9% – wk11 9%- wk10 14%) 99% (wk12 81% – wk11 82% – wk10 84.8% )

Quick Hit: Kirk Cousins ranked t-8th in week 13 PATT (40) and is 5th for the season. Cousins and the Vikings handed the Detroit Lions their first win of the season…pour one out for Vikings fans. As expected, Alexander Mattison operated as the bell cow back with Cook sidelined. Mattison’s three targets was not enough to register on the target report (7%). Mattison projects as a top ten fantasy RB this week against a Steelers defense that is hemorrhaging TDs to opposing running backs. Pittsburgh has surrendered 7 tuddies to RBs over their last 4 games, yikes! Justin Jefferson is a set-it and forget-it fantasy WR1. Adam Thielen is unlikely to suit up for Thursday nights contest with an ankle injury. Tyler Conklin gets a huge boost in fantasy value with Thielen out, and is a back-end TE1 this week. K.J. Osborn will enter the weekly WR3/flex conversation for as long as Adam is out. 

New England Patriots

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jakobi Meyers 0% (wk12 25% – wk11 23% – wk10 15.4%) 54% (wk12 87% – wk11 89% – wk10 71.6%)
Nelson Agholor 33% (wk12 9% – wk11 19% – wk10 15.4%) 50% (wk12 83% – wk11 78% – wk10 70.1%)
Jonnu Smith 33% (wk12 13% – wk11 8% – wk10 OUT) 78% (wk12 57% – wk11 52% – wk10 OUT)
Hunter Henry 0% (wk12 16% – wk11 12% – wk10 15.4%)  30% (wk12 68% – wk11 51% – wk10 82.1%)
Kendrick Bourne  0% (wk12 19% – wk11 15% – wk10 15.4%) 30%  (wk12 55% – wk11 46% – wk10 43.3%)
Brandon Bolden 33% (wk12 13% – wk11 8% – wk10 11.5%) 12% (wk12 32% – wk11 27%- wk10 26.9%)
Rhamondre Stevenson 0% (wk12 3% – wk11 4% – wk10 19.2%) 64% (wk12 33% – wk11 35% – wk10 55.4%)
Damien Harris 0% (wk12 4% – wk11 3% – wk10 OUT) 26% (wk12 37% – wk11 40% – wk10 OUT)

Quick Hit (BYE): Mac Jones ranked dead last in week 13 PATT (3), falling to 16th for the season. Rhamondre Stevenson needs to be rostered over the Patriots BYE week. Damien Harris struggled to finish Monday Night’s contest with a hamstring injury. Harris will get an extra week to recover, but Stevenson is a premium handcuff if Harris were to miss time. Keep Brandon Bolden on waivers. The Patriots’ week 13 performance was an anomaly when it comes to passing usage and should not be over-dissected for fantasy purposes. Mac Jones almost recorded NFL history with his 3 total pass attempts against the Bills on Monday Night. The target share data is obscured given the measly three pass attempts. Jakobi Meyers is the only Pats wideout you can make a case for holding tough New England’s week 14 BYE. The rest of the Patriots’ pass catchers should be left on waivers. Meyers can be considered waiver material in 10-team leagues if you need the bench spot. 

New Orleans Saints

Player Target Share Snap Share
Alvin Kamara OUT (wk12 OUT – wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT) OUT (wk12 OUT – wk11 OUT – wk10 OUT)
Marquez Callaway 9.8% (wk12 13% – wk11 10% – wk10 11%) 69% (wk12 60% – wk11 78% – wk10 77.6%)
Tre’Quan Smith 17.1% (wk12 17% – wk11 20% – wk10 19%) 67% (wk12 79% – wk11 97% – wk10 91%)
Deonte Harris 19.5% (wk12 17% – wk11 13% – wk10 11%)

40% (wk12 40% – wk11 42% – wk10 38.8%)

Mark Ingram 4.9% (wk12 OUT – wk11 20% – wk10 19%) 43% (wk12 OUT – wk11 73% – wk10 85.1%)
Ty Montgomery 17.1% (wk12 23%) 51% (wk12 51%)

