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So with this being the last buy column for the season, I felt the best way to approach the final go would be to state some generalities.  Though I’ll still list some buys and sells below, I wanted to state the simple and obvious: make a trade that helps you over the last 6 weeks, not what helped the other owner for the last 10.  By that I mean, sometimes selling high means selling low.  You’re looking at the best a guy can offer you over the last 6 fantasy football games of the season.  You should be looking at playoff matchups and not the next week at hand, unless of course you’re still scrambling for a playoff spot at this time like I am seemingly everywhere.  Name value doesn’t hold as much weight as what a guy can do for you over this six week adventure.  So go ahead and flip your star in name for the guy who’s been quietly outproducing him most of the season.  It’s also the time of year to take risks if you need to.  Look, you know by the records and points scored for the season whether or not your team is a contender or a pretender right now.  One man’s 6-4 record should really be 4-6 and vice versa.  We’re aware of it so we have to act before the last chance to make a move passes us by.  Like I said, the time is nigh…buy, buy, buy.  And with that, let’s look at some possible buys and sells for our final swing-thru for 2012 fantasy football:

Buy

Mark Ingram – The length of a season can do strange things to an otherwise unwaivering man.  I said at the beginning of the year I wanted no part of Mark and for about 9 weeks I was right.  Well, now I see a running back whose received 25 touches over the last two weeks with 16 of them coming last week vs the Falcons and doing good work with them.  He has looked nothing like the RB that we’ve seen for a season and a half and more like what the Saints thought they drafted.  He’s been aggressive when given the ball and running with a purpose.  Can’t ask for much more than that.  As much as I’d love to tell you to pick up Chris Ivory instead, he’s clearly not getting the touches Ingram is getting.  After his 56 yard run last week, Ivory only got 6 more touches the rest of the way.  Ingram as a flex is looking like a good call for ROS if you’re in need.

Andre Roberts - Quietly has been a top 25 WR this season.  So quiet, you might be able to wrangle him away for a big name.  He’s been boring but consistent, something that every manager needs yet rarely yearns for.  Even though the rankings say different, I’d willingly trade Torrey Smith straight up for him right now and be satisfied with getting 14 points over two weeks from him in 7 and 7 chunks than getting 19 from Torrey where it’s 16 one week and 3 the next.  You can read this as a Torrey Smith sell as well.  Same statement can be said for Lance Moore but at a lower price.  Yes, the Lance Moore who’s currently hovering around the same value as Andre Johnson.

Cecil Shorts/Laurent Robinson - Here are some fun stats to peruse.  Robinson leads the NFL in targets with 24 over the last two weeks after returning from injury.  He has 3 games total on the year with 9 or more targets and his lowest output in a game in which he wasn’t hurt in a PPR league is 6.4.  In fact, if you take his 4 healthy games on the year and extrapolate them over 16, you get 92 receptions on 156 targets and 932 yards.  Meanwhile, Cecil is the 27th best WR in PPR leagues according to yahoo.  What do they have in common?  Their ownership – 33% for Cecil and 10% for Laurent – is absurdly low.  Look, they don’t play for the Packers or the Saints so yeah, you’re not looking to score a lot of touchdowns but what you can look for is these two top WRs for their team playing from behind because of how bad their team is.  There’ll be sneaky consistency here for the rest of the year and most owners probably think it’s a blip on the radar.  Heck, you could probably just go pick them up with those ownership levels.  Nice, consistent WR3s.  Nothing wrong with that.

Andre Brown - He’s the 12th best RB over the last 4 weeks in terms of fantasy and outpaced Ahmad Bradshaw in terms of touches last week.  Hard to say if he keeps that position but there’s a shot and he’s slowly become the goal line back for the Giants.  It’s clear David Wilson is an afterthought this season for that backfield.  He should still go cheap and is on bye this week.  Desparate owners might be ready to bail for nothing more than a play for the week at hand.  Take advantage.

Jacquizz Rodgers - This is 100% a hunch call.  I won’t flash any numbers at you that are gonna wow you so it’s not even worth it.  What I can say isMichael Turnerstarted to tail off at the end of last season and the main benefactor if that happens again this season would be Rodgers.  Again, this is gut instinct here which has only led me wrong once and it was choosing that Indian restaurant.  Never thought I’d need a donut ring cushion just to sit down after dinner.  But I digress, see if you can get him as a sweetener in one of your final trades.  Could pay huge dividends down the road.

Sell

Andrew Luck – If you saw the last game vs the Jaguars, you’d have a good understanding of where this sell is coming from and I already covered my stance quite extensively after the game..  Luck without a lot of…eh, luck could’ve finished with 1 TD and two INT.  It was not as impressive as the box score says he was.  But the great thing is – ok, it’s not great for the quarterbacks involved – this is the perfect time to sell him to someone with a broken QB.  With Big Ben, Smith, Cutler & Vick going down last weekend, you could have some desparate owners willing to spend a decent penny to gain Andrew.

Mike Wallace/Antonio Brown - I’d make a worry sell on Mike at this point as we don’t know what we’re going to get from Big Ben for the rest of the year but we surely know what we’ll get from Charlie Batch and Byron Leftwich and that would be a lot of hand offs and plenty of 3rd and 9 throws to nowhere.  Truthfully you could probably drop Antonio at this point but maybe someone out there still believes in the name.  He’s been disappointing even when he and Big Ben weren’t hurt and truthfully so has Wallace.  In the end, names sell before real production is analyzed.  See if you can sneak out of this Steel trap.  You can throw Heath Miller into this as well.

Antonio Gates – Yep, he’s a repeat sell.  But why would I tell you to do so?  Because he has name value and here’s his last 4 games: 15 receptions for 195 yards and 4 TDs.  Meanwhile, 39% owned Brandon Myers has 23 receptions for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Obviously not telling you to get rid of Antonio, just letting you know he could be a great trade chip to upgrade another position while not losing out on much if you had to go to the FA for a PPR league.

Alright, all, I’m trying to dream up the best content now that the trade season is over.  Maybe I’ll poke at the after waiver FAs to dig in on or perhaps do a week ahead look but I think we can call a close to buy/sell since you guys can’t, ya know, buy and sell players after this week in a standard league.  And with that, on with the comments!

From Around The Web

  1. Johnny says:
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    Better scoop for rest of way, sproles or beanie,

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Sproles

  2. Andy says:
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    I need some trade advice. Our trade deadline is this week, and I am looking to improve my roster for the playoffs (weeks 14-16). Here is a trade that has been proposed:

    I give:
    RG3
    Spiller
    Harvin

    In return I get:
    Ridley
    Welker

    I have Brees, Peterson, Mccoy, Marshall, Colston, in a 2RB, 3WR, Flex league.
    Would any of those WR be better than giving up Harvin?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      That’s a very large trade and I don’t think you’re getting anything you need in return for it. Try something smaller if you’re wanting a WR. Trade RG3 straight up for one if you have Brees.

  3. Comatose says:
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    Need Start/Sit advice. League is 1 QB 2 RB 2 WR 1 TE 1 FLEX

    My team:

    Schaub, Vick
    Forte, Reece, Starks, Ballard, Peterson (BYE)
    Marshall, Colston, Bowe, T. Smith

    Are Forte/Marshall benchable? Everyone behind them seems to have favorable matchups.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I wouldn’t bench either guy. I wouldn’t expect huge production but I think they have a better shot than the others behind them to have a good week based on volume.

  4. george says:
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    Trade away aaron rodgers and roddy or julio for peyton manning and ray rice? My team standard w flex. Rodgers, roddy, julio, welker, jonathan stewart, mcgahee, gates, titus young, greg olsen, dwyer, mjd, demarco murray.

    Also, if this trade doesn’t go thru, would you reccommend selling one of julio/roddy? My thought is to try and flip one of them for another WR1 because both can’t produce on the same day. If so who would you trade/target?

    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      First trade would work well for your team. I’d want it to be Julio if I were trading one.

      They’ve been fine as a tandem for most of the year. You’re going to get underproduction from time to time from the other guy you’re trading for, don’t really see it as a good motivation to move either.

  5. ATL Fan says:
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    Love the blog by the way. Anyways, so I will try to keep this brief, but at this point I have both Matt Ryan, whom I will keep, and RG3. I can only start one QB. I have Lynch, Rice, and Mcgahee, and Julio, Welker, Mike Williams, and Stevie Johnson, for we have 3 wrs to start every week in this league and a flex. Obviously, Mcgahee will fill in my flex every week moving forward. I was recently offered Percy Harvin for RG3. Should I move forward, for it is the best offer I have been given and our trade deadline is Friday. Or should I keep RG3, and plan for Matty Ice to be benched come later weeks since they have mostly likely already clinched? Thanks in advance for your advice.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Hey thanks, glad you enjoy it!

      I actually made this trade a couple of weeks ago. If you need/want a top end WR, it’s reasonable. I’d do it; you can’t play RGiII and Ryan together.

      • ATL Fan says:
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        @Sky,
        Any worries or hesitations about Percy’s injury moving forward?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I think he would’ve played if they needed him but two weeks of rest should put him back on track

  6. Cheeeeeeze says:
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    I’ve used rashaad jennings the past 3 weeks with pretty much no success… just dropped him for my next best option in Chris Ivory vs Oak this week. Did I make the right move? Other guys avail. are ballard and jones… should I swap for one of those?