Quick Hit:  Taysom Hill ranked 3rd in week 13 PATT (41), but completed an abysmal 46.3% of his passes. Alvin Kamara has a shot of returning to action in week 14, after logging a few limited sessions leading up to their Thursday Night duel against the Cowboys. Despite his WR designation on most fantasy platforms, Ty Montgomery was the biggest beneficiary of Kamara’s absence. Taysom Hill under center, the potential return of Kamara, and Montgomery’s low snap rate should keep him on waivers in most fantasy formats. Kamara is a high upside RB1 this week against the Jets. New York’s run defense is fresh off allowing a career day to Miles Sanders. Ingram will be a low end RB3/4 with Kamara back in action. Upgrade Ingram to an RB2 with RB1 upside, if Kamara is ruled out for another week. Tre’Quan Smith has emerged as the lead wideout for the Saints, recording over 17% TS in his previous 4 games. But, the NO passing game and offense as a whole is too volatile to trust near fantasy lineups. Deonte Harris’ 19 point PPR outing is fools gold. His snap rate continues to hover below 45%. Not to mention, he is suspended for the next three games – keep him on waivers. The Saints‘ TE room became irrelevant for fantasy when Adam Trautman was sent to IR, look elsewhere for streaming options. 

New York Giants

Player Target Share Snap Share
Kenny Golladay 11% (wk12 23% – wk11 5% – wk10 BYE) 58% (wk12 77% – wk11 76% – wk10 BYE)
Darius Slayton 16% (wk12 13% – wk11 18% – wk10 BYE)  80% (wk12 73% – wk11 59% – wk10 BYE) 
Evan Engram 11% (wk12 20% – wk11 13% – wk10 BYE) 82% (wk12 90% – wk11 90% – wk10 BYE )
Kadarius Toney OUT (wk12 OUT – wk11 31% – wk10 BYE) OUT (wk12 OUT – wk11 60% – wk10 BYE)
Saquon Barkley  20% (wk12 17% – wk11 15%) 75% (wk12 87% – wk11 62%)

Quick Hit: Mike Glennon ranked 2nd in week 13 PATT(44), but sadly incurred a brain injury that will keep him out week 14. With Daniel Jones still sidelined, Jake Fromm is likely to make his NFL debut. This does not bode well for any Giants pass catcher. Barkley projects as a fringe RB1/2 due to his heavy involvement in the passing game. Expect a lot of check downs from the inexperienced QB. With the big question mark at the quarterback position, I recommend to avoid starting any Giants wideout against the Chargers – things could get ugly quick. Downgrade Engram to outside of the streaming conversation this week. 

New York Jets

Player Target Share Snap Share
Jamison Crowder 16% (wk12 4% – wk11 18% – wk10 13%) 79% (wk12 50% – wk11 68% – wk10 83.1%)
Corey Davis 8% (wk12 OUT – wk11 18%- wk10 15%) 43% (wk12 OUT – wk11 93% – wk10 84.4%)
Keelan Cole OUT (wk12 8% – wk11 3% – wk10 11%) OUT (wk12 97% – wk11 22%- wk10 41.6%)
Elijah Moore 32% (wk12 33% – wk11 28% – wk10 13%) 88% (wk12 89% – wk11 80% – wk10 55.8%)
Ty Johnson 11% (wk12 4% – wk11 3% – wk10 17%) 48% (wk12 35% – wk11 33% – wk10 32.5%)
Tevin Coleman 11% (wk12 13% – wk11 3% – wk10 6%) 40% (wk12 45% – wk11 33% – wk10 45%)
Ryan Griffin 5% (wk12 17% – wk11 10% – wk10 4%) 55% (wk12 85% – wk11 78% – wk10 71.4%)

Quick Hits: Zach Wilson ranked t-12th in week 13 PATT (38), and the first 3-TD game of his rookie career (1 rushing). Tevin Coleman has emerged as the RB1 for the Jets, ever since Carter was sent to IR. Coleman is a low-end RB3/flex option this week against a Saints defense surrendering the fewest fantasy points to running backs. Elijah Moore is the only Jets wideout worth spending word count. The rookie wideout has dominated the Jets targets in recent weeks, posting double-digit fantasy outings in 6 out of his last 7 games. Moore has reached weekly back-end WR2 status. Outside of Moore, the inconsistent and diluted WR targets make the remaining Jets pass catchers risky business and waiver material. Crowder is only worth consideration in larger fantasy formats as a WR4/5. Despite finding the end zone against Philly, Griffin doesn’t register as a streaming option – keep him on waivers.