  7. Cheeeeeeze says:
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    *Felix Jones, also it’s a standard yahoo league (no PPR)

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I would not have dropped Jennings for Ivory. Still have at least two weeks of guaranteed touches for him even if he has been aggravating. If Felix is available, I’d pick him up.

  8. lopes says:
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    do i go with vick ballard or joique bell for my secondary runningback this week?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’d give Ballard a shot

  9. Keter Ping says:
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    I am in a keeper league where you can keep two players and I am trying to make the playoff push. It is a 2 QB, 3 RB, 4 WR, 1 TE league.

    QB: Ryan, Freeman, Locker
    RB: Mathews, Spiller, T. Richardson, Charles, Ballard, D. RIchardson (and a bunch of hot trash like Hillis)
    WR: Wallace, Welker, Austin, V-Jax
    TE: Scott Chandler (mixed in with whoever has the good matchup)

    Now the trade is:

    I get Brady and Graham I give Freeman and T.Richardson

    Basically, this is a two part question… Does this trade help me this year? Does this trade help (or at least not hurt) me next year as I saw Richardson as a sure fire keeper.

    Also, as a huge Charger fan Mathews is killing me softly in more than one way this year.

    • Keter Ping says:
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      @Keter Ping,

      Follow up question:

      ROS Hakeem Nicks or Brandon Lloyd

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Nicks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Though it would be nice to get Graham, I’d rather stay with what you have

  10. Joe F says:
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    So I picked up ingram at the time of the sproles injury, Do I start him in my flex vs Oakland this week .5 PPR? Or I could go with Felix Jones or Leshoure in that flex don’t know which one to go with.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Felix has a nice matchup. I’d go with him

  11. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    PPR ROS LeShore or Ingram? I say LeShore i just want to make sure what you think so i can do the opposite

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’d say Ingram so it looks like you’re spot on

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Sky, Damn, now I think I got the reverse jinx going on. Maybe your advise has turned. I know LeShore has caught alot of balls for a RB, and The Lions throw the most pass attempts.

        In regards to your sell Luck, I know you were a little intoxicated the other night for the game, are you sure we can’t blame that call on your IPA? I guess I just don’t want to deal with choosing between Luck and Newton. In my league there are a ton of QB’s available, but I just can’t see myself going with Dalton or Manning, the lessor one.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Jack Full of Hate, Ha. Yeah, LeShoure is not the pass back for the Lions anymore. Last three games, Bell has 14 receptions to LeShoure’s 4. Ingram has 2 during that span. Don’t think there’s enough difference in the passing game between those two to make it a difference maker.

          Oh, I had a buzz and then I had a buzzkill watching Luck get away with a pretty mediocre performance vs that Jaguars team. He really wasn’t as impressive as he seemed. My sell call is more about where he’s being ranked (7th among QBs) and the perception surrounding him. Kid is going to be great, don’t get me wrong but let’s face facts: 10 to 9 TD:INT ratio to go with 4 lost fumbles. His 5 rushing TDs are what’s keeping him afloat in terms of rankings and I don’t know if I trust that number staying at the pace it’s at. I do trust Eli over Luck ROS but Dalton is possibly a push even though he’s on pace to toss 32 touchdowns. It’s more about what can you get from him than anything else based on his name. It’s an ESPN sell :)

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
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            @Sky, So if you could choose TWO of these ROS – Luck, Newton, Dalton, Freeman and Flacco

            Did you see that Newcastle is now making an IPA? Its like IPA’s are turning into Dubstep. Which if you don’t get that, don’t worry. I have a buddy that DJ’s and gets paid well spinning that noise.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Interesting…I’d probably want Freeman and Newton; schedule wise, they make a nice pair down the stretch.

              I hadn’t seen that. It’s very regional at the bars here in Eugene and if it’s not, it’s usually Bud or Stella or some other form of macro-lager. I’ll have to try it at the Bier Stein if they ever carry it, though.

              Oh and I do know what dubstep is…ok, I don’t know what it is but I’ve heard it. It’s all about the massive drop…of E.

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
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                @Sky, I thought in oregon it was all about hanging out with fun- gi’s….hey-yo!

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  @Jack Full of Hate, We also return our bottle and cans…though we don’t clap our hands. Never understood that part.

                  • Jack Full of Hate says:
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                    @Sky, you took a perfectly good drug counter remark and turned it into some eco happy thing….I need a drink!….not an IPA…damn you sky is falling

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      There’s actually a brewery now in Eugene called Falling Sky. Nasty customer service but the beer was ok and it wasn’t an IPA that I drank. I like to change things up from time to time to mess with people.