Philadelphia Eagles

Player Target Share Snap Share
DeVonta Smith 16% (wk12 13% – wk11 25% – wk10 26%) 62% (wk12 91% – wk11 92% – wk10 84.4%)
Jalen Reagor 4% (wk12 23% – wk11 13% – wk10 9%) 67.6% (wk12 67% – wk11 71% – wk10 78.1%)
Dallas Goedert 24% (wk12 10% – wk11 33% – wk10 9%) 95.8% (wk12 96% – wk11 96%- wk10 20.3%)
Quez Watkins 12%  (wk12 16% – wk11 4% – wk10 26%) 77.5% (wk12 82% – wk11 82% – wk10 89.1%)
Kenneth Gainwell 20% (wk12 13% – wk11 0% – wk10 4%) 38% (wk12 16% – wk11 0%- wk10 31.2%)
Boston Scott 0% (wk12 10% – wk11 8% – wk10 9%) 4.2% (wk12 51% – wk11 37% – wk10 31.2%)
Miles Sanders 12% (wk12 3% – wk11 4%) 57.7% (wk12 46% – wk11 33%)

Quick Hit (BYE): Gardner Minshew ranked 24th in week 13 PATT (25), while subbing in for an injured Jalen Hurts. Do not fall victim to the Minshew-mania. Gardner put up a healthy stat-line against the bottom of the barrel, Jets pass defense. Hurts gets the week 14 BYE to rest his ankle, in hopes of returning to game action in week 15. Jalen is the Eagles’ undisputed starter for the remainder of the season. The fact Hurts was a “game-time decision” bodes well for his availability coming out of the BYE. If Hurts is to miss another game, Gardner would be on the streaming radar in week 15 against Washington. Sanders had a career game on Sunday against the Jets, toting the ball 24 times for 120 yards and adding 3 reception for 22 yards. Per Sanders himself, his nagging ankle injury is merely normal end-of-season wear and tear. His week 15 availability is not a concern. Miles’ snaps have steadily increased since his return from injury, and the double-digit TS is promising for his fantasy value. He’ll project as a fringe RB2/3 flex option coming out of the Eagles BYE. Gainwell subbed in for Boston Scott, while Scott was dealing with an illness that kept him sidelined and limited throughout the practice week. Expect Scott to trend towards his normal usage rates coming out of the BYE. Gainwell and Scott’s low snap rate should keep them on waivers in 10-team leagues, and only a bench stash for RB needy managers in deeper 12-team or larger formats. Devonta Smith is the only Eagles WR worth holding over their BYE week. Smith led in WR targets, despite the down week in fantasy points. Chalk the decline in snaps to the illness Smith was dealing over the course of the week. Expect a bounce-back game for Smith in week 15. We predicted a big game from Goedert in last week’s target report, and boy did he deliver. Dallas is a weekly set-it and forget-it fantasy TE1.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Diontae Johnson 35% (wk12 34% – wk11 30% – wk10 26%) 98% (wk12 98% – wk11 91% – wk10 85.1%)
Chase Claypool 10% (wk12 20% – wk11 20% – wk10 OUT ) 66% (wk12 98% – wk11 91% – wk10 OUT)
Najee Harris 16% (wk12 12% – wk11 14% – wk10 8%)  100% (wk12 58% – wk11 75% – wk10 87.4%)
Pat Freiermuth 13% (wk12 10% – wk11 16% – wk10 18%) 76% (wk12 76% – wk11 57% – wk10 62.1%)

Quick Hit: Ben Roethlisberger ranked 18th in week 13 PATT (31) and ranks 12th for the season. Najee Harris continues his top 5 fantasy RB campaign, set-it and forget-it. Diontae Johnson is on a tear since PIT’s week 7 BYE, ripping off 6 games in a row of elite TS. He is a top 5 fantasy wideout for week 14, with a chance at overall WR1. DJ takes on a Vikings defense surrendering the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. Claypool is an upside WR3/flex option in a plus matchup. Pat Freiermuth has 5 double digit fantasy outings over his last 7 games. He did record his first double-digit PPR outing since week 10. Despite the down week, Pat is a back-end TE1 against a vulnerable Vikings defense. Minnesota surrendered 77 yards and 2 tuddies to the Lions’ TEs in week 13. 