  12. Geoff says:
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    Does Forte, Lloyd and Bennett for Mathews, S. Smith (panthers), and Daniels make sense? Forte’s schedule is brutal and I think the upgrade at WR and TE more than makes up for the quality difference between Forte and Mathews.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      It’s not a bad trade. Would depend on what the other RB look like on my team

      • Geoff says:
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        @Sky, I have McFadden and Murray but am already safely into the playoffs. My WRs are Welker, Decker, and Hartline.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Geoff, Don’t know how much you can rely on those two ROS. I value RB depth, that trade wouldn’t be for me.

  13. Prezii says:
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    Need to pick up a lame DL cuz of the sax machines bye week.. but i have 5 bench spots and 4 are on bye. And here i thought my byes were pretty much over! Anywhoo, i need to cut ties with britt, lafell or sanders. I was going to play lafell this week, and save sanders for the long term. Do you think its time to give britt the boot? Or hold and drop lafell? If i did that i would HAVE to play sanders this week which i really dont want to do with leftwich at qb. Help me out here?

    Drop lafell, play sanders
    Drop britt, play lafell, keep sanders? I think thats my question… Sorry for being confusing but that is wat this league im in is all about….. Confusion.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Prezii, Yeah, this bye week took me by surprise as well. Didn’t realize I’d be without AP in half my leagues. Kick in the junk at this time of year, that’s for sure.

      I’d be willing to drop Britt at this time. I just don’t know what he’s going to do ROS and I don’t think the Titans do either. He’s still gimpy and trying to learn the offense this year. I’d cut ties and play LaFell this week.

      • Prezii says:
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        @Sky, thank you!! Im sure ill be back with more questions soon!

  14. FillyP says:
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    Yo! Making a push for the playoffs.. I’m 7-3 and tied for 2nd. 1st place is a cool $550. What do you think about:

    1) AP for Charles and A. Johnson? Purely hypothetical, but the owner of both is 2nd to last and while AP has definitely won me a lot of weeks, he has the worst SOS for RB’s ROS. I’ve had injuries to DMC and MJD, and my RB1/2 right now is Ballard/Howlings. Yikes.

    2) Freeman over RG3 this week?

    Thanks for the advice!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @FillyP, Nice, hope you land that cash!

      1) I’m not a big Andre guy. He and Lance Moore are nearly identical in terms of output this year and the Texans are not a pass heavy offense any longer. That is not a trade I would do.

      2) The Panthers are actually a decent team against the pass. They are near the bottom in terms of giving up fantasy points to opposing WRs and QBs. I’d go RGIII

      • FillyP says:
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        @Sky, If I do – I def owe you a donation!

        The prospect of trading away AP scares the hell out of me, to say the least. It could be a make/break gamble. Are there any RB/WR combos (or 2 RB’s) you’d target for AP? Looking for a 2-for-1 for depth. I think the deadline is Friday..

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Ha, I’ll see if we can add a penny jar to the site.

          Honestly, AP is back and I wouldn’t want to trade him but if I did I’d want too much in return. Top 5 WR and top 10 RB would be my expectation. Think any sell of him should be steep

  15. Chris says:
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    I know Luck is on your sell list but would trade him or Cam?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Honestly, it depends on what you’re getting in return for either. Luck has the big name/publicity going for him right now. You probably have to sell low on Cam.

  16. Rags says:
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    Would you do RGIII for Drew Brees? I’m definitely making the playoffs. RGIII could be kept at the fourth round next year and Brees can’t be kept. Do you see the difference in scoring over the home stretch as worth the sacrifice?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I trust Brees to stay healthy ROS moreso than I do RGIII. It’s tough but I’d take Brees there.

  17. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    You made a good case for gambling on Ingram ROS, would you go with him over PT Cruiser or Andre Brown?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Not over Andre but yeah over PT.

  18. Rags says:
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    What about I give Gore, Donald Brown and James Jones for Demaryus Thomas and Jamaal Charles. I have Doug Martin, Mendenhall and Sproles already. Standard scoring.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I like that trade for you.

  19. Shigidy says:
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    Do you like Julio Jones or Roddy White for the rest of the year. Im trying to trade Colston for one of them.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Roddy for health/consistency reasons.

  20. broseph jacobs says:
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    Who do you feel has more value from here until week 16:
    Vick Ballard
    Andre Brown
    Marcelle Reece
    (standard scoring)
    thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I think you have them ranked for ROS only because Andre isn’t the declared starter and Reece’s value is based on DMC and when he returns. Ballard seems to have the most defined role

      • broseph jacobs says:
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        @Sky, thanks man! That was what my gut was saying, but you know how these things work: sometimes you just need that outside perspective. Appreciate it!!!

      • broseph jacobs says:
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        @Sky, what if I add Ingram and Parmele to the discussion? Still go with Ballard?

Comments are closed.