San Francisco 49ers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Deebo Samuel OUT (wk12 15% – wk11 9% – wk10 26%) OUT (wk12 66% – wk11 80% – wk10 72.1%)
Brandon Aiyuk 20% (wk12 23% – wk11 32% – wk10 21%) 93% (wk12 90% – wk11 93% – wk10 89.7%)
Elijah Mitchell 10% (wk12 23% – wk11 OUT – wk10 0%) 84% (wk12 70% – wk11 OUT – wk10 52.9%)
George Kittle 40% (wk12 8% – wk11 18% – wk10 37%) 93% (wk12 93% – wk11 83% – wk10 76.5%)
Trent Sherfield 17% 98%

Quick Hit:  Jimmy G ranked t-19th in week 13 PATT (30) and is 24th for the season. Elijah Mitchell is a high-end RB1 this week against Cinci. Mitchell has been operating as a bell-cow back, in Shanahan’s run-friendly offense, ever since returning from his finger injury. With Mitchell in concussion protocol, managers need to snag JaMycal Hasty as their handcuff. Jeff Wilson’s knee has flared up and it is likely Hasty will operate as the lead back if Mitchell is unable to clear concussion protocol. Brandon Aiyuk maintained the same role he had with Deebo in the lineup. It was actually Trent Sherfield that lead in WRs snaps with Deebo out. Both had a healthy TS, but it was the Kittle and Mitchell show against Seattle in week 13. Expect Shanahan to continue leaning on Kittle and the run game against the Bengals in week 14. Aiyuk is an upside WR3. Sherfield’s one-week sample size cannot be trusted, keep him on waivers. Deebo has a shot to return in week 14, his practice activity needs to be monitored closely over the course of the week. Kittle projects as a top-3 fantasy TE this week, set-it and forget-it. 

Seattle Seahawks

Player Target Share Snap Share
DK Metcalf 22% (wk12 13% – wk11 31% – wk10 20%) 87% (wk12 96% – wk11 92% – wk10 73.8%)
Tyler Lockett 22% (wk12 16% – wk11 19% – wk10 20%) 83% (wk12 100% – wk11 92% – wk10 95.1%)
Gerald Everett 16% (wk12 29% – wk11 15%  – wk10 20%) 76% (wk12 80% – wk11 86% – wk10 75.4%)

Quick Hit:  Russell Wilson ranked t-15th in week 13 PATT (37), and had his best game since returning from injury. The ‘Hawks running game has been irrelevant for fantasy ever since Chris Carson left the lineup. Do not chase Homer’s 73-yard fake-punt TD run – fools gold. It is hard to recommend any of the Seahawks’ RBs as streaming options, despite a juicy matchup against Houston. Alex Collins is expected to return to the lineup, Homer is handling the minimal RB passing work, and Seattle signed Peterson last week, making this backfield one to avoid in starting lineups. Both Lockett and Metcalf tied for the team lead in targets(8), and it was Metcalf’s first double-digit PPR game since Wilson returned from injury. We have to trust the usage and keep firing up Metcalf and Lockett as upside WR2’s, while Wilson is getting back in a rhythm. They have a get-right game against the Texans in week 14. TE Gerald Everett’s targets and snaps continue to maintain a healthy rate, putting him in the fringe TE1 streaming conversation. Rudy projects Everett as his TE10 this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Target Share Snap Share
Chris Godwin 33% (wk12 15% – wk11 13% – wk10 24%) 91% (wk12 97% – wk11 78% – wk10 95.8%)
Leonard Fournette 16% (wk12 24% – wk11 13% – wk10 26%) 87% (wk12 81% – wk11 58% – wk10 64.6%)
Mike Evans 20% (wk12 15% – wk11 23% – wk10 9%) 93% (wk12 99% – wk11 81% – wk10 64.6%)
Rob Gronkowski 16% (wk12 29% – wk11 17%) 83% (wk12 82% – wk11 58%)

Quick Hit: Tom Brady ranked 1st in week 13 PATT (51) and is 1st overall for the season. Leonard Fournette continues to operate as the undisputed RB1 in this offense, dominating both the ground and receiving work – set-it and forget-it. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin continue to operate as set-it and forget-it fantasy WRs, despite a two down weeks from Evans. Godwin had a nice bounce back against the Falcons, reaching over 30% TS for the first time the season. Godwin is an upside WR2 this week, and Evans is an upside WR3. Evans red zone looks have taken the biggest hit with Rob Gronkowski back in action. But, Big Mike does not leave the field and continues to receive a healthy target rate. Gronk is back to his early-season usage, and is a set-it and forget-it TE1. 

Tennesse Titans

Player Target Share Snap Share
A.J. Brown BYE (wk12 OUT – wk11 17% – wk10 15%) BYE (wk12 OUT – wk11 53% – wk10 81.7%)
Geoff Swaim BYE (wk12 4.8% – wk11 OUT – wk10 19%) BYE (wk12 73% – wk11 – wk10 66.7%)
Dontrell Hillard BYE (wk12 9.5% – wk11 19%) BYE (wk12 50.8% – wk11 64%)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine BYE (wk12 23.8% – wk11 15% – wk10 4%) BYE (wk12 82.5% – wk11 68% – wk10 36%)

Quick Hit: A few notes to revisit as the Titans come out of their week 13 BYE…Both Dontrell Hilliard and D’Onta Foreman rewarded fantasy managers back that streamed either RB in week 12. The Titans coaching staff have held true to their running identity, despite King Henry on IR. Both backs will continue to be RB3/flex options, with Hilliard ranking slightly ahead due to his role in the passing game. For now, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine emerged as the primary wideout for Tannehill with both Julio Jones and AJ Brown on IR. In a low-volume passing offense, he’s a risky business WR3/4 for fantasy managers in 12-team and larger formats. This Tennessee offense has failed to produce a reliable second pass-catching fantasy option all season, we’ll save word count on any other TEN pass catcher. Julio Jones was designated to return from IR this week, his practice activity needs to be monitored closely heading into their week 14 matchup against the Jaguars. If Julio is expected to be full speed, or close to it, he’ll be a WR3/flex option this week. 

Washington Football Team 

Player Target Share Snap Share
Terry McLaurin 17% (wk12 30% – wk11 32% – wk10 25%) 94% (wk12 92% – wk11 94% – wk10 95.9%)
JD McKissic OUT (wk12 14% – wk11 9% – wk10 13%) OUT (wk12 40% – wk11 47% – wk10 38.4%)
DeAndre Carter 3% (wk12 14% – wk11 14% – wk10 19%) 74% (wk12 73% -wk11 76% – wk10 67.1%)
Logan Thomas (wk12 17%) 65% (wk12 80%)
Antonio Gibson 20% (wk12 20% – wk11 0% – wk10 6%) 83% (wk12 69% – wk11 50% – wk10 64%)

Quick Hit: Taylor Heinicke ranked t-19th in week 13 PATT (30) and is 14th for the season. Antonio Gibson dominated the ground and passing work while J.D. McKissic was sidelined with a concussion. Look for McKissic to take back some of his passing work, if he is able to return to the lineup against Dallas. Regardless of McKissic’s availability, Gibson is an RB1 this week. McKissic will be a fringe RB3/4 if he clears concussion protocol. Despite two down weeks, McLaurin is a set-it and forget-it WR2 against Dallas. Week 13 was McLaurin’s first time to dip below a 20% TS since their week 9 BYE, expect a bounce-back on Sunday. Adam Humphries did reach double-digit TS (17%) against the Raiders, but it was his first time since week 7. We’ll keep Adam off the Target Report for now. The bottom fell out from DeAndre Carter, despite stringing 4 consecutive games over a 14% TS leading up to week 13. Carter’s usage took the biggest hit from Logan Thomas returning to the lineup. Carter is not worth rostering in 12-team and smaller formats. Unfortunately for fantasy managers that were hoping for an added boost at the TE position with Thomas back in action, it was confirmed Logan suffered a torn ACL in week 13. He is out for the rest of the season. Ricky Seals-Jones will enter the low-end streaming conversation in two-TE leagues. RSJ only hit two double-digit fantasy games in the 6 games he started without LT, keep him on waivers in single-TE leagues. Carter might become relevant again in deeper fantasy formats with Thomas out.

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Chase
Chase
1 year ago

Is it still chasing production from Guyton if both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are out?

Chase
Chase
1 year ago
Reply to  Nic Romero

Great input. Looks like Mike Williams is more than likely to play, per recent COVID testing reports. Guyton not an option

i don't want to brag but i have irritable bowel syndrome
i don't want to brag but i have irritable bowel syndrome
1 year ago
Reply to  Nic Romero

somebody’s snap count has to go up with k.allen for sure out. guyton (or palmer) would be that person(s).